Storm Warning 30, NWS Anchorage, AK

389 
FZAK51 PAFC 261848
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270500-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA THU
AFTERNOON. A 979 MB LOW 310 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA THIS AFTERNOON
MOVES ONSHORE 45 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA MIDDAY FRI. A FRONT
ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA FRI MORNING AND STALLS NORTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND SAT MORNING. A 975 MB LOW MOVES TO 280 NM WEST OF
SITKA SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-270500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-270500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-270500-
RESURRECTION BAY-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-270500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 8FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-270500-
PORT VALDEZ-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS WITH RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-270500-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-270500-
VALDEZ ARM-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-270500-
PASSAGE CANAL-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-270500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-270500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-270500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-270500-
CHINIAK BAY-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS WITH RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-270500-
MARMOT BAY-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-270500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-270500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-270500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-270500-
KACHEMAK BAY-
948 AM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

052 
FZAK51 PAFC 270054
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271400-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF PORT ALEXANDER TONIGHT MOVES
INTO EASTERN ALASKA EARLY FRI MORNING. ANOTHER 981 MB LOW 225 NM
WEST OF SITKA FRI NIGHT ALSO MOVES INTO EASTERN ALASKA BY MIDDAY
SAT. ASSOCIATED FRONTS ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH LOWS WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-271400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND ISOLATED EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-271400-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-271400-
RESURRECTION BAY-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS. ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-271400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-271400-
PORT VALDEZ-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-271400-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-271400-
VALDEZ ARM-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-271400-
PASSAGE CANAL-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW. ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-271400-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-271400-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-271400-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-271400-
CHINIAK BAY-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-271400-
MARMOT BAY-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-271400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-271400-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS
AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-271400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-271400-
KACHEMAK BAY-
354 PM AKST THU JAN 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
533 AM AKST Thu Jan 26 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A large scale upper level arctic trough stretches from eastern
Russia across the Bering and Aleutians. To the east of the colder
air under a secondary lobe of the upper trough, a trio of surface
lows are located over Bristol Bay, south of the Alaska Peninsula
and in the western Gulf. A strong frontal system associated with
the eastern most low stretches across the northern Gulf this
morning bringing strong easterly barrier jet winds and moderate
to heavy rain to coastal regions. Further inland precipitation is
more scattered with a mix of rain, snow and some isolated freezing
rain depending on location. Over the eastern Bering, north to
northwesterly flow and a frontal system stretching across the
Pribilof Islands, eastern Aleutians and western Alaska Peninsula
is bringing areas of snow and blowing snow. Further west cold air
instability snow showers continue to stream across the area.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good synoptic agreement through Friday morning and
then diverge significantly regarding a surface low tracking into
the southern Gulf Friday afternoon or evening. The EC and
Canadian were preferred as good compromise solutions, both
bringing in the cold upper trough from the west and hanging on to
some precipitation across southcentral while the GFS and NAM had
significantly stronger, better developed surface lows but varied
widely on its track north Friday night and Saturday. The EC was
preferred for the western domain.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Strong east-southeast winds across the Chugach Mountains
will continue to bring wind shear concerns through the morning.
Southeasterly Turnagain Arm winds will push into PANC around 21Z
as the strong northerly down Cook Inlet winds rapidly diminish
and in reverse direction. Expect the breezy southeasterly surface
winds to last through around 09Z Fri.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

While perpendicular flow is helping to limit precipitation across
the Anchorage Bowl and Kenai Peninsula, steep lapse rates at
mountain top are helping to support precipitation spillover. As a
result, patchy light freezing drizzle is occurring across the
Anchorage Bowl where downslope winds have not been strong enough
to warm temperatures above freezing. The main challenge this
morning remains the intensity of the wind gusts as the front
pushes towards the north Gulf Coast this morning. The strongest
winds are expected through Turnagain Arm and higher elevations
along the northern Kenai Peninsula as well as in Cordova. There
is less uncertainty in precipitation amounts across the Kenai
Peninsula and west Prince William Sound, and steady rainfall has
already occurred in Seward overnight. Even as the front dissipates
this afternoon, gusty winds are expected to persist across the
Kenai Peninsula and Anchorage Bowl.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An upper level trough moving northward over the AK pen will bring
a mix of rain and snow to interior Bristol Bay today. Most of the
snowfall will likely occur as a wet snow to the north of
Dillingham as temperatures are already in the mid 30's, limiting
any accumulation to less than an inch or so. Further to the east
along the Alaskan/Aleutian ranges, precipitation should fall
mostly in the form of rain as temperatures are already much warmer
from strong cross-barrier flow. This trough will then spread
snowfall into the interior Kuskokwim Delta this afternoon and
evening. Most of the accumulating snow should fall generally to
the east of Bethel with up to an inch expected. The shortwave will
then lift north of the area by late this evening, however with the
main upper level trough remaining just off to the west. This will
allow for cloudy skies and show showers to continue with
temperatures falling back below freezing throughout the area on
Friday and into this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A deformation band setting up on the western edge of the low
moving into the eastern Bering will bring snow showers, gusty
northwest winds, and blowing snow from the Pribilof Islands
southward into the eastern Aleutians today. Over the Pribilof
Islands, much cooler temperatures along with a deep snow pack
will produce visibilities less than one-half mile today in snow
and blowing snow. As a result a Winter Weather Advisory for
Blowing Snow was issued into this evening. There is a possibility
that this will need to be extended further through this evening
if the heaviest snow band becomes stationary over the Pribilofs,
however there is a large amount of uncertainty from the models in
exactly where this will setup. Confidence is much higher that
gusty northwesterly winds will continue into Friday morning, so
even if most of the snow shifts to the east of the Pribilofs (as
some guidance is suggesting) areas of blowing snow will likely
continue for much of the day tomorrow.

Afterwards, a broad upper level trough setting up over the Bering
on Friday will bring continued showers throughout the area, but
with winds falling below gale force as the surface low slowly
dissipates. A gale force front will then move into the western
Aleutians late Saturday, which will spread rain/snow and gale
force winds into the central Bering through Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

An active pattern ensues this weekend as new low centers form within
a broad longwave pattern centered over the Bering. Cold air
advection from the west moderates temperatures below freezing
across the southern mainland through the weekend. Multiple
shortwaves keeps the wetter pattern into the middle of next week.
Models are in general agreement with the highly active pattern,
however there are large differences in timing and placements of
the projected fronts. Models are starting to hone into a
significant pattern change for the beginning of next week that
could lead to a less active weather regime. This change would
start as a powerful storm system organizes in the North Pacific on
Monday, which then lifts north on Tuesday and becomes negatively
tilted. This potentially allows a ridge to it's east to amplify
over the Bering and possibly cut off near the Bering Strait
heading into the middle of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blowing Snow Advisory 195.
MARINE...Storm 119 120.
         Gale 125 129 130 131 139 140 170 172 173 174 179 185.
         Heavy Freezing Spray 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JR
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...KH