Alert archive / Alaska / Wind Chill Advisories in 2017

Wind Chill Advisory 5, NWS Fairbanks, AK

January 15, 2017

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 15, 2017, 3:03 PM AKST. It was in force for 63 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2017, 3:03 PM AKST (00:03 UTC)
Expired
Jan 18, 2017, 5:33 AM AKST
In force
63 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

918 
WWAK42 PAFG 160003
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
303 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

AKZ207-160900-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.170116T0003Z-170116T0900Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING POINT HOPE, SHISHMAREF, KIVALINA, AND ESPENBERG
303 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* TIMING...LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AS WINDS DIMINISH AFTER
  MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING IN
  FROSTBITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ210-160900-
/O.NEW.PAFG.WC.Y.0006.170116T1500Z-170117T0300Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING BUCKLAND, DEERING, CANDLE, COUNCIL, HAYCOCK, 
PILGRIM SPRINGS, SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS, AND TAYLOR
303 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKST 
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKST MONDAY. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY MORNING CREATING LOW WIND
  CHILL VALUES THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
  MONDAY EVENING AS WINDS DIMINISH.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING IN
  FROSTBITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
944 
WWAK42 PAFG 160726
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

AKZ207-170000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170117T1500Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING POINT HOPE, SHISHMAREF, KIVALINA, AND ESPENBERG
1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...NORTH OF CAPE KRUSENSTERN.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* TIMING...THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF MODERATING WIND CHILLS
  BETWEEN 20 TO 30 BELOW OVERNIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WIND
  CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AS LOW AS 45 BELOW FROM LATE
  TOMORROW AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT AS WINDS INCREASE AGAIN.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ210-170000-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0006.170116T1500Z-170117T0300Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING BUCKLAND, DEERING, CANDLE, COUNCIL, HAYCOCK, 
PILGRIM SPRINGS, SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS, AND TAYLOR
1026 PM AKST SUN JAN 15 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKST 
MONDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY MORNING CREATING LOW WIND 
  CHILL VALUES THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE 
  MONDAY EVENING AS WINDS DIMINISH. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$
139 
WWAK42 PAFG 161307
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
407 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

AKZ210-161415-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0006.170116T1500Z-170117T0300Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING BUCKLAND, DEERING, CANDLE, COUNCIL, HAYCOCK, 
PILGRIM SPRINGS, SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS, AND TAYLOR
407 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 


$$

AKZ208-170000-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.170116T1800Z-170118T0300Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING NOATAK, KIANA, AND RED DOG MINE
407 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM 
AKST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM AKST
TUESDAY. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* WINDS...NORTH WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45
  MPH. STRONGEST WINDS MONDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AS LOW AS 45 BELOW
  BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
  MORNING.


* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ217-170000-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T0000Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING AMBLER, SHUNGNAK, AND KOBUK
407 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM AKST TUESDAY. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS DEVELOPING TO 50 MPH
  MONDAY EVENING.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AS LOW AS 45 BELOW
  BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ207-170000-
/O.CON.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170117T1500Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING POINT HOPE, SHISHMAREF, KIVALINA, AND ESPENBERG
407 AM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST 
TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS DEVELOPING TO 50 MPH
  MONDAY EVENING.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AS LOW AS 45 BELOW
  BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$
677 
WWAK42 PAFG 162136
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1236 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

AKZ208-162245-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T0300Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING NOATAK, KIANA, AND RED DOG MINE
1236 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 



$$

AKZ217-162245-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T0000Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING AMBLER, SHUNGNAK, AND KOBUK
1236 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 



$$

AKZ207-171500-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T0300Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING POINT HOPE, SHISHMAREF, KIVALINA, AND ESPENBERG
1236 PM AKST MON JAN 16 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM AKST TUESDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...40 TO 45 BELOW.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. 

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AS LOW AS 45 BELOW
  BEGINNING MONDAY EARLY MONDAY EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH
  EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$
498 
WWAK42 PAFG 171300
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

AKZ208-180000-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING NOATAK, KIANA, AND RED DOG MINE
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...NORTH OF NOATAK.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 50 BELOW. 

* TIMING...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
  WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS SEVERE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WINDS 
  DECREASE. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ217-180000-
/O.EXB.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING AMBLER, SHUNGNAK, AND KOBUK
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...NORTH OF AMBLER.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 50 BELOW. 

* TIMING...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
  WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS SEVERE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WINDS 
  DECREASE. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ207-180000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING POINT HOPE, SHISHMAREF, KIVALINA, AND ESPENBERG
400 AM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST 
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...FROM KIVALINA NORTH. 

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 50 BELOW. 

* TIMING...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT.
  WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS SEVERE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS WINDS 
  DECREASE. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$
468 
WWAK42 PAFG 172255
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
155 PM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

AKZ207-181500-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T1500Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING POINT HOPE, SHISHMAREF, KIVALINA, AND ESPENBERG
155 PM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST 
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...FROM KIVALINA NORTH.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 50 BELOW.

* TIMING...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  MORNING. WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS SEVERE TOWARD WEDNESDAY
  MORNING AS WINDS DECREASE. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ208-181500-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T1500Z/
LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING NOATAK, KIANA, AND RED DOG MINE
155 PM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST 
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...NORTH OF NOATAK.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 50 BELOW.

* TIMING...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
  WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS SEVERE TOWARD WEDNESDAY MORNING AS
  WINDS DECREASE. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$

AKZ217-181500-
/O.EXT.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T1500Z/
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING AMBLER, SHUNGNAK, AND KOBUK
155 PM AKST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKST 
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...NORTH OF AMBLER.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...TO 50 BELOW.

* TIMING...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE
  TONIGHT. WIND CHILLS WILL BECOME LESS SEVERE TOWARD WEDNESDAY
  MORNING AS WINDS DECREASE. 

* IMPACTS...EXPOSED FLESH WILL FREEZE IN A SHORT TIME RESULTING 
  IN FROSTBITE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOW WIND CHILLS WITH SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS OF 15 MPH OR MORE ARE OCCURRING OR EXPECTED. IF
OUTDOORS...COVER EXPOSED SKIN TO PREVENT FROSTBITE.

&&

$$
045 
WWAK42 PAFG 181433
WSWWCZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
533 AM AKST WED JAN 18 2017

AKZ207-208-217-181545-
/O.CAN.PAFG.WC.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-170118T1500Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
INCLUDING POINT HOPE, SHISHMAREF, KIVALINA, ESPENBERG, NOATAK, 
KIANA, RED DOG MINE, AMBLER, SHUNGNAK, AND KOBUK
533 AM AKST WED JAN 18 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY. 

WINDS HAVE DECREASED MAKING WIND CHILLS LESS SEVERE, BUT AIR TEMPERATURES
REMAIN VERY COLD. 


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 15, 12:25 PM AKST, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 12:25 PM AKST, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1225 PM AKST Sun Jan 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
What a difference cloud cover makes in an arctic air mass, about
a 40 degree difference in Fairbanks as light snow and clouds and 5
degrees above yesterday departed overnight leaving mostly clear
skies and a balmy 35 below this morning. Fortunately more clouds
and snow are on the way for the central and eastern interior and
will bring a short reprieve to the cold temperatures before
clearing skies bring back more cold temperatures this later this week.

The 12z model suite initialized well against the 12z analysis and
verified well against the 18z analysis. Model spread is minimal
in the short and mid range and is reasonable in the extended
range. Subtle differences in timing and position of cloud cover
and light snow will have large impacts on local temperatures with
low confidence on temperatures beyond 24 to 36 hours based on poor
performance of model timing on shortwave features moving clouds
in and out of a particular area. Long range models continue to
indicate the cold air mass remaining over interior Alaska through
next weekend.

Aloft at 500 HPA the very cold long wave trough with a 490 DAM
anchoring low over the central Brooks Range with axis from
Demarcation Point to Nunivak Island remains in place through
Monday and then realigns with another cold low dropping south
through the Bering Strait and reinforces the cold air over the
western interior as the anchoring low over the central Brooks
Range pulls north and east to be near Banks Island Monday. Slight
warming aloft pushes into the southeast interior as weak ridging
occurs ahead of the upper level low dropping south of the the high
arctic with 1000 to 500 mb thickness values rising above 500 DM
at Fairbanks Monday and then dropping to around 492 DM to 486 DM
Wednesday and Thursday. The cold airmass remains over central
Alaska with 1000 to 500 mb thickness values around 492 and 850 mb
temperatures around 30 below through the end of the week. This is
a very cold air mass and temperatures will drop rapidly with any
prolonged period of clearing skies and will rise dramatically with
clouds moving into an area.

On the surface a 965 mb low near 55N and 150W will continue to
move north and east and will be located near Prince William Sound
Monday morning as a 968 mb low. A front moving north and west
around the low moves into the southeast interior tonight and into
the central interior Monday and will bring advisory level snow
over the fortymile country and eastern Alaska Range beginning
tonight and continuing through Monday. Light snow will move west
of Fairbanks to near Tanana and Bettles where 1 to 4 inches of
snow is expected and will be heaviest just east of Fairbanks. As
the low moves into the southern Yukon light snow will move north
into the eastern Brooks Range Monday night and Tuesday and the
eastern north slope Tuesday. Skies begin to scatter out Wednesday
over the southern interior and combined with light winds will
provide for strong radiational cooling and will likely take
temperatures into the 40s below Wednesday, Thursday and Friday
over the interior.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ204-AKZ213.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ210.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ210.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ245.
&&

CCC JAN 17

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 3:03 PM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFG13 hr
Jan 15, 11:08 PM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFG3 days
Jan 16, 3:35 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG12 hr
Jan 16, 3:35 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG24 hr
Jan 16, 4:20 AM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAFG9 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Advisories in Alaska, 2017Every wind chill advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.