Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2017

Small Craft Advisory 508, NWS Anchorage, AK

July 2, 2017

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 2, 2017, 3:38 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2017, 3:38 PM AKDT (23:38 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2017, 3:48 AM AKDT
In force
60 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

167 
FZAK52 PAFC 022338
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-031245-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 NM West of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A front over the eastern Bering will dissipate tonight. Another
front approaching the western and central Aleutians tonight will
progress to the central Bering Sea by Tue afternoon. High pressure
will build over the eastern Bering Sea through Tue.

$$

PKZ150-031245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ155-031245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ160-031245-
Bristol Bay-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-031245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-031245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-031245-
Unalaska Bay-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-031245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-031245-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-031245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-031245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-031245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-031245-
Adak to Kiska-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-031245-
Kiska to Attu-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 
ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-031245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-031245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-031245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-031245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
518 
FZAK52 PAFC 031129
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-040045-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 NM West of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A front approaching the western Aleutians this morning will 
progress to the central Aleutians/Bering by late tonight, then 
stall and begin to dissipate over the central Aleutians/Bering by
Tue night. A second front will quickly track through the western 
and central Aleutians/Bering Tue afternoon, then consolidate and 
reinforce the initial front by Wed morning. High pressure will 
build over the eastern Bering Sea through Wed.

$$

PKZ150-040045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-040045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ160-040045-
Bristol Bay-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-040045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt except NW 15 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-040045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-040045-
Unalaska Bay-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-040045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-040045-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ174-040045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-040045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-040045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-040045-
Adak to Kiska-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-040045-
Kiska to Attu-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-040045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-040045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-040045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-040045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
329 AM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... SE 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$
282 
FZAK52 PAFC 032349
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-041300-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
Bogoslof Volcano 53 NM West of Dutch Harbor remains active. A front 
over the southwestern Bering will move to the central Bering Tue 
then move to the eastern Bering Wed afternoon. A 998 mb low will 
form 140 nm north of Shemya Tue night and move to 320 nm north of 
Shemya at 997 mb Wed afternoon. 

$$

PKZ150-041300-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-041300-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-041300-
Bristol Bay-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-041300-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt except NW 15 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-041300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-041300-
Unalaska Bay-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-041300-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-041300-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-041300-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-041300-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ176-041300-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-041300-
Adak to Kiska-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ178-041300-
Kiska to Attu-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-041300-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-041300-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-041300-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-041300-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
349 PM AKDT Mon Jul 3 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SE 25 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
221 
FZAK52 PAFC 041158
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-050100-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 NM West of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A 990 mb low 350 nm west of Shemya moves 240 nm northeast of
Shemya at 997 mb Wed morning. This system moves 280 nm southwest
of Saint Matthew Island at 1000 mb Thu morning before dissipating
by Thu afternoon. An associated front over the western Bering 
moves to the northern/eastern Bering Wed morning before falling 
apart by Thu morning. A 993 mb low moves 130 nm south of Kiska
Thu morning moves 50 nm southeast of Kiska at 994 mb Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-050100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ155-050100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands
E. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-050100-
Bristol Bay-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-050100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt except NW 15 kt from Port Moller E.
Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt except SE 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 4
ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ170-050100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-050100-
Unalaska Bay-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-050100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-050100-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-050100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-050100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-050100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-050100-
Adak to Kiska-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ178-050100-
Kiska to Attu-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ179-050100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-050100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Patchy fog.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-050100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-050100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
358 AM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...SE 30 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
664 
FZAK52 PAFC 042349
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-051245-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

Bogoslof Volcano 53 NM West of Dutch Harbor remains active.

A 992 mb low 280 NM west of Attu will dissipate as it drifts 
north tonight. A 996 mb low will develop 270 NM northwest of Adak
late tonight and weaken to 998 mb as it moves to 320 NM north of 
Adak Wed afternoon before dissipating Wed night. A 989 mb low will
move to 220 NM south of Attu Thu morning and move to 70 NM west 
of Attu Thu afternoon at 987 mb.

$$

PKZ150-051245-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-051245-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-051245-
Bristol Bay-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-051245-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt except 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt except 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 4 
ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-051245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ171-051245-
Unalaska Bay-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy 
fog. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-051245-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 6 
ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ173-051245-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-051245-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ175-051245-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-051245-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ177-051245-
Adak to Kiska-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ178-051245-
Kiska to Attu-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 6 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ179-051245-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-051245-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt except 25 kt SW of Nunivak Island. Seas 6
ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-051245-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-051245-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
349 PM AKDT Tue Jul 4 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt except 15 kt W of Saint Matthew Island. 
Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$
371 
FZAK52 PAFC 051148
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-060100-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 997 mb low 170 nm northeast of Shemya moves 110 nm west of 
Saint Matthew Island at 1000 mb Thu morning before dissipating. A 
992 mb low moves to 140 nm south of Kiska Thu morning, then moves
to 130 nm northeast of Shemya at 991 mb Fri afternoon. An 
associated front enters the Central Aleutians Thu morning and 
extends from the Eastern Aleutians into the northern Bering by 
Friday morning.

$$

PKZ150-060100-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ155-060100-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt except variable 10 kt from the Shumagin
Islands E. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ160-060100-
Bristol Bay-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Patchy fog.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ165-060100-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt except SE 15 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
5 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt except SE 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
6 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt except SE 20 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 5
ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ170-060100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ171-060100-
Unalaska Bay-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. 
Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-060100-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ173-060100-
Nikloski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ174-060100-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-060100-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ176-060100-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Areas of fog.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-060100-
Adak to Kiska-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ178-060100-
Kiska to Attu-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ179-060100-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Areas of fog. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-060100-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ181-060100-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-060100-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
348 AM AKDT Wed Jul 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU...S wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...variable 10 kt W
of Saint Matthew Island. Seas 9 ft. Patchy fog.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 2, 6:31 AM AKDT, 9 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 6:31 AM AKDT, 9 hours 7 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
631 AM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A closed upper low over the Southern Gulf with multiple short-
waves rotating around the north side of the low continues to
influence the sensible weather over much of Southcentral Alaska
region. At the surface we are seeing weak low pressure over the
Gulf, and higher pressure along the northern Gulf Coast. Radar
imagery over the Southcentral area started to show rainy conditions
beginning to spread throughout the area early this morning, with
observations from around the area confirming the widespread
rainfall.

Out west, a nearly stationary closed low is centered over far
eastern Russia, with a trough extending southward across the
Bering Sea. A short-wave is rounding the base of the trough, which
is situated over Central & Eastern Aleutians. At the surface,
observations are showing some fog/stratus and showery conditions
over the Eastern Aleutians and the Bering Sea. While the Southwest
Alaska area is in a col region, with weak on-shore flow and
forcing. The thermal trough should extend southward again today,
from interior Alaska along the western Alaska Range. This will
help focus diurnal convection just west of the mountains.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models continue to struggle with details of the numerous upper
waves transiting Southcentral the next couple days. There is
general agreement that the primary corridor of steady rain this
morning through Monday will be from the western Copper Basin
southwestward across the Mat Valley, Anchorage, and the Kenai
Peninsula. Thus, confidence in periods of rain is high; while
details of timing of each wave as well as rainfall amounts remains
more uncertain.

There is increasing model agreement, and forecast confidence that
Bristol Bay will be impacted by at least one of these upper
waves, so we will trend the forecast to be wetter there beginning
this afternoon. However, the models are struggling with the
potential for convection this afternoon/evening over the interior
portions of the Bristol Bay area. Elsewhere, models are in good
agreement and forecast confidence is higher.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...As of early this morning, widespread rain has moved in
over the Anchorage area, and ceilings remain VFR. However,
Anchorage could end up in the sweet spot for rain, as a series of
waves move overhead today into Monday morning. If this scenario
were to pan out today and rain does line up overhead, MVFR
conditions may develop late this morning through the early evening
hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Radar this morning is showing a wide swath of rain impacting much
of the Anchorage Bowl, Matanuska Valley and the Susitna Valley. A
disturbance associated with the low in the Gulf is supporting the
rainfall this morning and has helped to saturate the airmass
across Southcentral overnight. Wet weather is expected to continue
throughout the day across much of Southcentral as a second wave
pushes from the east to west across the Copper River Basin this
afternoon and evening. Although the morning sounding is indicating
some decent lapse rates at mountain top level, cloud cover is
generally expected to be sufficient to limit convective
development today. A few lightning strikes are possible mainly
along the Alaska Range and the Talkeetna Range. On Monday,
rainfall will be lighter and less intense across much of the
region, as the low in the Gulf weakens and high pressure begins
to be established across the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An active afternoon is possible across portions of Southwest
Alaska this afternoon. Building upper level ridging will intensify
the thermal trough at the surface across Southwest Alaska.
Meanwhile, at the leading end of the ridge, upper level diffluence
ahead of an easterly wave will provide the lift and forcing for
thunderstorms.

Unfortunately there is considerable model spread in the chances of
storms. While the pattern is well agreed upon, the big question
remains how much cloud cover will there be and as such, how much
instability from the thermal trough will be realized this
afternoon. It appears there will be extensive cloud cover, but
with plenty of instability in the mid-levels, and plenty of
moisture, even brief periods of sunshine may be all that's needed
to get the atmosphere going in the thunderstorm production
department. Another limiting factor is that the atmosphere may
not be able to become unstable enough in the upper levels, in
which case any developing storms will be low-topped and be
relatively benign.

Thus, the range of possibilities is that if there is
less cloud cover, or even potentially if a few storms can clear
the other clouds around it long enough for the instability to
increase to lead to additional storms, then there may be
considerably more coverage of the storms than just widely
scattered. If the clouds remain steadfast and don't break, it's
possible only some towering cumulus develop and precipitation only
develops later when the storm threat has ended. Needless to say,
confidence in the storm coverage and intensity this afternoon is
low.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Generally benign weather is expected over the Bering through
tonight with no really strong weather systems or advection
patterns in place. A weak front over the eastern Bering will
dissipate as it slowly moves towards the coast.

On Monday, all attention turns to the Aleutians as a warm front at
the leading edge of a very warm mid-level air mass moves into the
area. A strong storm centered well west of the Bering will bring
a slug of very warm air (13 degrees Celsius at 850 mb) across the
western Bering. Warm air on strong winds overlaying the relatively
cold waters of the Bering are many of the ingredients needed for
widespread advection fog to develop. The warm advection will also
increase the lift above the front, thus increasing the chances of
precipitation through many of the same areas. The setup is not
favorable for convection, but rather prolonged steady light rain.
The fog threat will persist into Tuesday, after which the whole
air mass over the Bering should cool enough to end the fog threat,
as the ridging responsible for the very warm air pushes eastward
over the North Pacific and disconnects from the air mass over the
Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7)...
Heading into the middle portion of next week, an upper level ridge
moves in over the mainland, while an upper level low follows
behind it in the Western Bering, and the upper level low
previously in the northern Gulf slides off into Southeast. This
will lead to a drying/offshore flow for the mainland Wednesday and
Thursday, while a strong front with a fair bit of precipitation
marches across the Aleutians during the same time-frame. By
Thursday/Friday, more uncertainty creeps into the forecast as the
aforementioned front approaches the Southwest Alaska coastline.
At the upper levels, the models are in disagreement about the
strength and positioning of the upper level ridge, which affects
whether the front will fall apart as it reaches the aforementioned
region. To further complicate matters, the upper level low over
Southeast may swing some instability northward towards the Copper
River Basin, which would aid in showers and potential for
thunderstorms over the weekend. Current thinking is that the ridge
will hold a bit longer over the mainland than the previous model
runs seemed to indicate, which would cause the front to deteriorate
as it approaches the Southwest Alaska coastline. There is slightly
more confident in showers over the Copper River basin through the
weekend, as offshore flow with upper level instability is an
excellent set up for that to occur. For the current forecast, will
use a blend of the current EC/GFS runs, which will also concur
with WPC guidance.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
LONG TERM...LF

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 2, 10:11 AM AKDT, 5 hours 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
1011 AM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-171-031400-
Anchorage-Matanuska Valley-Western Kenai Peninsula-
Western Prince William Sound-Northeast Prince William Sound-
Southeast Prince William Sound-Copper River Basin-Susitna Valley-
Kodiak Island-
Including the cities of Anchorage, Eagle River, Indian, Eklutna,
Palmer, Wasilla, Sutton, Chickaloon, Kenai, Soldotna, Homer,
Cooper Landing, Whittier, Seward, Girdwood, Moose Pass, Valdez,
Thompson Pass, Cordova, Glennallen, Eureka, McCarthy, Paxson,
Slana, Talkeetna, Willow, Cantwell, and Kodiak City
1011 AM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

...Much warmer and drier weather on the way for the 4th of July
and beyond...

Cool and wet conditions across Southcentral today and Monday will
give way to much warmer and drier conditions starting Tuesday and
lasting through the week.

Tuesday may start out mostly cloudy, but sunshine will become more
and more abundant as the day wears on, clearing from the Susitna
and Matanuska Valleys southward to Anchorage and the Kenai
Peninsula. There is a slight chance of a few late day showers
along the Talkeetna Mountains south to the Chugach Mountains, but
most of these areas will be dry and sunny.

The Copper River Basin southward to Valdez and Cordova will stay
cloudier, with showers (and perhaps a few thunderstorms) likely
moving through during the day.

All of Southcentral Alaska, including Kodiak Island, will be
warmer on Tuesday with temperatures generally in the 60s along
the coast and 70s inland. The warmest conditions are expected in
the Susitna Valley, where temperatures may reach the upper 70s.

The warm and mostly dry weather pattern looks like it will hold
through at least the end of the week. There may still be some
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms forming on area
mountains, but sunshine will be abundant for the valleys.
Special weather statement, Jul 2, 1:53 PM AKDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
National Weather Service ANCHORAGE AK
153 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

AKZ185-030100-
Eastern Aleutians-
Including the cities of Unalaska and Nikolski
153 PM AKDT Sun Jul 2 2017

...Trace of ash possible on Unalaska Island including Unalaska
through the afternoon...

Satellite has detected an eruption at Bogoslof Volcano. Winds
remain favorable to possibly bring a trace or dusting of ash from
the volcano to Unalaska Island, including Unalaska, over the next
few hours.

Avoid excessive exposure to ash, especially those with respiratory
sensitivities. Protect critical electronics and other equipment
from contamination.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 3:56 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.