Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2017

Gale Warning 102, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 8, 2017

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 8, 2017, 5:26 AM AKDT. It was in force for 5 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 8, 2017, 5:26 AM AKDT (13:26 UTC)
Expired
Oct 13, 2017, 2:17 PM AKDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

003 
FZAK52 PAFG 081326
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
526 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-090200-
526 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A ridge of high pressure extends from the N Pacific to the 
Pribilofs to the Gulf of Anadyr and will move E to lie from Unimak
Island to Nome to Wrangel Island, then move inland. A 983 mb low 
in the western Bering Sea will move NE to the Gulf of Anadyr by 
Mon morning at 980 mb. A weather front will move to the West 
Coast tonight. A long fetch of moderately strong southwesterlies 
will develop over the northern Bering Sea producing increased wave
action and minor storm surge.

$$

PKZ200-090200-
Norton Sound-
526 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.TODAY...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-090200-
Dall Point to Wales-
526 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. SE winds 35 kt W of St Lawrence 
Island. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.MON...SW winds 30 kt. SW winds 35 kt W of St Lawrence 
Island. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.TUE...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-090200-
Kotzebue Sound-
526 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.TODAY...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-090200-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
526 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.TODAY...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 17
11 follow-up statements
761 
FZAK52 PAFG 090000
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
400 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-091430-
400 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 974 mb low in the far western Bering Sea will move to 200 nm 
north of Cape Navarin as a 985 mb low at 4pm Mon, and by 4pm Tue 
will be 1002 mb low 60 north of Shishmaref.

$$

PKZ200-091430-
Norton Sound-
400 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt becoming S. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.TUE...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-091430-
Dall Point to Wales-
400 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 15 kt increasing to SE 35 kt. Seas 8 ft 
building to 12 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.MON...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain showers. 
.MON NIGHT...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-091430-
Kotzebue Sound-
400 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...SE winds increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow and rain .
.MON NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-091430-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
400 PM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt becoming E. Seas 4 ft subsiding. 
.MON...SE winds increasing to 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
274 
FZAK52 PAFG 091258
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-100200-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 978 mb low in the Gulf of Anadyr will move NE across the 
Chukchi Sea to Point Hope by Tue afternoon at 1003 mb and over the
Arctic Plain by Wed morning at 1014 mb. The associated weather
front will move inland this morning. A weak ridge of high pressure
will move E across the area Tue evening. A 980 mb low will move
into the SW Bering Sea Tue evening and to the Gulf of Anadyr by
Thu morning at 959 mb.

$$

PKZ200-100200-
Norton Sound-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-100200-
Dall Point to Wales-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.TUE...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-100200-
Kotzebue Sound-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 20 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow 
and rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-100200-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 20 kt increasing to 25 kt. Strongest winds and
highest seas near the Bering Strait. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Strongest winds and highest seas near 
the Bering Strait. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 17
001 
FZAK52 PAFG 100009
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
409 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-101500-
409 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 986 mb low in the Gulf of Anadyr will move by 4am Tue to 80 nm 
West of the Bering Strait as a 992 mb, by 4pm Tue it will be a 
1002 mb low 60 nm west of Kotzebue, and by 4pm Wed it will be a 
1018 mb low near Deadhorse. Another strong low will move into the 
southern Bering Wed, and to near Cape Navarin as a 963 mb low by 
4pm Thu.

$$

PKZ200-101500-
Norton Sound-
409 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.TUE...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-101500-
Dall Point to Wales-
409 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Fog.
.TUE...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-101500-
Kotzebue Sound-
409 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. Fog.
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-101500-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
409 PM AKDT Mon Oct 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. Fog. 
.TUE...S winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
787 
FZAK52 PAFG 101202
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
402 AM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-110215-
402 AM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 995 mb low over the Chukotsk Peninsula will move to near Point 
hope by this afternoon. This low will move to Nuiqsut by early 
Wednesday morning at 1012 mb. A strong low will move northward in 
the western Bering Sea Wednesday and Thursday. This low will 
around 400 NM west of St. Matthew Island by Thursday morning at 
960 mb and will move into the Gulf of Anadyr by Thursday evening 
at 968 mb.

$$

PKZ200-110215-
Norton Sound-
402 AM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-110215-
Dall Point to Wales-
402 AM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI...SW winds 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-110215-
Kotzebue Sound-
402 AM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...E winds 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-110215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
402 AM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt becoming W. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
508 
FZAK52 PAFG 102247
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
247 PM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-111430-
247 PM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 1002 mb low over the Chukchi Sea will move east and be over
Nuiqsut by early Wednesday morning at 1012 mb. A strong low will 
move northward in the western Bering Sea Wednesday and Thursday. 
This low will around 400 NM west of St. Matthew Island by Thursday
morning at 960 mb and will move into the Gulf of Anadyr by 
Thursday evening at 968 mb.

$$

PKZ200-111430-
Norton Sound-
247 PM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 4 ft. 
.WED...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-111430-
Dall Point to Wales-
247 PM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt becoming E. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...E winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-111430-
Kotzebue Sound-
247 PM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.WED...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-111430-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
247 PM AKDT Tue Oct 10 2017

.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.WED...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
344 
FZAK52 PAFG 111227
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-120215-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong 966 mb low currently 550 NM NW of Adak will move to 550 
NM W of St Matthew Island by this afternoon at 955 mb and to 375 
NM NW of St. Matthew Island by early Thursday morning at 957 MB. 
By Thursday evening this low will move into the Gulf of Anadyr. 
Thereafter, this low will move westward into Russia. A front 
associated with this low move northward across the Bering Sea and 
the West Coast of Alaska tonight into tomorrow.

$$

PKZ200-120215-
Norton Sound-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-120215-
Dall Point to Wales-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-120215-
Kotzebue Sound-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W winds 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...E winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-120215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
427 AM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 10 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to
5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
567 
FZAK52 PAFG 112254
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-121430-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A strong 953 mb low currently 550 NM W of St Matthew Island will 
move north to Cape Navarin as 957 mb low Thursday afternoon. By 
Friday afternoon the low will move north to Anadyr and weaken to 
975 mb. Thereafter, this low will weaken near the Gulf of Anadyr. 
A front associated with this low move northward across the Bering 
Sea and the West Coast of Alaska tonight into tomorrow.

$$

PKZ200-121430-
Norton Sound-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-121430-
Dall Point to Wales-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.THU...S winds 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-121430-
Kotzebue Sound-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt increasing to 40 kt. Seas 4 ft building
to 6 ft. 
.THU...E winds 40 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-121430-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
254 PM AKDT Wed Oct 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft. 
.THU...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
671 
FZAK52 PAFG 121227
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-130215-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 959 mb low 400 NM WNW of St. Matthew Island will move into the 
Gulf of Anadyr at 966 mb by late this evening and will move 
westward into Russia during the day on Friday A front associated 
with this low move northward across the Bering Sea and the West 
Coast of Alaska today.

$$

PKZ200-130215-
Norton Sound-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-130215-
Dall Point to Wales-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 22 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-130215-
Kotzebue Sound-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 40 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-130215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
427 AM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE winds 45 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
073 
FZAK52 PAFG 122246
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-131400-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 960 mb 300 nm W of St Matthew Island will move into the Gulf of
Anadyr and weaken through the weekend. A weather front will move
to the Bering Strait tonight.

$$

PKZ200-131400-
Norton Sound-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-131400-
Dall Point to Wales-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S winds 40 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...S winds 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-131400-
Kotzebue Sound-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt this evening. Seas
building to 4 ft.
.FRI...SE winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-131400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
246 PM AKDT Thu Oct 12 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE winds 35 KT diminishing to 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 17
599 
FZAK52 PAFG 131231
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-140215-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 970 mb low currently sits in the Gulf of Anadyr. This low will 
move westward into Russia today slowly weakening.

$$

PKZ200-140215-
Norton Sound-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-140215-
Dall Point to Wales-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-140215-
Kotzebue Sound-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-140215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
431 AM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

Oct 17
355 
FZAK52 PAFG 132217
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-141400-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 975 mb low in the Gulf of Anadyr will weaken as it wobbles 
around, and will be over the western Gulf of Anadyr by Sun 
morning at 995 mb. A low will develop in the southern Bering Sea 
tonight and be near Bethel Sat morning at 1002 mb, then moves up 
the West Coast into Norton Sound by Sun morning, and Kotzebue 
Sound by Mon morning.

$$

PKZ200-141400-
Norton Sound-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.SAT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-141400-
Dall Point to Wales-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SAT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...S winds 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-141400-
Kotzebue Sound-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

.TONIGHT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-141400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
217 PM AKDT Fri Oct 13 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft.
.SAT...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 17

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 8, 4:45 AM AKDT, 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 8, 4:45 AM AKDT, 41 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
445 AM AKDT Sun Oct 8 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Models...Solutions continue to improve and are now in good
agreement through around 84 hours before they start diverging in
position and strength of features moving across the Bering Sea.
Over the Arctic there is better agreement with a less active
pattern. In the extended periods, the models are coming together
slowly but still have differences in position and strength of the
major features. Surface solutions initialized well against the
08/06Z surface analysis. For the short term, the NAM is handling
the downslope a bit better this morning, but as the day goes on a
blend of the solutions will handle the precipitation in all areas.
Will use a equal blend for the winds, for temperatures will nudge
to bias corrected guidance.

Aloft...At 500 hpa...Systems continue to rapidly propagate across
the Bering Sea and mainland Alaska. A less active pattern over
the Arctic. A 528 dam low that was over King Salmon last evening
has moved over Prince William Sound with weak troughing extending
to the northwest to a 528 dam low over Kotzebue and a 527 dam low
over the Chukchi Sea. As the low over Prince William Sound moves
east to Yakutat this evening, a 529 dam low will develop over the
Middle Tanana Valley and move east over the yukon Territory as it
weakens. Ridging over the Central Bering Sea this morning will
move to the Eastern Bering Sea, Bering Strait, and Chukchi Sea
this evening, and over Bristol Bay, the West Coast, and Kotzebue
Sound overnight with a weak ridge axis extending to the northeast
over the Upper Yukon Flats. 540 dam heights will push north of
Norton Sound tonight. A 522 dam low over the western Bering Sea
will move northeast to the Gulf of Anadyr by Monday morning at 518
dam. Ridging will continue to rotate east then southeast Monday
into Tuesday and the low over the Gulf of Anadyr will move over
the Chukchi Sea. Fast zonal flow will develop across the Bering
Sea and the state Monday morning through Wednesday morning when
ridging will move to the West Coast and build north over the
Chukchi Sea. At 850 hpa...Some areas in the southeast interior
will have temperatures around zero this morning that will be
cooling below zero by evening. The -10 isotherm will remain over
the Arctic Plain and north slopes of the Brooks Range.

Surface...Stacked 988 mb low has moved to Prince William Sound
this morning with weak leeside troughing developing in the
interior. The primary low will move southeast along the southeast
Panhandle Coast as it weakens. A 1009 mb low persists over
Kotzebue Sound but will weaken and dissipate this evening. A ridge
of high pressure extends from the north Pacific to the Pribilofs
to the Gulf of Anadyr and will move east to lie from Unimak Island
to Nome to Wrangel Island. By Monday morning it will lie from
Chignik to Denali to Arctic Village with a ridge of high pressure
developing over the Upper Tanana Valley. The ridge will continue
to rotate to the southeast and flatten out over northern Alaska. A
1000 mb low has moved off the Kamchatka Peninsula into the
western Bering Sea and pressure has fallen to 983 mb this morning.
The low continues moving northeast today and it will move to the
Gulf of Anadyr by Monday morning at 980 mb. The associated frontal
system will move over the West Coast after midnight tonight and
into the Western Interior Tuesday morning. A long fetch of
moderately strong southwesterlies will develop over the northern
Bering Sea bringing increased wave action and a storm surge of 2
to 5 feet to areas north of Nunivak Island. The low over Prince
William Sound is spreading precipitation north this morning over
the Alaska Range and into the interior. Expect precipitation to
start off as rain in most locations, then mix with snow later this
evening as areas cool rapidly, then all snow overnight into
Monday before it tapers off. Mountain locations may see all snow
depending on elevation.

Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...Onshore or along shore flow, and
upslope flow in the mountains, today will keep the clouds over the
area with some flurries or light snow. No significant
accumulations expected. Patchy fog will reduce visibility to
around 1 mile at times. Winds 5 to 15 mph for most locations.
Temperatures in the low 30s will fall into the 20s overnight with
coldest temperatures in the plains.

West Coast and Western Interior...Going to be pretty active this
week as a couple moderately strong weather systems move through
the area. A weak low over Kotzebue sound this morning is spreading
some light rain/snow showers over the area, but will weaken today
and dissipate this evening. A weather front will move to the
coast tonight spreading rain/snow up the coast, snow north of the
Seward Peninsula, and snow into the Interior by Monday morning.
Rainfall amounts will range from around 0.25 in Kotzebue Sound to
0.75 inch in the lower Yukon Delta. Winds northwest today to 10
mph snapping around to southeast tonight in advance of the front
to 10 to 30 mph, then south to southwest behind the front at 10 to
25 mph with stronger winds over the water to 30 mph.

Central and Eastern Interior...Cloudy with rain developing over
most areas south of the Yukon River. Downslope near the Alaska
Range will limit precipitation this morning, but it will fill in
this afternoon and evening as the low moves east and southeast and
easterly flow continues to push moisture north into the Central
and Eastern Interior. Rain will mix with snow overnight or become
all snow after midnight as cold air is pulled into the area from
the northwest. Snowfall will Range from a trace to in excess of 10
inches at higher elevations in the Alaska Range. Around Fairbanks
snowfall tonight and Monday will be light and will melt off
pretty rapidly. Another round of snow expected Monday night into
Tuesday has the potential to spread a couple inches of snow to
the Fairbanks and vicinity with the heaviest snowfall in the hills
to the north and east. Winds northeast for most areas to 10 mph,
the exception is near the Alaska Range where downslope south winds
to 40 mph will continue into the afternoon before they diminish.

&&

Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...Models solutions continue to
be very confused, but they are a bit more similar today than in
previous solutions. The GFS and ECMWF are definitely in better
agreement in the latest solutions. Still looking at stormy
conditions over the West Coast and Bering Strait through the week.

&&

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...Another strong low will
move into the Bering Sea Wednesday night and Thursday that could
potentially bring another round of minor Coastal Flooding and High
Surf to the West Coast. At this time the models are very
conflicted on the evolution of the low, its location, and strength
so will need to watch the next couple model runs before we can
start focusing on potentially impacted areas.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ225.

Gale Warning for PKZ210.

&&

SDB OCT 17

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 8, 2:44 PM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG43 hr
Oct 8, 2:54 PM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG51 hr
Oct 8, 3:40 PM AKDTCoastal Flood WatchAFG14 hr
Oct 8, 3:40 PM AKDTHigh Surf AdvisoryAFG56 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2017Every gale warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.