Special Weather Statement, NWS Tucson, AZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
231 PM MST FRI JUL 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Moist conditions will give way to a drier and warmer
pattern through early next week. Another round of monsoon moisture
will begin working its way into the area late Tuesday into late
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The combination of lingering monsoon moisture and an
approaching mid/upper level trough led to an active day weather-
wise across southeast Arizona. Showers and thunderstorms will
linger into the evening hours for areas mainly southeast and east
of Tucson, before quieter weather moves in for all areas overnight
into the weekend. The approaching trough will nudge the remaining
monsoon moisture to the east and south of the area this weekend
into early next week. Mid range models are in agreement that high
pressure will re-establish itself near the Four Corners area by
mid week with moisture returning to Arizona.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THRU 03/00Z. Showers and thunderstorms will
continue into early this evening mainly impacting the KOLS/KDUG
terminals. Considerably fewer showers and thunderstorms on Saturday
mainly for areas east of Tucson. Ceilings generally 8-10K ft with
multiple cloud layers above. Gusty winds and brief MVFR conditions
in heavy rainfall are likely near storms where wind gusts could
exceed 30 kts. Otherwise surface winds generally 10 kts or less.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Showers and thunderstorms mainly east and south of
Tucson will subside this evening. Thereafter, moisture will begin
to diminish across the region beginning Saturday and continuing
through Tuesday, resulting in a decrease in the coverage of showers
and thunderstorms and a slight bump up in afternoon temperatures.
Some moisture will begin to return to the area Wednesday for a
general increase in showers and thunderstorms once again.

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Discussion...Cantin
Aviation/Fire Weather...Lader

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
434 PM MST FRI JUL 1 2016

AZZ502-020015-
TOHONO O'ODHAM NATION INCLUDING SELLS-
434 PM MST FRI JUL 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY UNTIL
515 PM MST...

AT 432 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR HICKIWAN...OR 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GILA BEND...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM...ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ANEGAM...VENTANA...HICKIWAN AND VAYA CHIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3251 11244 3250 11241 3251 11232 3237 11200
      3220 11246 3247 11256
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 298DEG 12KT 3242 11235

MEYER