Small Craft Advisory 9, NWS Anchorage, AK

854 
FZAK51 PAFC 031256
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040200-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH
WED NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA DRIFTS SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-040200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-040200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-040200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-040200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-040200-
PORT VALDEZ-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-040200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-040200-
VALDEZ ARM-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-040200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-040200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-040200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-040200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-040200-
CHINIAK BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-040200-
MARMOT BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 1
FOOT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-040200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-040200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-040200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-040200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
356 AM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

470 
FZAK51 PAFC 040029
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041315-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS WESTWARD INTO THE
BERING WED.

$$

PKZ119-041315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT ALONG THE COAST.
GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-041315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-041315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-041315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-041315-
PORT VALDEZ-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-041315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-041315-
VALDEZ ARM-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-041315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-041315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-041315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-041315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-041315-
CHINIAK BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-041315-
MARMOT BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-041315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-041315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-041315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
1 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-041315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
329 PM AKST TUE JAN 3 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

683 
FZAK51 PAFC 041302
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050215-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTENSIFIES ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH THU NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN GULF
COAST THROUGH THU...THEN BEGINS TO WEAKEN THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ119-050215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-050215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-050215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-050215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-050215-
PORT VALDEZ-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-050215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-050215-
VALDEZ ARM-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-050215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-050215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-050215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-050215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-050215-
CHINIAK BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-050215-
MARMOT BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-050215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-050215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-050215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE 
WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN 
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-050215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
402 AM AKST WED JAN 4 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
322 PM AKST Mon Jan 2 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The large blocking high aloft and its associated surface
reflection are the dominate features for today. In response,
strong temperature inversions were evident Bristol bay to across
Southcentral Alaska. Satellite imagery showed widespread fog
across Knik Arm stretching north toward Palmer, across Turnagain
Arm, and impacting portions of Anchorage Bowl. Patchy fog was
evident across the northern Kenai Peninsula and the Copper River
Basin. Outflow winds were evident across the eastern Kenai Pen and
North Gulf Coast with generally light winds elsewhere across
Southcentral.

Out West, a stalled and fairly weaken frontal boundary was evident
across the Ak Pen to over much of Southwest Alaska. Other than a
little light rain, conditions were generally cloudy and
relatively warm across the Southwest mainland. Gusty south winds
along the frontal boundary where observed from the AK Pen to over
the Kuskokwim Delta. Light to locally gusty south winds with
showers were observed over the central and western Bering Sea and
Aleutians.

&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in relatively good agreement through the short term.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The big challenge remains the fog. Strong temperature
inversions will likely remain around through Tuesday morning.
There may be brief periods where visibilities and ceiling lift
through this afternoon as the fog deck drifts around. Overall
though, expect IFR to LIFR ceilings and visibilities through
Tuesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The Southcentral Alaska regions biggest challenge through the
short term forecast remains the fog. The upper level closed high
pressure remains parked over the Gulf with associated ridge
extending northward through the area. Therefore, look for patchy
areas of dense fog across the Anchorage Bowl before extending into
the upper Western Kenai Peninsula going into the overnight hours
tonight. The lowest visibilities of one half mile or less at times
will occur mainly along the knik arm, and the west Anchorage area
heading into early Tuesday morning time-frame. As the westerly
winds begin to develop tomorrow, this aids in mixing out the fog
resulting in the dissipation of this weather phenomena by Tuesday
midday. An upper level weak shortwave tracks through tomorrow, and
a secondary shortwave heading into early Wednesday time-frame will
bring in cooler temperatures with gusty gap winds through the
Whittier region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Precipitation and fog are the main challenges in the forecast
through Wednesday afternoon. The ridge centered over the gulf
flattens out on Tuesday allowing a strong short wave to push the
currently stalled front along the eastern Bering and west coast,
toward the Alaska Range. The highest chances for precipitation
will be along the Kuskokwim Delta and Valley as a surface low
organizes over the north central interior and pulls a trough axis
east. The boundary is expected to be diffuse across Bristol Bay
where influence from surface ridging from the gulf is replaced
quickly by the next ridge moving in from the Bering. Precipitation
will mainly continue as rain along the stalled boundary as a
warmer air mass glides north from the Pacific. When the front
begins it's track east the strong jet, that has been pumping the
warmer subtropical air mass north, weakens allowing for the
colder air mass advecting in from the Bering to catch up to the
front and change precipitation over to snow.

The other challenge will be fog across the entire Southwest
mainland. Low level moisture remains abundant through midweek
setting up a ideal environment for patchy to dense fog. Influences
from the ridge in the Gulf and the developing ridge in the Bering
help to stabilize the atmosphere outside of the frontal boundary.
The most challenging conditions will be present along the ridge
building into the Kuskokwim Delta behind the front Tuesday night
into Wednesday with widespread reduced visibilities possible. With
the surface high expected to build to 1048 mb by Wednesday
afternoon, associated strong subsidence will trap low level
moisture to near the surface, setting up near-ideal conditions
for fog.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Rain and small craft gusty winds will be the main impacts along
the stalled front this evening through Tuesday afternoon across
the Alaska Peninsula and eastern Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Models remain in good agreement in the mid and long range with a
high amplitude blocking pattern developing and persisting through
at least early next week. A shortwave trough will cross the Alaska
and Aleutian ranges Wednesday then continue east-southeast across
Southcentral Alaska and the Gulf Wednesday night. Following this
trough passage north to northwest winds will increase sharply
especially out of coastal terrain gaps. Additionally,
significantly cooler air aloft will push from interior Alaska into
Southcentral Alaska Thursday and Thursday night. The upper level
dynamics supporting the strong outflow winds will weaken Friday
and Saturday as the large upper level ridge shifts slightly east.
However, the deepening pool of cold air in the Copper River Basin
will keep the Thompson Pass and Copper River Delta winds blowing
strong the longest.

Aside from some scattered snow showers possible over the Kuskokwim
Valley and along the Alaska Range on Thursday associated with a
shortwave dropping down from the northwest, southern mainland
Alaska will remain dry for the foreseeable future. The upper
level ridge will initially amplify over the Bering Wednesday night
and Thursday, then shift east over Bristol Bay and western Alaska
through the weekend where it will then remain anchored. A more
active storm track will persist across the western Aleutians where
a series of low pressure systems will continue strengthen and
track north through the southerly flow on the west side of the big
blocking ridge.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Dense Fog Advisory 101 111 155.
MARINE...Gale Warning 178 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JR