Beach Hazards Statement 5, NWS Wakefield, VA

227 
WHUS41 KAKQ 151615
CFWAKQ

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1215 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017


NCZ102-VAZ098-160000-
/O.CON.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-170816T0000Z/
EASTERN CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH-
1215 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* HAZARDS...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS AND DANGEROUS SHORE BREAK.

* SURF OR RIP CURRENT RISK...BREAKING WAVES OF 3 TO 4 FT WILL RESULT IN ROUGH 
  SURF CONDITIONS AND A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED WHEN THREATS SUCH AS RIP CURRENTS...
LONGSHORE CURRENTS...SNEAKER WAVES AND OTHER HAZARDS CREATE LIFE-THREATENING
CONDITIONS IN THE SURF ZONE. CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN IN OR NEAR THE WATER.

&&

$$

TG

211 
WHUS41 KAKQ 160001
CFWAKQ

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
801 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017


NCZ102-VAZ098-160115-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.BH.S.0005.000000T0000Z-170816T0000Z/
EASTERN CURRITUCK-VIRGINIA BEACH-
801 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT EXPIRED AT 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

&&

$$

BUTNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
400 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A stationary frontal boundary will remain near the Virginia
North Carolina border today into Wednesday. The next cold front
affects the area Friday into the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Latest sfc analysis shows a stalled frontal bndry stretched
across NC with Hurricane Gert well off the Carolina coast. A
weak wave of low pressure forms along the front today as a mid-
level shortwave trough approaches from the west. The atm remains
quite moist as well with PWAT at least 2 SD above normal. After
some scattered shras this morning, forcing associated with the
approaching trough will lead to likely PoPs across most of the
area this aftn, with the region also in the right entrance
region of an upr-level jet streak. Moderate to locally heavy
rain is psbl as well, and will include mention of this and
localized flooding in the HWO. High temps today in the low/mid
80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
For tonight/Wed, chances of rain gradually diminish, though
will maintain chc PoPs far S on Wed as the frontal boundary
lingers not too far S and weak high pressure builds in from the
N. Partly sunny Wed w/ highs upper 80s/around 90F
inland...80-85F near the coast. Just a 20-30% chance for aftn
tstms Thu especially western areas, otherwise partly-mostly
sunny with highs upper 80s/around 90F.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Sfc high pressure will slide farther off the New England coast
Thu night. A cold front will approach fm the west late Fri, then
slowly drops acrs the area Fri night thru Sun. High pressure
will build into and over the region Sun night and Mon. Will have
15-30% Pops over the nrn and wrn counties for Thu night, then
20-40% Pops for Fri thru Sun. Highs will be in the upper 80s to
lower 90s Fri, and mainly in the mid to upper 80s Sat, Sun and
Mon. Lows will be in the lower to mid 70s Thu night, in the
upper 60s to mid 70s Fri night, and in the mid 60s to lower 70s
Sat night and Sun night.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A stationary front will remain stalled just south of the region,
influencing the pattern through mid-week. Unsettled conditions
will continue through the taf period with scattered
showers/tstms. Ceilings are also expected to continue to
decrease overnight with an onshore flow across the region.
Widespread MVFR to IFR ceilings are expected through the morning
hours. Showers and thunderstorm activity may once again become
more widespread this afternoon as another disturbance
approaches the region.

Outlook: Conditions are expected to improve Wednesday into
Thursday as high pressure builds back into the region. A cold
front approaches the region Friday bringing another chance for
showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Latest obs/buoy reports reflect S-SW flow across most of the waters
this morning, with light/variable winds across southern-most zones
as quasi-stationary boundary lingers from just north of Currituck
light/Currituck Sound...extending back inland. Model timing has
trended a bit faster, and as such SCA for hazardous seas has been
pushed up to begin this morning/midday, mainly due to increasing
long period (SE) swells from what is now hurricane Gert.

At this time, expect seas to build to 4-6 ft this aftn, with NWPS
indicating the potential for seas to 7 ft north of Parramore Island
tonight and early Wed. Otherwise, as Gert lifts N-NE well offshore
of the Carolina/SE coast, the previously referenced quasi-stationary
boundary will lift north across the area this morning through late
aftn, before Gert eventually moves well out into the Atlc later late
tonight into Wed night, with sfc high pressure building fm the ern
Great Lakes twd New England. The high will slide off the coast late
Thu/Thu night. A cold front will approach fm the west late Fri. Wind
speeds will generally be around 10 kt or less thru Thu.

Given sharp increase in long period swell (10-12 seconds by
afternoon), will go ahead with high rip risk over southern beaches
today...continuing Moderate Rip across the north.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas from 4 PM this
     afternoon to 7 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ654-656-658.
     Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas from 4 PM this
     afternoon to 10 AM EDT Wednesday for ANZ650-652.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MAS
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...LKB/MAS
LONG TERM...TMG
AVIATION...AJB/MAS
MARINE...MAM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
351 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

MDZ021>024-NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-093-
095>097-509>525-160800-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Northampton-Hertford-
Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-
Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-
Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-
Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Prince George-
Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville-
Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-
Suffolk-Chesapeake-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
351 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern
Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected today.
Locally heavy rainfall may result in minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ102-VAZ098-160800-
Eastern Currituck-Virginia Beach-
351 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

In addition, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today.
Locally heavy rainfall may result in minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ025-VAZ099-100-160800-
Maryland Beaches-Accomack-Northampton-
351 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, eastern
Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK.

In addition, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected today.
Locally heavy rainfall may result in minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.