Small Craft Advisory 541, NWS Anchorage, AK

760 
FZAK51 PAFC 191200 CCA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

Corrected zone 127

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-200100-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1005 mb low 35 nm East of Kodiak City moves to 38nm Northeast 
of Kodiak City and dissipates Wed afternoon. A 1004 mb low forms 
90 nm Northeast of Chignik Wed night and moves to the Northeast 
Pacific Ocean at 1001 mb Fri morning. High pressure builds over 
the North Gulf Coast and Eastern Gulf through Fri morning.

$$

PKZ119-200100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-200100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ121-200100-
Resurrection Bay-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines
Head. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head. Rain.
.THU...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-200100-
Prince William Sound-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-200100-
Port Valdez-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-200100-
Valdez Narrows-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-200100-
Valdez Arm-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming Variable wind 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-200100-
Passage Canal-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-200100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-200100-
Barren Islands East-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ132-200100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ136-200100-
Chiniak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-200100-
Marmot Bay-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-200100-
Shelikof Strait-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-200100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-200100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-200100-
Kachemak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

235 
FZAK51 PAFC 192307
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-201215-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1003 mb low 50 nm north of Kodiak merges with a 1001 mb 50 nm 
northeast of Sitkinak this evening then moves to 450 nm southwest of
Klawock at 999 mb by Fri afternoon. The associated front over the 
north Gulf Coast will begin to weaken and track south through the 
central Gulf Thu afternoon, then into the southeast Gulf by Fri.

$$

PKZ119-201215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-201215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-201215-
Resurrection Bay-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds
and seas south of Caines Head. Rain.
.THU...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Higher
winds and seas south of Caines Head. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas south of Caines Head. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-201215-
Prince William Sound-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-201215-
Port Valdez-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-201215-
Valdez Narrows-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-201215-
Valdez Arm-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-201215-
Passage Canal-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-201215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming W 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-201215-
Barren Islands East-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-201215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-201215-
Chiniak Bay-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-201215-
Marmot Bay-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-201215-
Shelikof Strait-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft after midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-201215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-201215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-201215-
Kachemak Bay-
307 PM AKDT Wed Jul 19 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

382 
FZAK51 PAFC 201200
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210030-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1002 mb low 275 nm east of Sitkinak Island moves to 400 nm
southeast of Sitkinak Island at 998 mb Fri morning...then drifts 
into the eastern Gulf. High pressure builds through the western 
and northern Gulf by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ119-210030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210030-
Resurrection Bay-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head. Rain.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210030-
Prince William Sound-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210030-
Port Valdez-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210030-
Valdez Narrows-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210030-
Valdez Arm-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt in
the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210030-
Passage Canal-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210030-
Barren Islands East-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210030-
Chiniak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210030-
Marmot Bay-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210030-
Shelikof Strait-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas increasing to 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-210030-
Kachemak Bay-
400 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

940 
FZAK51 PAFC 201738 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Updated Zone 138

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-210315-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1002 mb low 275 nm east of Sitkinak Island moves to 400 nm
southeast of Sitkinak Island at 998 mb Fri morning...then drifts 
into the eastern Gulf. High pressure builds through the western 
and northern Gulf by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ119-210315-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ120-210315-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ121-210315-
Resurrection Bay-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head.
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Higher winds and seas S of Caines Head.
Rain. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-210315-
Prince William Sound-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-210315-
Port Valdez-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-210315-
Valdez Narrows-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-210315-
Valdez Arm-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW wind 10 kt in
the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-210315-
Passage Canal-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-210315-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt becoming NW 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ131-210315-
Barren Islands East-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ132-210315-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ136-210315-
Chiniak Bay-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-210315-
Marmot Bay-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft in the
afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ138-210315-
Shelikof Strait-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas increasing to 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-210315-
Cook Inlet Kalgin island to Point Bede-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-210315-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-210315-
Kachemak Bay-
938 AM AKDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
500 PM AKDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is an upper level low centered just off the coast of the
Kuskokwim delta, moving towards the southeast. There is a surface
low just to the southwest of the upper low, and another over
Kodiak Island. A front associated with the upper low stretches
from near Skwentna to Seward and then south across the Gulf of
Alaska. A surface ridge is along the north Gulf coast east of the
Kenai peninsula. There is an upper level ridge building over the
central and western Bering Sea and the Aleutians. A weak and
dissipating front is over the western and central Aleutians
associated with an upper low off the coast of Kamchatka.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in fairly good agreement through the
short term portion of the forecast (Thursday afternoon). There are
some disagreements on the movement and location of the low in the
Gulf by Thursday, but impacts on the sensible weather forecasts
are minimal. Forecast confidence is near normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist. Rain should
taper off to showers late tonight as the flow aloft becomes more
easterly.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The short term forecast remains focused on the front tracking
into the western Gulf and Cook inlet region this afternoon and
evening, with radar imagery from this afternoon showing
widespread rainfall filling in over much of the forecast area.
Rainfall is expected to persist over much of the area through
Thursday morning, with the highest rainfall totals expected over
the eastern Kenai peninsula and Prince William sound area. The
exception to this will be the increasing southeasterly flow
Wednesday morning through Thursday, limiting rainfall amounts
over the western Kenai, Anchorage bowl, and Matanuska Valley.
Wind gusts associated with this system will begin to increase
tonight across Prince William Sound and Turnagain Arm and
continue throughout the day Wednesday. Winds will begin to
diminish Thursday as the parent low tracks further south into
the North Pacific and the pressure gradient over Turnagain arm
slackens.

&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
There is a 998 mb low track just west of Nunivak Island this
evening, and tracks along the Southwest Alaska coastline. By
Wednesday morning this system is located in the Bristol Bay
before crossing the Alaska Peninsula just south of Kodiak Island
by early Wednesday evening. This synoptic feature is vertically
stacked with a closed low at 500 mb. There will be shortwave
spinning off the upper level closed low bringing more wetting rain
to the region. Meanwhile on the backside of this low pressure the
precipitation changes over to a showery regime as the low exits
the region. The heaviest precipitation occurs along the Aleutian
and the Alaska ranges due to the onshore southwesterly winds
resulting in orographic lift along the mountains.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The Western Aleutians/Bering Sea has an upper level ridge located
in the Bering that flattens out as it moves eastward. A weak low
pushes into the western Bering tonight, and fills before
dissipating by Thursday afternoon, while a ridge of high pressure
builds off the Kamchatka Peninsula, and extends into the northern
Bering. Therefore, look for stratus accompanied by fog with this
synoptic feature. Otherwise, the rest of the Bering will have rain
out ahead of the low tracking along the Southwest Alaska
coastline before crossing the Alaska Peninsula by Wednesday
evening. Look for a showery regime on the backside of this system
for the northern to eastern Bering through Wednesday time-frame.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The stacked low pressure system over the Alaska Peninsula late on
Thursday will continue to drop south into the North Pacific and
Western Gulf of Alaska by Friday morning. Models begin struggling
on how quickly this feature shifts eastward as well as how far
north the feature tracks. At the time, the subtropical jet looks
rather weak which tends to support a slower movement (depicted by
the GFS) which keeps the low pressure system will away from the
northern gulf coast. However, the ECMWF and some of the ensemble
members show a jet streak developing within the subtropical jet
which could push this system toward the Panhandle by the end of
the weekend. With poor model agreement, forecast confidence with
this is quite low. However, teleconnections and models are
hinting at longwave ridging developing over the Bering Sea and
nudging into the Alaska mainland throughout the upcoming weekend.
The amplitude of the ridge is rather unimpressive but the
wavelength hints at the potential for long duration ridging over
the Bering Sea. This should allow for some clouds to clear across
Alaska and the Bering Sea through the weekend although fog may
become an issue at times, especially with the wet pattern
currently unfolding. The low amplitude ridge will allow for some
weak upper level disturbances to push inland through early next
week which could bring a few periods of showers but confidence
with any given disturbance is low 5 to 7 days out.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...MC