Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
748 PM CDT FRI SEP 9 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
748 PM CDT FRI SEP 9 2016

...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL INCREASES THIS EVENING WITH A COLD
FRONT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
 	AREA...NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...MOSTLY LIKELY BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...MOST LIKELY BETWEEN 10 PM AND 3 AM.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...AFTER 9 PM.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING...ENDING BY SUNSET.

DISCUSSION...

POCKETS OF DAMAGING WIND AND ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL
BE THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS THIS EVENING. THE AREA WITH THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DROP
CONSIDERABLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE ATMOSPHERE
STABILIZES.

A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS HAS ORGANIZED ALONG THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
KANSAS AND NW OK. THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE GENERALLY FROM NW TO
SE ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. WEAK SHEAR AND
DECREASING INSTABILITY WITH TIME TONIGHT AND A TENDENCY FOR STORMS
TO BE UNDERCUT BY THE ADVANCING FRONT WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT WITH THE FRONT. THUS...THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND CLOSER TO THE
KANSAS BORDER.

POCKETS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED...WITH BETWEEN AND INCH
AND 2 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. IF THIS HEAVY RAIN FALLS ON AREAS THAT PICKED UP HEAVY
RAINS LAST NIGHT...SOME FLASH FLOODING COULD THEN OCCUR.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY THRU THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

POST FRONTAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY
MORNING OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS BEFORE THE
FRONT EXITS OFF TO THE SOUTH. HIGH PRESSURE WITH A COOLER AND
DRIER AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE
DEPARTING COLD FRONT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
RETURN NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND FRONTAL
BOUNDARY APPROACH THE REGION.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

LACY

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