Gale Warning 188, NWS Anchorage, AK

467 
FZAK51 PAFC 010019
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011330-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 991 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT STAYS NEARLY STATIONARY 
THROUGH WED MORNING THEN SHIFTS TO 180 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND AT 995 MB WED EVENING BEFORE TRACKING SOUTHWARD INTO THE 
NORTH PACIFIC BY THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-011330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER 
DELTA. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. 
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER 
DELTA. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND 
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011330-
PORT VALDEZ-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011330-
VALDEZ ARM-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011330-
CHINIAK BAY-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011330-
MARMOT BAY-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES 
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-011330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
319 PM AKST TUE FEB 28 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

658 
FZAK51 PAFC 011238
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020200-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 115 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 
160 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 996 MB THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE 
TRACKING SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC TONIGHT. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THU AFTERNOON.


$$

PKZ119-020200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020200-
PORT VALDEZ-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS 
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020200-
VALDEZ ARM-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. FREEZING SPRAY EXCEPT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EXCEPT HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EXCEPT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020200-
CHINIAK BAY-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-020200-
MARMOT BAY-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ141-020200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
338 AM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

253 
FZAK51 PAFC 020033
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-021315-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 996 MB LOW 140 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SITKINAK LATE TONIGHT AND THEN SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA THU MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THU MORNING THROUGH FRI
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-021315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER 
DELTA. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-021315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 7 
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-021315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-021315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 6 
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-021315-
PORT VALDEZ-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING 
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-021315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-021315-
VALDEZ ARM-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING 
SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-021315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER.  SEAS 3 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT 
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER.  SEAS 5 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-021315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-021315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-021315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NW 45 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-021315-
CHINIAK BAY-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-021315-
MARMOT BAY-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-021315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-021315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-021315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-021315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
333 PM AKST WED MAR 1 2017

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
447 PM AKST Mon Feb 27 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An upper level trough is currently diving across the southwest
mainland this morning. Ahead of this trough, light snow showers
have been occurring across portions of Bristol Bay and the
Kuskokwim Valley. This trough has also supported light snow across
the Anchorage Bowl and northern Kenai Peninsula this morning and
afternoon. Strong cold air advection behind the trough is
supporting showers along the northern AKPEN along with gusty
northerly winds. Meanwhile an amplified ridge is intensifying
across the western Bering Sea and supporting generally clear skies
north of the Aleutian Islands.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models have had a difficult time capturing the precipitation that
developed over the Anchorage Bowl this morning. The NAM did the
best job of capturing the precipitation development and intensity,
but was several hours late. For the short term, the NAM was
favored for Southcentral for its ability to capture downslope
winds well. Models are in good enough synoptic agreement across
the Bering and Southwest mainland and a blend of models was
favored.

&&

.AVIATION...The current low stratus deck is expected to slowly
lift during the evening hours and approach VFR by later this
evening. Expect northwesterly flow to increase in speed during
the overnight hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A forthcoming pattern change will bring Arctic air back down into
the area. A weak disturbance that brought light snow to the Cook
Inlet region is the leading edge of digging upper-level trough
that will usher in a new air mass for the foreseeable future.
Some low and mid-level clouds will linger overnight and into the
morning hours but generally clouds will be going away in favor of
clear sky sooner rather than later. The influx of cold air along
with low pressure developing in the Gulf will ratchet up gap winds
in favored areas along the north Gulf coast. Seward, Whitter, and
Valdez will all see gusts around 50 mph in the next day or two,
which will keep their temperatures inflated near current levels
while the remainder of the mainland goes into the deep freeze.
The light northerly winds developing tonight, combined with lingering
clouds, will keep the overnight lows from falling too far tonight.
However, the air mass will not be denied, low temperatures by
Tuesday night will likely fall to zero or below in most places
around Southcentral AK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Showers will taper off tonight as dry air follows behind the
shortwave digging south into the North Pacific. Then cold air
and clear skies will be ushered in over the area Tuesday and
Wednesday from the north as high pressure settles in over the
Bering. The high pressure will also bring northerly winds to
southwest Alaska.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
High pressure will settle in over the central Bering by Tuesday
morning bringing northerly flow over the eastern Bering and
southerly flow over the western Bering. The ridging will help
to stall a front that is approaching the Western Aleutians from
the west and leave a stationary boundary over the islands into
Wednesday. This system looks to be bringing up enough warm air
to remain as mostly rain.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
By the beginning of the extended forecast period Thursday much of
the region will have already undergone a transition in the overall
pattern, with a broad upper level trough over much of the Mainland
and Gulf, and strong ridging out west over the Bering Sea and
Aleutians. This general setup will persist through early next
week, which will consist of colder air filtering down from the
arctic and strong outflow winds over parts of the Southern Mainland.
Models remain in good agreement with the overall pattern into the
weekend. As expected though, there is more uncertainty with
regards to the finer details, especially with respect to low
amplitude shortwave troughs diving south toward the Gulf of Alaska
coast Friday through Monday.

All three major global deterministic models, (the ECMWF, Canadian
GDPS, and GFS) along with their respective ensembles, are also
depicting a rather significant bora polar air outbreak across
much of Mainland Alaska. There is potential of seeing 850 hpa
temperatures reaching as low as -20C to -30C across the Southern
Mainland with cold offshore flow along the coast. The March sun
should moderate some of the cold air at the surface, but the
reality of this situation is it will be quite cold and well below
average for the next 7-9 days, dominated by dry offshore flow and
cold interior temperatures.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 129 130 138 139 141 150 160
                                      165 180 185.
	     Storm Warning 130 131.
 		 Gale Warning 120 121 127 128 129 132 136 138 139 150 175
                      176 177 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...TP