Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2017

Gale Warning 137, NWS Fairbanks, AK

November 18, 2017

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 18, 2017, 4:21 AM AKST. It was in force for 34 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2017, 4:21 AM AKST (13:21 UTC)
Expired
Nov 19, 2017, 2:48 PM AKST
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

594 
FZAK52 PAFG 181321
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
421 AM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-190330-
421 AM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 995 mb low just west of Anadyr will move over the Chukotsk 
Peninsula as a 985 mb low by 3pm Sat, to the Bering Strait as a 
980 mb low by 3am Sun, to Sparrevohn as a 994 mb low by 3pm Sun. A
second strong low will move from the western Bering to near 
Anadyr on Mon and over the southern Chukchi Sea Tue.

$$

PKZ200-190330-
Norton Sound-
421 AM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 15 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft building
to 6 ft. Snow. Vsby less than 1 nm. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow. Vsby less than 1 nm.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...W winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-190330-
Dall Point to Wales-
421 AM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt increasing to 45 kt. Seas 8 ft building 
to 15 ft. Rain and snow. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. Fog. Freezing rain.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NW winds 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...W winds 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-190330-
Kotzebue Sound-
421 AM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 5 
ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 
NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 1 foot. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-190330-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
421 AM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 15 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft building 
to 8 ft. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.  

$$

Nov 17
3 follow-up statements
992 
FZAK52 PAFG 190024
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
324 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-191530-
324 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 988 mb low currently over the Gulf of Anadyr will move rapidly
south and east tonight to be located over Norton Sound as a 984 mb
low tonight and southeast of Kodiak Island Sunday morning. A
low pressure trough will trail behind the low through Monday over
western Alaska. A ridge of high pressure continues to build south
and east over the high arctic ocean and north slope Monday.

$$

PKZ200-191530-
Norton Sound-
324 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 40 kt becoming W. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog.
Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...S winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-191530-
Dall Point to Wales-
324 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 45 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 22 ft. Fog.
Freezing rain. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NW winds 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...W winds 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 45 kt. Seas 20 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-191530-
Kotzebue Sound-
324 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY
1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-191530-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
324 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow.
VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

CCC Nov 17
349 
FZAK52 PAFG 191357
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
457 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-200330-
457 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 978 mb low over the Chukotsk Peninsula will move to near 
McGrath as a 990 mb low by 3pm Sun, then move southeast. A Strong
low in the Sea of Okhotsk will move to just west of Anadyr as a 
978 mb low by 3pm Mon, and to the southern Chukchi Sea as a 975 
mb low by 3pm Tue. 

$$

PKZ200-200330-
Norton Sound-
457 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W winds 35 kt becoming N. Seas 7 ft. Fog, snow. Vsby 
less than 1 nm. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...S winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-200330-
Dall Point to Wales-
457 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W winds 60 kt becoming N 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. Snow. 
Freezing rain. Vsby less than 1 nm. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Snow. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...W winds 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-200330-
Kotzebue Sound-
457 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 35 kt becoming NE 25 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to
5 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-200330-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
457 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 35 kt becoming N. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 7 ft.
Freezing fog. Snow. VSBY 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

Nov 17
945 
FZAK52 PAFG 192348
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-201515-
248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A Strong low in the Sea of Okhotsk will move to just west of 
Anadyr as a 978 mb low by 3pm Mon, and to the southern Chukchi Sea
as a 975 mb low by 3pm Tue.

$$

PKZ200-201515-
Norton Sound-
248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft. Freezing 
spray. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...S winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...W winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-201515-
Dall Point to Wales-
248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt decreasing to 20 kt. Seas 14 ft
subsiding to 9 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Snow and rain. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.TUE...W winds 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Blowing snow. VSBY 1 NM or
less. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-201515-
Kotzebue Sound-
248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

.TONIGHT...N winds 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft subsiding. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-201515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
248 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

.TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt becoming E. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.TUE...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. VSBY 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...W winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.  

$$

Nov 17

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 18, 4:21 AM AKST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 4:21 AM AKST, 0 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
421 AM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Aloft...
A long wave pattern consisting of ridge over the Bering Sea and
West Coast of Alaska and trough over NW Alaska eastern Gulf of
Alaska will persist through next week. A series of strong short
wave troughs will ride over the top of this ridge and bring a
series of strong storms with rain, snow and strong winds into the
West Coast of Alaska while the eastern Interior will remain cold
into next week.

A weak short wave trough over the eastern North Slope will move
to Central to Inuvik by 3pm sat then move east of the Alcan Border
tonight. Expect a few flurries with this.

A strong short wave in the Western Bering Sea will move along the
Dateline by 3pm Sat, over the West Coast of Alaska by 3am Sun,
and then moving into the Gulf of AK Sun PM. This is bringing a
strong storm into the west coast today and western Interior
tonight with strong winds, heavy snow, blizzard conditions, and
freezing rain. See surface discussion for details.

A second strong short wave trough moving into the western Bering
Sea Mon, into the West Coast of Alaska Tue, and to the eastern
Interior Wed. Another strong storm with strong winds and moderate
to heavy snow will accompany this trough.

A third strong trough moves across the Bering Wed and into the
West Coast Wed night.

Surface...
A low pressure trough from Inuvik to Deadhorse will move to Old
Crow to Barrow by 3pm Sun. Expect few flurries along this trough.
SW winds over the Arctic Coast will turn NE north of the trough
late Sat.

A trough stretching from Point Lay to Denali will weaken today.
Stratus and flurries along this will diminish today.

A 995 mb low just west of Anadyr will move over the Chukotsk
Peninsula as a 985 mb low by 3pm Sat, to the Bering Strait as a
980 mb low by 3am Sun, to Sparrevohn as a 994 mb low by 3pm Sun,
and then continue SE.

A warm front extending SE from this low, will move to Gambell to
Bethel by 3pm Sat with a cold front occluding the warm front NW
of Gambell and then extending from Gambell to St Paul Island. The
front will rapidly occlude from the Bering Strait to a triple
point near Dillingham by 3am Sat. After this time there will be a
hang back occlusion from Sparrevohn to the Bering Strait through
3pm Sun then dissipating Sun night.

There is heavy snow ahead of the warm/occluded front that will
change to rain in the warm sector, then chance back to snow with
the cold front. This rain will freeze on the cold ground in zones
214 and southern 215 today as the warm sector moves over it.
Expect 8-12 inches of snow just north of the front, with lesser
amounts in northern zones 216 and in zone 209. Expect one quarter
inch or more ice accumulation in zones 214 and southern 215 today,
so those areas will only get 4-8 inches of snow. Snow will taper
off rapidly Sunday as the low and front moves south.

Expect SE winds 25-35kt ahead of the warm front which will cause
blizzard conditions in areas with falling snow. Expect winds to
turn W 25-30 kt west of the Occluded front, then NW 35-45kt in the
SW quadrant of the low center. This could bring Blizzard
conditions to zones 213 and 214 after the occluded frontal
passage. Since the front winds do not last for more than 12 hrs
this will likely only cause high surf to the Yukon Delta and
Stebbins west of zone 212 tonight and Sun with a storm surge of 3
feet. This will cause water to rise on the Yukon River in the
Delta tonight and Sun as well.

High pressure developing over the Eastern Interior tonight will
persist into Sun then weaken. This will cause easterly drainage
winds along the Tanana and Yukon Rivers to develop tonight and
continue into Sun as the pressure gradient increases with the low
approaching the West Coast.

A second strong low will move from the western Bering to near
Anadyr on Mon and over the southern Chukchi Sea Tue. This will
bring another round of strong winds, snow, blowing snow and
possible blizzard conditions to the west Coast Mon night and Tue.
This could bring a significant storm surge and possible coastal
flooding to the West Coast of Alaska Tue into Wed, but still much
uncertainty on this. Will keep eye on this feature for further
developments.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Deterministic Models initialize well at H500 and show similar
solutions through 3pm Mon. By the middle of next week start to
see significant differences on strength timing of short wave
troughs. At the surface all models are about 4 mb too weak at 06Z
Sat on the surface low west of Anadyr. Expect low will remain a
few mb deeper than models indicate through Sat night so will
adjust winds up a few kt over the Bering as a result. The GFS and
ECMF move this low southeast tonight and Mon more slowly than the
NAM. Favor the slower GFS and ECMF movement since the low will
likely be a bit deeper than indicated.

Models do differ on northerly extent of the precipitation, with
the GFS and ECMF moving precipitation into Kotzebue while the NAM
keeps most of the precip further south. The GFS also lessens the
precip amounts Sat night compared tot he ECMF and NAM. Favor the
lesser amounts Sat night on the GFS as the triple point is moving
rapidly southeast and the heaviest precip should move south with
the triple point. So favor the GFS precip overall.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...
High surf for the Yukon Delta today and tonight.

A strong storm is expected to move from the western Bering to
near Anadyr on Mon and over the southern Chukchi Sea Tue. This
could bring a significant storm surge and possible coastal
flooding to the West Coast of Alaska Tue into Wed, but still much
uncertainty on this. Will keep eye on this feature for further
developments.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Surf Advisory for AKZ212-AKZ214.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ214-AKZ215.

Blizzard Warning for AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213.

Winter Storm Watch for AKZ216.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-
PKZ235.

Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.
&&

JB NOV 17

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 17, 3:34 PM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFG43 hr
Nov 17, 3:34 PM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAFG50 hr
Nov 18, 4:15 AM AKSTGale WarningAFG35 hr
Nov 18, 4:16 AM AKSTGale WarningAFG24 hr
Nov 18, 4:16 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG24 hr
Nov 18, 1:01 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG29 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2017Every gale warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.