Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Topeka, KS

411 
WWUS43 KTOP 210931
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
331 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

KSZ008-009-020>022-034>036-211745-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY
331 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA
  THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 6 INCHES
  OVERNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.

* WIND...LIGHT EAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BE TURNING OUT OF THE
  NORTH AND GUSTING TO 15 MPH THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ010>012-023-024-026-037>040-054>056-058-059-211745-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...SENECA...HIAWATHA...
WAMEGO...HOLTON...OSKALOOSA...COUNCIL GROVE...ALMA...TOPEKA...
LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY...OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...
GARNETT
331 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING
  HOURS.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE
  INCH ARE POSSIBLE WITH SOME ISOLATED 2 INCH SNOW AMOUNTS.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP DURING
  THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...AND MAY PRODUCE A THIN GLAZE OF
  ICE.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLICK THROUGH THE MORNING
  HOURS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW COVER.
  MOTORIST ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION ON AREA ROADWAYS THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

665 
WWUS43 KTOP 211224
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
624 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

KSZ023-211800-
/O.UPG.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KTOP.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
POTTAWATOMIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WAMEGO
624 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 3 TO 5 INCHES OF
  SNOWFALL OVERNIGHT...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE
  THIS MORNING.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP DURING 
  THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...AND MAY PRODUCE A THIN GLAZE 
  OF ICE. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS 
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ008-009-020>022-034>036-211800-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE...JUNCTION CITY
624 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS
  THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
  SNOW OVERNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE THIS
  MORNING.

* WIND...LIGHT EAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BE TURNING OUT OF 
  THE NORTH AND GUSTING TO 15 MPH THROUGH THE LATE MORNING 
  HOURS. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS 
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ010>012-024-026-037>040-054>056-058-059-211800-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-
DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...SENECA...HIAWATHA...
HOLTON...OSKALOOSA...COUNCIL GROVE...ALMA...TOPEKA...LAWRENCE...
EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY...OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...GARNETT
624 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 
  MORNING HOURS. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP DURING 
  THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...AND MAY PRODUCE A THIN GLAZE 
  OF ICE. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLICK THROUGH THE MORNING 
  HOURS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW COVER. 
  MOTORIST ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION ON AREA ROADWAYS THIS 
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

373 
WWUS43 KTOP 211616
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1016 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

KSZ008-009-020>023-034>036-211800-
/O.CON.KTOP.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-OTTAWA-
DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...WAMEGO...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
1016 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

* TIMING...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS 
  THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 8 INCHES OF
  SNOW OVERNIGHT WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE DURING
  THE MORNING.

* WIND...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
  MPH. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS 
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

KSZ024-026-039-040-054>056-058-059-212200-
/O.EXT.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160121T2200Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-
ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLTON...OSKALOOSA...TOPEKA...
LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY...OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...
GARNETT
1016 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE
  THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND TAPER OFF THROUGH THE MID
  AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP DURING 
  THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...AND MAY PRODUCE A THIN GLAZE 
  OF ICE. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLICK THROUGH THE MORNING 
  HOURS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW COVER. 
  MOTORIST ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION ON AREA ROADWAYS THIS 
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

KSZ010>012-037-038-211800-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...SENECA...HIAWATHA...
COUNCIL GROVE...ALMA
1016 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
TODAY...

* TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 
  MORNING HOURS. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
  INCHES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE MAY DEVELOP DURING 
  THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...AND MAY PRODUCE A THIN GLAZE 
  OF ICE. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLICK THROUGH THE MORNING 
  HOURS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER INCH OF SNOW COVER. 
  MOTORIST ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION ON AREA ROADWAYS THIS 
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

837 
WWUS43 KTOP 211749
WSWTOP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1149 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

KSZ008-009-020>023-034>036-211900-
/O.EXP.KTOP.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-OTTAWA-
DICKINSON-GEARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BELLEVILLE...WASHINGTON...CONCORDIA...
CLAY CENTER...MANHATTAN...WAMEGO...MINNEAPOLIS...ABILENE...
JUNCTION CITY
1149 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY...

ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON...WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS COME TO AN END. 

$$

KSZ010>012-037-038-211900-
/O.EXP.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160121T1800Z/
MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-MORRIS-WABAUNSEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MARYSVILLE...SENECA...HIAWATHA...
COUNCIL GROVE...ALMA
1149 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON CST TODAY...

ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE A FEW AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON...WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL HAS COME TO AN END.
THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
HOURS AS WELL. 

$$

KSZ024-026-039-040-054>056-058-059-212200-
/O.CON.KTOP.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160121T2200Z/
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-
ANDERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOLTON...OSKALOOSA...TOPEKA...
LAWRENCE...EMPORIA...OSAGE CITY...OTTAWA...BURLINGTON...LEBO...
GARNETT
1149 AM CST THU JAN 21 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* TIMING...PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL STEADILY DIMINISH
  THIS AFTERNOON. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IS ALSO POSSIBLE THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOWFALL THIS AFTERNOON COULD BE AROUND AN
  INCH. 

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...ANY ACCUMULATION OF ICE SHOULD BE EXTREMELY
  LIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS MAY BE SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Topeka KS
625 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

...Update to near-term and aviation forecast discussion...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 609 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

Have updated the near-term forecast through tonight to include the
chance for a mix of freezing rain, sleet, and snow for the first
1-2 hours of precipitation this evening, particularly for areas
near/south of a Minneapolis to Manhattan to Burlington line. A
light glaze of ice will be possible before sleet and snow overtake
as the main precipitation type. Have already had reports of 1.75"
of snow in the Concordia area and expect this area of moderate to
heavy precipitation to stall and pivot, likely setting up some
part of the area with snow amounts higher than the current
forecast. The most likely area for high amounts remains similar to
the previous forecast, but may just end up closer to the 6" mark
locally.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 315 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

Early afternoon water vapor imagery showing initial potent upper
wave moving into southwest Kansas with second near Salt Lake City.
Initial band of precip making its way northeast into central Kansas
with local temps still holding in the upper 20s lower 30s with
stratus being rather prevalent in the bulk of the area. Southeast
winds keeping low levels fairly well saturated with dewpoint
depressions of only a few degrees in the southeast.

Behavior of the stronger bands of precip and any freezing drizzle
into Thursday are the main challenges. Models are in good agreement
with this initial band strengthening as the mid level wave deepens
tonight on increasing isentropic lift and frontogenesis. This band
looks to impact mainly western and central areas before diminishing.
This could easily be the biggest show of the event with heavier
rates anticipated per latest short-range guidance and a few quick
inches seem likely. Additional rounds of precip should persist
through the night into at least Thursday morning as the wave remains
overhead and second trough rotates around it to the south, though
forcing is weaker and should lead to lighter amounts. Going Advisory
seems well in order, with amounts mainly in the 1-4" range. Any
areas, mainly in the west, that see more persistence of especially
the early precip could see locally higher amounts. Far northeast and
eastern locations still look to have the smallest concern for the
heavier amounts. Still looking like the vast majority of measurable
precip will be snow with good saturation and lift into the ice
crystal formation zone and the bulk of the forcing being aloft. The
magnitude of attributes weaken late tonight into Thursday, giving
at least some potential for light freezing drizzle as well. Also,
where low levels are fairly saturated near and south of I-35, hard
to rule out some drizzle early this evening as well.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

Models shows the low clouds hanging in through the night with the
possibility for some weak and shallow vertical motion. Overall am
not that optimistic for accumulating precip, but can't rule out
some patchy freezing drizzle either. With this in mind, have kept
a mention for some very light drizzle. Any impact is probably
going to be small given the anticipated weather leading into the
night and ongoing efforts to keep roads clear. Have not made many
changes to the expected lows Friday morning. There should be some
cold air advection on the back side of the system, but with a
modest surface ridge building in lows in the upper teens to around
20 should look reasonable.

Shortwave ridging is progged to develop over the central plains
for for Friday and Saturday. This combined with a dry airmass
moving in with the surface ridge should lead to dry weather
heading into Sunday. Temps are forecast to moderate somewhat as
southerly winds return to the area with some modest warm air
advection on Saturday. Highs Friday should remain below freezing
due to mostly cloudy skies and weak cold air advection persisting
through the morning. Have temps forecast to reach the mid 30s
Saturday thinking snow cover could offset some of the modest warm
air advection.

The GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement that the next upper trough
will move into the plains by Sunday with a series of shortwaves
moving across the region through Tuesday. However moisture appears
to be limited through this time period. Because of this am not all
that excited about precip chances. Models generate some light QPF
Sunday night and Monday so the forecast continues to show a slight
chance POP. The concern however is whether there will be ice in
the column as the GFS forecast soundings struggle to saturate mid
levels. With this in mind, have a mention of snow or freezing
drizzle for Sunday night and Monday morning. Otherwise forcing and
moisture look to be less than optimal for precip and have a dry
forecast for Monday night through Wednesday. Temps should cool
down for the first part of the work week behind a cold front
Sunday night. The a warming trend is expected by mid week as
heights rise and surface winds gain more of a westerly and
southwesterly component to advect warm air back in.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 609 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

Precipitation, initially fzraplsn, will arrive at MHK soon, but
will probably take a few more hours to reach TOP/FOE in consistent
fashion as there is a lot of dry air to overcome. Expect mainly
snow for a precip type at all sites after 03Z. Vis will reduce to
IFR quickly at onset of precip, with cigs slowly decreasing this
evening to IFR, and possibly to LIFR during the early morning. -SN
will persist for much of the TAF period with some chance for ZL
after 18Z. Conditions will improve to MVFR, likely in the 17Z-19Z
time range.

&&

.TOP Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST Thursday for KSZ008>012-
020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059.

&&

UPDATE...Barjenbruch
SHORT TERM...65
LONG TERM...Wolters
AVIATION...Barjenbruch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
631 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-220045-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
631 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO 6
INCHES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH THE
HEAVIER AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE WEST OF A LINE FROM MARYSVILLE TO
EMPORIA. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE COULD ALSO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT IN
AREAS WHERE SNOW IS NOT FALLING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO MUCH OF THE DAY
THURSDAY. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS OF THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT PRECIPITATION TYPE AND AMOUNTS.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
623 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     SNOW             CONCORDIA               39.57N 97.66W
01/20/2016  M2.1 INCH        CLOUD              KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            MEASURED AT 615 PM.

&&

BAERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
744 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0743 PM     SNOW             3 NNE CONCORDIA         39.61N 97.64W
01/20/2016  E4.0 INCH        CLOUD              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY SNOW STILL FALLING.

&&

BAERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
803 PM CST WED JAN 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0759 PM     SNOW             NNE MINNEAPOLIS         39.12N 97.71W
01/20/2016  E3.5 INCH        OTTAWA             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BAERG