Small Craft Advisory 113, NWS Juneau, AK

543 
FZAK51 PAJK 251359 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-260400-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE NE GULF COAST WILL TRACK SE ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE SAT. NORTH WINDS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE BEHIND THE LOW
BEFORE DIMINISHING SAT NIGHT AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
IN FROM THE WEST. 

$$

PKZ011-260400-
GLACIER BAY-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN AND SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-260400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. GUSTS 
TO 50 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-260400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. GUSTS 
TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-260400-
ICY STRAIT-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W OF POINT ADOLPHUS...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. E OF POINT ADOLPHUS...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 
FT. RAIN AND SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-260400-
CROSS SOUND-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-260400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-260400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-260400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 
FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR 
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-260400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 
FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-260400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 
FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-260400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
500 AM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

835 
FZAK51 PAJK 260013
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-261600-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTHEAST
THROUGH SUNDAY. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE OUTER COAST SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE SOUTHEAST. 

$$

PKZ011-261600-
GLACIER BAY-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING LIGHT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS THEN 3 FT LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-261600-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT 
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-261600-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-261600-
ICY STRAIT-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING LIGHT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING
TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-261600-
CROSS SOUND-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-261600-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT 
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-261600-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-261600-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. NEAR THE OCEAN ENTRANCE...SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES, SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-261600-
FREDERICK SOUND-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. OUT OF 
INTERIOR PASSES, GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE.
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS THEN 2 FT LATE. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-261600-
SUMNER STRAIT-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS THEN 2 FT LATE. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-261600-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
313 PM AKST SAT FEB 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
259 PM AKST Fri Feb 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...A marine layer of low clouds developed under the
ridge of high pressure over the gulf early this morning. These
clouds have spread into the coast and as of this afternoon have
pushed into the central inner channels to Juneau. Some places
along the outer coast even had some sprinkles or flurries out of
the marine layer. Due to the clouds, high temperatures have not
reached the mid to upper 30s as expected in places like Yakutat
and Gustavus. This will play a role in determining P-type with the
weather system moving in tonight. The far southern panhandle
remains clear this afternoon and the winds are light, so those
places will see temperatures fall quickly this evening before the
clouds move in.

A low pressure center will develop over the northern gulf near
Yakutat tonight then track SE across the panhandle through
Saturday morning. Models have been in good agreement with this
system the last several days, but forecaster confidence is lower
for P-type and snow amounts since there is some warmer air assoc
with it to start and because it is such a fast mover. Have most
places as a mix of rain and snow, but from Juneau north should see
more snow than rain. Amounts should be on the low end, around 1
inch since the duration will be fairly short, but some places
could see up to 3 inches. Once the precip moves south Saturday
morning, clouds should clear up fairly quickly and end up being a
fairly nice day (despite the north breeze).

Winds ahead of the low have already flipped to the south through
Lynn Canal. Expect those to increase to 20kt this evening as the
pressure packing increases with the low to the NW. There is
potential for some of the central inner channels to reach small
craft level out of the S-SE overnight, but as of right now only
have Cross Sound getting that high on the front end. After the low
moves through, there will be a sharp wind shift to the N with
winds increasing 25-30kt through all of the inside waters. This
was an increase of 5-10kt from the previous forecast. Land areas
will likely notice the sharp wind shift as well, but that will be
before most people wake up for the northern half of the panhandle.

Used mainly the NAM for updates to this forecast package, but most
changes were for local effects.

.LONG TERM...Quiet start to the beginning of the long range period.
Used the 12z NAM/ECMWF for updates to the forecast through day 4
then the latest WPC for the remainder of the forecast.

The northerly winds discussed above will rapidly diminish through
the night Saturday as the pressure gradient weakens. For Sunday,
expect a dry day with generally light winds but weak energy will
move over the area from the north. Increased cloud cover is the
only impact expected from this feature.

Then we turn our attention to what is shaping up to be a very
active weather week from late Monday onward for Southeast Alaska. A
potent northern stream trough will dig into the northern gulf
Monday afternoon. The upper low will cut off and lead to
strengthening surface low pressure in the northeast gulf. This will
set the stage for an overrunning snow event for much of the
panhandle. How this pattern evolves into mid and late week remains
in question as models are struggling with the phasing of the
northern and southern streams resulting in little run to run
consistency. The overall message is this pattern is favorable for
significant snow across portions of the area as well as below
normal temperatures. This timeframe will be closely monitored over
the coming days. Stay tuned...

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ041-042.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011>013-022-031>036-043-051-052.
&&

Ferrin/TPS

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