Gale Warning 22, NWS Juneau, AK

257 
FZAK52 PAJK 131215
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
315 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-140100-
315 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE SW FRI
INTO FRI NIGHT THEN WEAKENS ON SAT. A SERIES OF STORMS WILL
IMPACT THE GULF AND INNER CHANNELS THROUGH NEXT WEEK. 

$$

PKZ041-140100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
315 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-140100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
315 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-140100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
315 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT
BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-140100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
315 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ052-140100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
315 AM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL
LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT.

$$

148 
FZAK52 PAJK 140036
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-141845-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE ON SAT WHILE WEAKENING. A
SERIES OF STORMS WILL IMPACT THE GULF AND INNER CHANNELS THROUGH
NEXT WEEK. 

$$

PKZ041-141845-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-141845-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-141845-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT THIS EVENING. GUSTS
TO 60 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO
15 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-141845-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-141845-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
336 PM AKST FRI JAN 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS
18 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO
13 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

006 
FZAK52 PAJK 141209
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
309 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-150100-
309 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY WHILE WEAKENING.
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY
EVENING. 

$$

PKZ041-150100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
309 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 19 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-150100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
309 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 21 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-150100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
309 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-150100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
309 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 23
FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-150100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
309 AM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E GALE TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

020 
FZAK52 PAJK 150019
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
319 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-151830-
319 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY
EVENING. 

$$

PKZ041-151830-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
319 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-151830-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
319 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-151830-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
319 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-151830-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
319 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE
TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. S SWELL. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-151830-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
319 PM AKST SAT JAN 14 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SW SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO
35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

020 
FZAK52 PAJK 151236
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
336 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-160100-
336 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY
EVENING CROSSING OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH MONDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-160100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
336 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 65
KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 24 FT. SW SWELL IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-160100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
336 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 65
KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-160100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
336 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 65 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 65
KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-160100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
336 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 60 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
65 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 21 FT. S SWELL. 
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ052-160100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
336 AM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
549 AM AKST Thu Jan 12 2017

.SHORT TERM...Multiple changes made to previous forecast due to
latest model guidance and overnight observations. Changes were
most notable in temps, precip type, snow amounts and winds
today/tonight. The NAM and Hi- res NMM were the models of choice.

Synoptically the most important features for Southeast Alaska over
the next 24 hours will be a weak low over the northern gulf,
sharpening surface ridge through the inner channels, and a gale
force front moving into the east central gulf late tonight. That
front will be covered more in the long term section.

Increasing low level southerly flow has led to moderating
temperatures overnight panhandle wide. This will continue through
the morning as flow continues to increase from the south. Before
it does so, some light snow accumulation is possible as the
boundary layer moisture continues to deepen. Unfortunately for
snow lovers, the southerly flow is going to win out with most sea
level locations transitioning over to rain by early afternoon. It
will take a bit longer in Haines and Skagway but the sharpening
ridge will increase winds in those areas later in the afternoon.
Some snow will linger in areas such as the Mendenhall Valley and
Petersburg through the afternoon. Based upon all of this,
precipitation was transitioned over to rain quicker and snow
amounts were significantly reduced in this forecast package.

Strong southerly winds will progress northward as the surface
ridge sharpens over the panhandle through the day and into
tonight. Winds were increased 5-10 kt in many of the inner
channels and over several land areas. Expect small craft
conditions to develop this afternoon in Lynn Canal and Stephens
Passage. Southwesterly gusts will increase to 40-45 mph in
Skagway late in the afternoon/early evening and persist through
late tonight.

As mentioned above, temperatures have risen overnight and will
continue to do so. Thursday afternoon highs were raised 3-5
degrees in many areas especially over the northern and central
panhandle. Lows for Thursday night/Friday morning were also
raised 5-10 degrees as we expect them to remain steady from the
afternoon highs with persistent southerly flow.

.LONG TERM...Rather active weather pattern through the long
range. Series of strong low pressure systems move in to the AK
gulf following similar tracks. These system bring in strong winds
and heavy rain. Warming trend continues through the weekend
keeping precip mostly as rain at lower elevations before potential
transition back to cooler temps mid week.

Kept with the trend to increase winds for the Friday system with
associated gale force front. As the parent low tracks
northeastward into the Yukon strong southerly flow continues into
Saturday. For now held off on the wide spread gales for the inner
channels but there is the potential. If MOS guidance is correct,
which is sometimes is, temperatures will be steady or have a
slight increase into Saturday. Getting min and max temps in the
upper 30s to low 40s for almost all of the panhandle from the
southerly flow. Large fetch of tropical moisture seen in model
sounding deep saturated layer so expect heavy rain, especially
along the coast. Backed off on snow at lower elevations with the
warmer air mass but have possible snow amounts of 6 to 12 inches
along the Haines and Klondike highways and a winter weather watch
From Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. Just wasn't getting
snow amounts near Hyder to keep them in the winter weather watch,
but still expect a few inches of accumulation.

Next system moves into the western gulf Sunday with its gale
force front reaching the eastern gulf Sunday night into Monday.
Brief break in weather over the panhandle between these two
systems. Since models still show large spread and run to run
differences held off on making wholesale changes to the later
grids. Yet another low moves in mid week, and if it has a more
southerly track could have a shift in winds to more northerly and
a drop in temps. But more indication that it will follow a
similar northeasterly track to the previous lows.

Used a blend of NAM and Hi res NAM initially to refresh grids.
Slight increase to winds but main changes was to bump up temps and
snow levels due to new model data incorporating the south flow.
Later periods decided to use the ECMWF since GFS, while close in
position, was on the stronger side. Expect day 4 forecast and
beyond to have even more changes with the next packages once
models begin to fall in line. Forecast confidence is low due as
models continue shift run to run.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Winter Storm Watch from Friday afternoon through Saturday
     morning for AKZ018-019.
     Strong Wind from this evening through late tonight for AKZ018.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-031-041>043-051-052.
&&

TPS/PRB

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