Wind Advisory 15, NWS Albuquerque, NM

983 
WWUS75 KABQ 241818
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1118 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

NMZ521-250000-
/O.EXA.KABQ.WI.Y.0015.170224T1900Z-170225T0000Z/
Sandia/Manzano Mountains-
1118 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect until 5 PM MST this afternoon. 

* LOCATION...The Sandia and Manzano Mountains. 

* WINDS...West to southwest 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue through mid-afternoon, then
  weaken around sunset.

* VISIBILITY...No restrictions. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Hazardous crosswinds will impact north-south
  oriented roadways. Lightweight objects may become airborne. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ523-529-532-533-250000-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0015.170224T1900Z-170225T0000Z/
Central Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Eastern San Miguel County-
Guadalupe County-
1118 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATION...From the east central and northeast highlands 
  eastward across the plains of eastern San Miguel and Guadalupe 
  Counties. 

* WINDS...Northwest to west 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* TIMING...Strong winds will continue through mid-afternoon, then
  weaken around sunset.

* VISIBILITY...Locally restricted below 3 miles at times in dust 
  prone locations. 

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Hazardous crosswinds will impact southwest to 
  northeast oriented roads, like Highway 54 from Vaughn to Santa 
  Rosa. Light weight and unsecured objects may become airborne. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

24

534 
WWUS75 KABQ 250020
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
520 PM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

NMZ521-523-529-532-533-250130-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0015.000000T0000Z-170225T0000Z/
Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Central Highlands-Northeast Highlands-
Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
520 PM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

West winds will continue to diminish through evening.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
330 AM MST Fri Feb 24 2017

...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS AGAIN TODAY WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PLAINS...

.SYNOPSIS...
Breezy to windy conditions will return today as an upper level
trough gradually passes north of New Mexico funneling more cool air
into our state. High temperatures will fall 5 to 20 degrees below
Thursday's readings. After a cool start Saturday, a general warming
trend is expected this weekend with weaker winds but still breezy
conditions. A weak upper level trough will cross New Mexico from the
west during the latter half of the weekend with a chance of rain and
snow showers mainly across the western and northern mountains, but
any accumulation will be spotty and light. Another upper level trough
will cross from the northwest late Monday through Tuesday with a
better chance of precipitation over northern and western areas.
Breezy to windy conditions are expected both days with cooler
temperatures on Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The tail end of a jet streak will linger overhead today, and there
will be a fairly tight surface pressure gradient as additional cold
fronts cross from the northwest and north. This will yield another
round of breezy to windy conditions. The strongest northwest winds
are expected from the east central and northeast highlands eastward
across the plains of Guadalupe County, where gusts should reach 50
mph this afternoon and a Wind Advisory will be issued.

The upper trough crossing late this weekend looks fairly weak and is
not expected to bring much cold air with it. There could be some
cooling by monday over southwest and south central areas.

The late Monday/Tuesday system looks a bit stronger and models depict
it bringing some better moisture. Westerly upslope flow with 700 mb
temperatures in the -6 to -10 range should enable the west central
and northern mountains to squeeze out a few to locally several inches
of snow. High temperatures should fall a few to 4 degrees on
Tuesday, then a few to several more degrees across central and
eastern areas Wednesday.

Drier and warmer weather is expected for the latter half of the
coming work week

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&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A progressive pattern through early next week will enhance potential
for critical fire weather conditions on several days. A few notable
features in this pattern will make for challenging decision making.
For today, a back door frontal boundary has made it farther south
and west than indicated yesterday so there are some concerns about
how long it will take for winds to mix and focus surface humidities
into the 10 to 15% range over the east central plains. The greatest
confidence area for critical conditions will be along and south of
I-40 east of Santa Rosa where high temps are expected to be near
normal with moderate haines values. Farther north and west temps are
almost 10F below normal and haines are low. Decided to upgrade to a
red flag for the East Central Plains based on collaborative effort
with surrounding offices.

A similar challenge exists for Saturday as winds are shown to veer
around to the southwest over much of eastern NM toward mid day. The
placement of the surface low center around the TX/OK panhandles is
still a question. Temps will moderate closer to normal and haines
values trend up to moderate for much of northeastern NM during the
afternoon. Confidence is not high enough just yet to hoist a watch
for Saturday since duration may be limited.

Winds will remain elevated into Sunday as an upper wave moves very
quickly east across northern NM. A thick batch of cloud cover will
likely impact mixing and some top-down moistening may mitigate the
duration of critical humidity values across eastern NM. Yet another
upper wave approaches from the west Monday with a deepening surface
low over southeastern CO. Winds trended up much higher for Monday
and minimum surface humidities remain below 20%. This will focus the
next period for potential critical fire conditions over eastern NM.
Models drag a decent batch of rain/snow over the northern/central
high terrain with this wave Monday night. Another blast of colder
air on strong northwest winds is possible for Tuesday.

Beyond Tuesday, guidance diverges considerably on the upper level
pattern over the southern Rockies. Trends had indicated weaker flow
aloft would develop over NM Wednesday through Friday however more
recent guidance is showing a progressive northwest flow pattern
continuing through the end of the week.

Guyer

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
Sfc high pressure sagging into nern NM and current mvfr cigs
associated with this colder airmass over ern CO and sw KS may reach
the area from KRTN to KCAO or KTCC by 24/10Z but short term models
not showing this to penetrate much farther south or west into NM and
any resulting low clouds may not persist for very long. Otherwise,
sct-bkn mid level clouds to linger over nw and north central NM thru
15Z or thereafter. Expect nw winds to strengthen again aft 24/15Z
especially over central and ern NM with gusts to around 35 to 40 kt.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  40  13  44  25 /  10   0   0   5
Dulce...........................  32  -1  36  13 /  30   0   0  10
Cuba............................  35  13  41  24 /  10   0   0   5
Gallup..........................  39  12  46  23 /   0   0   0   5
El Morro........................  36   8  43  22 /   0   0   0  10
Grants..........................  40  14  48  23 /   0   0   0   5
Quemado.........................  42  19  49  28 /   0   0   0   5
Glenwood........................  53  24  57  28 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  27  -4  32  11 /  30   5   0  20
Los Alamos......................  36  18  43  28 /   0   0   0   5
Pecos...........................  37  14  43  25 /   0   0   0   5
Cerro/Questa....................  30   5  35  16 /  10   0   0   5
Red River.......................  23   5  28  17 /  20   5   0  10
Angel Fire......................  26   0  32  13 /  20   0   0   5
Taos............................  34   9  39  19 /  10   0   0   5
Mora............................  34  12  42  24 /   5   0   0   5
Espanola........................  43  20  49  27 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  37  17  42  27 /   0   0   0   5
Santa Fe Airport................  41  16  46  25 /   0   0   0   5
Albuquerque Foothills...........  44  23  49  33 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  47  24  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  49  25  54  32 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  48  24  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  51  22  56  28 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  47  24  52  32 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  55  25  58  32 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  39  19  44  29 /   0   0   0   5
Tijeras.........................  43  18  47  27 /   0   0   0   5
Moriarty/Estancia...............  43  12  48  24 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  39  16  45  26 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  45  21  49  30 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  51  24  53  33 /   0   0   0   5
Ruidoso.........................  45  22  49  31 /   0   0   0   5
Capulin.........................  34  10  40  20 /  10  20   0   0
Raton...........................  38  11  44  20 /  10  10   0   0
Springer........................  42  17  49  24 /  10   5   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  38  12  45  23 /   5   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  40  15  48  25 /  10  10   0   0
Roy.............................  42  15  48  24 /   5   5   0   0
Conchas.........................  50  21  55  31 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  49  21  55  33 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  52  20  56  31 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  53  22  53  32 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  54  23  55  34 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  54  23  56  33 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  62  26  62  33 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  55  25  58  37 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  51  25  55  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon today to 6 PM MST this evening for the
following zones... NMZ108.

Wind Advisory from noon today to 5 PM MST this afternoon for the
following zones... NMZ523-529-532-533.

&&

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
448 AM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

NMZ501>540-241200-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
448 AM MST Thu Feb 23 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hazardous winds will strengthen and become more widespread today,
and directions will shift out of the west with a Pacific cold front.
Gusts from 40 to 50 are expected east of the continental divide,
except around 60 mph along and east of the central mountain chain.
A Red Flag Warning is in effect from the central mountain chain
eastward, and also for the middle Rio Grande Valley, due to strong
winds, low humidities, above normal temperatures and an unstable
atmosphere.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Hazardous northwest winds should return Friday, when gusts may again
reach 50 mph along the central mountain chain and across the east
central plains. Critical fire weather conditions may also redevelop
across the east central plains due to strong wind and low humidity.

Breezy to windy conditions will redevelop in some areas each day
Sunday through Tuesday. The east central plains has the potential for
daily rounds of critical fire weather conditions. The strongest winds
could reach 50 mph along and just east of the south central mountains
on Sunday, then along and east of the central mountain chain Tuesday.

An upper level trough crossing from the west could produce a few to
several inches of snow accumulation in the San Juan Mountains
Saturday night and Sunday. A stronger upper level trough will cross
New Mexico from the west on Monday night and Tuesday with the
potential for a few to several inches of snow accumulation in the
northern and western mountains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

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