Small Craft Advisory 211, NWS Anchorage, AK

504 
FZAK51 PAFC 112344
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121245-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE GULF GRADUALLY WEAKENS THROUGH SUN 
EVENING. A 995 MB LOW DEVELOPS 110 NM EAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUN
NIGHT AND MOVES TO 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND AT 994 MB 
MON AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ119-121245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-121245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-121245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-121245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-121245-
PORT VALDEZ-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-121245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-121245-
VALDEZ ARM-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-121245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-121245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-121245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-121245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...WIND N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-121245-
CHINIAK BAY-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-121245-
MARMOT BAY-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-121245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-121245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-121245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-121245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
244 PM AKST SAT MAR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

125 
FZAK51 PAFC 121158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-130115-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 989 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA
SUN NIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AND CONSOLIDATE INTO A 993 MB LOW 
CENTER 150 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND BY TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-130115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-130115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-130115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5  FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-130115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-130115-
PORT VALDEZ-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ127-130115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-130115-
VALDEZ ARM-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ129-130115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING 
TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-130115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-130115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-130115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NW 35 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-130115-
CHINIAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-130115-
MARMOT BAY-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-130115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-130115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 
BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-130115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 25 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-130115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT SUN MAR 12 2017

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
323 PM AKST Fri Mar 10 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A closed high in the upper-levels over the eastern Bering
continues to keep the weather pattern quiet over Alaska. The ridge
axis extends along the northwest coast of the state, putting the
southern mainland under offshore northerly flow downstream of the
ridge axis. Satellite imagery shows some mid and upper-level
clouds wrapping around the ridge axis into parts of Interior and
Southwest Alaska. Most of this wrap-around moisture is not making
it south of the Talkeetna and Alaska Ranges however, so
Southcentral is enjoying another mainly sunny day. Gusty outflow
winds over Thompson Pass and the Copper River Delta are subsiding
as surface high pressure over the mainland begins to weaken.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models remain in good agreement under high
pressure again today. No significant changes in the East. In the
West, NAM Nest was used to bring higher winds in later on
Saturday. Forecast confidence continues to be high with the
pattern change expected next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions with continued offshore northerly winds
throughout the day.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Surface ridging across the mainland brings dry and slightly
warmer conditions through the beginning of next week. Winds
generally will stay in a light offshore pattern with typical
gusts along north to south oriented gaps. On Sunday into Monday,
gap winds are expected to increase as low pressure develops across
the east gulf causing the pressure gradient to tighten. This will
also bring stronger north flow along the gulf waters and Cook
Inlet.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Sunny skies, near normal temperatures and diminishing northerly
winds will be the story throughout the Southwest Mainland through
Saturday as Rex block sets up over the Bering Sea. Starting
Sunday this Rex block will shift westward, allowing for a
tightening pressure gradient and increasing northerly winds,
especially along higher elevations around Bristol Bay.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The period of very quiet weather over much of the Bering Sea will
continue into this weekend as a broad Rex block remains overhead.
This will allow winds throughout the region to fall below gale
force this evening with no chance of precipitation in the short
term. This may allow for stratus development over the Western
Bering where the strongest stability exists, however with dry
boundary layers no fog is expected.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7...Mon through Fri)...
A pattern change will slowly unfold. This will occur as the ridge
over the Bering very slowly creeps to the west and allows more
energy to spill over the mainland. The energy helps to carve out a
deep longwave trough that will extend from the Arctic through the
Gulf of AK. Within this trough will be plenty of very cold air.
850hPa temperatures over the Interior look to drop to just as or
nearly as cold as they were during the past week. It does look
like the AK Range blocks much of this cold air from intruding into
Southcentral AK. But Southwest AK will not be so fortunate with
low temperatures looking to plunge well below zero by the middle
of next week (13017) March. As this colder air works in, there
could be some light snow that makes it over the ridge. The more
likely impact will be some gusty winds with the robust cold air
advection. And certainly as this cold air spills off the edge of
the ice pack over the open Bering waters, there will be widespread
snow showers spreading across the Aleutians.

The other interesting aspect of the pattern change will be lower
pressure developing in the northern Gulf of AK. There is still a
fair amount of uncertainty with any surface low center that would
develop. However, it does look like enough moisture will make it
back in to the coastal areas that we have increased the snow
chances across that region. If moisture can swing far enough west
into the very cold air, it could lead to some snow threats for
interior portions of Southcentral towards the latter half of next
week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RD
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...MO