Gale Warning 578, NWS Anchorage, AK

857 
FZAK61 PAFC 190035
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
335 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-191415-
335 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 988 mb low will move to 58N 151W by Sun morning then it will
move to 57N 150W as it intensifies to 973 mb Sun afternoon. It will 
then move to 52N 151W at 982 mb by Mon afternoon. 

$$

PKZ351-191415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
335 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind up to 15 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 5
ft. Snow.
.SUN...S to E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 21 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW wind up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ352-191415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
335 PM AKST Sat Nov 18 2017

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.SUN...S to W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft building to 9 to 16 
ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 35 to 50 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas
12 to 20 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

110 
FZAK61 PAFC 191231
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
331 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-200200-
331 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 988 mb low at 58N 153W moves to 54N 149W at 966 mb Mon morning 
then it moves into the North Pacific through Tue morning.

$$

PKZ351-200200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
331 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 4 to 12 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 21 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.TUE...N wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ352-200200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
331 AM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 to 50 kt becoming SE after midnight. Seas
11 to 22 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 18 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

440 
FZAK61 PAFC 200034
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
334 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-201400-
334 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 975 mb low near 57N 148W will track to 52N 150W Mon afternoon then
continue to move south and out of the area.

$$

PKZ351-201400-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
334 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 15 to 21 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 10 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.TUE...NE wind up to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ352-201400-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
334 PM AKST Sun Nov 19 2017

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 35 to 50 kt becoming S 20 kt after midnight. West
of 150W...W wind 35 to 50 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 15 to 
24 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON...N to E wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain and snow.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 to 40 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.

$$

573 
FZAK61 PAFC 201251
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-210300-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 967 mb low near 55N 148W will exit into the North Pacific by Tue
morning.

$$

PKZ351-210300-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 11 to 17 ft.
.TUE...NE wind up to 20 kt becoming 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.THU...SW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

PKZ352-210300-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
351 AM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt diminishing to 10 to 25 kt after
midnight. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.

$$

700 
FZAK61 PAFC 210036
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
336 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-211415-
336 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 977 mb low at 53N 150W will move to 48N 151W at 990 mb Mon night. 
A 1002 mb low will develop near 59N 142W Tue night and then remain 
nearly stationary and strengthen to 995 mb Wed afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-211415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
336 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 to 35 kt diminishing to 15 to 30 kt after
midnight. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.

$$

PKZ352-211415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
336 PM AKST Mon Nov 20 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 14 to 20 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 to 25 kt increasing to 20 to 35 kt after
midnight. Seas 6 to 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft.
.THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 14 to 22 ft.
.SAT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 17 ft.

$$

508 
FZAK61 PAFC 211253
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
353 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-220200-
353 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A trough of low pressure over the central Gulf of Alaska will weaken
through late this morning before a front moves into the western Gulf
of Alaska this evening through Wed morning. A front over the Alaska 
Peninsula Wed night will move into the Gulf Thu morning.

$$

PKZ351-220200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
353 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 16 ft.
.SAT...NE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ352-220200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
353 AM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.THU...W wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 10 to 18 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.

$$

465 
FZAK61 PAFC 220025
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
325 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-221445-
325 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A front moves over the North Gulf Coast and Eastern Gulf through 
Wed afternoon. A 996 mb low forms at 60N 142W Wed afternoon and 
merges with a 979 mb low near 58N 145W Thu afternoon. The 
associated front trails across the Eastern Gulf and south of 
Kodiak Island through Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-221445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
325 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
5 to 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...S wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 15 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 9 ft.

$$

PKZ352-221445-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
325 PM AKST Tue Nov 21 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 12 to 20 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

188 
FZAK61 PAFC 221247
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
347 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-230200-
347 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A front moves over the North Gulf Coast and Eastern Gulf through 
this afternoon. A 985 mb low at 58N 151W Thu morning moves to 56N
148W at 977 mb Fri morning. The associated front moves across to 
the Eastern Gulf through Fri morning.

$$

PKZ351-230200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
347 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 to 35 kt becoming 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 to 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 to 25 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. 
Seas 6 to 11 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

$$

PKZ352-230200-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
347 AM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 7 to 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 10 ft. Rain with snow.
.THU...W wind 20 to 30 kt diminishing to 10 to 25 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 8 to 13 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 30 to 45 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft.
.SUN...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.

$$

098 
FZAK61 PAFC 230022
OFFAER

Offshore Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
322 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017

Offshore waters forecast for the Gulf of Alaska West of 144W

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ399-231415-
322 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
Broad low pressure exits the Southeastern Gulf by Thu morning. A
front extends across the Northern Gulf through Fri afternoon. A
985 mb low forms at 58N 150W Thu morning and moves to 54N 140W at
978 mb for Fri afternoon.

$$

PKZ351-231415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore North of 57N and West of 144W-
322 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017

.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 8 ft. Rain showers.
.THU...S wind 10 to 25 kt becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 6 to
11 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 16 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 10 to 16 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE wind 10 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 10 ft.

$$

PKZ352-231415-
Gulf of Alaska Offshore South of 57N North of 55N and West of
144W-
322 PM AKST Wed Nov 22 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW after midnight. Seas 8 to 13 
ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...W wind 20 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 13 to 21 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...NW wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 16 to 22 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 to 40 kt. Seas 11 to 19 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind up to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 to 20 kt. Seas 8 to 13 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
448 PM AKST Fri Nov 17 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a vertically stacked low over the northeast Gulf, with a
trough extending north into the Yukon Territory. There is also an
upper level ridge over the central Bering and central Aleutians.
There is an upper level low over northeast Russia. An associated
weather system is over the Kamchatka peninsula. The warm front
with this system is over the north central Bering, and the cold
front is over the western Bering and western Aleutians. Northerly
flow aloft is over southern Alaska, with a fairly strong offshore
gradient at the low levels. Some clouds and precipitation are
banked up against the northern and western slopes of the Alaska
range, and most of the remainder of southern Alaska is dry.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in rather good agreement through the
short term portion of the forecast (Sunday afternoon). The models
seem to finally have a good handle on the developing triple point
low in the Gulf on Sunday, and then begin to diverge on Sunday
afternoon on the exact location of the surface low. Forecast
confidence is thus higher than normal.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Overall, VFR conditions should persist through Saturday
evening. However, areas of fog are hovering just north of the
airport late Fri afternoon and may come in and out of the airport
through the evening. Increasing northerly winds are expected to
develop Friday evening and then persist into Saturday evening
which should clear out the remainder of the stratus as the mix
the atmosphere (though at first these winds may just push the
stratus into the airport at times this evening.)

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
Outflow winds along the North Gulf Coast will be the primary
concern tonight and Saturday as weak high pressure begins to move
into the mainland. This will leave a persistent pressure gradient
along the coast. The strongest winds of these should occur near
Seward, Whittier, and Valdez/Thompson Pass areas where gusty
outflow winds are expected to increase again this evening, then
begin to diminish on Saturday. The low stratus and fog that
developed in the Cook Inlet region yesterday behind the snow is
also beginning to slowly break up, however confidence is low that
this clearing will continue through the night. As a result it's
possible that this layer may continue in spots into Saturday but
confidence in either solution is low.

The focus then shifts to the development of the triple point low
near Kodiak late Saturday night. The models are beginning to come
into better agreement with the track of this low somewhere in the
Central Gulf before descending into the North Pacific. The main
concern in the exact placement of this low is with Kodiak Island
and the potential for blowing snow, as previous runs of the GFS
kept the low just offshore, leaving the area under a persistent
band of snow with gusty northwesterly winds. Later runs however
are trending east with this low, leaving a bulk of the
precipitation and winds over the waters of the Gulf. Model trends
will need to be closely monitored, as trends back to the west will
result in significantly more snow/wind for Kodiak Island on
Sunday. This triple point low and its associated upper level
trough will also bring the next round of snowfall into
Southcentral for the day on Sunday, with widespread accumulations
expected with no downsloping present to protect the lee side of
the Chugach. This portion of the system bears watching as well as
guidance is hinting at the possibility for advisory level
snowfall, especially to the Kenai Peninsula along with the gusty
northerly winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Weak, cold, northerly flow will continue over southwest Alaska
until a warm front moves in over the area Saturday. The parent low
for this system will move over the Bering Strait Saturday
afternoon then rapidly intensify as it moves towards the Norton
Sound area. During this time its front will push across southwest
Alaska.

The front will be warm enough to change over some of the precip
along the southwest coast to rain, but the majority of southwest
Alaska will stay snow. This front will move slowly over interior
portions of southwest Alaska allowing enough time for snow totals
around 10 inches for areas from King Salmon north through the
Lower Kuskokwim Valley.

Meanwhile, strong cold air advection and favorable upper level
dynamics will allow for strong winds along the Kuskokwim Delta
coast early Saturday morning. These winds will last into Sunday
afternoon before tapering off as the main low drifts south into
the Gulf.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure over the southern Bering is retreating into the
North Pacific which will make way for a front to push through the
eastern Bering and Alaska Peninsula from the low moving towards
Norton Sound. A favorable jet position, cold air advection and
other upper level dynamics will bring strong winds to areas all
around the eastern Bering.

The first to see these winds will be the Pribilof Islands which
will amp up Saturday night and last into Sunday afternoon. The
front will then push south bringing strong winds to the Eastern
Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula early Sunday morning. Strong winds
for these locations will last into Sunday evening before
diminishing. Winds for all three locations have the potential to
reach warning level.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
Expect near to below normal temperatures with periodic snow across
the southwest, and periodic cloudiness for Southcentral Alaska.
Gap winds will pulse up with every exiting disturbance.

Monday evening begins day 3 with a system exiting the Gulf of
Alaska. Dry conditions will take hold over much of southern Alaska
within an outflow pattern, mainly along the north Gulf coast.
Overall, the upper level pattern remains very progressive with
strong, discrete disturbances propagating from the northwest
Pacific into the Bering Sea. Each of these systems will send a
surface low pressure east of Kamchatka while sending a front from
west to east across the Bering. However, troughing from northwest
Canada southward will turn the storm track from the Bering into
the Gulf of Alaska. As far as sensible weather is concerned, the
periodic fronts will push snow onto the mainland while the front
falls apart as it moves west to east.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning 195.
 High Wind Watch 155 181 185.
 Winter Weather Advisory 152 161.

MARINE...Gale 127 128 130-132 138 150-175 180.
 Storm 179 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...MTL