Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2017

Small Craft Advisory 516, NWS Anchorage, AK

July 7, 2017

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 7, 2017, 3:38 AM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2017, 3:38 AM AKDT (11:38 UTC)
Expired
Jul 9, 2017, 3:13 PM AKDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

422 
FZAK52 PAFC 071138
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-080015-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 NM West of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A 987 mb low 160 nm southwest of Shemya moves 60 nm north of Adak
at 992 mb Sat morning before moving 50 nm southeast of Saint Paul
Island at 1001 by Sun morning. An associated front over the Western
Bering/Aleutians extends through the Central Aleutians Fri morning
moves to the eastern Bering and Alaska Peninsula Sat evening.

$$

PKZ150-080015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-080015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt except 15 kt from the Shumagin Islands E in
the evening. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-080015-
Bristol Bay-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-080015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from Port Moller E in the
evening. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-080015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ171-080015-
Unalaska Bay-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-080015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-080015-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-080015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ175-080015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ176-080015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-080015-
Adak to Kiska-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-080015-
Kiska to Attu-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-080015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ180-080015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ181-080015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-080015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 AM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
611 
FZAK52 PAFC 072309
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-081215-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 nm west of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A 988 mb low 70 nm south of Kiska will gradually weaken to 1001 
mb as it tracks to 150 nm north of Dutch Harbor by Sun afternoon.
An associated front will persist over the eastern Bering and 
Alaska Peninsula through late Sat night.

$$

PKZ150-081215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-081215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt except SE 20 kt from the Shumagin Islands E.
Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-081215-
Bristol Bay-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-081215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt except SE 25 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-081215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-081215-
Unalaska Bay-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-081215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-081215-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-081215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 fwt. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-081215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ176-081215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.w
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-081215-
Adak to Kiska-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 13 ft. 
Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-081215-
Kiska to Attu-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-081215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-081215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ181-081215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-081215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
309 PM AKDT Fri Jul 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
618 
FZAK52 PAFC 081136
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-090015-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 nm west of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A 991 mb low 65 nm northwest of Adak moves 80 nm north of Cold Bay 
at 1005 mb by Mon morning. The associated front pushes across the 
Alaska Peninsula into the southern Gulf of Alaska through Mon 
morning. Weak high pressure slides into the Central Aleutians for Mon
morning.

$$

PKZ150-090015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ155-090015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt after midnight. E of the 
Shumagin Islands...SE wind 25 kt becoming S 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-090015-
Bristol Bay-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY through SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 3 ft increasing to 5 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-090015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-090015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-090015-
Unalaska Bay-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TODAY...S wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-090015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-090015-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-090015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-090015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ176-090015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-090015-
Adak to Kiska-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Bering Side...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Pacific Side...W 
wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft
subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-090015-
Kiska to Attu-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-090015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-090015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-090015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-090015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
336 AM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt...except SE 15 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. 
Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt...except NE 15 kt from Saint Matthew Island 
W. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$
297 
FZAK52 PAFC 082302
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-091145-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
Bogoslof Volcano 53 nm west of Dutch Harbor remains active.
A 994 mb low 120 nm north of Atka will move to 85 nm north of Cold 
Bay at 1005 mb by late Sun night and then cross into the Gulf of 
Alaska Mon morning. An associated front over the Alaska Peninsula 
push east into the Gulf on Sun. A 1000 mb low will move 400 nm 
southwest of Shemya Mon afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-091145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-091145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-091145-
Bristol Bay-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-091145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt except S 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-091145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-091145-
Unalaska Bay-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-091145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-091145-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-091145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-091145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-091145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-091145-
Adak to Kiska-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-091145-
Kiska to Attu-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-091145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-091145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.SUN...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming E after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-091145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-091145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
302 PM AKDT Sat Jul 8 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$
527 
FZAK52 PAFC 091139
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-100000-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 nm west of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A 997 mb low 110 nm south of St Paul Island moves 200 nm west of 
Sitka at 1008 mb by Tue morning. The associated front pushes across 
the Gulf of Alaska with the trailing front stretching south of the 
Aleutians associated to a 995 mb North Pacific low 290 nm southwest 
of Attu through Tue morning. 

$$

PKZ150-100000-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. W of Chirikof Island...SE wind 20 kt
becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. From Chirikof Island N...SW wind 15 kt 
becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-100000-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-100000-
Bristol Bay-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-100000-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-100000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-100000-
Unalaska Bay-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-100000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-100000-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-100000-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ175-100000-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-100000-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-100000-
Adak to Kiska-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-100000-
Kiska to Attu-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Dense fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ179-100000-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-100000-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-100000-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-100000-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
339 AM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$
407 
FZAK52 PAFC 092313
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-101145-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 1002 mb low 110 nm north of Dutch Harbor will weaken and cross 
into the Gulf of Alaska Mon morning. A series of fronts will move
over the western Bering Mon and Tue as a 994 mb low moves to 220 
nm southwest of Shemya by Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-101145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-101145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming SW wind 15 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. 
Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ160-101145-
Bristol Bay-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-101145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog. Rain showers.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ170-101145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ171-101145-
Unalaska Bay-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.

$$

PKZ172-101145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ173-101145-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ174-101145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ175-101145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-101145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-101145-
Adak to Kiska-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-101145-
Kiska to Attu-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-101145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ180-101145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-101145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ185-101145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
313 PM AKDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.MON...N wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...variable 10 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 6, 4:37 PM AKDT, 11 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 6, 4:37 PM AKDT, 11 hours 1 minute before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
437 PM AKDT Thu Jul 6 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The dominant weather feature this afternoon is the large upper
level low that is spinning south of the Gulf of Alaska. It is
with this low that shortwaves are readily evident on water vapor
imagery. The first is rotating across SE Alaska and is rounding
the Wrangalls this afternoon. This Easterly wave will bring the
first bout of precipitation to the region. The second wave, which
is also stronger, is rounding the base of the upper level low and
is anticipated to impact the region. This will keep the mutual
attraction of rain on the weekends continuing. At the surface this
afternoon Prince William Sound is socked in marine stratus with
the light easterly winds and weak ridging. Meanwhile across the
Anchorage region, puffy cumulus are noted on satellite imagery as
of the noon hour.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Synoptically speaking, models are in step with each other through
the weekend timeframe. Differences do not become readily apparent
until early next week. There are virtually no discernible
differences amongst guidance on the timing or intensity of a
surface low moving in the Gulf of Alaska this weekend. The same
can be said for a low and attendant front moving across the Bering
Sea/Aleutian Chain. In the short term, guidance agrees on the
time and location of evening showers but not completely with
convective showers/storms. An issue with convection is that
sometimes models struggle to adequately show the direct evolution
and movement of these storms. Higher resolution model guidance is
suggesting that parts of Anchorage may not see any rain tonight as
it clips the northern half of the city. Meanwhile, other guidance
shows anywhere from .1 to .2 inches of rain across the entire
city. Some of the noted differences into the weekend surround the
Sat/Sun timeframe and as to whether precip will not have a defined
back edge and will just linger. Model runs this afternoon were
the first to hint at that fact, leading to higher confidence to
rain ending early Sunday. Regardless, a higher confidence forecast
will continue through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will continue. Southeasterly Turnagain Arm
winds are expected to develop in the late afternoon/early evening
window. Shower chances increase overnight with VFR conditions
remaining.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Showers will increase tonight as an easterly wave moves into
Southcentral Alaska. The atmosphere ahead of this easterly wave
is fairly unstable. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are
expected this evening mainly north of Anchorage, but a
thunderstorm or two may be possible in the interior of the Kenai
Peninsula. Fairly dry conditions are expected Friday afternoon
through Friday night with weak ridging. A few thunderstorms are
possible over the Talkeetna Mountains Friday afternoon and
evening. A fairly strong and moist easterly wave will push into
the Copper River Basin Saturday morning, and then move rapidly
westward during the day, reaching the Anchorage area by late
afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure over mainland Alaska continues to block the front
over the Bering through Friday keeping the majority of the rain
away from the area. However, Friday afternoon a shortwave from the
east will undercut the ridging and bring showers to the Lower and
Middle Kuskokwim Valleys. This will be short lived and should
diminish overnight Friday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The stalled front over the eastern Bering is being reinforced by
another front that is pushing through the southern Bering and
is starting to merge with the first front. Even with the
reinforcement of the second front, the stalled front will still
be held up by high pressure over mainland Alaska bringing the
majority of its rain to the Eastern Aleutians and Alaska
Peninsula. The parent low for the second front is near the Western
Aleutians and is tracking east. It looks to make it to the
southern Bering on Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Next week will begin with an easterly wave moving out of
Southcentral Alaska into Southwest mainland Alaska as it rotates
around the upper level low in the Gulf. Another wave is expected
to move into the Copper River Basin on Monday but how far
westward it will make it is uncertain as the upper level low will
be splitting with part going into British Columbia and the rest
being absorbed into a low moving out of the Bering Sea southwest
of the Gulf of Alaska.

After this low moves south of the Gulf a ridge will begin to build
over western Alaska and into the interior of the state. Models are
varying on the strength of the ridge with the GFS building in a
stronger and more pronounced feature than the ECMWF. If the GFS
verifies well there should be a warm and dry period through the
middle to late portion of next week. Should the ECMWF be closer,
the break will be less impressive.
Either solution should  significantly warm up and dry our
southwest mainland Alaska by the middle of next week so there is
higher confidence in that section of the forecast area.
Stratus and fog are likely to continue throughout most of the
Bering Sea next week under the ridge.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...EZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 2:56 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.