Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
732 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
732 AM CDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL THIS MORNING... AND AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...MOST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...ALL OF NORTHWEST
           AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING THROUGH MID MORNING...AND AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
            EVENING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION... ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE ONGOING THIS MORNING
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...MAINLY TO THE NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE
44. ONE OR TWO STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
STRAIGHTLINE WINDS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. ONGOING STORMS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA WILL DIMINISH BETWEEN MID AND LATE MORNING.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON. LEFTOVER BOUNDARIES FROM MORNING CONVECTION MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO DEVELOPMENT...HOWEVER MOST AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACTIVITY WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT AND
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE. AMPLE INSTABILITY WILL BE IN PLACE BY
AFTERNOON AND WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER.
STORMS WILL POSE AN ELEVATED RISK FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURST
WINDS...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT LARGE HAIL. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO
POSSIBLE WITH SLOWER MOVING STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING. STORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN ONGOING
OVERNIGHT...HOWEVER THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BEGIN
DIMINISHING LATE IN THE EVENING AS DAYTIME HEATING IS LOST.

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WILL SEE HOT
CONDITIONS AGAIN TODAY AS THESE AREAS WILL REMAIN AWAY FROM
THE HIGHEST THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE AND THICKER CLOUD COVER.
AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES WILL BE
COMMON.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL REMAIN ONGOING INTO SATURDAY...WITH
LOWER CHANCES SUNDAY AS FOCUS FOR STORMS BEGINS TO LIFT AWAY FROM
THE REGION. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO BUILD BACK OVER THE
PLAINS NEXT WEEK...WHICH WILL BRING VERY HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
BACK TO THE AREA WITH LITTLE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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