Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2017
Gale Warning 271, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 25, 2017, 6:54 PM AKST. It was in force for 33 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 25, 2017, 6:54 PM AKST (03:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 27, 2017, 3:44 AM AKST
- In force
- 33 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
515 FZAK51 PAJK 260354 AAA CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska...UPDATED National Weather Service Juneau AK 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 nm Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-261745- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A complex gale force low pressure system over the eastern Gulf of Alaska will continue to weaken tonight. Moderate high pressure over the Yukon will sustain storm force winds and freezing spray over the far northern inner channels through this evening. Another front will move into the eastern Gulf on Sun night. $$ PKZ011-261745- Glacier Bay- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray late. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray late. .MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ012-261745- Northern Lynn Canal- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-261745- Southern Lynn Canal- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .REST OF TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray late. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-261745- Icy Strait- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 45 kt near Point Couverden. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow with rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ022-261745- Cross Sound- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 6 ft. .MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. Snow. .TUE...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 12 ft or less. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ031-261745- Stephens Passage- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming SE late. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-261745- Northern Chatham Strait- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Strongest winds north of Freshwater Bay. Seas 6 ft. .SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE late. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-261745- Southern Chatham Strait- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 5 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Snow and rain late. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Snow. .MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ034-261745- Frederick Sound- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt in the evening. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Out of interior passes, gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ035-261745- Sumner Strait- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 5 ft near ocean entrances. Snow and rain late. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Snow. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ036-261745- Clarence Strait- 654 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017 UPDATED .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
4 follow-up statements
757 FZAK51 PAJK 261307 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 nm Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-270400- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... High pressure in the Yukon will slowly weaken through Sunday. Low pressure over Hecate Strait will move NE into British Columbia this afternoon. A front will move across the gulf from the west Sunday night then over the panhandle Monday. $$ PKZ011-270400- Glacier Bay- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray early. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray late. .MON...N wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ012-270400- Northern Lynn Canal- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-270400- Southern Lynn Canal- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray late. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-270400- Icy Strait- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ022-270400- Cross Sound- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow late. .MON...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow. .MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. Rain. .TUE...S wind 10 kt becoming E 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. .WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. $$ PKZ031-270400- Stephens Passage- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the late afternoon. Seas 6 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-270400- Northern Chatham Strait- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming SE 15 kt late. Seas 4 ft. Rain late. .MON...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-270400- Southern Chatham Strait- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Rain and snow late. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Snow in the morning. Rain. .MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ034-270400- Frederick Sound- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 4 ft. Rain late. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ035-270400- Sumner Strait- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .TODAY...NE wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ036-270400- Clarence Strait- 407 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow early in the morning. .TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE and increasing to 20 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .MON...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain in the morning. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
125 FZAK51 PAJK 270019 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 nm Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-271730- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A front will move across the gulf from the west Sunday night then over the panhandle Monday. Outlook. A gale force front will cross the eastern gulf on Tuesday night and move over the panhandle on Wednesday. $$ PKZ011-271730- Glacier Bay- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow late. .MON...N wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ012-271730- Northern Lynn Canal- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt around midnight. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-271730- Southern Lynn Canal- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow late. .MON...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Snow in the morning, then rain and snow in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-271730- Icy Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Point Couverden. Seas 5 ft. Snow late. .MON...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ022-271730- Cross Sound- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Snow late. .MON...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ031-271730- Stephens Passage- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. South of Taku Inlet, N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow late. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow in the morning mixing with rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-271730- Northern Chatham Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Snow late. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-271730- Southern Chatham Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Snow with rain late. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Rain and snow in the morning. .MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 12 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 13 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-271730- Frederick Sound- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow late. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow in the morning. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE late. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of interior passes. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-271730- Sumner Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow late. .MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow in the morning. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-271730- Clarence Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 4 ft. Rain late. .MON...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Rain in the morning. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N late. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of interior passes. Seas 7 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
647 FZAK51 PAJK 270130 CCA CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska...corrected National Weather Service Juneau AK 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 nm Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-271730- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A front will move across the gulf from the west Sunday night then over the panhandle Monday. Outlook. A gale force front will cross the eastern gulf on Tuesday night and move over the panhandle on Wednesday. $$ PKZ011-271730- Glacier Bay- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. Snow late. .MON...N wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ012-271730- Northern Lynn Canal- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt around midnight. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow with rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-271730- Southern Lynn Canal- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. Snow late. .MON...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Snow in the morning, then rain and snow in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-271730- Icy Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Point Couverden. Seas 5 ft. Snow late. .MON...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ022-271730- Cross Sound- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 30 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Snow late. .MON...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft. Snow in the morning. Rain. .MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. .TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain. .TUE NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ031-271730- Stephens Passage- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. South of Taku Inlet, N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow late. .MON...S wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow in the morning mixing with rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-271730- Northern Chatham Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 5 ft. Snow late. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-271730- Southern Chatham Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming SE. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Snow with rain late. .MON...S wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Rain and snow in the morning. .MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 12 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 13 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-271730- Frederick Sound- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow late. .MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow in the morning. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE late. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of interior passes. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-271730- Sumner Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt late. Gusts to 35 kt late. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow late. .MON...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 40 kt in the morning. Seas 4 ft. Rain and snow in the morning. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-271730- Clarence Strait- 319 PM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 4 ft. Rain late. .MON...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Rain in the morning. .MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming N late. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of interior passes. Seas 7 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
515 FZAK51 PAJK 271244 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast FOR Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to Cape Suckling out 100 nm Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-280345- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A front tracks over the panhandle Monday. A low will move over Haida Gwaii from the south Monday night then move into British Columbia. Outlook. A gale force front will cross the eastern gulf on Tuesday night and move over the panhandle on Wednesday. $$ PKZ011-280345- Glacier Bay- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow early in the morning, then snow showers and rain showers in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers and rain showers in the evening. .TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ012-280345- Northern Lynn Canal- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-280345- Southern Lynn Canal- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow early in the morning. Snow showers and rain showers in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 5 ft. .TUE...N wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-280345- Icy Strait- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 .TODAY...E wind 20 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. Snow early in the morning, then rain and snow showers in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...W wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ022-280345- Cross Sound- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 ...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E wind increasing to 35 kt in the morning, then diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. Snow early in the morning, then rain and snow showers in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. Rain showers in the evening. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft. S swell. .TUE NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain. .WED...SW wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 14 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ031-280345- Stephens Passage- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...Southern area, SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Northern area, NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NW late. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-280345- Northern Chatham Strait- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 .TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain early in the morning, then rain showers in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-280345- Southern Chatham Strait- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...S wind increasing to 25 kt in the morning, then diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain showers in the morning. .TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming NE late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 12 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 15 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-280345- Frederick Sound- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow early in the morning. .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE late. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-280345- Sumner Strait- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain early in the morning. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Snow showers in the morning. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-280345- Clarence Strait- 344 AM AKST Mon Nov 27 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt in the morning, then becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 6 ft. Rain early in the morning. .TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 25 late over southern areas. Seas 5 ft, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft, except 11 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 4 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 3 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 25, 3:20 PM AKST, 3 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 25, 3:20 PM AKST, 3 hours 34 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
320 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday...According to water vapor
satellite imagery, a weakening upper level trough extends over the
eastern gulf, and a deepening ridge extends over the western gulf,
with a strengthening shortwave digging east through the Aleutian
Islands. A strong jet can also be seen wrapping around the trough
over the eastern gulf, advecting moisture aloft from south of the
Haida Gwaii area. In addition, weak surface lows can be seen
rotating around each other in the associated upper level low, and
a strong high remains over British Columbia and extends into the
Yukon Territories. Due to this synoptic setup, outflow winds will
persist throughout most of the northern inner channels. We
upgraded Lynn Canal to Storm Warning this afternoon, as current
observations indicated as such. We expect the winds to remain this
strong through this evening and diminish through tonight. We also
have some lingering showers being reported across the panhandle.
This is due to the TROWAL associated with one of the lingering
surface lows lifting north that is supported by divergence aloft
from the left exit region of the jet that was mentioned
previously.
The main story for tonight and continuing into tomorrow is the
winds, as precipitation should be drying out through most
locations tonight. A shortwave will swing northeast into the
southern panhandle beginning tonight and lift northeast into
British Columbia tomorrow. This feature will help to tighten the
pressure gradient between the high that's already over Canada.
We've been monitoring high resolution model guidance, in addition
to current observations, for our wind analysis. These models have
been struggling with wind values through the inner channels, so
most of the local effects for wind throughout the inside waters
have been added manually. The Storm Warning will remain for Lynn
Canal through early this evening, but expect winds to diminish
overnight. High res models and mountain wave guidance also hinted
at a strong wind event for the downtown Juneau and Douglas area.
Forecast soundings for Juneau, mainly the GFS, also indicated
possible favorable conditions, so we opted to follow HRRR guidance
for timing and strength of the wind downtown; we're expecting
winds out of the northeast at 25 to 30 mph tonight and continuing
into tomorrow morning, with wind gusts to 45 mph.
On Monday, a weather front associated with a surface low
developing over the western gulf will lift northeast, increasing
winds along the offshore and eastern gulf marine zones. PoPs will
also increase along this front and bring more snow to the northern
two-thirds of the panhandle and rain over the far south once it
lifts north early Monday.
We opted to use a blend of GFS and EC for pressure adjustments and
opted for high res models and hand analysis for the winds over the
gulf and throughout the inner channels. A combination of the NAM,
GFS, and SREF was used for PoP updates.
Overall, forecast confidence in the short range is average,
trending below average due to model disagreement.
.LONG TERM...Rather different weather pattern for the Gulf of
Alaska and SE Alaska for the long range period compared to what we
have seen over the last few weeks. Mean 500 mb trough axis is
forecast to shift westward to be more over western Alaska and the
Bering Sea opening the door for warmer and wetter SW flow through
much of next week. Several shortwaves are embedded in the SW flow
pattern and promise to bring rather unsettled conditions through
late week at least.
Several new trends are apparent in the long range forecast today.
First off, the scenario of a weak low that was forecast yesterday
to advance on Cross Sound from the SW on Tue has been abandon in
favor of a stronger low crossing over Haida Gwaii late Mon night.
This has stabilized wind forecasts for the NE gulf and gulf coast
Tue with more general SW winds expected now, but has dropped
confidence on wind forecasts for the extreme southern panhandle
Mon night (due to some indications that guidance wants to put the
low even further SE and a wide spread on low strength). Used Nam
and some ECMWF to represent it as both had a decent track and
strength.
Second forecast trend is for a general increase in winds in many
areas Tue night into Wed. Several models are now suggesting a
rather vigorous front will travel east across the gulf at that
time with 20 kt (Canadian) to 35 kt (GFS) winds accompanying it.
Ended up increasing wind in the forecast with a wide area of 25 to
30 kt winds across the gulf. Winds also increased in the inner
channels to 15 to 25 kt especially for the southern panhandle.
Final trend is the general southerly flow and warm air advection
that will affect just about the entire panhandle. Warmest
temperatures appear mid week with many areas threatening to rise
above freezing by Wed. With these warmer temps snow level will be
rising above sea level and snow will be changing to rain for many
areas.
Main changes to the forecast were from Mon night through Wed with
changes in low position and strengthening fronts changing around
the wind forecast a bit. Main guidance was Nam with some ECMWF
followed by WPC guidance for later periods.
&&
.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from 9 PM AKST this evening through Sunday morning
for AKZ018-025.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ012.
Storm Warning for PKZ012-013.
Gale Warning for PKZ022-032-035-043-051-052.
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-021-031-034-041-042-053.
&&
Voveris/PRB
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 3:22 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 13 hr | |
| Nov 25, 3:23 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Nov 26, 3:54 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 26, 3:54 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 11 hr | |
| Nov 26, 4:07 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.