Gale Warning 148, NWS Juneau, AK

097 
FZAK51 PAJK 020741 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-021601-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE FAR NORTHERN GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE THE
NORTHEAST GULF COAST MON EVENING. A STORM FORCE LOW  WILL MOVE
NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF ON TUE, THEN DRIFT INTO THE
NORTHWEST GULF WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING WED. 

$$

PKZ011-021601-
GLACIER BAY-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-021601-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ013-021601-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-021601-
ICY STRAIT-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-021601-
CROSS SOUND-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NE 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-021601-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-021601-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-021601-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES, SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN 
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT
OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-021601-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-021601-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES, SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN 
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-021601-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1145 PM AKDT MON MAY 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS
THEN 3 FT LATE. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

159 
FZAK51 PAJK 021226
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-030230-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF ON
TUE. AS A RESULT GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE
EASTERN GULF INTO WED ALONG WITH HIGH SEAS. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL PASS OVER THE PANHANDLE TUE NIGHT. THE LOW WILL DRIFT INTO 
THE NORTHWEST GULF WED, THEN LINGER THERE AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. 

$$

PKZ011-030230-
GLACIER BAY-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-030230-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING
TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ013-030230-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT 
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-030230-
ICY STRAIT-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-030230-
CROSS SOUND-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING W 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-030230-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE IN THE MORNING, THEN 
INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS 
TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-030230-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE MORNING, THEN 
INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-030230-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING 
SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT NEAR THE OCEAN 
ENTRANCE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES, SEAS 
6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT
NEAR THE OCEAN ENTRANCE. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN 
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-030230-
FREDERICK SOUND-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 45 
KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-030230-
SUMNER STRAIT-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES,
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN 
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-030230-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
426 AM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE 
MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

487 
FZAK51 PAJK 022329
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031600-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STORM FORCE LOW HAS MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL GULF. GALE TO STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL EFFECT THE EASTERN GULF INTO WED ALONG WITH HIGH
SEAS. THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAS BEGUN TO PASS OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THE LOW WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST WED WHERE IT WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN.

$$

PKZ011-031600-
GLACIER BAY-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN LATE. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-031600-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN LATE. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS THEN
2 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-031600-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN LATE. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-031600-
ICY STRAIT-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING, THEN RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-031600-
CROSS SOUND-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING W 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-031600-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-031600-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-031600-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-031600-
FREDERICK SOUND-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-031600-
SUMNER STRAIT-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 4 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-031600-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
329 PM AKDT TUE MAY 2 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

941 
FZAK51 PAJK 031128
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-040315-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
THE STRONG LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST TODAY
WHERE IT WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN. GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN
GULF WILL WEAKEN INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. HIGH SEAS WILL LAST
LATE INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE SUBSIDING.  

$$

PKZ011-040315-
GLACIER BAY-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-040315-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS THEN
2 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-040315-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-040315-
ICY STRAIT-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-040315-
CROSS SOUND-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. 
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-040315-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-040315-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-040315-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-040315-
FREDERICK SOUND-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-040315-
SUMNER STRAIT-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES, SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-040315-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
328 AM AKDT WED MAY 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion...Corrected
National Weather Service Juneau AK
257 PM AKDT Mon May 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A weather front over the far northern gulf will move
onshore the northeast gulf coast Mon evening. A storm force low
will move north into the southern gulf on Tue, then drift into the
northwest gulf while slowly weakening Wed.

&&

.SHORT TERM...We increased the expanse of strong, gusty winds
through the Panhandle from Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night
and have added headlines advising of these winds into the third
period. Aside from Pelican to Sitka to Hydaburg, we have expanded
into Ketchikan, Metlakatla, Thorne Bay, Kake, Wrangell, Juneau,
and Yakutat through the night. The higher resolution NAM fell in
line close enough with other models' positioning of the low to be
able to use as a guide.

We also warmed temperatures for Tuesday night. Mixing and warm air
advection from a marine and very saturated air mass should aid in
keeping temperatures very mild overnight.

Local patchy fog and some clearing late tonight from the southern
Panhandle still looks likely.

Most changes were reserved for Tuesday/Tuesday night. The
NAM/NAMDNG5 along with some help from the ECMWF was used for
guidance on changes.

.LONG TERM.../Wed night through Mon night/ as of 1030 PM Sunday /
Somewhat quieter weather pattern in the works as a strong upper
level trough over the gulf with an embedded upper low stays
relatively stationary through Fri. During this period it will
acquire an increasingly negative tilt. The trough will then get
split in two and push east on Sat as a new ridge with a strong
trough behind it advances from the W. The ridge proves to be very
transient as it quickly moves into Canada and the trough behind it
sets up shop over the gulf by early next week.

At the surface, the strong low from Tue remains mostly stationary
under the barely moving upper trough in the western gulf through
Thu night. During that time period it will weaken nearly 25 mb as
it is cut off from its upper level support by this point. Still
long range models are vary agreeable on gale force winds
persisting around it into Wed night with 25 kt or higher winds
lasting into Thu. Increased winds in the gulf as a result. Most of
these winds expected to remain well offshore so most areas of the
panhandle will see lighter winds during this time. As for precip,
onshore flow behind the front will keep the panhandle fairly wet
into Wed night. However, the increasing negative tilt of the
upper trough will cause surface flow to turn more easterly through
Thu gradually shutting off the precip.

Farther out, long range models are in rather good agreement for a
somewhat drier forecast for the late week period and into the
weekend. Favored WPC for updates. Building ridge over the gulf
Fri into Sat will help dry things out especially over the north.
It will also help keep a weak low coming up from the south mainly
over British Columbia on Fri. Southern panhandle may see some rain
out of it but most of the moisture stream is expected to stay in
BC. Next system not expected until the late weekend as a front
coming from the west, but here models start to differ on timing.
Elected to keep pops at a chance to account for the timing
differences.

&&

.AVIATION...Areas of MVFR ceilings are occurring with weak
onshore flow and weak front moving in. May get occasional IFR
ceilings and vsbys this evening at PAYA. Am expecting the clouds
to lift from S to N tonight and Tue morning as low level backs to
a more offshore direction. Think some fog will occur over southern
TAF sites late tonight, with potential IFR ceilings/vsbys
especially at PAPG. Increasing winds aloft ahead of approaching
front Tue will induce wind shear especially over the south.
Ceilings/vsbys should be VFR from late Tue morning through 00z.
Later TAFS will likely have lower conditions move in along with
stronger low level winds/wind shear for Tue night.

&&

.MARINE...Gale to storm force winds of 35 to 50 kts still look
good for the big system moving into the central gulf Tuesday and
Tuesday night. No changes were made for the Gulf of Alaska. Some
winds were increased through the Inside channels particularly
Tuesday afternoon/night.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...With a little more southeasterly gradient in the
steering flow of low level moisture, and with models lessening
rainfall amounts, we did decrease the forecast from 0.5 to 1 inch,
mainly during a 6 to 9 hour time frame from Tuesday afternoon
through evening. Once the front passes, rain rates should diminish.
We expect some stream rises, but nothing significant during this
early part of the season and plenty of snow locked in the mountains.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from Tuesday evening through late Tuesday night
for      AKZ026.
     Strong Wind from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening for
     AKZ027.
     Strong Wind from Tuesday evening through late Tuesday night for
     AKZ025.
     Strong Wind from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday night
     for AKZ021-022.
     Strong Wind from Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday evening for
     AKZ023.
     Strong Wind from Tuesday evening through late Tuesday night for
     AKZ017.
     Strong Wind Tuesday evening for AKZ028.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ022-041>043-051-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-033-036-053.

&&

JWA/EAL

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