Alert archive / Florida / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

July 12, 2016Levy County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this special weather statement at Jul 12, 2016, 4:03 PM EDT for Levy County, Florida. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2016, 4:03 PM EDT (20:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2016, 4:45 PM EDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL

County Levy County, FL

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 160 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1590 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -7 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
972 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 12, 2:57 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 2:57 PM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
257 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.SHORT TERM (This afternoon-Wednesday)...
A more typical summertime pattern for the area this week as the
broad upper ridge over the region continues while the weak
relative high center moves from the Bahamas today over the state
then into the Eastern Gulf late Wednesday. Western Atlantic
surface high pressure axis holds over the N FL Peninsula keeping
the C and S FL areas in SE low level flow. Warm, humid and
unstable July atmosphere to combine with diurnal heating and
bay/sea breeze boundaries to produce scattered to numerous
thunderstorms through this evening then again Wednesday afternoon.
Best coverage of storms favor I-75 corridor from the Tampa Bay
area southward into SW FL. Temperature around seasonal normals as
well.

&&

.LONG TERM (Wednesday Night-Tuesday)...
Upper ridging over the state weakens Thursday and flow becomes
more zonal across the area. Surface high pressure will ridge
across the area through the period from the Atlantic with the
ridge axis mainly remaining north of the area. This will keep
generally SE flow in place across the area with an afternoon sea
breeze developing each day. Moisture will increase through the
column as the upper ridge weakens and will allow for scattered
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms each day forming
along sea breeze and outflow boundaries. Temperatures will remain
in the lower to mid 90s for highs and in the mid 70s to around 80
for lows.

&&

.AVIATION...
Afternoon through evening thunderstorms continue for brief
MVFR/IFRconditions in/near the strongest cells through about
02Z. VRF conditions returning all sites after that through the
overnight hours.

&&

.MARINE...
Light pressure gradient to hold over the E Gulf waters through
the week with light winds and slight seas continuing. Expect seas
2 ft or less and afternoon seabreezes near the coast with
increased thunderstorms near the beaches and coast that may
produce strong gusty winds that would briefly increase and chop up
seas and contain deadly lightning. So mariners need to always pay
attention the weather for their safety.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Summertime humidity values along with afternoon sea breezes
showers and storms will continue through the week.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  78  94  78  92 /  30  30  40  30
FMY  77  93  76  93 /  20  60  30  40
GIF  76  95  76  94 /  30  40  30  40
SRQ  78  91  77  92 /  30  30  30  30
BKV  74  95  74  94 /  30  30  30  30
SPG  80  93  80  92 /  30  30  30  30

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...25/Davis
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...24/Hubbard
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 5:14 AM EDT, 10 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
514 AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-130915-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
514 AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS LATE MORNING
FOR NEAR COASTAL AREAS. THEREAFTER...STORMS WILL BECOME MORE
SCATTERED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A FEW STRONG
STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING. STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE INLAND AREAS BY
EARLY AFTERNOON. THEREAFTER...STORMS WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. STORMS SHOULD
GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

WYNN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 3:22 PM EDT, 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
322 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

FLZ139-239-122000-
COASTAL LEVY-INLAND LEVY-
322 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN LEVY COUNTY...

AT 321 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF BRONSON...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHIEFLAND...BRONSON...EAST BRONSON...WILLISTON HIGHLANDS...
MANATTEE ROAD...ANDREWS AND OTTER CREEK.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2954 8265 2954 8262 2930 8253 2923 8286
      2946 8300 2947 8298 2949 8298 2957 8268
      2957 8266
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 165DEG 6KT 2937 8274
Special weather statement, Jul 12, 4:03 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
403 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

FLZ139-239-122045-
COASTAL LEVY-INLAND LEVY-
403 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN LEVY COUNTY...

AT 403 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER CHIEFLAND...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHIEFLAND...ANDREWS...MANATTEE ROAD...FANNING SPRINGS...
OTTER CREEK AND MANATEE SPRINGS STATE PARK.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2958 8278 2958 8276 2956 8275 2956 8270
      2925 8261 2920 8277 2942 8303 2942 8302
      2943 8302 2946 8300 2947 8298 2952 8298
      2952 8297 2954 8298 2956 8295 2959 8294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 156DEG 17KT 2945 8287

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 8:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHillsborough36 min
Jul 11, 8:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWPasco38 min
Jul 11, 8:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW30 min
Jul 11, 8:42 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWSumter48 min
Jul 11, 9:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHernando26 min
Jul 11, 9:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWSumter37 min
Jul 11, 10:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWCitrus59 min
Jul 12, 3:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWLevy38 min
Jul 12, 4:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWDeSoto49 min
Jul 12, 4:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWDeSoto35 min
Jul 12, 5:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHighlands43 min
Jul 12, 5:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWCharlotte, DeSoto, Hardee47 min
Jul 12, 6:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHardee37 min
Jul 12, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPolk29 min
Jul 12, 7:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWPolk44 min
Jul 12, 7:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWPasco42 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Florida, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.