Gale Warning 263, NWS Juneau, AK

796 
FZAK52 PAJK 240014
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
314 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-241815-
314 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A weather front over the eastern gulf will move slowly NE across 
SE AK Thu night and Fri. The associated low pressure center will 
move to the southern gulf by Fri and rotate about the SE gulf 
through Sat. 

$$

PKZ041-241815-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
314 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the evening, then
diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas building to 12 ft. Rain in the 
evening, then rain showers late. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas
18 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-241815-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
314 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the evening,
diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas building to 11 ft. Rain in the 
evening, then rain showers late. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-241815-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
314 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017

...GALE WARNING LATE THIS EVENING AND FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt increasing to S 40 kt in the evening,
then diminishing late. Seas building to 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
14 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 45 kt. Gusts to 60 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain
showers. 
.SAT...E gale to 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-241815-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
314 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017

...GALE WARNING LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt. Seas building to 11 
ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 40 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of interior bays and 
passes. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt out of interior bays and 
passes. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-241815-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
314 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 35 kt late. Seas building to 10 
ft. Rain.
.FRI...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. SE swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SE swell. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft. 

$$

064 
FZAK52 PAJK 241245
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
345 AM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-250645-
345 AM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A complex gale force low pressure system over the eastern Gulf
of Alaska will persist through Sat. A moderate strength front
over the central panhandle Fri morning will dissipate Fri 
afternoon. High pressure will rebuild over the Yukon late Fri 
night and Sat. 

$$

PKZ041-250645-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
345 AM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 
17 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 18 ft.
Rain showers. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. SW swell. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt becoming SW. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-250645-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
345 AM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt increasing to SE 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-250645-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
345 AM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt in the afternoon. Higher
gusts out of Cross Sound. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-250645-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
345 AM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt. Higher gusts out of interior passes. Seas 
13 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Higher gusts out of interior passes. 
Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Higher gusts out of interior passes. Seas 13
ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-250645-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
345 AM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas building to 12 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

755 
FZAK52 PAJK 250025
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
325 PM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-251830-
325 PM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A complex gale force low pressure system over the eastern Gulf
of Alaska will slowly weaken through Sat. High pressure will 
rebuild over the Yukon late Fri night and Sat. 

$$

PKZ041-251830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
325 PM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain showers. Isolated
thunderstorms in the evening.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers in the
morning. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming N late. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-251830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
325 PM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 17 ft.
Rain showers. Isolated thunderstorms in the evening. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain
showers. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas
10 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-251830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
325 PM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain 
showers and isolated thunderstorms in the evening.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-251830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
325 PM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Gusts to 55 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-251830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
325 PM AKST Fri Nov 24 2017

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow.
.MON...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 18 ft. 

$$

537 
FZAK52 PAJK 251247
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-260700-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A complex gale force low pressure system over the eastern Gulf
of Alaska will slowly weaken today and tonight.  Moderate high
pressure will persist over the Yukon through tonight then weaken
on Sun. Another front will move into the eastern Gulf on Sun
night.  

$$

PKZ041-260700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain showers. Isolated 
thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming N late. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 20 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-260700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 19 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-260700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Isolated thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-260700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt this afternoon. Seas 
16 ft subsiding to 12 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell.
.SUN NIGHT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...S gale to 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-260700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
347 AM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming E 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. SW
swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E gale to 40 kt becoming S 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 18 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

335 
FZAK52 PAJK 260023
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
323 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-261830-
323 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A complex gale force low pressure system over the eastern Gulf
of Alaska will continue to weaken tonight. Moderate high pressure
over the Yukon will sustain storm force winds and freezing spray 
over the far northern inner channels through this evening. Another
front will move into the eastern Gulf on Sun night. 

$$

PKZ041-261830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
323 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 10 ft. SW swell in the
evening. 
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt late. Seas 9 ft.
Rain late. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-261830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
323 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow late. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. W swell. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 19 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-261830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
323 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt late. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE gale to 35 kt late.
Seas 8 ft. Rain late. 
.MON...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. W swell. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-261830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
323 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing late. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the morning. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow late. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. SW swell. Rain and
snow. 
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-261830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
323 PM AKST Sat Nov 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing late. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the morning. Snow
in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming E gale to 35 kt late. Seas
9 ft. Rain and snow late. 
.MON...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain and snow. 
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 18 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

232 
FZAK52 PAJK 261254
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
National Weather Service Juneau AK
354 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-270700-
354 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
High pressure in the Yukon will slowly weaken through Sunday.
Low pressure over Hecate Strait will move NE into British
Columbia this afternoon. A front will move across the gulf from 
the west Sunday night then over the panhandle Monday. 

$$

PKZ041-270700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
354 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding to 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt late. Seas building to 9
ft. W swell in the evening. Rain late. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. W swell. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-270700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
354 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas building to 9
ft. Rain late.
.MON...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. W swell. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-270700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
354 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt becoming variable 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Higher gusts out of Cross Sound in the morning. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE 25 kt late. Seas 8 ft. Rain 
late.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain in the morning. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. W swell. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-270700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
354 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft subsiding to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 6 ft. Rain 
late.
.MON...E wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. SW swell. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-270700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
354 AM AKST Sun Nov 26 2017

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt diminishing in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft 
subsiding to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas building
to 8 ft late. Rain late. 
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 17 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
1005 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017

.UPDATE...Precipitation type has again given us issues from Sitka
to Wrangell to Petersburg. Temperatures are way colder than
guidance for this region but guidance is indicating some warmer
air aloft that potentially could give us fits with freezing
liquid. However, calls to those communities including Kake reveal
none have reported a glaze tonight, just periodic wet snow, or
rain in the case of Sitka. Aside from the south central Panhandle,
we also made a quick early update to re- bottom temperatures a
bit lower given clearing skies near Haines and Skagway.

A new system will approach us on Thanksgiving Day. Initial lift
across the cold air dome will efficiently give us light snow
across much of the northern Panhandle, light rain for the south,
and a potential mix for the south-central areas as many feast with
friends, neighbors, and friends. We think snowfall amounts could
be around a couple of inches for much of the north-central
Panhandle including Juneau and Gustavus with lighter amounts due
to warming to the south and due to drier air to the north.

Thursday night, uncertainty rises among guidance solutions with
the amount of precipitation. Currently we favor the GFS and ECMWF
solutions, as both unite in positioning the low. Meanwhile, the
NAM seems to march too quickly toward shore. But of greatest
impact, is the NAM's enhancement of precipitation around Juneau
during frontal passage late Thursday night (wee hours Friday
morning). While we acknowledge this could occur and therefore
necessitate greater snow amounts in our forecast than our 3
inches, many variables like warming and the angle of frontal
advancement--as it aligns almost east-west at that time--may
inhibit both QPF as well as the fluffy factor (ie, how dry the
snow is and how much it compacts, or does not, when it
accumulates). For these reasons, we feel the lighter QPF of the
ECMWF and GFS equating to around 3 inches of wetter snow
particularly toward morning is our highest confidence forecast at
this time. Please stay tuned. We have issued a special weather
statement to alert the public for this uncertainty, as confidence
is not there for a winter storm watch. We will continue to
monitor trends that can hopefully supply more answers rather than
raise more questions.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION......ISSUED AT ...226 PM AKST WEDNESDAY

SHORT TERM.../Through Thursday night/ A weakening occluded front
over the central panhandle will dissipate by late tonight. Another
occluded front will move E into the central gulf Thu, then move NE
across the outer coast of SE AK Thu night. Other than some early
adjustments for this evening, did not make much change to the
overall forecast through Thu night.

One adjustment was to cancel the WWA for zone 25. The snow with
the occluded front has been on the meager side so far. While some
snow is still expected around the Juneau area this evening,
amounts will be less than 2 inches. Elsewhere, allowing the WWA
for zone 26 to expire at 4 PM this afternoon, as most of the
freezing rain threat should have ended by then.

Otherwise, precip should move out of the area tonight, but more
will move in for Thu and Thu night as next occluded front moves
in. There is also a shortwave trof preceding the front that will
bring precip to the area as well. Looking like it will be mostly
snow over the N third of the area, rain and snow over the central
third...and mainly rain over the S third. At this point, best
threat for WWA headlines will be in the N third of the area, but
confidence is not high enough to issue any attm. Currently keeping
snowfall amounts below advy levels for the N Thu and Thu night.

Northerly winds will pick up a bit over the N inner channels early
tonight, then drop off late tonight and Thu morning. They should
increase later The afternoon and evening. Looking like SCA level
winds at most for these areas. Also, SCA to gale force winds are
likely over the gulf Thu into Thu night ahead of the next occluded
front. Some of these stronger winds will get to the S inner
channels Thu night...with SCA level SE winds likely by then...as
occluded front moves onshore.

LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/ A weather front lying
across the Panhandle will support widespread precipitation Friday.
Temperatures across the central Panhandle will be marginally cold
enough for snow but confidence is only moderate. Even as warm air
lifts northward along the front, we think wet- bulb temperatures
should be lower than freezing. But given frontal orientation, we
are not considerate significant accumulations. Confidence is
higher for rain in the south. Very little changes were made in
winds during this time, as agreement continues to remain strong,
even as precipitation type is not as sure.

As the low pulls south, we are increasingly confident in a dry,
colder forecast. We lowered temperatures yet again for Saturday
and Sunday as outflow revs up again through the northern and
central Inner Channels. While currently we are only forecasting
gale force winds for northern Lynn Canal, it is conceivable these
may need to be expanded in coverage. We held back some of the
coldest air from some solutions as sky cover may continue to be
mainly cloudy due to a low to our southeast.

Leading into next week, we see some form of deeper onshore flow
returning along with a moderating temperature trend. This will
reintroduce precipitation type issues, but it is safe to say the
southern Panhandle and east and southeast gulf coast will return
to rain into the middle of the week while we forecasters continue
to debate and chase the ever impactful rain/snow line. As most
American students (and seasoned forecasters) will tell you, "When
in doubt, guess 'C.'" Our "C" stands for Wrangell to Peril
Strait, and this supplies a reasonable first guess. Forecast
during this time period continues to more strongly rely on
ensembles as evolution back to a wetter pattern highlights the
creative differences of our solutions. For all of these reasons,
forecast confidence drops next week.

RWT/JWA

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013.
     Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ041>043.

&&

JWA

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