Severe Thunderstorm Warning 177, NWS Topeka, KS

278 
WWUS53 KTOP 161505
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1005 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

KSC045-161515-
/O.CAN.KTOP.SV.W.0177.000000T0000Z-160616T1515Z/
DOUGLAS-
1005 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3905 9549 3905 9550 3898 9550 3895 9558
      3906 9567 3912 9550 3906 9548
TIME...MOT...LOC 1505Z 141DEG 4KT 3906 9557 

$$

KSC087-177-161515-
/O.CON.KTOP.SV.W.0177.000000T0000Z-160616T1515Z/
SHAWNEE-JEFFERSON-
1005 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL SHAWNEE AND SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES...

AT 1005 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER TECUMSEH...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EASTERN TOPEKA...TECUMSEH AND GRANTVILLE. 

THIS INCLUDES KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 181 AND 188.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3905 9549 3905 9550 3898 9550 3895 9558
      3906 9567 3912 9550 3906 9548
TIME...MOT...LOC 1505Z 141DEG 4KT 3906 9557 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

SANDERS

982 
WWUS53 KTOP 161508
SVSTOP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1008 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

KSC087-177-161517-
/O.EXP.KTOP.SV.W.0177.000000T0000Z-160616T1515Z/
SHAWNEE-JEFFERSON-
1008 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL SHAWNEE AND
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 AM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN
IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3905 9549 3905 9550 3898 9550 3895 9558
      3906 9567 3912 9550 3906 9548
TIME...MOT...LOC 1505Z 141DEG 4KT 3906 9557 

$$

SANDERS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Topeka KS
754 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 752 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

...Updated to continue thunderstorms in the east...

Morning MCV still slow to move east of the forecast area and
continues to generate isolated to scattered showers and storms
mainly south of I70 and east of the turnpike. May persist for a
few more hours and have added thunderstorms for the morning
forecast update. Won't have much impact on the heat as
temperatures build into the afternoon hours.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 325 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

MCV continues to slowly move eastward across the southern portion of
the forecast area.  Light showers continue, as do strong winds on
the north side of the low where dissipating/evaporating showers are
likely contributing to the broad area of 30-45mph wind gusts on the
north side of the low. This has also kept temperatures up in the 80s
in areas where the winds are occurring.  Expect this to move off to
the east over the next several hours.  Will leave some morning cloud
cover and likely some residual surface boundaries over the area, but
with lack of a lifting mechanism to break the cap, and an upper
ridge moving overhead by mid afternoon, will keep forecast dry at
this time.  High temperatures expected to reach upper 90s east to
near 102 out west, and the heat advisory continues.  Overnight lows
also look to stay warm in the middle 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

Models continue to show at least minor potential for convection to
impact the area Friday into Saturday. Appears overnight convection
tonight along the weak boundary will remain to the northeast, though
can't rule out outflow pushing southwest into the area late in the
night. More likely scenario for precip is development occurring to
the northwest along inverted trough axis where cap will be the
weakest. This activity could reach the area in the late afternoon --
when peak heating/heat index values would be anticipated. Along with
slight low level cooling and models' rather high afternoon
dewpoint bias in recent days, have decided to keep the Watch going
for Friday. Models are also similar with a weak PV anomaly
swinging southeast around the ridge into eastern Kansas Friday
night and could aid in convection persisting on through the area,
perhaps into Saturday. Bumped up pops a bit based on more
consistent precip signal. Some guidance keeps clouds rather
persistent through the day Saturday and could provide a break in
the excessive heat, but most guidance would push apparent temps
back to near Advisory levels, close enough to keep the Watch
going. South winds should return Sunday as the eastern surface
ridge moves off which brings higher temperature and dewpoint
potential, though just how much of either is uncertain. Monday
could bring another hot day as the weak cold front nears but much
too little confidence to extend the Watch. Most widespread precip
potential still comes Monday night into Tuesday night as the front
settles in.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Friday Morning)
Issued at 645 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

VFR conditions overall expected through the period. Will need to
watch for early morning haze late in the period as rain has fallen
overnight, and also for possible early morning thunderstorms.
Chance too low to include in this issuance.

&&

.TOP Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM CDT Friday for
KSZ008>012-020>024-034.

Excessive Heat Watch from Friday morning through Sunday evening
for KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059.

Heat Advisory until 7 AM CDT Friday for KSZ026-035>040-054>056-
058-059.

&&

UPDATE...67
SHORT TERM...67
LONG TERM...65
AVIATION...67

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
421 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-170930-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
421 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAT INDEX VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 103 TO 109 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES ARE FORECAST TO PEAK IN THE 100 TO
109 DEGREE RANGE FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. AN EXCESSIVE HEAT
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
807 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0807 AM     HAIL             OVERBROOK               38.78N 95.56W
06/16/2016  E1.00 INCH       OSAGE              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BYRNE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
821 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     HAIL             OVERBROOK               38.78N 95.56W
06/16/2016  E1.25 INCH       OSAGE              KS   PUBLIC

&&

BYRNE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
846 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

KSZ039-040-055-161415-
OSAGE-DOUGLAS-SHAWNEE-
846 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHAWNEE...
SOUTHWESTERN DOUGLAS AND NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTIES UNTIL 915 AM
CDT...

AT 845 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
OVERBROOK...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RICHLAND...OVERBROOK...CLINTON...GLOBE AND CLINTON LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3874 9536 3874 9550 3873 9550 3872 9563
      3889 9568 3899 9539
TIME...MOT...LOC 1345Z 152DEG 3KT 3879 9556

HENNECKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
915 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

KSZ039-040-161445-
DOUGLAS-SHAWNEE-
915 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHAWNEE AND
NORTHWESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 945 AM CDT...

AT 915 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
RICHLAND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RICHLAND...LECOMPTON AND CLINTON LAKE.

THIS INCLUDES KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 188 AND 195.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3884 9542 3883 9550 3887 9550 3887 9561
      3900 9564 3904 9537
TIME...MOT...LOC 1415Z 122DEG 6KT 3892 9556

HENNECKE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
927 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0922 AM     HAIL             2 SSE RICHLAND          38.86N 95.52W
06/16/2016  E0.88 INCH       OSAGE              KS   PUBLIC

            STRONG WIND GUSTS REPORTED AS WELL ALTHOUGH
            NOT STRONG ENOUGH TO BREAK BRANCHES.

&&

BB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
938 AM CDT THU JUN 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0911 AM     HAIL             RICHLAND                38.88N 95.54W
06/16/2016  E1.25 INCH       SHAWNEE            KS   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

BB