Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2017

Lake Effect Snow Warning 3, NWS Albany, NY

February 1, 2017Hamilton County, Herkimer County, New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Feb 1, 2017, 9:19 AM EST for Hamilton County, Herkimer County, New York. It was in force for 21 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2017, 9:19 AM EST (14:19 UTC)
Expired
Feb 2, 2017, 6:21 AM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

Counties Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:18 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 1, 10:00 AM ESTSNOW 5Middleville, NY
Feb 1, 11:44 AM ESTSNOW 1.8Wells, NYWEATHERNET6
Feb 1, 1:21 PM ESTSNOW 61 Sw Old Forge, NYHEAVY SNOW FALLING
Feb 1, 3:00 PM ESTSNOW 72 Ene Eagle Bay, NYSINCE 6 AM
Feb 1, 4:45 PM ESTSNOW 3Indian Lake, NYWEATHERNET6

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 185 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
706 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
86 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

513 
WWUS41 KALY 011419
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
919 AM EST WED FEB 1 2017


NYZ032-020000-
/O.UPG.KALY.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-170202T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.LE.W.0003.170201T1419Z-170202T0900Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BIG MOOSE, EAGLE BAY, MCKEEVER, 
OLD FORGE, ATWELL, NOBLEBORO, AND NORTHWOOD
919 AM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 8 INCHES.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS
  AND FLURRIES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...RISING INTO THE UPPER 20S TODAY...BEFORE FALLING
  BACK INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST 
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR 
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ033-020000-
/O.EXT.KALY.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-170202T0900Z/
HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONG LAKE, SABATTIS, HOFFMEISTER, 
AND WELLS
919 AM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* LOCATIONS...HAMILTON COUNTY...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF ROUTE
  28.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY. 
  THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY EVENING...ENDING AS SNOW SHOWERS 
  AND FLURRIES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...RISING INTO THE UPPER 20S TODAY...BEFORE FALLING
  BACK INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
260 
WWUS41 KALY 012006
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
306 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017


NYZ033-021200-
/O.UPG.KALY.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-170202T0900Z/
/O.EXB.KALY.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LONG LAKE, SABATTIS, HOFFMEISTER, 
AND WELLS
306 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...HAMILTON COUNTY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT. THE SNOWBAND IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH
  INTO SOUTHWEST HAMILTON COUNTY THIS EVENING...BEFORE LIFTING
  BACK NORTH TOWARD OR NORTH OF ROUTE 28 AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE INTERMITTENT BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...OCCASIONALLY ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ032-021200-
/O.EXT.KALY.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BIG MOOSE, EAGLE BAY, MCKEEVER, 
OLD FORGE, ATWELL, NOBLEBORO, AND NORTHWOOD
306 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL ACCOMPANY A
  SNOWBAND ACROSS NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY THROUGH EARLY THIS
  EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD BE MAINLY SOUTH OF ROUTE 28
  THIS EVENING...THEN MAY LIFT BACK NORTH TOWARD OR NORTH OF ROUTE
  28 AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING BACK INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...OCCASIONALLY ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN
CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ038-021200-
/O.NEW.KALY.LE.Y.0002.170201T2006Z-170202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ILION, HERKIMER, LITTLE FALLS, MOHAWK, 
FRANKFORT, AND DOLGEVILLE
306 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
  INCHES...MAINLY WELL NORTH OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY. THE
  GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED CLOSE TO COLD BROOK AND
  OHIO.

* TIMING...SNOW BAND SHIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH
  CENTRAL HERKIMER COUNTY THIS EVENING...BEFORE LIFTING BACK
  NORTHWARD AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...OCCASIONALLY UNDER ONE HALF MILE WITHIN THE
  HEAVIEST SNOWBAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
399 
WWUS41 KALY 012123
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
423 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017


NYZ032-033-021200-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BIG MOOSE, EAGLE BAY, MCKEEVER, 
OLD FORGE, ATWELL, NOBLEBORO, NORTHWOOD, LONG LAKE, SABATTIS, 
HOFFMEISTER, AND WELLS
423 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* LOCATIONS...HAMILTON AND NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL ACCOMPANY A
  SNOWBAND ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL HERKIMER COUNTY AND SOUTHWEST
  HAMILTON COUNTY THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW
  SHOULD BE MAINLY SOUTH OF ROUTE 28 THIS EVENING...THEN MAY LIFT
  BACK NORTH TOWARD OR NORTH OF ROUTE 28 AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW
  IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE INTERMITTENT BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING BACK INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...OCCASIONALLY ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN
CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ038-021200-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ILION, HERKIMER, LITTLE FALLS, MOHAWK, 
FRANKFORT, AND DOLGEVILLE
423 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 
  INCHES... MAINLY WELL NORTH OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY. THE 
  GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED CLOSE TO COLD BROOK AND 
  OHIO.

* TIMING...SNOW BAND SHIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH
  CENTRAL HERKIMER COUNTY EARLY THIS EVENING...BEFORE LIFTING 
  BACK NORTHWARD AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...OCCASIONALLY UNDER ONE HALF MILE WITHIN THE 
  HEAVIEST SNOWBAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
623 
WWUS41 KALY 020205
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
905 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

NYZ032-033-021000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BIG MOOSE, EAGLE BAY, MCKEEVER, 
OLD FORGE, ATWELL, NOBLEBORO, NORTHWOOD, LONG LAKE, SABATTIS, 
HOFFMEISTER, AND WELLS
905 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 6 INCHES.

* LOCATIONS...HAMILTON AND NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* TIMING...A FRAGMENTED MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW BAND MAINLY SOUTH
  OF ROUTE 28 TONIGHT...MAY LIFT BACK NORTH TOWARD OR NORTH OF
  ROUTE 28 AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE 
  INTERMITTENT BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING BACK INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...OCCASIONALLY ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN
CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ038-021000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ILION, HERKIMER, LITTLE FALLS, MOHAWK, 
FRANKFORT, AND DOLGEVILLE
905 PM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...LOCALIZED ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES...
  MAINLY NORTH OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY. THE GREATEST 
  ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED CLOSE TO COLD BROOK AND OHIO.

* TIMING...SNOW BAND SHIFTS SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH
  CENTRAL HERKIMER COUNTY TONIGHT...BEFORE LIFTING BACK NORTHWARD
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...OCCASIONALLY UNDER ONE HALF MILE WITHIN THE 
  HEAVIEST SNOWBAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
899 
WWUS41 KALY 020844
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
344 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

NYZ032-033-021700-
/O.NEW.KALY.LE.W.0004.170202T1800Z-170205T0000Z/
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BIG MOOSE, EAGLE BAY, MCKEEVER, 
OLD FORGE, ATWELL, NOBLEBORO, NORTHWOOD, LONG LAKE, SABATTIS, 
HOFFMEISTER, AND WELLS
344 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...HAMILTON AND NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION THROUGH SATURDAY 6
  TO 12 INCHES...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT 
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS.

* TIMING...BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
  PORTIONS OF CENTRAL HERKIMER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY
  NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF ROUTE 8 UNTIL DAYBREAK TODAY. THEN SNOW
  BANDS WILL TEND TO WEAKEN AND BECOME MORE INTERMITTENT DURING
  THE MORNING. HOWEVER...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL RE-DEVELOP
  AND INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SAME AREA NEAR ROUTE
  8...THEN ARE EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS HERKIMER AND
  HAMILTON COUNTIES OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY...NEAR THE ROUTE 28
  CORRIDOR. LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT BACK
  SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL HERKIMER AND SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTIES FRIDAY
  NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. OVERALL...QUITE A BIT OF OSCILLATION IN 
  SNOW BANDS IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING
  HOURS...WITH TEENS AND 20S DURING THE DAY.

* VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT
  SNOW BANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN
CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ038-021700-
/O.NEW.KALY.LE.Y.0003.170202T1800Z-170203T1100Z/
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ILION, HERKIMER, LITTLE FALLS, MOHAWK, 
FRANKFORT, AND DOLGEVILLE
344 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THIS MORNING...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE AFFECT PORTIONS OF
  SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY...MAINLY JUST NORTH OF THE THRUWAY
  THROUGH DAYBREAK TODAY. SNOW BANDS WILL THEN BECOME MORE
  INTERMITTENT DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BEFORE RE-DEVELOPING
  THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SNOW BANDS WILL LIKELY DRIFT NORTH
  OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S TODAY AND TEENS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT
  SNOW BANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$

NYZ082-021700-
/O.NEW.KALY.LE.Y.0003.170202T1800Z-170203T1100Z/
NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF CAROGA LAKE
344 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 AM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN FULTON COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE
  GREATEST TOTALS FROM AROUND CAROGA LAKE WESTWARD.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
  THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO TONIGHT. SNOW BANDS WILL LIKELY
  DRIFT NORTH OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S TODAY AND TEENS TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
658 
WWUS41 KALY 021121
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
621 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

NYZ032-033-022200-
/O.CAN.KALY.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0004.170202T1800Z-170205T0000Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BIG MOOSE, EAGLE BAY, MCKEEVER, 
OLD FORGE, ATWELL, NOBLEBORO, NORTHWOOD, LONG LAKE, SABATTIS, 
HOFFMEISTER, AND WELLS
621 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

* LOCATIONS...HAMILTON AND NORTHERN HERKIMER COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION THROUGH SATURDAY 6
  TO 12 INCHES...WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT 
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL RE-DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY
  THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA NEAR AND AROUND ROUTE 8...THEN
  EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS HERKIMER AND HAMILTON
  COUNTIES OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY...NEAR THE ROUTE 28 CORRIDOR.
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT BACK SOUTHWARD
  INTO CENTRAL HERKIMER AND SOUTHERN HAMILTON COUNTIES FRIDAY
  NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. OVERALL...QUITE A BIT OF OSCILLATION IN
  SNOW BANDS IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT INTO THE MORNING
  HOURS...WITH TEENS AND 20S DURING THE DAY.

* VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS WITHIN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN
CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ038-022200-
/O.CAN.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170202T1200Z/
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0003.170202T1800Z-170203T1100Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF ILION, HERKIMER, LITTLE FALLS, MOHAWK, 
FRANKFORT, AND DOLGEVILLE
621 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL BE INTERMITTENT DURING THE
  MORNING HOURS...BEFORE RE-DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  TONIGHT. SNOW BANDS WILL LIKELY DRIFT NORTH OF THE AREA BY
  DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S TODAY AND TEENS TONIGHT.

* VISIBILITY...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS WITHIN THE MOST 
  PERSISTENT SNOW BANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$

NYZ082-022200-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0003.170202T1800Z-170203T1100Z/
NORTHERN FULTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF CAROGA LAKE
621 AM EST THU FEB 2 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN FULTON COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 6 INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE
  GREATEST TOTALS FROM AROUND CAROGA LAKE WESTWARD.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST INTO TONIGHT. SNOW BANDS WILL 
  LIKELY DRIFT NORTH OF THE AREA BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S TODAY AND TEENS TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Feb 1, 6:55 AM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 6:55 AM EST, 2 hours 24 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
655 AM EST Wed Feb 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A fast moving low pressure system bringing widespread light snowfall
early this morning will quickly shift eastward into New England by
this afternoon. The snow will taper off to scattered snow showers
and flurries this afternoon, except across the western Adirondacks
and the southern Green Mountains where snow showers will persist.
Brisk and cold conditions will then take hold tonight through the
end of the week, with intermittent lake effect snowfall for mainly
the western Adirondacks and western Mohawk Valley.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 634 AM EST...Winter Weather Advisory for snow remains in
effect until Midnight for the western Adirondacks.

Upper level disturbance and surface trough moving across the region
early this morning resulting in widespread mainly light snow across
the northern half of the area. There have been some bursts of
moderate snow within the overall main area of light snow due to
some stronger forcing due to cyclonic vorticty advection
associated with the potent disturbance and passage of the
surface trough. Batch of moderate snow showers moving across
northern portions of the Capital District early this morning.
Near term hi-res guidance indicating the snow should be mostly
done by 7 or 8 am, except across parts of the
Adirondacks/southern Green Mountains.

Accumulations around 1-2 inches expected for much of the
area, but higher amounts across the western Adirondacks of 3-6
inches will occur due to snow persisting longer due to upslope/lake
effect enhancement. Will have to watch for upslope snow into the
southern Green Mountains of VT where 2-4 inches may accumulate, but
likely falling short of advisory criteria.

Surface trough moving eastward across eastern NY at this time,
and will continue to track eastward through the rest of our
region this morning. Behind the trough as better mixing
develops, winds will shift to the west and increase to around
10-20 mph, with some gusts of 30 mph expected in typical areas
in westerly flow. Also the steady light snow will transition to
more of a snow shower regime, with main areas of more persistent
snow showers across the western Adirondacks and southern
Greens.

A lake effect band or bands may try to get going downwind of Lake
Ontario later this morning into the afternoon as the flow
briefly becomes well-aligned from the west. However, the flow
will become disrupted tonight as the next surface trough
approaches from the upper Great Lakes. This could lead to
additional accumulations, thus the Winter Weather Advisory will
continue until Midnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Another surface trough will re-enforce the cold air in place, moving
southeastward across the region Thursday morning/afternoon. Isolated
to scattered snow showers should accompany the boundary as it moves
through. The boundary could also pick up some lake moisture, which
may enhance snow showers across the Mohawk/Schoharie Valleys on
Thursday with light accumulations are expected, perhaps a few
inches.

On Thursday night, the flow will shift from northwest to westerly,
which will allow for lake effect snow bands to develop across
northern portions of the Mohawk Valley and southwest Adirondacks
with moderate lake induced instability due to colder temps aloft of
-16C to -18C at 850 mb moving over Lake Ontario. This would normally
result in decent potential for significant lake effect snow, however
the flow will be transitory and may even back to more of a W-SW
directly by Friday morning. So, it is possible that Lake Effect Snow
Advisories may eventually be needed but lake bands may not reside
long enough across any given area to warrant significant
accumulations.

Yet another boundary is forecast to move through Friday, with the
flow once again shifting from west to W-NW. This will send lake
effect snow bands southward across the western/southwest Adirondacks
and possible the Mohawk Valley. Again, despite moderate lake induced
instability residence times of lake bands may not be sufficient for
significant snowfall. Will continue to mention the potential for lake
effect snow in the HWO, which much uncertainty due to frequent
oscillating snow bands.

It will be cold and breezy outside of lake effect snow bands, with
isolated to scattered snow showers possible with the passage of each
trough.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
In general should have a fast nearly flat flow across the CONUS
through the period with pieces of energy rotating about the upper
low over Hudson's Bay bringing short waves troughs and boundaries
across the region through early next week.

As we head into the weekend, lake effect snows should be diminishing
as surface ridging builds in disrupting the favorable low level flow.
The high is expected to quickly shift off the east coast Saturday
night allowing a short wave trough/surface low pressure system to
approach and move across the region Sunday and Sunday night bringing
chances for snow to the area. Ridging is then expected to shift across
the region Monday and Monday night with mainly fair weather. A large
low pressure system is expected to organize over the Plains Tuesday then
track northeastward heading into the Great Lakes region. The southerly
flow ahead of the system is expected to usher milder air back into the
region and this will result changeable precipitation types (another
tough system to forecast). A this time. initially it should be cold
enough for snow with a mix and/or changeover to rain.

Anticipating seasonable temperatures through the weekend with
temperatures moderating early in the week. Well above normal readings
are possible for mid week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Another short wave moving through broad longwave trough over
the region has brought additional light snowfall to portions
of the area with some bursts of moderate snowfall occurring just
ahead of the cold front. MVFR-IFR conditions will improve to VFR
during the morning hours with snow tapering off. Cloud cover will
break up by late in the day into the evening with clouds increasing
again late at night.

Southerly winds will shift to the west and increase in speed
to 10 to 15 knots and become gusty with gusts into the the 20s.
Winds are expected to be the strongest at KALB as the flow funnels
down the Mohawk Valley. The winds will decrease in speed late in
the day into the evening.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Thursday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHSN.
Friday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy Slight Chance of SHSN.
Friday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Saturday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHSN.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Little change in river levels or flow is expected through early
next week.

A gradual cooling trend with seasonable temperatures is forecast
through weekend. Any precipitation will be in the form of snow.
River ice will form and thicken due to cold temperatures especially
across the northern basins in the Hydro Service Area.

Lake Effect snow will persist across mainly the western Adirondacks
and western Mohawk Valley through much of the weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs
on our website.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Winter Weather Advisory until midnight EST tonight for NYZ032-
     033.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPV/Wasula
NEAR TERM...JPV
SHORT TERM...JPV
LONG TERM...IAA
AVIATION...IAA
HYDROLOGY...JPV/Wasula
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 1, 4:06 AM EST, 5 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
406 AM EST WED FEB 1 2017

NYZ032-033-021200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
406 AM EST WED FEB 1 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS OF
EASTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA...ALTHOUGH OSCILLATING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY REDUCE OVERALL ACCUMULATIONS. IF
CONDITIONS EVENTUALLY BECOME MORE CERTAIN...LAKE EFFECT SNOW
HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV OR VIA FACEBOOK OR
TWITTER.

NYZ038-082-021200-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-NORTHERN FULTON-
406 AM EST WED FEB 1 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN HERKIMER AND NORTHERN
FULTON COUNTIES OF EASTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING LIGHT SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. WHILE THESE
FORECAST SNOW AMOUNTS WILL FALL SHORT OF ADVISORY CRITERIA...THE
EARLY PART OF MORNING COMMUTE COULD BE IMPACTED BY POTENTIALLY
SLIPPERY ROADS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL MAY IMPACT PARTS OF THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY
AND SOUTHWEST ADIRONDACKS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE AREA...ALTHOUGH OSCILLATING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS MAY REDUCE
OVERALL ACCUMULATIONS. IF CONDITIONS EVENTUALLY BECOME MORE
CERTAIN...LAKE EFFECT SNOW HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV OR VIA FACEBOOK OR
TWITTER.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-083-084-
VTZ013>015-021200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
406 AM EST WED FEB 1 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...AND THE
EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...GREATER CAPITAL
DISTRICT...SCHOHARIE VALLEY...EASTERN CATSKILLS...TACONICS AND MID
HUDSON VALLEY OF EASTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING LIGHT SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
THE MID HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT. THE HIGHER TOTALS
WILL BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREENS OF VERMONT. WHILE THESE FORECAST
SNOW AMOUNTS WILL FALL SHORT OF ADVISORY CRITERIA...THE EARLY PART OF
MORNING COMMUTE COULD BE IMPACTED BY POTENTIALLY SLIPPERY ROADS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY EMAIL AT ALB.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV OR VIA FACEBOOK OR
TWITTER.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 1, 8:40 AM EST, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
840 AM EST WED FEB 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0829 AM     SNOW             WINSTED                 41.93N  73.07W
02/01/2017  M1.2 INCH        LITCHFIELD         CT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1700763

JEC
Local storm report, Feb 1, 8:46 AM EST, 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
846 AM EST WED FEB 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0808 AM     SNOW             BURNT HILLS             42.91N  73.90W
02/01/2017  E3.0 INCH        SARATOGA           NY   FACEBOOK

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1700764

JEC
Local storm report, Feb 1, 8:50 AM EST, 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
850 AM EST WED FEB 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 AM     SNOW             SCHENECTADY-GE PLOT     42.82N  73.92W
02/01/2017  M2.3 INCH        SCHENECTADY        NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1700765

JEC
Local storm report, Feb 1, 8:51 AM EST, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
851 AM EST WED FEB 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0851 AM     SNOW             CLIFTON PARK            42.85N  73.81W
02/01/2017  M4.1 INCH        SARATOGA           NY   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1700766

JEC
Local storm report, Feb 1, 8:54 AM EST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
854 AM EST WED FEB 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0835 AM     SNOW             ALBANY                  42.66N  73.78W
02/01/2017  E1.8 INCH        ALBANY             NY   TWITTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1700767

JEC
Local storm report, Feb 1, 9:00 AM EST, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
900 AM EST WED FEB 01 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 AM     SNOW             1 SSW AQUEDUCT          42.84N  73.89W
02/01/2017  M2.5 INCH        SCHENECTADY        NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1700768

JEC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 1, 3:06 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryALYHerkimer15 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2017Every lake effect snow warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.