Gale Warning 600, NWS Anchorage, AK

257 
FZAK51 PAFC 060056
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-061415-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 mb low 280 nm south of Middleton Island moves to 540 nm
southwest of Sitka at 985 mb Tue afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-061415-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ120-061415-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 10 ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-061415-
Resurrection Bay-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt developing 
after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ125-061415-
Prince William Sound-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt out of northern bays and
passes after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-061415-
Port Valdez-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt early increasing to 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt 
developing after midnight. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt with gusts to 40 kt increasing to 35 kt with 
gusts to 55 kt in the afternoon. 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ127-061415-
Valdez Narrows-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 45 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ128-061415-
Valdez Arm-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas building to 6 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-061415-
Passage Canal-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts to
20 kt developing near Whittier increasing to 30 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-061415-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt early increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 16
ft.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-061415-
Barren Islands East-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt early increasing to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-061415-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt early increasing to 45 kt. Seas building to 14
ft.
.MON...N wind 45 kt except N 40 kt N of Dangerous Cape. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-061415-
Chiniak Bay-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas building to 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-061415-
Marmot Bay-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 8 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-061415-
Shelikof Strait-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of bays and 
passes in the evening. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-061415-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 35 kt. Seas building to 14 ft.
.MON...N wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft building to 18 ft in the
afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-061415-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 13 ft.
.MON...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-061415-
Kachemak Bay-
356 PM AKST Sun Nov 5 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt early increasing to 30 kt. Seas building to 4
ft.
.MON...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after
midnight.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

369 
FZAK51 PAFC 061243
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-070130-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 mb low 340 nm Southeast of Kodiak City intensifies to 978 
mb as it moves into the North Pacific through Wed morning. The 
associated front slips across Southeastern Alaska by Wed morning. 
High pressure eases along the Western and Northern Gulf Coasts 
for Wed morning. 

$$

PKZ119-070130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Gusts to 55 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt toward morning. 
Gusts to 60 kt out of the Copper River Delta. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-070130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt toward morning. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-070130-
Resurrection Bay-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ125-070130-
Prince William Sound-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt by afternoon. 
Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 3 ft building 
to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt toward morning. 
Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes in the morning. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-070130-
Port Valdez-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt with gusts to 35 kt increasing to 35 kt 
with gusts to 55 kt by afternoon. Seas 3 ft building to 6 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 4 ft after midnight.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ127-070130-
Valdez Narrows-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 45 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ128-070130-
Valdez Arm-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft building to 7 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ129-070130-
Passage Canal-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier diminishing 
to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the morning. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-070130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ131-070130-
Barren Islands East-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-070130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 45 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ136-070130-
Chiniak Bay-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 6 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-070130-
Marmot Bay-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-070130-
Shelikof Strait-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-070130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 14 ft subsiding to 8 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-070130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. 
Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after midnight. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ141-070130-
Kachemak Bay-
343 AM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

533 
FZAK51 PAFC 070027
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-071330-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 979 mb low 480 nm southwest of Kodiak City moves into the North
Pacific by Wed night. An associated front moves into Southeastern
Alaska by Wed night.

$$

PKZ119-071330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Gusts to 60 
kt out of the Copper River Delta during the evening.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-071330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-071330-
Resurrection Bay-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-071330-
Prince William Sound-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and 
passes. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-071330-
Port Valdez-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Gusts to 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-071330-
Valdez Narrows-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-071330-
Valdez Arm-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-071330-
Passage Canal-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 40 kt near Whittier diminishing 
to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-071330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft
subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-071330-
Barren Islands East-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
13 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-071330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-071330-
Chiniak Bay-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-071330-
Marmot Bay-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-071330-
Shelikof Strait-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-071330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 16 ft subsiding to 10 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-071330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 8 ft after
midnight. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of
freezing fog.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-071330-
Kachemak Bay-
327 PM AKST Mon Nov 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

577 
FZAK51 PAFC 071250
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-080115-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
High pressure will build over the Gulf as a low exits across 
the Northeast Pacific through Wed. 

$$

PKZ119-080115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of the Copper River 
Delta diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ120-080115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-080115-
Resurrection Bay-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 30 kt in the early morning. Seas 4 ft subsiding to 
2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-080115-
Prince William Sound-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt by late morning. 
Gusts to 30 kt out of bays and passes in the morning. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-080115-
Port Valdez-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Gusts to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ127-080115-
Valdez Narrows-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 35 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-080115-
Valdez Arm-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-080115-
Passage Canal-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt by afternoon. 
Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier in the morning. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.WED...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-080115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-080115-
Barren Islands East-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-080115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-080115-
Chiniak Bay-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-080115-
Marmot Bay-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...W wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-080115-
Shelikof Strait-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-080115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NW 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-080115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
Areas of freezing fog.
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. 
Areas of freezing fog.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-080115-
Kachemak Bay-
350 AM AKST Tue Nov 7 2017

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
437 PM AKDT Sat Nov 4 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level ridge is moving eastward and is over the Copper
River Basin this afternoon. The shortwave digging southward from
the Chukchi Sea is on track to move over the Kuskokwim Valley
tonight and over Southcentral on Sunday. Good northerly flow aloft
is in place behind this trough and that will likely begin to play
a part in the weather over southern Alaska late Sunday into
Tuesday. Surface high pressure remains over most of the Bering Sea
with a front in the western Bering Sea which is progressing
eastward.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in very good synoptic agreement today with all
solutions pointing to a strong consolidated low in the Gulf by
Sunday evening. Timing for snow in Southcentral for tonight into
Sunday is very similar on all models with the upper level low
cutting off by Sunday afternoon and ending the widespread
precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...The VFR conditions this afternoon and evening are the
break from the low clouds and fog that have pestered the area the
past few days. Conditions will lower again as snow moves into the
area tonight. Heaviest snow will likely not be until tomorrow
morning so conditions may remain at MVFR levels a good portion of
the night before dropping to IFR for both visibility and ceilings
for most of tomorrow morning. conditions will slowly improve
Sunday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Sun and
Mon)...

All signs continue to point to a decent snow set-up starting
tonight and continuing through Sun for just about all of South
Central. Moisture continues to stream up from the North Pacific
while our upper level trough is progressing over the western half
of the state. Precipitation should start over the southern Kenai
and coastal areas this evening, followed closely by the western
Susitna Valley. Precipitation should start right around midnight
for much of the Anchorage area. Precipitation type at the onset
will prove a bit challenging. Warmer temperatures along coastal
locations (Homer, Seward, etc.) could allow things to start out as
rain before turning to snow by midday Sun. For Anchorage, it does
look like there could be just enough warm southeast flow off of
the Turnagain Arm to cause things to start out as a rain/snow mix
for West Anchorage. This will be quite short-lived though as
down-inlet flow increases right around midnight and all
precipitation should turn over to snow. The best snow accumulation
period looks to be from the early dawn hours Sunday through late
morning. Snow amounts should rather uniform across the area with
generally 3-5" for areas from the northern Kenai Peninsula through
the Susitna Valley. The Matanuska Valley will be on the lower end
of this because of the track of the system. A deformation band
could set up on the west side of the system as cold air starts to
dig in in earnest. Right now it looks as if this would occur over
Mount Susitna and into the Cook Inlet, where a few extra inches
would be possible. By Sun afternoon, snow will taper off to
showers and come to an end by Sun evening.

Behind the snow, expect cold and gusty winds to develop. A strong
offshore gradient will cause winds to rapidly increase Sun
afternoon into Sun night. This will make for very strong winds
through the typical gaps (Thompson Pass, Valdez, Seward, Shelikof)
to start the week. With fresh snow on the ground, this could
create some pockets of blowing snow in parts of South Central.
This event looks to peak on late Mon into Tue, so please see the
long-term discussion for more details.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

A frontal boundary will continue to slide across Southwest Alaska
tonight. Cold air advection has begun to filter in behind the
front and at some point this evening the cold air advection will
begin to move out ahead of the front. This will allow for rainfall
to transition to snowfall east of Bethel and north of King Salmon.
It currently looks like 2 to 4 inches of snowfall will be possible
near the Alaska Range with only around an inch being observed near
Iliamna. The shot of snowfall will be pretty quick as a strong
upper level trough shifts the front into Southcentral Alaska but
it wouldn't be shocking to see snow showers continue along the
Alaska Range through Sunday evening. Otherwise, a return to more
seasonable temperatures is expected Sunday and into the beginning
of the next work week with clearing skies and another round of
high pressure setting up. This time, with colder air advecting
southward, fog will not be a concern.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

Another day and another front is approaching the western Bering
Sea. A weakening low pressure system over Kamchatka will push a
front into the far western bering Sea late tonight. While this
front will be initially rather unimpressive, it will phase with
another low that will move quickly into the Bering from the north
Pacific Sunday afternoon. This will help bring a swath of 35 to 45
kt winds to the western half of the Bering Sea and an influx of
subtropical moisture. The front will struggle to move eastward as
it clashes with a ridge of high pressure over the eastern Bering
Sea but it should make steady progress eastward through Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Tuesday through Saturday)...

As the low in the North Pacific shifts further south, deep
northerly flow will establish itself over the Mainland Monday
night. An upper-level wave will linger along the northern Gulf
Coast Monday night through Tuesday night, providing upper-level
support for a fairly strong outflow wind event. The setup for a
mountain wave event Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon in the
Valdez area is looking increasingly favorable. We will be
monitoring this potential closely over the next few couple of days
as this could potentially bring warning level winds into the town
of Valdez. Winds will peak Monday night through Tuesday
morning, then generally subside through Tuesday afternoon as the
pressure gradient slackens and a ridge axis moves overhead. By
Tuesday night, the ridge will erode as a series of shortwaves
approach from the west. These shortwaves will bring some more
clouds to Southcentral and a return of the chance for some
isolated showers through Thursday. Offshore flow will return
Friday as another outflow event sets up.

Over Southwest Alaska and the Bering Sea, the dominant ridge will
break down early next week. A front over the eastern Bering Sea
Monday night will weaken as it moves onshore Tuesday, bringing
some rain and snow inland. Behind the front over the Bering Sea,
cold air will begin to filter out of Russia and into the Bering
Sea. This will destabilize the atmosphere and re- introduce
convective showers to the Bering Sea as a series of upper-level
disturbances push east Tuesday through Thursday.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 120 127 130-132 136-138 150 177 178 185 351 411-413.
         Storm 352.
&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MSO
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...RSD