Small Craft Advisory 256, NWS Anchorage, AK

921 
FZAK51 PAFC 280250
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281515-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 994 MB LOW 25 NM EAST OF SEWARD WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE KENAI 
PENINSULA TONIGHT. A 991 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL 
MOVE TO 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 995 MB TUE AFTERNOON THEN MOVE
TO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AT 996 MB TUE NIGHT. THE LOW WILL 
THEN MOVE INLAND WED AFTERNOON NORTH OF WHITTIER.

$$

PKZ119-281515-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-281515-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-281515-
RESURRECTION BAY-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-281515-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-281515-
PORT VALDEZ-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-281515-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-281515-
VALDEZ ARM-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-281515-
PASSAGE CANAL-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-281515-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-281515-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-281515-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-281515-
CHINIAK BAY-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-281515-
MARMOT BAY-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-281515-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-281515-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-281515-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-281515-
KACHEMAK BAY-
650 PM AKDT MON MAR 27 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

122 
FZAK51 PAFC 281140
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290045-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD TROUGH STRETCHED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WILL CONSOLIDATE
TO A 994 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS 
LOW WILL TRACK NORTH AND INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LATE TONIGHT. 
A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WED 
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-290045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290045-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290045-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290045-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-290045-
MARMOT BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-290045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

530 
FZAK51 PAFC 281522
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290315-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A BROAD TROUGH STRETCHED ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF WILL CONSOLIDATE
TO A 994 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS 
LOW WILL TRACK NORTH AND INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND LATE TONIGHT. 
A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF WED 
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-290315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290315-
PORT VALDEZ-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290315-
VALDEZ ARM-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290315-
CHINIAK BAY-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-290315-
MARMOT BAY-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-290315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
722 AM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

803 
FZAK51 PAFC 282347
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291315-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 995 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO WESTERN
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT THEN MOVE INLAND WED MORNING. A 
FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WED NIGHT AND MOVE 
TO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA BY THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-291315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-291315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-291315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-291315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-291315-
PORT VALDEZ-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-291315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-291315-
VALDEZ ARM-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-291315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-291315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-291315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 
FT.
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-291315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-291315-
CHINIAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-291315-
MARMOT BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-291315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-291315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-291315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-291315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
347 PM AKDT TUE MAR 28 2017

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

356 
FZAK51 PAFC 291136
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300045-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 997 MB LOW 25 NM SOUTH OF WHITTIER MOVES INLAND WED AFTERNOON. 
A TROUGH EXTENDS OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST AND WESTERN GULF OF 
ALASKA THROUGH THU MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER SOUTHEASTERN
ALASKA THROUGH THU AFTERNOON. A FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF 
MIDDAY THU AND MOVES TO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-300045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. N OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT
BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-300045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-300045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 
KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER 
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-300045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-300045-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-300045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-300045-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-300045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-300045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-300045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-300045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ136-300045-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-300045-
MARMOT BAY-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-300045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-300045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-300045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-300045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 AM AKDT WED MAR 29 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
430 AM AKDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The large upper level low over the Bering persists with an upper
level low centered around 50N to the south of the eastern Aleutians.
An associated frontal system is lifting towards, but remains south
of the eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula. Over mainland Alaska,
a broad, cold upper trough extends from the Arctic Coast south to an
upper low centered over the Kenai Peninsula and Kodiak Island.
Precipitation associated with a surface low in the northern Gulf
extends across the northern Gulf coast and is pushing into Prince
William Sound.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models struggle with the finer scale details of the pattern shift
beginning during the first half of this week. Specifically there
are large differences in the handling of the various weak surface
lows moving into and through the Gulf. The model uncertainty
likely stems from resolution issues dealing with all of the
small, weak lows and the question of how the low in the
Southeastern Gulf will interact with the trough swinging into the
western Gulf.

By Wednesday models begin converging on a solution of the broader
low complex lifting north into Southcentral Alaska with model
confidence improving into Thursday regarding the front approaching
the Alaska Peninsula and western Gulf.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Today marks the gradual change in the pattern across Southcentral.
The upper long wave trough which has been parked across the
Southcentral will slowly retrograde westward. This will bring a
shift to a more southerly flow aloft and allow moisture from the
Gulf to spread west of the Chugach Mountains. The first wave
moving west across the Gulf today will bring snow to much of the
Gulf coast(mixed with rain in a few places along the immediate
coast) and the eastern Kenai. Snow showers will likely spread
across the Chugach Mountains into the Anchorage Bowl by afternoon,
though western Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley are not
expected to see measurable snowfall at this point. Snow showers
will diminish across southcentral overnight as the low weakens.

Another developing low over the North Pacific heads toward the
northern Gulf late Tuesday and brings another shot at snow and
rain the Gulf and possibly a better change of measurable snowfall
across the Anchorage Bowl and Matanuska Valley. However, the
models are differing on the speed and position of this low. So
confidence is low on the timing of precipitation and location.
&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Cold and quiet weather continue to be the name of the game across
Southwest Alaska as northerly offshore flow continues to pump dry
polar air southward across the area. An upper level low and
associated trough currently over the western Gulf will gradually
push northwestward into Southwest Alaska. The center of the upper
level low represents the core of the coldest air. Thus, an
approaching upper level low spells out cooling temperatures.
However, during the day, a good amount of that cooling will be
offset by the strong late March sun, which will remain out in full
force for most areas. The lone exception will be late Monday
night into Tuesday for areas along the Alaska Range, as mid-level
moisture from a low over Southcentral spills over the mountains,
increasing cloud cover. At night, winds in most areas should
average in the 5-10 mph range, keeping full radiational cooling
from taking effect. Falling low temperatures over the next few
nights should be expected, with any sheltered locations having no
trouble dropping below 0.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

A gale-force front parked south of the Eastern Aleutians will
rapidly weaken during the day today as the parent low retreats
south into the North Pacific. The upper-level rex block over the
Bering will break down over the next two days and the upper level
high and associated ridging will push south and weaken. The
resulting change in the sensible weather will be fairly benign, as
the pattern of stratus over the central Bering becomes more
convective with cold advection. Polar high pressure will persist
over the northern and eastern Bering, keeping any threats of
precipitation at nil. The only precipitation to be found once the
front weakens will be in the western Bering and Aleutians, as weak
upper level lows keep widely scattered showers passing through
that area.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The only significant change to the long range was to increase the
POPS along the North Gulf Coast and Prince William Sound into the
Copper River Basin Tuesday night and Wednesday. A surface low is
moving from the gulf into Prince William Sound beginning Tuesday
supported by an upper level low. The models continue to hold the
precipitation along and east of the Kenai and Chugach Mountains.

Over the Bering Sea, Aleutians and western Alaska we will see a
big pattern change by the middle to end of this week as a large
potent low will move toward the Alaska Peninsula Thursday and
Friday. The models are in good overall agreement with this
solution through Friday. The latest model run does begin to
converge on this low moving over the southwest mainland Saturday,
although the position and intensity of the low vary a bit. Models
are struggling to converge on a solution for the location and
intensity of a low south of the Aleutians. At this point we stuck
with nudging the current forecast toward the ensemble solution
making minor changes to the forecast.

Overall the pattern is shifting and will bring a more active
weather pattern and likely warmer temperatures to the southern
Mainland and Alaska Peninsula.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales...155 172 174.
         Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 179 185 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JW
LONG TERM...SA