Storm Warning 117, NWS Anchorage, AK

454 
FZAK51 PAFC 252346
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-261315-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front along the western Gulf moves to the north coast tonight...
remains stationary through Thursday...then weakens Friday night. The
next front moves into the western Gulf Thursday night and pushes 
quickly north on Friday morning moving inland late Friday afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-261315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt becoming E 55
kt in the afternoon. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 30 kt
diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-261315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-261315-
Resurrection Bay-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-261315-
Prince William Sound-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 45 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-261315-
Port Valdez-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-261315-
Valdez Narrows-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-261315-
Valdez Arm-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-261315-
Passage Canal-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-261315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-261315-
Barren Islands East-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-261315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ136-261315-
Chiniak Bay-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-261315-
Marmot Bay-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-261315-
Shelikof Strait-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt. Seas 3 
ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-261315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-261315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-261315-
Kachemak Bay-
346 PM AKDT Wed Oct 25 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

275 
FZAK51 PAFC 261129
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-270030-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A gale force front moves northeast from the western Gulf Thu
morning while strengthening to storm force by Thu evening as it
moves into the northern Gulf. This front will lift north of the
region while moving inland on Fri morning with decreasing winds.

$$

PKZ119-270030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt becoming E
55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 30 kt diminishing
to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-270030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-270030-
Resurrection Bay-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-270030-
Prince William Sound-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-270030-
Port Valdez-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-270030-
Valdez Narrows-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-270030-
Valdez Arm-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-270030-
Passage Canal-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by late morning. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-270030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-270030-
Barren Islands East-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-270030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20
ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-270030-
Chiniak Bay-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-270030-
Marmot Bay-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-270030-
Shelikof Strait-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt by late morning. Seas 
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-270030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. S of Anchor
Point, SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-270030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-270030-
Kachemak Bay-
329 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

591 
FZAK51 PAFC 261731 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-270645-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A gale force front moves northeast from the western Gulf Thu
morning while strengthening to storm force by Thu evening as it
moves into the northern Gulf. This front will lift north of the
region while moving inland on Fri morning with decreasing winds.

$$

PKZ119-270645-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 45 kt becoming E
55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 30 kt diminishing
to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-270645-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 18 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-270645-
Resurrection Bay-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt becoming variable less 
than 10 kt in the morning. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-270645-
Prince William Sound-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 40 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-270645-
Port Valdez-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-270645-
Valdez Narrows-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-270645-
Valdez Arm-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-270645-
Passage Canal-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt by late morning. Seas 5 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-270645-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-270645-
Barren Islands East-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ132-270645-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 20
ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ136-270645-
Chiniak Bay-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-270645-
Marmot Bay-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-270645-
Shelikof Strait-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt becoming S 20 kt by late morning. Seas 
4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ139-270645-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the afternoon. S of Anchor
Point, SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-270645-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-270645-
Kachemak Bay-
931 AM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

498 
FZAK51 PAFC 262352
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-271315-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A strong front over the Gulf of Alaska moves inland and dissipates 
tonight. High pressure builds over the southern Gulf Friday 
evening through Saturday afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-271315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Near the coast, SE wind 35 kt becoming S
15 kt after midnight. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-271315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
11 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-271315-
Resurrection Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-271315-
Prince William Sound-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 5
ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 3 
ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-271315-
Port Valdez-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-271315-
Valdez Narrows-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-271315-
Valdez Arm-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming variable less than 10 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-271315-
Passage Canal-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-271315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-271315-
Barren Islands East-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-271315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-271315-
Chiniak Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Near
Kodiak...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-271315-
Marmot Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-271315-
Shelikof Strait-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-271315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-271315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt becoming SE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-271315-
Kachemak Bay-
352 PM AKDT Thu Oct 26 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
459 PM AKDT Tue Oct 24 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Water Vapor satellite imagery shows the parent upper low along
the Kuskokwim Delta this morning, is now moving north across the
Bering Strait. A sharp negatively tilted trough axis associated
with this low is lifting across the Kenai and central Gulf of
Alaska. A broad area of low pressure associated with this system
is supporting rain along the Gulf. This is bringing a mix of snow
and rain along the Kenai and snow along a sharp axis that
stretches along western Cook Inlet to western Susitna Valley.
Gusty winds developed late this morning with a tighter pressure
gradient along this axis.

To the west, the extratropical storm system across the western
Bering picked up eastward momentum early this afternoon with gusty
winds and rain along the leading boundary which moved across to
the central Bering and eastern Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good synoptic agreement with the overall pattern
shift. The NAM was primarily used to update the short term
forecast with some use of the GFS across Southcentral and the
Gulf. The impacts through Thursday include precipitation amounts
and type, gusty winds, and warming trends.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Some snow showers will persist in the area through the
night but generally VFR conditions will exist through the night
and into tomorrow. Winds will shift to the southeast by morning
with gusts developing as the pressure gradient increases along
Turnagain Arm.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A negatively-tilted trough over the Kenai Peninsula will lift
northeastward tonight, spreading precipitation northward. The
heaviest precipitation associated with this system will fall along
the northern Gulf Coast as a rain/snow mix and as snow in the
western and northern portions of the Susitna Valley through the
evening hours. The western Kenai Peninsula, Anchorage area, and
Matanuska Valley will continue to see gusty southeasterly winds
this evening that will downslope out precipitation, keeping
conditions mainly dry. Overnight, expect winds to briefly taper
off, opening up Anchorage to the possibility of some overnight
snow showers.

A gale force front will move into the southwestern Gulf this
evening and move to the central Gulf/northern Gulf Coast by
Wednesday afternoon. This system has a long, southwesterly fetch
of moisture and warm air associated with it, so expect snow to
transition to rain throughout the day for lower elevations. The
northern Gulf Coast will see a prolonged period of rain Wednesday
morning through Thursday. Slightly further inland, gusty
southeasterly winds will ramp up once again along the Chugach
Mountains throughout the afternoon hours Wednesday and Thursday,
subsiding during the overnight hours. This will once again have
the effect of downsloping out the majority of the precipitation
in the lee of the Chugach Mountains. In addition to the gusty
winds and prolonged period of rain along the coast, expect
temperatures over most areas to climb into the 40s by midweek with
snow levels rapidly rising.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Wind and cloud cover will rapidly increase this evening as a
strong frontal system moves ashore this evening. Radar returns
show precipitation spreading NE towards the coast, already
showing up at Cape Newenham in the form of rain. As the warm front
continues to track inland snow will initially fall before quickly
changing over to rain along the coast. A quick 1-2" could
accumulate close to the coast before the transition while
locations further up the Kuskokwim River Valley could see 3-4"
through tonight. Higher accumulations will likely be seen in the
elevated terrain above 2000' through tomorrow morning before snow
levels further rise throughout the day. Another impact from this
system will be in the form of strong southerly winds over Bristol
Bay and along the coast, with gusts up to 50 mph expected before
midnight tonight. Winds and precip will subside Wednesday as the
warm front pushes off to the east. As the low center moves into
Bristol Bay Thursday morning, southerly winds will pick up again
and another round of precip will move inland, though warm air will
keep precipitation in the liquid form for all low elevation
locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A very strong 940 mb low currently centered near Attu will
continue to wreck havoc across the Bering and Aleutians over the
next 24-36 hours with heavy precipitation and very strong winds.
A stout warm front well out ahead of the low is currently racing
east across the Eastern Aleutians and Bering bringing strong winds
and hurricane force gusts through channeled terrain, hence a high
wind warning is still in effect through this evening for the
AKPEN. The low will weaken quite a bit as it tracks east
following the Aleutian chain and loses some of its upper level
support, though a tight pressure gradient will remain intact
keeping strong winds across most of the region through Thursday.
The next system approaches the Western Aleutians by Thursday
morning bringing another round of rain and winds, though this
system is expected to be much weaker than the current one.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Saturday through Wednesday)...

The weekend forecast begins with a continuation of the very active
and progressive pattern, bringing more wet and unseasonably mild
conditions to most of southern Alaska. There remains considerable
model spread on timing, intensity, and placement of significant
weather systems, but sometime in the Sunday or Monday timeframe a
final storm will come in from the southwest and bring another round
of rain to the area.

By the middle of next week, there is surprisingly good model
agreement in the development of a large upper level high pressure
system developing somewhere over the western half of interior
Alaska. This should definitely dry things out across most of the
area, but it remains to be seen whether this weather pattern will
allow a plunge of cold air down into southcentral and the Copper
River Basin along with strong offshore winds (GFS and Canadian
models showing this) or much lighter winds and warmer conditions
and potential for widespread fog across the area (ECMWF solution).
A middle-ground solution is the most prudent at this point, which
shows a cool-down to seasonal norms but not a plunge of cold air
hinted at by some models.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning 181.
		 Winter Weather Advisory 145.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KVP
LONG TERM...AMD