Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2017

Small Craft Advisory 340, NWS Juneau, AK

June 17, 2017

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 17, 2017, 3:10 PM AKDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2017, 3:10 PM AKDT (23:10 UTC)
Expired
Jun 22, 2017, 3:41 AM AKDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

651 
FZAK52 PAJK 172310
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
310 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-181715-
310 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
An upper level low over northern British Columbia will continue
moving east as an upper ridge builds from the south over the
eastern gulf, the panhandle, and western Yukon. The ridge will
shift east late Sunday as another upper low moves northeast into
the central gulf by Monday afternoon. The associated surface 
front will arrive over the southern panhandle late Sunday night.

$$

PKZ041-181715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
310 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-181715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
310 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming NE 10 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 
ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain late. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-181715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
310 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt, except NW 20 kt vicinity Cape Spencer. 
Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Rain 
late.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-181715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
310 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft late. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. Showers.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-181715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
310 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming light. Seas
4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$
10 follow-up statements
381 
FZAK52 PAJK 181205
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
405 AM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-190615-
405 AM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad area of high pressure will settle over the  central
inner channels and eastern gulf Sunday. A front will  approach
the southern panhandle tonight and spread north across  the
region on Monday. 

$$

PKZ041-190615-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
405 AM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
building to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the
afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-190615-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
405 AM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Light winds early becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain late. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 8 ft. S swell in the afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-190615-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
405 AM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Light winds becoming E 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 
ft late. Rain late. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. Showers.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-190615-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
405 AM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Light winds becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. Showers.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-190615-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
405 AM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

.TODAY...Light and variable winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$
782 
FZAK52 PAJK 182331
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
331 PM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-191745-
331 PM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A broad area of high pressure over southeast Alaska and the 
eastern gulf will shift east and weaken Sunday night as a front 
approaches from the south. A more sharply defined surface ridge 
will build in over the panhandle from the south behind the front 
beginning Monday night. 

$$

PKZ041-191745-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
331 PM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. Showers
late. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-191745-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
331 PM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 KT in the evening increasing TO 25 kt. Seas
3 FT BUILDING TO 7 ft. Rain late.
.MON...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
subsiding to 5 ft. Rain in the morning.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas building to 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-191745-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
331 PM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt late. Seas
6 ft. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 8 ft. Rain in
the morning.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt becoming W. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-191745-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
331 PM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming E 20 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE wind increasing to 30 kt in the morning, then shifting S
and diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt becoming light. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-191745-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
331 PM AKDT Sun Jun 18 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt late. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft. S 
swell late.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
895 
FZAK52 PAJK 191147
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
347 AM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-200600-
347 AM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weather front will lift northwest across the eastern gulf and 
Panhandle Monday. A ridge of high pressure will build behind the 
front this afternoon and persist through tonight. On Tuesday low 
pressure will drift into the eastern gulf. 

$$

PKZ041-200600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
347 AM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Showers late. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Showers in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-200600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
347 AM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell in the afternoon. Rain 
early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. Showers late. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Showers in the morning. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-200600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
347 AM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. Showers late. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 5 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-200600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
347 AM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft building to 9 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell in the
afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable winds less than 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-200600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
347 AM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 7 ft. Rain in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$
244 
FZAK52 PAJK 192323
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
323 PM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-201730-
323 PM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A ridge of high pressure will continue to build over the
panhandle through Tuesday morning. A low will enter the eastern
gulf from the west on Tuesday afternoon. The low will  begin to
weaken and drift southeast by Wednesday afternoon. High pressure
will build in over the central and eastern gulf on  Thursday.  

$$

PKZ041-201730-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
323 PM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-201730-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
323 PM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell in the
afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-201730-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
323 PM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. S swell in the evening.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell in the
afternoon. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-201730-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
323 PM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the evening. 
Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 6 ft. S
swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-201730-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
323 PM AKDT Mon Jun 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming SE and diminishing to 15 kt in 
the evening. Seas 6 ft. S swell.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light.
Seas 5 ft. S swell. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 4 ft. 

$$
099 
FZAK52 PAJK 201149
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
349 AM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-210600-
349 AM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the south-central gulf will track NE into the eastern 
gulf this afternoon and stall and weaken tonight before moving 
ashore into the central Panhandle Wednesday. A ridge currently 
extending NW across the Panhandle will move E into Canada tonight.
Low pressure persists in the Canadian Yukon. 

$$

PKZ041-210600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
349 AM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas building to 8 ft in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-210600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
349 AM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas building to 8 ft in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-210600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
349 AM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-210600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
349 AM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell early in the
morning becoming S in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-210600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
349 AM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SE swell early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 

$$
893 
FZAK52 PAJK 202044
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1244 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-211445-
1244 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the south-central gulf will track NE into  the eastern
gulf this afternoon and stall and weaken tonight  before moving
ashore into the central Panhandle Wednesday. A  ridge currently
extending NW across the Panhandle will move E  into Canada
tonight. Low pressure persists in the Canadian Yukon. 

$$

PKZ041-211445-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
1244 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell.  
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ042-211445-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
1244 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ043-211445-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
1244 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$

PKZ051-211445-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
1244 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 



$$

PKZ052-211445-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
1244 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 



$$
943 
FZAK52 PAJK 202315
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
315 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-211715-
315 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weakening low in the S central gulf will gradually weaken and 
move NE before moving onshore Wed afternoon. High pressure will 
develop over the eastern gulf Wed night into Thu morning. This 
high will weaken Fri as another low moves from the N Pacific into
the S central gulf this weekend. 

$$

PKZ041-211715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
315 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-211715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
315 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-211715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
315 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell in the
evening. 
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-211715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
315 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED...Light winds becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-211715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
315 PM AKDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt early in the evening becoming light.
Seas 6 ft. S swell. 
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
707 
FZAK52 PAJK 211154
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
354 AM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-220600-
354 AM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weakening low in the eastern gulf will stall Wednesday night
before moving ashore in the central Panhandle  Thursday. Strong
low pressure will persist across northwest Canada. High pressure 
will build this afternoon over the central gulf and strengthen 
through Thursday. 

$$

PKZ041-220600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
354 AM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. SW swell. Showers 
early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...Light winds becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-220600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
354 AM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...Light winds becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-220600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
354 AM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt early in the morning becoming light.
Seas 5 ft. S swell. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. S swell in the evening.
.THU...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-220600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
354 AM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TODAY...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. S swell. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-220600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
354 AM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TODAY...Light winds becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft. S swell early in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas
4 ft. 
.THU...Light winds becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
666 
FZAK52 PAJK 212337
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
337 PM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-221600-
337 PM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weakening low in the eastern gulf will stall Wednesday night
before moving onshore in the central Panhandle Thursday. High 
pressure over the central gulf will continue to strengthen in 
place through Thursday. 

$$

PKZ041-221600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
337 PM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft late. SW 
swell in the evening. 
.THU...Light winds becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-221600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
337 PM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.THU...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-221600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
337 PM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming light late. Seas 6 ft. S swell.
.THU...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-221600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
337 PM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. S swell. 
.THU...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-221600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
337 PM AKDT Wed Jun 21 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming light late. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Light winds becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$
484 
FZAK52 PAJK 221141
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
341 AM AKDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-230545-
341 AM AKDT Thu Jun 22 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Low pressure in the eastern gulf will dissipate this afternoon
allowing a ridge of high pressure to extend across the northern
and eastern gulf. A weather front advancing into the  central
gulf Friday morning will push the ridge into the Panhandle.
Meanwhile low pressure persists across Canada. 

$$

PKZ041-230545-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
341 AM AKDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TODAY...Light winds. Seas 6 ft. SW swell early in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...Light winds becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-230545-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
341 AM AKDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TODAY...Light winds. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...Light winds becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-230545-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
341 AM AKDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TODAY...Light winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-230545-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
341 AM AKDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TODAY...Light winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...Light winds becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming NW 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-230545-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
341 AM AKDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.TODAY...Light winds. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...Light winds becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...Light winds becoming W 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 17, 2:54 PM AKDT, 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 2:54 PM AKDT, 16 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
254 PM AKDT Sat Jun 17 2017

.SYNOPSIS....An upper level low over northern British Columbia will
continue moving east as an upper ridge builds from the south over
the eastern gulf, the panhandle, and western Yukon. The ridge will
shift east late Sunday as another upper low moves northeast into
the central gulf by Monday afternoon. The associated surface front
will arrive over the southern panhandle late Sunday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../Sunday through Monday night/ Although the upper
low that produced heavy showers yesterday and last night has moved
northeast into Canada, clouds and showers continue to wrap around
the low center and are streaming south over the northern
panhandle and northeast gulf coast as of this afternoon. This
shower activity will end later this evening and high pressure, at
the surface and aloft, will build in over southeast Alaska. This
will make for a very pleasant Father's Day Sunday, with dry
weather, warmer temps, and decreasing clouds. The break will only
last one day, unfortunately, as the next front moves into the
southeastern gulf Sunday night. This front will spread rain from
south to north through the day and then transition to showers by
Monday night. Low level warm air advection will accompany this
front, so the warmer conditions in store for Sunday will remain
even after the rain returns.

Better consensus exists now on the strength of this next front and
have increased winds over the eastern gulf to 30 kts for Sunday
night through Monday morning. No significant winds are expected
over the inner channels in response to this front apart from small
craft easterlies out of Cross Sound. More immediately, the strong
southerly pressure gradient that has existed over the far
northern inner channels for the past few days has begun to relax
and the strong wind headline for Skagway has been dropped.
Likewise for the small craft advisory for northern Lynn Canal. A
weak tip jet persists vicinity Cape Spencer and northwesterly winds
there are close to small craft intensity, but are also expected
to relax tonight.

used an ensemble approach for updates to pressure. Used GFS22 as a
foundation for winds speeds over the gulf with minor changes to
speed and intensity on the inside. Temps adjusted per GFS MOS. PoP
a blend of official with the latest SREF. QPF from RFC and NAM12.
Overall forecast confidence is average.

.LONG TERM...Despite high confidence that a low will move into the
central gulf and send a front northeast into the eastern gulf by
Monday morning, there is still significant spread in where these
features track. Thus changes were difficult to undertake with
confidence. However, models have both strengthened the system for
Monday and boosted winds ahead of it. Without a lot of reliable
guidance for change, we upped the winds across the southern and
central inner channels to 15 kt, but we foresee small crafts
possible Monday in some locations, particularly in the south.

While the wind forecast is more difficult, confidence is very high
that rain will spread across the Panhandle Monday. Therefore we
have elevated pops to 100% for much of the southern, central and
coastal Panhandle. A front pushes into Canada by late Monday
afternoon with cooler air aloft, increased instability and onshore
flow in its wake. With the low appearing to very slowly push
eastward just offshore, we feel showers will persist into mid-week
with a slight potential continuing into Thursday. In short, pops
decline slowly at first through mid week, and then faster towards
the end.

Signatures of drying toward the end of the week have been a theme
the last couple of days. But operational models are struggling
with the transition. And even ensembles indicate some weakness in
the ridge over the Panhandle and eastern gulf. However, if
anything persists in the gulf, it should be very weak. Thus, we
have introduced a warming trend late next week, while still
hedging a bit for pops.

Little change was made for Monday/Monday night given model
spread, however, we did try to improve local winds given the mean
synoptic forecast. Changes consisted of GFS/ECMWF/WPC
Tuesday/Wednesday which led to a nudge to new WPC toward late next
week. Confidence is average.

&&

.MARINE...Cross Sound and Lynn Canal remain at small craft levels
through this morning. However, marine conditions become more
favorable through the day becoming light in many areas both over
the inner channels and gulf as a broad area of high pressure
builds. Tomorrow expect winds to gradually increase over the gulf
as the next weather front moves north.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...With shower activity winding down, area creeks,
streams, and rivers are generally falling. Exceptions are the
Situk River near Yakutat and area lakes. Still, all are well below
bankfull. And then there is Suicide Basin, which is continuing to
fill based on the latest webcam imagery. Next release date TBD.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ041.

&&

Fritsch/JWA

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.