Small Craft Advisory 8, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
938 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

.DISCUSSION...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE IS RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NW.
GENERALLY N/NW FLOW IS IN PLACE WITH SOME GUSTY CONDITIONS ALONG
THE COAST. CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK FOR TONIGHT WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOWER 30S ACROSS LEVY COUNTY WHERE A
FREEZE WARNING IS IN PLACE...TO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE REST OF THE
NATURE COAST. UPPER 30S INLAND TO MID 40S ALONG THE COAST FOR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES IS EXPECTED. A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER
FOR TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THE FREEZING CONDITIONS
COULD EXTEND ACROSS THE NATURE COAST. A FREEZE WATCH WILL CONTINUE
FOR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A GENERALLY
NORTHERLY FLOW OVERNIGHT BECOMING NNW AND GUSTY SOUTH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN WATERS AND THE OFFSHORE CENTRAL WATERS TONIGHT. WINDS
WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS IN THOSE AREAS WITH SEAS UP TO 5
FEET. NORTHERN WATERS AND THE NEAR SHORE CENTRAL WATERS WILL SEE
WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS WITH SEAS UP TO 4 FEET. CURRENT FORECAST IS
ON TRACK AND HAD ONLY MINOR CHANGES FOR THE UPDATE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     MORNING FOR COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL
     LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND LEVY-SUMTER.

     FREEZE WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR COASTAL
     LEVY-INLAND LEVY.

GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...24/HUBBARD
DECISION SUPPORT...02/GARCIA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
538 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-191045-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
538 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
HIGH SURF WILL PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA
BEACHES THIS MORNING. TO AVOID GETTING CAUGHT IN A RIP
CURRENT...SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES AND HEED THE ADVICE OF BEACH
PATROL. AT UNGUARDED BEACHES AND NEAR PIERS...JETTIES...AND
INLETS...DO NOT GO INTO THE SURF MUCH ABOVE YOUR KNEES.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WAVE HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN IN THE 5 TO 7 FOOT RANGE OFFSHORE...SO
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY. WIND SPEEDS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE TONIGHT FOR
MUCH OF THE GULF WATERS.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING FOR LEVY COUNTY. TEMPERATURES OF 30 TO 32 DEGREES WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR 2 TO 4 HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR LEVY...CITRUS...SUMTER...AND HERNANDO
COUNTIES. TEMPERATURES OF 30 TO 32 DEGREES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR 2
TO 4 HOURS.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WITH
A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY.

...MARINE IMPACT...
A PERIOD OF ADVISORY-LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEHIND
A COLD FRONT LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

CARLISLE