Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
310 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Coverage of convection this afternoon has been reinforced by
several outflow boundaries...mainly across northeast Oklahoma. As
has been the case the past several days...expect storm coverage to
diminish with the loss of daytime heating. Scope of forecast
largely unchanged with this issuance. Uncapped...moist
environment will stay in place for at least the next several
days...which will maintain daily thunderstorm chances.
Thunderstorm coverage on Wednesday likely to be
enhanced...especially across northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas as a surface boundary approaches from the northeast.
Thunderstorm chances will decrease from north to south towards the
end of the week...as drier air will begin to filter across the
area along with upper ridging that will strengthen over the
plains. Settled conditions are expected through the
weekend...however at that time upper ridge becomes suppressed and
improved flow will be just to the north of the area. Moisture will
also begin to return at that time....and the next chances for rain
and thunder may come early next week as another cold front
approaches the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  92  72  88 /  20  20  20  50
FSM   73  93  73  92 /  10  20  10  20
MLC   71  92  72  92 /  10  20  10  30
BVO   71  90  70  85 /  20  20  30  50
FYV   69  90  68  86 /  10  20  20  50
BYV   70  88  68  85 /  10  20  20  50
MKO   72  92  70  90 /  20  20  20  40
MIO   70  90  69  85 /  20  20  20  50
F10   72  92  71  90 /  20  20  20  50
HHW   73  93  73  94 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1245 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1245 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTENROON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS.
    ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD
DIMINISH BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. A WEAK
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...
WITH AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DURING THAT TIME.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
232 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

ARZ002-011-292000-
MADISON AR-CARROLL AR-
232 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MADISON AND SOUTH
CENTRAL CARROLL COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CDT...

AT 232 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF
MARBLE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
RUDD...                           FORUM...
WITHROW SPRINGS STATE PARK...     MARBLE...
DRYFORK...                        ROCKHOUSE...
METALTON...                       ALABAM...

LAT...LON 3612 9346 3612 9348 3610 9348 3609 9349
      3615 9380 3635 9362 3618 9342
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 121DEG 13KT 3619 9358

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
249 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

OKZ076-292015-
LE FLORE OK-
249 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LE FLORE COUNTY
UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 249 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTH OF
CAMERON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
POCOLA...                         SPIRO...
PANAMA...                         CAMERON...
SCULLYVILLE...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3513 9452 3519 9478 3532 9468 3531 9468
      3529 9466 3529 9464 3530 9462 3531 9461
      3523 9446
TIME...MOT...LOC 1949Z 121DEG 12KT 3520 9455

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
250 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

OKZ060-067-292015-
TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
250 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN WAGONER AND SOUTHEASTERN
TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 250 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
COWETA...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
EASTERN TULSA...                  BROKEN ARROW...
BIXBY...                          COWETA...
STONEBLUFF...                     ONETA...
REDBIRD...                        LEONARD...

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3596 9552 3584 9563 3584 9564 3585 9565
      3586 9565 3586 9571 3590 9594 3613 9577
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 121DEG 12KT 3592 9565

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
307 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

ARZ001-002-011-292045-
BENTON AR-MADISON AR-CARROLL AR-
307 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MADISON...WEST
CENTRAL CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 306 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOBBS STATE
PARK...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
ROGERS...                         LOWELL...
GARFIELD...                       HINDSVILLE...
WAR EAGLE...                      HOBBS STATE PARK...
CLIFTY...                         LARUE...
BLAND...                          WALNUT HILL...
HILL TOP...                       BEST...
MONTE NE...                       BEAVER LAKE...
LOOKOUT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 49 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 78 AND 81.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3614 9384 3617 9391 3624 9389 3624 9401
      3621 9401 3621 9403 3627 9420 3648 9398
      3629 9372
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 121DEG 12KT 3626 9386

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