Small Craft Advisory 616, NWS Anchorage, AK

304 
FZAK51 PAFC 211623 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-220315-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 994 mb low 70 NM west of Chiniak will weaken to 998 mb as it 
moves to 160 NM east of Sitkinak late tonight and move into the 
North Pacific Tue morning. A 1000 mb low will form 260 NM south of
Cape Suckling late tonight and strengthen to 997 mb as it moves 
to 270 NM south of Prince William Sound Tue morning and then 
weakening as it moves into the eastern Gulf late Tue.

$$

PKZ119-220315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-220315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-220315-
Resurrection Bay-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon, Seas Higher seas S of
Caines Head. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-220315-
Prince William Sound-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-220315-
Port Valdez-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-220315-
Valdez Narrows-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-220315-
Valdez Arm-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-220315-
Passage Canal-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-220315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-220315-
Barren Islands East-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-220315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-220315-
Chiniak Bay-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-220315-
Marmot Bay-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt becoming NW 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft subsiding to 1 ft after midnight. Rain showers. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-220315-
Shelikof Strait-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-220315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7  ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-220315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-220315-
Kachemak Bay-
823 AM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

053 
FZAK51 PAFC 212308
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-221215-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 mb low 160 nm east of Sitkinak will weaken as it moves 
into the North Pacific tonight. A 1000 mb low will form 140 nm 
southeast of Middleton Island tonight and move to the North 
Pacific Tue. A front will enter the southwest Gulf Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-221215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-221215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-221215-
Resurrection Bay-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-221215-
Prince William Sound-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-221215-
Port Valdez-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-221215-
Valdez Narrows-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-221215-
Valdez Arm-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Rain showers.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-221215-
Passage Canal-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-221215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-221215-
Barren Islands East-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-221215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-221215-
Chiniak Bay-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-221215-
Marmot Bay-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-221215-
Shelikof Strait-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes.
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-221215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-221215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-221215-
Kachemak Bay-
308 PM AKDT Mon Aug 21 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind to 15 kt becoming Variable wind less than 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

854 
FZAK51 PAFC 221201
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-230045-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1000 mb low 200 nm southeast of Kodiak will move south into the
North Pacific this morning. The low will rotate back into the 
southern Gulf 220 nm southwest of Cape Decision at 999mb by 
Tuesday night. A front will enter the southwest Gulf by Wed 
night.

$$

PKZ119-230045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-230045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-230045-
Resurrection Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...N wind 10. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-230045-
Prince William Sound-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-230045-
Port Valdez-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-230045-
Valdez Narrows-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-230045-
Valdez Arm-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-230045-
Passage Canal-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-230045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ131-230045-
Barren Islands East-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-230045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-230045-
Chiniak Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-230045-
Marmot Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
1 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-230045-
Shelikof Strait-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-230045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-230045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-230045-
Kachemak Bay-
401 AM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

727 
FZAK51 PAFC 222254
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-231200-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 999 mb low 340 nm southeast of Middleton Island will move 
east then dissipate Wed night. A front will enter the southwest Gulf
of Alaska Wed evening and move to the northern Gulf of Alaska Thu.

$$

PKZ119-231200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-231200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-231200-
Resurrection Bay-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-231200-
Prince William Sound-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-231200-
Port Valdez-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-231200-
Valdez Narrows-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain
showers.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-231200-
Valdez Arm-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-231200-
Passage Canal-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-231200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-231200-
Barren Islands East-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-231200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-231200-
Chiniak Bay-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-231200-
Marmot Bay-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas
4 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-231200-
Shelikof Strait-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-231200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-231200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-231200-
Kachemak Bay-
254 PM AKDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
503 PM AKDT Sun Aug 20 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Another cold upper level trough that originated over the Arctic is
currently located over the Interior and digging toward the Southwest
mainland of the state. A fairly strong ridge over the central
Bering Sea is pushing into the trough causing gusty north to
northwest winds over the eastern Bering Sea and Southwest Alaska.
The surface low is in the Gulf of Alaska and is strong enough to
bring northerly winds to much of Southcentral Alaska as well.
One interesting note with the pattern over Southcentral is that,
if it was wintertime, it is a pattern that would bring in a lot
of snow to the main population centers of Southcentral Alaska. All
the precipitation will be rain with this system, but the overall
pattern would be a snowy one if it was winter.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good agreement both in regards to one-another
and with run-to-run consistency. All show this latest Arctic
trough dropping out of the interior of the state, through the
Bristol Bay region overnight and into the Gulf of Alaska for
Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday models are also all indicating
moist southwest flow returning to Southwest and Southcentral
Alaska and therefore more rain. Confidence is increasing for this
mid-week pattern to develop.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Rain will persist but the low level flow is from the north
instead of the southwest with this system which is different from
most of the recent rainfalls. What is pertinent about this is
ceiling heights generally are higher with northerly flow than
southwest flow.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Tonight
through Wednesday)...

Widespread steady rain will persist across most of Southcentral
Alaska tonight as a surface low tracks northward across the Gulf
out ahead of a strong upper level trough/low dropping south across
Southwest Alaska and into the southwest Gulf. The upper level low
will track south of Kodiak Island late tonight then continue
east-southeast across the southern Gulf on Monday. The surface low
will be pulled southward toward the upper low leading to a
gradual tapering off of rain over Southcentral on Monday,
lingering longest along the Gulf coast. The northern half of the
Copper River Basin, from Glennallen northward, will remain on the
northern periphery of the rain shield, so expect little or no rain
from this system.

Aside from the rain, also expect robust winds with this storm
system. Expect widespread Small Craft to Gale Force winds across
the Gulf coastal waters tonight through Monday. The strongest
winds will be along the south side of the Alaska Peninsula,
including Shelikof Strait. The passage of the upper low and
accompanying jet streak will combine with tightening low level
pressure gradients to really accelerate winds through bays and
passes.

Look for a warmer, drier day across Southcentral on Tuesday as the
Gulf storm exits and weak ridging slides in from the west. Expect
increasing sunshine from the western Gulf to Cook Inlet (including
Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley) with favorable north to west
flow. It looks like clouds may hold in farther north and east on
the periphery of the exiting low and a trough crossing interior
Alaska.

There is high confidence in another widespread rain event beginning
Wednesday afternoon as a broad trough moves in from the Bering
Sea, setting up deep southwest flow. The rain will likely linger
through late in the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A highly amplified pattern is on tap with an upper low over
southwest AK and the ridge axis to the west. The models continue
to drop this low south-southeastward. In the wake of the low
passage, high pressure will build in and expect a tight pressure
gradient from Bristol Bay to the AK Pen where gusty winds are
anticipated. Additionally, as the ridge moves inland expect the
skies to become partly cloudy and clear in several locations on
Monday. Tuesday will be mild and pleasant.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure will continue to build over the Bering Sea,
resulting in widespread stable conditions over much of the area.
The caveat being the eastern Bering/Aleutians and Alaska
Peninsula...where a tight pressure gradient will set up.
Anticipating gap winds south of the Alaska Peninsula to ramp up
tonight and reaching Gale force by tomorrow morning. As time
elapses a new low will approach the archipelago from the
southwest bringing rain to the western Aleutians.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...

Beginning the extended period forecast Wednesday night, there will
be a deepening upper level trough over the state of Alaska with a
subtropical warm front at the base of this trough over the North
Pacific. Some of this moisture will be moving north toward the
Gulf, so this system will have some enhanced moisture aiding it.
Rather widespread rain in southwesterly flow aloft will be
impacting most of Southern Alaska through Thursday night. However,
by Friday, the main upper low and associated trough position will
dig into the Gulf of Alaska, so the steadiest rainfall will begin
to shift towards the coastal areas and Bristol Bay while more
showery conditions (instead of steady rain) develop over interior
locations. All the global numerical models depict a similar fate
to the upper trough as it weakens in place over the North Gulf
Coast through the weekend, likely keeping some clouds and shower
threats through the weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gales...119 120 130 131 139 150.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PS
LONG TERM...JA