Gale Warning 254, NWS Anchorage, AK

034 
FZAK62 PAFC 092328
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
328 PM AKDT SUN APR 9 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-101315-
328 PM AKDT SUN APR 9 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 988 MB LOW AT 52N 174W MOVES INTO THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC AT
1000 MB BY MON AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT CURLS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN BERING SEA THEN WRAPS BACK TO A 985 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW.
THIS LOW DEEPENS TO 966 MB NEAR 48N 168E MON AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUES TO 52N 176E AT 977 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-101315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
328 PM AKDT SUN APR 9 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT.

$$

PKZ412-101315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
328 PM AKDT SUN APR 9 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ413-101315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
328 PM AKDT SUN APR 9 2017

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 TO 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-101315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
328 PM AKDT SUN APR 9 2017

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 TO 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 TO
9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 TO 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$

102 
FZAK62 PAFC 101136
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
336 AM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-110115-
336 AM AKDT MON APR 10 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 968 MB LOW NEAR 46N 162E WILL MOVE TO 53N 177E AT 985 MB BY 
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-110115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
336 AM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ412-110115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
336 AM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 TO 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-110115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
336 AM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-110115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
336 AM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO
10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4
TO 9 FT.

$$

729 
FZAK62 PAFC 102323
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
323 PM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-111530-
323 PM AKDT MON APR 10 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 967 MB LOW NEAR 49N 166E MOVES TO 53N 175E AT 977 MB TUE
AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING TO 55N 180E AT 991 MB WED AFTERNOON.
AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS/BERING 
THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE TRACKING INTO THE NORTHERN BERING AND 
ELONGATES THROUGH THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY TUE AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ411-111530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
323 PM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ412-111530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
323 PM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-111530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
323 PM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-111530-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
323 PM AKDT MON APR 10 2017

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 TO 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 10 
FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 TO 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 TO 
8 FT.

$$

737 
FZAK62 PAFC 111122
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
322 AM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-120115-
322 AM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 971 MB LOW NEAR 51N 174E MOVES TO 53N 178E AT 986 MB LATE
TONIGHT...THEN BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING BY LATE WED NIGHT. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING WEAKENS AS IT MOVES TO THE EASTERN BERING BY LATE WED
NIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE WED
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-120115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
322 AM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 15 TO 30 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ412-120115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
322 AM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-120115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
322 AM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-120115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
322 AM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 TO 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 10
FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8
FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4
TO 9 FT.

$$

286 
FZAK62 PAFC 112336
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
336 PM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-121400-
336 PM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 976 MB LOW NEAR 52N 175E MOVES TO 55N 179W AT 993 MB WED
AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE 
CENTRAL/EASTERN BERING BY LATE WED NIGHT BEFORE EXITING THE
NORTHERN BERING BY THU AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE 
WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY THU MORNING BEFORE SPREADING OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/BERING BY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-121400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
336 PM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND UP TO 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-121400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
336 PM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ413-121400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
336 PM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ414-121400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
336 PM AKDT TUE APR 11 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 10 FT. 
RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 8 FT. 
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 TO 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3
TO 8 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
402 PM AKDT Sat Apr 8 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

We have an upper level low that continues to weaken while
remaining nearly stationary south of Chignik that is rotating
moisture across the North Gulf Coast. An upper level trough that
resulted in a band of snow overnight has dropped south through the
Kuskokwim Delta and will collide with the moisture advecting
across the Aleutian Mountains this evening. A large fall like
upper level and surface low is rapidly moving east along the
Aleutian Islands. The associated front has pushed into the western
Bering Sea and is sweeping across the Aleutians. Between this
large Aleutian Low and the low south of Chignik is a weak ridge of
high pressure.

Over the Cook Inlet to Susitna Valley region is a moderately
unstable airmass. While not as unstable as yesterday, showery
conditions have already begun to develop today as evidenced by the
latest satellite imagery and radar returns. As mentioned in the
previous discussion this morning, dry air in the lower levels and
a capping inversion around the 500 mb level is inhibiting
thunderstorm potential.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The models are in agreement in the near term though diverge as we
move into Monday with respect to the low moving into the Gulf of
Alaska. The sensible difference in the weather is significant as
wind across the northern Gulf of Alaska and along the North Gulf
Coast are much weaker for all models except the GFS. Since the GFS
is the outlier we are continuing along with the same solution we
went with last night. This will bear watching and we may need to
increase the magnitude of the wind in the Gulf of Alaska and along
the North Gulf Coast depending on the model trend.

For the Bering Sea low the models are in excellent agreement.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Sunny mornings will be followed by increasing clouds with a few
afternoon and evening showers across the region through Tue.
Clouds will then diminish during the evening and radiational
cooling will allow temperatures to fall into the 20s. Afternoon
highs will rise into the mid 40s at lower elevations with mid 30s
in the foothills.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
An upper shortwave over the Upper Kuskokwim Valley will continue
drop down from the north as it swings through the Kuskokwim
Delta, and the Lower Kuskokwim Valley. This will produce some
scattered snow/rain showers through Sunday. Meanwhile, the low
pressure system located near the southern end of Kodiak Island
remains almost stationary. This system continues to have moisture
spreading westward spilling over into the Alaska Peninsula, and
the Bristol Bay interior through Sunday morning. By Sunday
afternoon a weather front swings by the Eastern Aleutians
resulting in warmer temperatures with chance for rain spreading
briefly into the lower Alaska Peninsula.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
The Western Aleutians has a 983 mb low pressure system located
near Shemya with an associated weather front draped through the
western/central Bering extending through the Central Aleutians.
This system is bringing gale force winds in the Bering, and gale
force westerly winds along the Western Aleutians. The temperatures
will be modified and range in the mid to upper 30s resulting in
wintry mix in the aforementioned region. By Sunday afternoon this
system will be located west of Dutch Harbor at 990 mb. The
associated front will cover majority of the Bering and drape
through the Eastern Aleutians. This brings a widespread of
moisture with warmer temperatures, and produces a wintry mix along
the Chain extending into the lower Bering through Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

The long term forecast will not be seeing drastic change from the
current forecast solution. The week begins with high pressure over
the eastern mainland effectively blocking the the approaching low
in the Gulf of Alaska and results in the Bering Sea low also just
having a glancing blow at southwest Alaska then moving southeast
to the low complex south of the Gulf of Alaska. The Bering Sea and
Aleutians will remain very active as yet another strong storm
moves in on the heels of the exiting storm and rapidly sweeps
across the Aleutians to the Bering Sea coast by mid week. This low
will then be followed by yet another strong low that will take a
more northern track across the Bering Sea.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales 178 411.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...SS