Small Craft Advisory 3, NWS Anchorage, AK

423 
FZAK51 PAFC 011654 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

UPDATED ZONES 127 128 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020415-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN NORTH GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST
ALASKA REMAINS THROUGH TUE MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE GULF
OF ALASKA THROUGH TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-020415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020415-
PORT VALDEZ-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020415-
VALDEZ ARM-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020415-
CHINIAK BAY-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-020415-
MARMOT BAY-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG AND FREEZING FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

-020400-

750 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY
FREEZING FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
2 FT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
754 AM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FREEZING FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

045 
FZAK51 PAFC 020001
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021315-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF AND A TROUGH OF LOWER
PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ119-021315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY 
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021315-
PORT VALDEZ-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021315-
VALDEZ ARM-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT NEAR WHITTIER INCREASING
TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021315-
CHINIAK BAY-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING 
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021315-
MARMOT BAY-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
PATCHY FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-021315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
301 PM AKST SUN JAN 1 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

135 
FZAK51 PAFC 021304
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030200-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A TROUGH LINGERS OVER THE EASTERN NORTH GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST
ALASKA THROUGH WED MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
SLIPS WESTWARD THROUGH WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-030200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030200-
PORT VALDEZ-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030200-
VALDEZ ARM-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030200-
CHINIAK BAY-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030200-
MARMOT BAY-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
404 AM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

862 
FZAK51 PAFC 030023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031330-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE PERSISTS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH
WED AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA DRIFTS WESTWARD
THROUGH WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-031330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER DELTA.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER
DELTA IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-031330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT NW 15 KT ALONG THE COAST. SEAS
6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-031330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-031330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-031330-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ127-031330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-031330-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-031330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-031330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-031330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-031330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-031330-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-031330-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-031330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-031330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-031330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. AREAS OF
FREEZING FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-031330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST MON JAN 2 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
359 PM AKST Sat Dec 31 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Big change in the upper level pattern from the past week, as a
strong ridge has now parked itself over the mainland and is the
dominating weather feature for much of the AOR. To the far west,
over the Kamchatka peninsula, a fully developed low pressure
system is moving northward towards the Chukchi sea. Between the
low in the western Bering and the high over the mainland, a cold
front is moving across the Bering sea, and tightening the gradient
between as it does so. This is bringing some gusty winds to the
Pribilofs and the Eastern Aleutians this morning. Along the west
coast, precipitation is moving in behind the warm front. This has
been starting as snow, but rapidly changing to rain in many
locations. Meanwhile, in the east, weak drainage flow overnight
has kept fog at bay and the only weather in the area are some high
clouds spilling over the top of the ridge.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in good agreement today for the short term. The timing
on the front moving through the AK Pen and Pribilofs has slowed
slightly from the previous run but overall consistency is good.
NAM was chosen for adjustments on both east and west today.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...With high pressure in place, fog is the big question of the
day. Yesterday light drainage flow mixed the air column enough
that fog was unable to form...there is some question whether that
will continue tonight. Models indicate increasing stability after
03z, however high cloud may prevent fog from forming over the
inlet. If fog does form, movement into PANC will be difficult to
predict. Therefore decided to go with VCFG for now.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A much quieter weather pattern has arrived for Southcentral for
the next few days, as surface high pressure takes control over the
area. The development of fog and low level marine stratus remains
the biggest forecast challenge, with continued low confidence as
to if and when it may develop under the building high pressure.
The 12Z Model soundings continue to show drier air through much of
the column, especially in the lower levels. This in combination
with persistent offshore flow, leads us to believe most of
Southcentral will remain fog- free through the weekend. However,
there is uncertainty as to if fog will develop along Cook Inlet
and sheltered valleys tonight, as the atmosphere decouples and
surface winds continue to diminish. Models still indicate
conditions will be too dry for widespread fog, but patchy fog
along Cook Inlet and in sheltered valleys is not totally out of
the question, especially given increasing stability and the ever-
present moisture source of Knik Arm.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The stalled front along the Kuskokwim Delta diminishes overnight,
however scattered rain showers inland will initiate along a weak
upper wave that moves ahead of the low in the northern Bering.
The coastal areas should see continuous showers through Sunday as
the next front moves to the coast just after midnight. Strong gusty
winds which developed this afternoon across the Kuskokwim Delta
and the Alaska Peninsula along a tightening pressure gradient are
expected to peak tonight and then taper slightly but continue to
gust through Monday. This front spreads slowly east Sunday
afternoon bringing light rain across to Bethel and south to around
Dillingham. A strong ridge along the western Gulf blocks the front
Sunday night and thus it becomes stationary into Monday evening.
The surface low in the Bering continues to be dominant with a
residing ridge over the Gulf keeping flow generally out of the
south.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Strong gusty winds across the Pribilofs and eastern Aleutians
taper down during the evening as the front moves toward the
Southwest coast. Storm force winds develop along the eastern
waters this evening as the front shifts toward the coast and
stalls through Monday. Winds taper down to gales early Sunday
morning as the associated surface low moves off to the north. Cold
air advection moves in along southwesterly flow behind the front
bringing cold enough temperatures for precipitation to change over
to snow for the western half of the Bering tonight. The next front
moves up from the North Pacific tonight tracking north across the
western and Central Aleutians early Sunday. This front diminishes
by Monday as the upper low becomes an open wave on it's track
north to the Bering Strait.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7/Monday night through Saturday)...

An anomalously strong blocking ridge centered over the Gulf of
Alaska early next week will retrograde westward as energy rides
over-top of it Tuesday and Wednesday. It will then connect up
with a separate ridge moving into the Bering Sea Wednesday night,
ending up as an equally strong blocking ridge over the Eastern
Bering Sea.

The primary uncertainty with this pattern is with handling of a
short-wave moving over the ridge Tuesday/Tuesday night, advecting
the remnants of the front along the Southwest coast inland to
interior Alaska. With a fairly narrow zone of precipitation along
the front, there is some question about where this zone will be
as it all heads inland.

Elsewhere, there is high confidence in a prolonged dry spell over
Southcentral Alaska and Kodiak Island, on the order of 7 days or
longer. The air mass underneath the ridge will be quite mild early
to mid week, so expect temperatures near or slightly above normal.
The wild card will be fog/stratus, which will likely form over the
Gulf of Alaska and Cook Inlet regions. This would limit
radiational cooling and maintain a very narrow diurnal temperature
range. As the ridge becomes repositioned farther west mid to late
next week that will open the gates for some arctic air to advect
southward into Southcentral, though models continue to differ on
the extent of cooling. In any case expect colder temps later in
the week along with development of offshore flow and gap winds.

Meanwhile, the storm track will remain over the far west, from the
northwest Pacific to western Bering Sea, the eastern periphery of
systems clipping the western Aleutians.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High wind warning 195
MARINE...Storm Warning 180 181 185
         Gale Warning 155 165 170-172 175 177 178 179

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...SEB