Winter Storm Warning 8, NWS Albuquerque, NM

358 
WWUS45 KABQ 281805
WSWABQ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1205 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...UPPER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY...RATON RIDGE AND SURROUNDING HIGHLANDS THIS 
EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A potent storm system will continue crossing New Mexico this 
afternoon, developing showers across much of the area. Snow 
showers will favor the Northern Mountains and much of northeast 
New Mexico, becoming steadier and heavier this evening through 
Wednesday morning. Snow levels currently near 8000 feet will fall 
between 5000 and 6500 feet tonight along and east of the central 
mountain chain. Significant storm total snow amounts are forecast 
to impact the higher elevations of the Sangre De Cristo Mountains,
Raton Pass and nearby higher elevation locations. Snow showers 
will diminish late Wednesday.

NMZ512>515-527-290200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
1205 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 5 to 10 inches. Up to 12 inches 
  near Raton Pass and up to 20 inches over the higher peaks of 
  the Sangre De Cristo Mountains. 

* TIMING...Snow will increase in coverage and intensity tonight
  through Wednesday morning as it expands across the Raton Ridge.
  Snow will taper late Wednesday afternoon. 

* WINDS...Northerly winds will increase early Wednesday. The 
  strongest winds will be across the Raton Ridge where sustained 
  speeds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph will be common. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Snow levels will be around 8000 feet today, 
  decreasing to between 5500 and 6500 feet tonight. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Heavy snow will cause snow packed and icy 
  conditions near Raton Pass along I-25, along Highway 64/87 and 
  on most roads on the Sangre De Cristo Mountains. Visibilities 
  will be lowered in periods of heavy snow, with some potential 
  for whiteout conditions given some blowing snow. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight,  food,
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

NMZ523-530>534-290200-
/O.EXB.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.170329T0600Z-170329T1800Z/
Central Highlands-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-Quay County-
1205 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON MDT WEDNESDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 
noon MDT Wednesday. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 2 to 6 inches with locally higher
  amounts north of I-40.

* TIMING...Snow will increase in coverage and intensity tonight
  continuing through Wednesday morning before gradually
  diminishing late Wednesday.

* WINDS...Northerly winds will increase late tonight with
  sustained winds 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts near
  35...before increasing to 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts
  near 45 mph Wednesday morning. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Decreasing to between 5000 to 6500 feet 
  overnight into Wednesday morning.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

NMZ510-511-290200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170329T1800Z/
San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
1205 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 4 to 6 inches with amounts up 
  to 12 inches possible across the higher peaks. 

* TIMING...Snow will increase in coverage and intensity this
  evening through Wednesday morning before gradually diminishing
  Wednesday afternoon.

* WINDS...Northerly winds will increase this evening with
  sustained speeds of 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts near 35 
  mph.

* SNOW LEVELS...Around 8000 feet today, lowering to near 7000 
  feet overnight. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

NMZ516-528-529-290200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.170329T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
Upper Rio Grande Valley-Far Northeast Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-
1205 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 6 PM MDT WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 2 to 6 inches.

* TIMING...Snow will develop overnight and gradually increase in
  intensity early Wednesday morning. Improvement is expected 
  Wednesday afternoon. 

* WINDS...Increasing northerly winds will peak Wednesday morning
  between 15 and 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. The Far
  Northeast Highlands will see stronger winds with gusts to near
  45 mph Wednesday morning. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Around 7500 feet this evening, lowering to between
  5000 and 6500 feet overnight. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 
  More specifically, Interstate 25 between Las Vegas and Raton 
  and Highway 285 from the Colorado border to south of Tres 
  Piedras will be impacted. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

666 
WWUS45 KABQ 290209
WSWABQ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
809 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...UPPER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY...AND MUCH OF NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY...

.A potent storm system will continue shifting eastward across New
Mexico this evening. Light snow showers will favor the Northern 
Mountains this evening, but will become steadier and heavier
overnight through Wednesday morning. Snow levels currently near 
7500 feet will fall between 5000 and 6500 feet overnight along 
and east of the central mountain chain. Significant storm total 
snow amounts are forecast to impact the higher elevations of the 
Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Raton Pass and portions of northeast 
and east central New Mexico. Snow will diminish late Wednesday.

NMZ512>515-527-291200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
809 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 5 to 10 inches. Up to 12 inches 
  near Raton Pass and up to 20 inches over the higher peaks of 
  the Sangre De Cristo Mountains. 

* TIMING...Snow will increase in coverage and intensity tonight 
  through Wednesday morning as it expands across the Raton 
  Ridge. Snow will taper late Wednesday afternoon. 

* WINDS...Northerly winds will increase early Wednesday. The 
  strongest winds will be across the Raton Ridge where sustained 
  speeds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph will be common. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Temperatures will be cold enough for snow at all
  locations by early Wednesday morning.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Heavy snow will cause snow packed and icy 
  conditions near Raton Pass along I-25, along Highway 64/87 and 
  on most roads on the Sangre De Cristo Mountains. Visibilities 
  will be lowered in periods of heavy snow, with some potential 
  for whiteout conditions given some blowing snow. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight,  food,
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

NMZ516-528-529-291200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
Upper Rio Grande Valley-Far Northeast Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-
809 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 2 to 6 inches.

* TIMING...Snow will develop overnight and gradually increase in 
  intensity early Wednesday morning. Improvement is expected 
  Wednesday afternoon. 

* WINDS...Increasing northerly winds will peak Wednesday morning 
  between 15 and 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. The Far 
  Northeast Highlands will see stronger winds with gusts to near 
  45 mph Wednesday morning. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Around 7500 feet this evening, lowering to 
  between 5000 and 6500 feet overnight. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 
  More specifically, Interstate 25 between Las Vegas and Raton 
  and Highway 285 from the Colorado border to south of Tres 
  Piedras will be impacted. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

NMZ510-511-291200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170329T1800Z/
San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
809 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT
WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 4 to 6 inches with amounts up 
  to 12 inches possible across the higher peaks. 

* TIMING...Snow will continue through Wednesday morning before 
  gradually diminishing Wednesday afternoon. 

* WINDS...Northerly winds with sustained speeds of 15 to 25 mph with
  occasional gusts near 35 mph. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Lowering to near 7000 feet overnight. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

NMZ523-530>534-291200-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.170329T0600Z-170329T1800Z/
Central Highlands-Union County-Harding County-
Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-Quay County-
809 PM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO NOON MDT WEDNESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 2 to 6 inches with locally higher
  amounts near the I-40 corridor possible. 

* TIMING...Snow will increase in coverage and intensity tonight
  continuing through Wednesday morning before gradually
  diminishing Wednesday afternoon. 

* WINDS...Northerly winds will increase late tonight with
  sustained winds 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts near 35 mph...
  before increasing to 25 to 35 mph with occasional gusts near 45
  mph Wednesday morning. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Decreasing to between 5000 to 6500 feet 
  overnight into Wednesday morning. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

34

705 
WWUS45 KABQ 290922
WSWABQ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
322 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER STORM TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS...UPPER
RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH
TODAY...

.A potent Pacific storm system will continue shifting eastward 
across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle today. 
Significant snow amounts are forecast across the higher 
elevations of the Sangre De Cristo Mountains, Raton Pass and 
portions the Eastern Highlands. Snow will diminish later today.

NMZ530>534-291030-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170329T1800Z/
Union County-Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-
Guadalupe County-Quay County-
322 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has cancelled the
Winter Weather Advisory. 

Rain may mix with or briefly turn over to snow, but no significant
impacts are expected as the airmass remains at or above freezing.

$$

NMZ512>515-527-291800-
/O.CON.KABQ.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
322 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 5 to 10 inches. Up to 12 inches 
  near Raton Pass and up to 20 inches over the higher peaks of 
  the Sangre De Cristo Mountains. 

* TIMING...Snow will continue to increase in coverage and
  intensity this morning as it expands across the area. Snow will
  gradually diminish this afternoon into the early evening hours.

* WINDS...Northerly winds will increase early this morning. The 
  strongest winds will be across the Raton Ridge where sustained 
  speeds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph will be common. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Temperatures will be cold enough for snow at all
  location. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Heavy snow will cause snow packed and icy 
  conditions near Raton Pass along I-25, along Highway 64/87 and 
  on most roads on the Sangre De Cristo Mountains. Visibilities 
  will be lowered in periods of heavy snow, with some potential 
  for whiteout conditions given some blowing snow. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight,  food,
and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

NMZ516-528-529-291800-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
Upper Rio Grande Valley-Far Northeast Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-
322 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 2 to 4 inches.

* TIMING...Snow will continue to increase in coverage and
  intensity this morning. Improvement is expected by this 
  afternoon.

* WINDS...Northerly 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph
  across the Far Northeast and Northeast Highlands this morning.
  Lesser winds across the Upper Rio Grande Valley.

* SNOW LEVELS...Around 6500 feet, lowering to around 6000 feet
  this morning.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 
  More specifically, Interstate 25 between Las Vegas and Raton 
  and Highway 285 from the Colorado border to south of Tres 
  Piedras will be impacted. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

NMZ510-511-291800-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170329T1800Z/
San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
322 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT
TODAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 4 to 6 inches with amounts up 
  to 12 inches possible across the higher peaks. 

* TIMING...Snow will continue through this morning before
  gradually diminishing around mid day or early afternoon. 

* WINDS...Northerly winds with sustained speeds of 10 to 20 mph
  with occasional gusts near 30 mph. 

* SNOW LEVELS...Lowering to near 7000 feet this morning.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

NMZ523-291800-
/O.CON.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170329T1800Z/
Central Highlands-
322 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT
TODAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...Generally 2 to 4 inches. 

* TIMING...Snow will increase in coverage and intensity this
  morning before gradually diminishing around mid day. 

* WINDS...Northeast 10 to 20 mph with occasional gusts to 30 mph.

* SNOW LEVELS...Lowering to around 6500 feet this morning. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Snow packed and icy roads along with limited 
  visibility in snow will create hazardous travel conditions. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities.

&&

$$

650 
WWUS45 KABQ 291740
WSWABQ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1140 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

NMZ512>515-527-291845-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WS.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
1140 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has cancelled the
Winter Storm Warning. 

$$

NMZ510-511-523-291845-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170329T1800Z/
San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-Central Highlands-
1140 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has cancelled the
Winter Weather Advisory. 

$$

NMZ516-528-529-291845-
/O.CAN.KABQ.WW.Y.0010.000000T0000Z-170330T0000Z/
Upper Rio Grande Valley-Far Northeast Highlands-
Northeast Highlands-
1140 AM MDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has cancelled the
Winter Weather Advisory. 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
303 AM MDT Tue Mar 28 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Two Pacific storm systems will impact the Land of Enchantment over
the next 5 days, with the first one currently approaching from over
southern Arizona. Chances for rain, higher elevation snow and
thunderstorms will increase today into tonight. Snow levels will
drop some overnight as precipitation picks up in intensity across the
Northern Mountains, surrounding highlands and the Raton Ridge/
Johnson Mesa. Storm total snow amounts through Wednesday will be in
excess of one foot across the peaks of the Northern Mountains, with
lesser amounts across the surrounding lower elevations. Significant
travel impacts due to heavy snow and winds are possible through
Raton Pass and in the Sangre De Cristo Mountains tonight into
Wednesday. Temperatures will take a dip today as the first system
impacts the state and will stay below normal through Wednesday. Look
for a short lived warm-up on Thursday prior to the second Pacific
storm system, forecast to impact the area Friday through Saturday
and possibly extend into Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The first upper low of two to impact the state over the next 5 days
is currently over south central Arizona and progressing eastward per
the latest water vapor satellite imagery. Areas of rain and high
elevation snow have already developed across our area, with snow
levels estimated to be around 7500-8000ft currently. A few lightning
strikes were noted early this morning across far western New Mexico,
but a significant increase in lightning activity is expected later
today as lapse rates steepen with the upper low moving directly
overhead. Snow levels will continue to drop as well, but likely only
another 500-1000ft or so. Latest HRRR and NAM12 qpf are rather
bullish for the Albuquerque and Santa Fe Metros later today and this
wet scenario is supported by both the NAM and GFS MOS 1st period
PoPs which are 75 and 91 percent respectively for KABQ. The focus for
significant precipitation is still forecast to shift to the Northern
Mountains and northeast overnight into Wednesday as the upper low
progresses slowly eastward across central New Mexico and interacts
with a strong backdoor frontal push. The higher peaks of the Sangres
are still on track for 12-20", with 8-12" possible at Raton Pass and
on Sierra Grande near Capulin. Needless to say, the watch has been
upgraded to a warning and several nearby zones have been added as
advisories. Strong winds associated with this system will impact the
western higher terrain tonight and much of northeast New Mexico early
Wednesday behind the backdoor front. Wind advisories may be required.
Cooling with this system will keep daytime temperatures below normal
through Wednesday, especially across the Eastern Plains thanks to
the stronger backdoor push.

Look for a short lived warm-up Thursday with a shortwave ridge in
advance of the next upper low, forecast to impact the state Friday
through at least Saturday. The second system will be similar to the
first in terms of track and impacts, but is being modeled slightly
colder with lower snow levels initially. The 00z ECMWF and GFS are in
decent agreement through Saturday, then depart significantly with the
track of the upper low due to upstream differences. Run-to-run
inconsistency from the GFS is high, so am inclined to side with the
ECMWF for now, but our forecast will be a blend of the two for Sunday
and Monday. The main take-away is that the pattern will remain active
beyond Saturday.

11

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Upper level closed low dropping south through AZ this morning.
Scattered showers and mountain snow (above 8000 ft) showers along
with isolated thunderstorms will continue today and tonight as the
upper low moves east into NM. Favored area for significant wetting
rain and heavy mountain snow will shift to the Sangre de Cristos
eastward. Models now generating moderate to strong northwest winds
across the west-central mountains tonight. Will wait and see one
more model run to see if the surface low track is in the same spot
across northwest NM to determine if a wind advisory may be needed
for the western mountains overnight.

A break in between systems continues for Thursday. Southwest winds
ahead of the next closed low increase across the southern half of
the state Friday. Several hours of critical fire weather conditions
may develop across southern portions of the east-central plains
forecast zone Friday afternoon. Forecast models are now in decent
agreement with regard to the next closed upper low forecast to move
in for Friday and Saturday. General model consensus is to take the
low eastward through central NM Saturday with the favored area for
wetting precipitation once again across northeast NM Saturday and
Saturday night. GFS and Canadian models keep the closed low over NM
through Sunday while the ECMWF sends it packing. Split the
difference and left in mainly slight chances for precip Sunday,
particularly along and east of the central mountain chain.

Models then diverge greatly for early next week. ECMWF keeps the
next upper level trough and open wave and to the north of NM while
the GFS and Canadian bring in another deep closed low in from the
west Tuesday. ECWMF has the better skill in the medium forecast
range but can falter at times during the spring transition period.
Time will tell.

33

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
Closed upper level low dropping south through southern UT and
northern AZ tonight. Relatively moist southwest flow aloft over NM
combining with lift from the low to produce scattered light showers
with snow showers above 9500 feet. Showers will continue overnight
with an increase in coverage across central NM toward sunrise
Tuesday. West to northwest winds will strengthen Tuesday afternoon as
the associated surface low intensifies over east central NM. Favored
area for significant precipitation, areas of mt obscurations and
MVFR/IFR cigs/vsbys along with lcl LIFR conditions will be found
across north-central and northeast NM Tuesday afternoon through
29/06z.

33
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  55  35  65  30 /  40  20   5   5
Dulce...........................  52  32  59  26 /  50  50  20   5
Cuba............................  50  31  56  28 /  70  70  30  20
Gallup..........................  51  31  61  24 /  60  20  10   5
El Morro........................  49  29  56  22 /  70  40  20   5
Grants..........................  50  31  59  23 /  70  40  10   5
Quemado.........................  49  34  57  31 /  70  50  20   5
Glenwood........................  62  33  69  33 /  60  30  10   5
Chama...........................  48  30  52  24 /  70  80  20  20
Los Alamos......................  49  35  52  34 /  80  80  30  10
Pecos...........................  51  33  51  31 /  80  90  50  20
Cerro/Questa....................  51  31  46  24 /  80  90  60  20
Red River.......................  42  26  39  20 /  90  90  80  30
Angel Fire......................  41  25  37  18 /  90  90  80  30
Taos............................  50  30  47  24 /  80  80  40  10
Mora............................  50  31  44  30 /  80  90  60  20
Espanola........................  55  34  57  32 /  60  70  20  10
Santa Fe........................  52  36  53  35 /  80  80  40  10
Santa Fe Airport................  54  32  55  30 /  70  70  30  10
Albuquerque Foothills...........  57  41  60  39 /  80  80  20  10
Albuquerque Heights.............  58  40  62  38 /  70  60  20  10
Albuquerque Valley..............  60  39  63  35 /  70  60  20  10
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  59  40  62  37 /  70  60  20  10
Los Lunas.......................  60  37  64  34 /  70  60  20  10
Rio Rancho......................  59  40  62  37 /  80  70  20  10
Socorro.........................  61  42  65  37 /  70  40  20  10
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  53  32  53  32 /  80  90  30  20
Tijeras.........................  54  33  54  31 /  80  90  30  20
Moriarty/Estancia...............  56  32  56  28 /  60  80  30  10
Clines Corners..................  54  31  51  29 /  60  80  40  10
Gran Quivira....................  55  36  55  34 /  50  70  30  20
Carrizozo.......................  60  37  58  37 /  50  60  30  10
Ruidoso.........................  56  34  51  33 /  50  40  40  20
Capulin.........................  54  31  39  28 /  80  90  90  30
Raton...........................  56  30  44  25 /  70  90  80  20
Springer........................  58  31  45  26 /  70  90  60  20
Las Vegas.......................  54  29  48  27 /  70  90  50  20
Clayton.........................  56  35  45  32 /  70  80  80  30
Roy.............................  58  33  46  28 /  70  70  60  20
Conchas.........................  64  39  52  36 /  60  60  60  20
Santa Rosa......................  65  38  54  35 /  50  60  40  10
Tucumcari.......................  70  39  53  35 /  50  50  60  20
Clovis..........................  70  41  53  35 /  30  20  40  10
Portales........................  71  42  54  37 /  30  20  50  10
Fort Sumner.....................  69  41  55  35 /  40  30  40  10
Roswell.........................  74  44  60  40 /  10  10  30  10
Picacho.........................  66  41  59  38 /  20  20  20  10
Elk.............................  60  39  57  35 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM MDT
Wednesday for the following zones... NMZ516-528-529.

Winter Storm Warning from noon today to 6 PM MDT Wednesday for the
following zones... NMZ512>515-527.

Winter Weather Advisory from noon today to noon MDT Wednesday for
the following zones... NMZ510-511.

&&

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
457 AM MDT Mon Mar 27 2017

NMZ501>540-281200-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
457 AM MDT Mon Mar 27 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A potent Pacific storm system will move over New Mexico Tuesday
through Wednesday and bring snow showers with significant
accumulation possible in the Sangre De Cristo Mountains and across
the Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa. Winter weather advisories will likely
be required.

A second Pacific storm system will impact the state Friday and
Saturday, with lowering snow levels and accumulating snow once again
favoring the Sangre De Cristo Mountains and Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa.
Strong and gusty winds will precede this system on Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Contact local law enforcement or the National Weather Service to
report rain and snow amounts.

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