Severe Thunderstorm Warning 214, NWS Topeka, KS

706 
WWUS53 KTOP 200045
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
745 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

KSC003-031-059-200115-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160820T0115Z/
COFFEY-FRANKLIN-ANDERSON-
745 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN COFFEY...SOUTHERN FRANKLIN AND ANDERSON COUNTIES...

AT 745 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES EAST OF HARRIS TO 4 MILES SOUTH OF
WESTPHALIA... MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARNETT...RICHMOND...COLONY...WILLIAMSBURG...GREELEY...PRINCETON...
LANE...WESTPHALIA...KINCAID...LONE ELM...HARRIS AND LE ROY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 169 AND 180.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3822 9561 3822 9552 3860 9550 3852 9506
      3804 9508 3804 9570
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 272DEG 40KT 3833 9535 3811 9550 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

450 
WWUS53 KTOP 200103
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
803 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

KSC031-200113-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160820T0115Z/
COFFEY-
803 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COFFEY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3821 9539 3856 9533 3852 9506 3804 9508
      3804 9540 3814 9540
TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 283DEG 37KT 3829 9514 3807 9530 

$$

KSC003-059-200115-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160820T0115Z/
FRANKLIN-ANDERSON-
803 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND ANDERSON COUNTIES...

AT 803 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF GREELEY TO NEAR LONE ELM...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARNETT...RICHMOND...COLONY...GREELEY...PRINCETON...LANE...KINCAID
AND LONE
ELM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3821 9539 3856 9533 3852 9506 3804 9508
      3804 9540 3814 9540
TIME...MOT...LOC 0103Z 283DEG 37KT 3829 9514 3807 9530 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

886 
WWUS53 KTOP 200111
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
811 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

KSC003-059-200121-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-160820T0115Z/
FRANKLIN-ANDERSON-
811 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN AND
ANDERSON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM CDT...
            
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3821 9539 3856 9533 3852 9506 3804 9508
      3804 9540 3814 9540
TIME...MOT...LOC 0109Z 283DEG 37KT 3829 9514 3807 9530 

$$
 
PRIETO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Topeka KS
625 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 328 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

Water vapor imagery depicts an upper level disturbance currently
over north central Kansas. With this, a cluster of storms have
formed and along a surface front extending from western Iowa into
southwest Kansas. Storms started as elevated and have become more
surface based as they organize, with small hail and heavy rain
already reported. CAPE ahead of this activity is over 2500 J/kg,
with DCAPE values near 1000 J/kg, and shear continues to be
marginal with values near 25kts. Models indicate storms may
initially start as clusters and then merge into a line as they
move through the forecast area primarily between 3 and 10 PM. The
main threat will be locally damaging winds with any clusters that
manage to move ahead of the front and bow, but small to severe
hail is also possible. Rainfall totals are generally be around an
inch for the area, although heavier amounts up to 2.5 inches will
be possible creating a concern for localized flash flooding.
Storms will be diurnal in nature and should begin to weaken after
sunset.

Scattered showers may linger behind the front, but overall storms
will come to an end by early morning tomorrow.  Conditions will
steadily improve through the morning with skies clearing from west
to east as surface high pressure moves into the area.  A strong
pressure gradient will be present over the area tomorrow morning as
this new airmass pushes into northeast Kansas and gusty winds up to
20kts are expected through the morning, decreasing through the
afternoon. Even with clearing skies and ample sunshine tomorrow
afternoon, prevalent cold air advection will only allow highs to
top out in the mid to upper 70s tomorrow.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 328 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

Northwest flow aloft will prevail across the Central Plains on the
backside of the upper level trough moving into the Mid Mississippi
Valley Saturday night. High pressure will build into central and
eastern Kansas and gradually move east across eastern Kansas on
Sunday. Lows Sunday morning will be cool with highs in the low to
mid 50s. Forecast soundings show mixing down from 780mb to 820 mb
from west to east on Sunday which should give highs in the lower
80s. As an upper level trough moves into the Pacific Northwest
Sunday night a surface trough will develop across the Western High
Plains while the surface high moves off to the east. This will
induce a return of southerly flow across the area and expect lows
Monday morning from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Monday the upper
trough will deepen across the west with ridging across the Central
Plains. Expect highs to be a few degrees warmer on Monday with highs
in the mid 80s with a few readings in the upper 80s possible near
central Kansas. Sensible weather will be rather benign Saturday
night through Monday.

Tuesday through Friday will see off and on rain and thunderstorm
chances as a pair of weak waves traverse over a weak and slow moving
frontal boundary across northeast into east central Kansas.  On
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning it seems reasonable with the
timing of shortwaves and development of a weak to moderately strong
LLJ in place over central to north central Kansas could enhance
elevated showers and storms which eventually move into portions of
northeastern Kansas overnight.  Some stronger storms could have just
enough instability and shear have some small hail and strong gusty
winds.  Second best chance of storms for the extended period sets up
Wednesday night into Thursday early morning as second wave moves
into the region.  After this, the front should push south as a
stronger surface ridge builds in from the northwest.  Expect temps
to be overall lower during the period with highs in low to mid 80s
with overnight lows possibly around 60 by next Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 624 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

Thunderstorms continue to move east throughout the forecast area.
TSRA will reach TOP/FOE within the hour and are expected to have
brief periods of IFR conditions within the heavy rain.  MHK should
stay VFR through the period now with rain ending near 01Z. TOP/FOE
may see brief MVFR ceilings post frontal before sunrise. Storms will
completely clear the area early morning and gusty winds will pick up
after 13Z.

&&

.TOP Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Heller
LONG TERM...Drake/53
AVIATION...Heller

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
336 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-202045-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
336 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA AND WILL CONTINUE TO
PROGRESS EAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL BETWEEN 3 PM AND 10
PM. HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
704 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SW TOPEKA               39.05N 95.68W
08/19/2016                   SHAWNEE            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            29TH AND EVENINGSIDE. 12 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCH DOWN.

&&

JP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
709 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NW DOVER              38.99N 95.97W
08/19/2016  E55 MPH          WABAUNSEE          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 50-60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
720 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SSW PERRY               39.07N 95.39W
08/19/2016                   JEFFERSON          KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 INCH LIMB BROKEN OFF HEALTHY TREE

&&

BDRAKE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
722 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TOPEKA                  39.05N 95.68W
08/19/2016                   SHAWNEE            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            32ND AND FAIRLAWN. 2 AND A HALF FOOT DIAMATER TREE BROKEN
            AND LAYING ACROSS THE ROAD.

&&

JP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
723 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0721 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SW LECOMPTON          39.00N 95.46W
08/19/2016  E45 MPH          DOUGLAS            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            40 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS WITH SMALL BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

BARJENBRUCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
726 PM CDT FRI AUG 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0702 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 S MERIDEN             39.13N 95.57W
08/19/2016                   JEFFERSON          KS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            POWER LINES DOWN AT K4 AND DETLOR ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED
            BASED ON RADAR SIGNATURE.

&&

BARJENBRUCH