Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2017
Gale Warning 138, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 19, 2017, 2:48 PM AKST. It was in force for 4 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 19, 2017, 2:48 PM AKST (23:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 23, 2017, 1:58 PM AKST
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
945 FZAK52 PAFG 192348 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-201515- 248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A Strong low in the Sea of Okhotsk will move to just west of Anadyr as a 978 mb low by 3pm Mon, and to the southern Chukchi Sea as a 975 mb low by 3pm Tue. $$ PKZ200-201515- Norton Sound- 248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 .TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...S winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...W winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-201515- Dall Point to Wales- 248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt. Seas 14 ft subsiding to 9 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...W winds 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ215-201515- Kotzebue Sound- 248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 .TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft subsiding. .MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ220-201515- Wales to Cape Thompson- 248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 .TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt becoming E. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .MON NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...W winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ Nov 17
9 follow-up statements
363 FZAK52 PAFG 201351 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 451 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-210300- 451 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... High pressure S of the Bering Strait will move SE. A 986 mb low near the Kamchatka Peninsula moves to the Gulf of Anadyr this evening at 973 mb, and into the Central Chukchi Sea by Tue afternoon at 970 mb. The associated weather front will move to St Lawrence Island this evening, and to the West Coast tonight, then into mainland Alaska. A tight pressure gradient around the low will produce strong winds across the area Tue and Tue night. $$ PKZ200-210300- Norton Sound- 451 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE winds 10 kt becoming S. Seas building to 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-210300- Dall Point to Wales- 451 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...S winds 25 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 12 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...S winds 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...W winds 40 kt. Seas 26 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 20 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED...S winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. .FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ215-210300- Kotzebue Sound- 451 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 1 foot. .FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas calm. $$ PKZ220-210300- Wales to Cape Thompson- 451 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...S winds 15 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SE winds 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. $$ SDB Nov 17
292 FZAK52 PAFG 202345 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 245 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-211500- 245 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... High pressure S of the Bering Strait will move SE. A 986 mb low near the Kamchatka Peninsula moves to the Gulf of Anadyr this evening at 973 mb, and into the Central Chukchi Sea by Tue afternoon at 970 mb. The associated weather front will move to St Lawrence Island this evening, and to the West Coast tonight, then into mainland Alaska. $$ PKZ200-211500- Norton Sound- 245 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt becoming S 40 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ210-211500- Dall Point to Wales- 245 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S winds 45 kt becoming W. Seas 15 ft building to 23 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...W winds 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED...S winds 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain with snow. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. .SAT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. $$ PKZ215-211500- Kotzebue Sound- 245 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt increasing to 45 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas calm. .FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas calm. .SAT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas calm. $$ PKZ220-211500- Wales to Cape Thompson- 245 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...SW winds 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...W winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SAT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ Nov 17
799 FZAK52 PAFG 211321 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 421 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-220300- 421 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 969 mb low in the western Chukchi Sea will move to 100 nm W of Wainwright and become stationary through Fri. Weak high pressure will move over the eastern Bering Sea this afternoon, then move inland tonight. A 999 mb low in the N Pacific will move to the Central Bering Sea by Wed morning at 978 mb, then over the SW mainland by Wed evening at 967 mb, then moves SE. $$ PKZ200-220300- Norton Sound- 421 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...S winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ210-220300- Dall Point to Wales- 421 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...W winds 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow and rain. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...S winds 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ PKZ215-220300- Kotzebue Sound- 421 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SE winds 45 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SW winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ220-220300- Wales to Cape Thompson- 421 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...S winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...SW winds 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...W winds 40 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...SE winds 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. $$ SDB Nov 17
447 FZAK52 PAFG 212246 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 146 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-221515- 146 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 969 mb low in the western Chukchi Sea will move to 100 nm W of Wainwright and become stationary through Fri. Weak high pressure will move over the eastern Bering Sea this afternoon, then move inland tonight. A 999 mb low in the N Pacific will move to the Central Bering Sea by Wed morning at 978 mb, then over the SW mainland by Wed evening at 967 mb, then moves SE. $$ PKZ200-221515- Norton Sound- 146 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...S winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-221515- Dall Point to Wales- 146 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 50 kt decreasing to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...E winds 45 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow and rain. Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Blowing snow. Rain. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...S winds 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN...W winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ215-221515- Kotzebue Sound- 146 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. .THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ220-221515- Wales to Cape Thompson- 146 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...W winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ Nov 17
414 FZAK52 PAFG 220404 AAA CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska...UPDATED National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 704 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-221530- 704 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 969 mb low in the western Chukchi Sea will move to 100 nm W of Wainwright and become stationary through Fri. Weak high pressure will move over the eastern Bering Sea this afternoon, then move inland tonight. A 999 mb low in the N Pacific will move to the Central Bering Sea by Wed morning at 978 mb, then over the SW mainland by Wed evening at 967 mb, then moves SE. $$ PKZ200-221530- Norton Sound- 704 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 45 kt decreasing to 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy Freezing spray. .WED...S winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...S winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SUN...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-221530- Dall Point to Wales- 704 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 45 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy Freezing spray. .WED...E winds 45 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy Freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. Rain. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...S winds 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN...W winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ215-221530- Kotzebue Sound- 704 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW winds 40 kt becoming W 30 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy Freezing Spray. .WED...SW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy Freezing Spray. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. .THU...W winds 20 kt. .THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. .FRI...NW winds 20 kt. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. .SAT...SE winds 40 kt. .SUN...SW winds 20 kt. $$ PKZ220-221530- Wales to Cape Thompson- 704 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 45 kt. Seas 17 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...W winds 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 50 kt. Seas 15 ft. .SUN...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ CCC Nov 17
870 FZAK52 PAFG 221309 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 409 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-230300- 409 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 980 mb 100 nm NW of Point Lay will become stationary as it weakens through tonight, then moves slowly E. A 976 mb low will move S of St Matthew Island to Nunivak Island this evening at 969 mb. Weak ridging will extend from Chukotka over Kotzebue Sound this afternoon sliding S over the Eastern Bering Sea tonight. Ridging from a 1040 mb high in the N Pacific will extend N over the Chukchi Sea by Fri morning. $$ PKZ200-230300- Norton Sound- 409 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SW winds 25 kt becoming SE 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...W winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ210-230300- Dall Point to Wales- 409 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SE winds 25 kt becoming E 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SUN...W winds 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. $$ PKZ215-230300- Kotzebue Sound- 409 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 .TODAY...W winds 30 kt becoming S 15 kt. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. .TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. .THU...W winds 15 kt. .THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. .FRI...NW winds 20 kt. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. .SAT...E winds 25 kt. .SUN...SW winds 20 kt. $$ PKZ220-230300- Wales to Cape Thompson- 409 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...W winds 40 kt decreasing to 30 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. .SUN...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ SDB Nov 17
553 FZAK52 PAFG 222343 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 243 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-231515- 243 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... 980 mb low over the Chukchi sea will track near Barrow and weaken to 991 mb by Thursday evening. A strong 968 mb low near Nunivak island will quickly track south across the Aleutians Thursday morning. Another low pressure system will move into the Western Bering on Saturday. $$ PKZ200-231515- Norton Sound- 243 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...W winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .MON...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ PKZ210-231515- Dall Point to Wales- 243 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...NE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...W winds 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. .MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ215-231515- Kotzebue Sound- 243 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 .TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. .THU...W winds 15 kt. .THU NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. Snow showers. .FRI...W winds 20 kt. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. .SAT...SE winds 25 kt. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. .SUN...SW winds 20 kt. .MON...N winds 20 kt. $$ PKZ220-231515- Wales to Cape Thompson- 243 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .THU...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. $$ Nov 17
636 FZAK52 PAFG 231331 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 431 AM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-240300- 431 AM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A ridge of high pressure with a 1013 mb center near the Bering Strait will remain over the area. The high center builds to 1026 mb by Fri morning then moves SE Friday. A weather front associated with a 990 mb low near the Gulf of Anadyr moves to the Eastern Bering Sea, Bering Strait, and Chukchi Sea Fri night. The front will move over the West Coast by Sat afternoon, then north and east into the Arctic by Sun morning. $$ PKZ200-240300- Norton Sound- 431 AM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N winds 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-240300- Dall Point to Wales- 431 AM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...NW winds 35 kt. Strongest winds W of St Lawrence Island. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. .MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ215-240300- Kotzebue Sound- 431 AM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TODAY...W winds 15 kt. .TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt increasing to 25 kt. Freezing fog. Snow showers. .FRI...W winds 20 kt. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. .SAT...SE winds 25 kt. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. .SUN...E winds 20 kt. .MON...E winds 5 kt. $$ PKZ220-240300- Wales to Cape Thompson- 431 AM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ SDB Nov 17
003 FZAK52 PAFG 232258 CWFWCZ Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 158 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ299-241515- 158 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A ridge of high pressure with a 1013 mb center near the Bering Strait will remain over the area. The high center builds to 1026 mb by Fri morning then moves SE Friday. A weather front associated with a 990 mb low near the Gulf of Anadyr moves to the Eastern Bering Sea, Bering Strait, and Chukchi Sea Fri night. The front will move over the West Coast by Sat afternoon, then north and east into the Arctic by Sun morning. $$ PKZ200-241515- Norton Sound- 158 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .TUE...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ210-241515- Dall Point to Wales- 158 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing rain. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .TUE...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. $$ PKZ215-241515- Kotzebue Sound- 158 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Snow showers. .FRI...NW winds 20 kt. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. .SAT...E winds 25 kt. .SAT NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. .SUN...E winds 20 kt. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. .MON...E winds 5 kt. .TUE...NE winds 10 kt. $$ PKZ220-241515- Wales to Cape Thompson- 158 PM AKST Thu Nov 23 2017 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .SAT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. $$ Nov 17
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 19, 6:59 AM AKST, 7 hours 49 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 19, 6:59 AM AKST, 7 hours 49 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 659 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 FXAK69 PAFG 191559 AFDAFG Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 659 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Aloft... A long wave pattern consisting of a ridge over the Bering Sea and West Coast of Alaska with a trough over NW Canada and Eastern Alaska will persist through the week. A series of strong short wave troughs will move through the ridge and into the West Coast of Alaska every 2 days or so keeping the very stormy pattern through the week. The West Coast and Western Interior and Arctic can expect strong winds, heavy snow, possible blizzards and possible coastal flooding with each of these storms. The Eastern Interior will remain cold through the week. A strong short wave now over the West Coast of Alaska will move south over the Gulf of Alaska tonight. This is causing high winds and severe winter weather and high surf over Western Alaska that will move south later today. A second strong short wave now over the Sea of Okhotsk will move to the Eastern Bering Sea Mon PM, and over the West Coast of Alaska Tue AM, and into the western Interior Tue. This will bring another round of high winds and winter weather and possible coastal flooding over Western Alaska. A third strong short wave will move east over the Bering Sea Wed. Surface... A low pressure trough from Inuvik to Wainwright will move just north of the Coast tonight. Stratus, flurries and fog will persist along this trough. A 990 mb low over the Chukotsk Peninsula will move to near McGrath as a 990 mb low by 3pm Sun then move southeast into the Gulf of Alaska Sun night. An occluded front stretching from this low to Anvik to King Salmon will move southeast today. An extension of the occluded front aloft stretches northwest of the low and will move to McGrath to the Bering Strait by 3pm Sun, and then move southeast of the forecast area tonight. There will be another 2-4 inches of snow along the track of the low and occluded front, with light snow lingering along the front aloft. East winds 30g40 mph on the east side of the low and front area causing blowing snow and blizzard conditions. Winds turn west 30-40 mph west of the front. In the southeast quadrant of the low west winds are gusting as high as 70 mph over zones 213 and 214 today. Winds will decrease this after noon and evening. A Strong low in the Sea of Okhotsk will move to just west of Anadyr as a 978 mb low by 3pm Mon, and to the southern Chukshi sea as a 975 mb low by 3pm Tue. Expect another round of Rain, snow and freezing rain with this over zones 213 and 214 Lat Mon and possible Blizzard over the remainder of the west coast Also expect south winds 40 kt ahead of the low turning west 40-50 kt southeast of the low. Will issue more WWA for this Mon after the current round of storms end. && .DISCUSSION... Deterministic models have some initialization issues. At H500 in the ridge over the West Coast of Alaska, ROABS at Kotzebue, Nome, Bethel and St Paul all show 20m higher heights than indicated by any of the Model initializations. The IR Sat pic combine with the Shemya RAOB show that the trough west of the ridge should be a bit sharper and deeper than models indicate as well. Result is that the surface features may be a bit stronger than models indicate. The 06Z surface analysis shows that all models at about 5 mb to week on the depth of the surface low just north of Provideniya. This will result in the surface low remaining about 5 mb deeper than models indicate through 3pm this afternoon, so we will add 5 kt to what model winds would indicate close to the low center through this afternoon. This bears out with the 10Z Anadyr observation showing 50g70kt, and quick scat winds of 55kt. Will have Storm force winds marine zone 210 and public zones 213 and 214 today. The GFS and ECMF move the strong low from the Bering Strait south more slowly today then the NAM. Since the low is deeper than models indicate and will thus likely move more slowly than models indicate, and thus prefer lingering precip and winds longer today over the southern Interior than models indicate. After that model movements are pretty similar through 3pm Mon. After that start to see significant differences in short wave and associated surface low strength and location between models. The NAM and GFS are a bit slower and more southerly with tracking the next strong low as it moves over NE Russia on Tue than the ECMF. At this point Prefer the slower NAM/GFS on Tue, but there is much uncertainty. This uncertainty has much importance on affecting potential for coastal flooding so needs to be watched closely. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4... High Surf zone 214 through midnight tonight.West winds gusting to 60 mph today will produce a 3 to 4 foot rise in sea level along the Coast from Stebbins to Scammon Bay and cause high surf through tonight. The surge will cause a rise on the Yukon River in the Yukon Delta. Potential for Coastal Flooding Along the West Coast Tue into Wed but still much uncertainty as to occurrence and locations due to model differences at that time range. This will need to be watched closely as could be a significant storm. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Surf Advisory for AKZ212-AKZ214. Winter Storm Warning for AKZ214-AKZ215-AKZ216. Blizzard Warning for AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213. Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ208-AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ227. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220- PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ235. Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230. Storm Warning for PKZ210. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ235. && JB NOV 17
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 3:24 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFG | 23 hr | |
| Nov 18, 3:24 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFG | 23 hr | |
| Nov 18, 3:25 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 23 hr | |
| Nov 18, 3:25 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFG | 13 hr | |
| Nov 19, 4:12 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AFG | 11 hr | |
| Nov 19, 4:58 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFG | 10 hr | |
| Nov 19, 4:58 AM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFG | 23 hr | |
| Nov 19, 2:47 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.