Gale Warning 155, NWS Anchorage, AK

076 
FZAK51 PAFC 150043
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151330-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 974 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 50 NM EAST OF SEWARD TONIGHT
AND PUSH INLAND THROUGH WED MORNING. A LOW OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO 130 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK AT
965 MB WED AFTERNOON...THEN CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND MOVE
INLAND NORTH OF BRISTOL BAY THU MORNING AT 978 MB.

$$

PKZ119-151330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
30 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151330-
PORT VALDEZ-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151330-
VALDEZ ARM-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT DIMINISHING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151330-
CHINIAK BAY-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151330-
MARMOT BAY-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-151330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
343 PM AKST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

668 
FZAK51 PAFC 151300
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160115-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 970 MB LOW NEAR CHENEGA MOVES INLAND THIS MORNING. A FRONT
MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON...STALLS AND PERSISTS
THROUGH THU MORNING...THEN DISSIPATES THROUGH THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-160115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-160115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-160115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-160115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-160115-
PORT VALDEZ-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-160115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-160115-
VALDEZ ARM-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-160115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-160115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-160115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-160115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-160115-
CHINIAK BAY-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-160115-
MARMOT BAY-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-160115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-160115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO
5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW WITH RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-160115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-160115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
400 AM AKST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. RAIN SHOWERS
WITH SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
434 PM AKST Mon Feb 13 2017

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is an upper level low over the eastern Bering Sea as well as
the eastern Aleutians and western Alaska peninsula. Strong
southerly flow over the Gulf of Alaska is pushing warm and moist
air into southern Alaska. An upper level impulse is currently over
Southcentral Alaska with another over the Gulf heading rapidly
northward. On the back (west) side of the low, cold air is pouring
southward across the central Bering Sea.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are generally in good agreement for the short
term portion of the forecast (through Wednesday afternoon). The
Nam is the preferred model, which is a little slower and less
aggressive with the individual impulses moving north into
southern Alaska.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...Generally VFR conditions are expected. Some snow and rain
showers could bring conditions briefly down to MVFR through
Tuesday morning. Southerly winds should increase late Tuesday
morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Deep southerly flow ahead of a broad trough over the Bering will
keep conditions generally wet and warm into Tuesday. As of early
this evening, downsloping from the Chugach Mountains has brought
partial clearing to much of Southcentral, however this is
expected to quickly fill in by late this evening as another
developing waves moves into the Western Gulf. Temperatures aloft
from the Anchorage sounding have warmed enough since this morning
to melt any precipitation that does fall from this next system to
liquid. Temperatures remain just below freezing around much of
Southcentral, so any there is a risk of areas of freezing rain
early this evening as temperatures slowly rise above freezing.
However, even as this occurs, slippery road surfaces may still
develop as the ground remains very cold soaked.

Further to the east, the developing wave will bring another round
of snow throughout the Gulf Coast into Tuesday morning.
Temperatures however have warmed enough, especially near the
coast, for any precipitation to fall as rain or a wet snow,
limiting any significant accumulations from falling. Along
higher elevations, especially through Turnagain Pass and Thompson
Pass, temperatures remain cold enough to support up to an
additional foot of snow into Tuesday morning.

Starting Tuesday, conditions will begin to improve from south to
north as the wave makes landfall and dissipates. This will be the
beginning of the end of the short lived warm/wet pattern change as
temperatures will begin to cool enough throughout the Gulf Coast
and Southcentral to support accumulating snow. Right now the best
chance of snow appears to be on Wednesday as yet another wave
develops in the Gulf.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The front has brought snow and strong winds to areas around the
Kuskokwim Delta and Bristol Bay. This has resulted in blizzard
conditions for the Kuskokwim Delta and snow and blowing snow for
Bristol Bay that will last until around midnight tonight when
the heavier snow will start to diminish. However, lighter snow
will persist around southwest Alaska as the main low stays near
the Alaska Peninsula into Wednesday, but there does not look to be
the combination of heavy snow and strong winds for more blowing
snow or blizzard conditions that would reduce visibility to one
half mile or less. Uncertainty remains for snowfall over southwest
Alaska, especially Tuesday, as the models differ with both timing
and intensity.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The low over the eastern Bering is bringing strong winds and snow
to the Pribilof Islands which is bringing blizzard conditions to
the islands that will last into Tuesday evening. The Eastern
Aleutians will also seeing blowing snow conditions due to the
continued strong northerly winds and snow showers, but there does
not look to be enough snow for visibilities to drop below one half
mile for any extended period of time.

Moving into Wednesday, the northerly winds and snow showers will
continue but will be diminished and should not result in
significant blowing snow. There is still some uncertainty with how
much snow will fall for the Eastern Aleutians through Tuesday as
the models are struggling with the placement of the snow bands.
This will play an important role for where the worst blowing snow
conditions will setup.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning the long term forecast Wednesday evening a closed arctic
low will be dominating the regional weather pattern. Continued
cold northerly flow will be over the Bering Sea with that cold air
wrapping all the way around the cyclone into Southcentral.
Shortwave disturbances wrapping around the low will keep snow
threats across all Southern Alaska locations including the coast.
However, the noise in the pattern is high enough where there is
low confidence on the placement of the stationary front or weak
troughs rotating toward the coast. This pattern will persist
through Monday before the trough finally weakens and moves
eastward.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Warning 155 195.
		 Winter Weather Advisory 131 141 145 161.

MARINE...Gale 125 130 139 173 174 179 181 185.
		 Storm 119.
 		 Heavy Freezing Spray 165 179 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...JA