Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 42, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

October 3, 2016Sarasota County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Oct 3, 2016, 10:07 PM EDT for Sarasota County, Florida. It took effect at Oct 5, 2016, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 7 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 3, 2016, 10:07 PM EDT (02:07 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 5, 2016, 2:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 12, 2016, 8:00 AM EDT
In force
7 days
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Sarasota County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Myakka River at Myakka River State Park (MKCF1). The gauge peaked at 7.59 ft at Oct 8, 2016, 10:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate5678910/0410/0510/0610/0710/0810/0910/1010/1110/1210/13
Action stage
6.5 ft
Minor stage
7 ft
Moderate stage
8.5 ft
Major stage
10.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02298830, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

175 
WGUS42 KTBW 040207
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1007 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers...

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Several days of rain have caused rising water levels on several
area rivers, with minor flooding expected to begin in the next
couple of days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You
can follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC081-041507-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0041.161004T1100Z-161005T0400Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.161004T1100Z.161004T1800Z.161004T2200Z.NO/
1007 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From Tuesday morning until late Tuesday night.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was...9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday
  morning and continue to rise to near 11.2 feet by Tuesday early
  afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by
  Tuesday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile
  downstream flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to
  flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.2
  feet on Sep 5 2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   Sat

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0   9.6  Mon 09 PM  11.1   10.0    8.0    6.4   5.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-041506-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0042.161005T0900Z-161009T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T0900Z.161006T1200Z.161008T1800Z.NO/
1007 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From late Tuesday night until Saturday evening.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was...6.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Wednesday
  morning and continue to rise to near 7.5 feet by Thursday
  morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by
  Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park
  floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
  Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.5
  feet on Sep 15 1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   6.1  Mon 09 PM   6.3    7.1    7.5    7.5   7.1


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-041506-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0043.161004T2024Z-161007T0900Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T2024Z.161005T1200Z.161007T0300Z.NO/
1007 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From Tuesday afternoon until late Thursday night.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was...10.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 12.6 feet by Wednesday
  morning. The  river is expected to fall below flood stage by
  Thursday before midnight.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is
  impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and
  royal palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6
  feet on Sep 18 2000.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  10.3  Mon 09 PM  11.5   12.6   12.6   11.6  10.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
17 follow-up statements
286 
WGUS82 KTBW 041418
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1018 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Heavy rainfall across West and Southwest Florida over the last few days
continues to cause flooding issues along many rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-051418-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-161006T2000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.161003T0222Z.161003T2145Z.161006T1400Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.4 feet on Aug 20 
  2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  15.1  Tue 09 AM  14.1   13.1   11.7   10.3    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-050224-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-161005T0224Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.161003T0113Z.161003T1630Z.161004T2024Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until this evening.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.3 feet on Jul 27 
  1954.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.3  Tue 09 AM   9.9    7.9    6.3    5.4    4.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-051418-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-161006T0200Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.161004T0630Z.161004T1800Z.161005T2000Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.8 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Jul 18 
  1975.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.7  Tue 09 AM  11.8    9.4    7.6    6.3    5.6


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-051418-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.161005T0600Z-161009T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T0600Z.161006T0600Z.161008T1800Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From after midnight tomorrow through Saturday evening.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 6.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
  continue to rise to near 7.5 feet by early Thursday morning. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.5 feet on Sep 15 
  1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   6.3  Tue 09 AM   7.2    7.5    7.5    7.1    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-051418-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161008T1200Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161005T1200Z.161008T0600Z.NO/
1018 AM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 09 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river is expected to fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.8 feet on Aug 30 
  1981.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.1  Tue 09 AM  12.7   12.7   12.4   11.9   11.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
DJN
754 
WGUS82 KTBW 050124
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
924 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Heavy rainfall across West and Southwest Florida over the last
few days continues to cause flooding issues along many rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-051424-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-161006T2000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.161003T0222Z.161003T2145Z.161006T1400Z.NO/
924 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of
  State Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.3
  feet on Sep 10 1957.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat   Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  14.3  Tue 09 PM  14.1   13.1   11.7   10.2   8.9


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-050955-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-161005T0955Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.161003T0113Z.161003T1630Z.161005T0355Z.NO/
924 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late tonight.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1
  feet on Aug 4 1955.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat   Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.1  Tue 09 PM  10.5    8.8    7.1    5.8   5.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-051424-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-161005T1800Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.161004T0630Z.161004T1615Z.161005T1200Z.NO/
924 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile
  downstream flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.1
  feet on Sep 24 1979.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat   Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.1  Tue 08 PM  11.0    9.0    7.4    6.2   5.5


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC115-051424-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0042.161005T0600Z-161009T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T0600Z.161006T0600Z.161008T1800Z.NO/
924 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From after midnight tomorrow through Saturday evening.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after
  midnight tomorrow and continue to rise to near 7.6 feet by early
  Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage
  by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park
  floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6
  feet on Sep 1 1939.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat   Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   6.6  Tue 08 PM   7.1    7.6    7.6    7.2   6.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-051424-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161008T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161006T0000Z.161008T0000Z.NO/
924 PM EDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Friday night.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by tomorrow
  evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Friday
  evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is
  impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7
  feet on Aug 8 2002.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat   Sun

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.5  Tue 08 PM  12.6   12.6   12.3   11.7  11.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
330 
WGUS82 KTBW 051048
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
648 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida... 

  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Minor flooding continues along a few rivers across the area due to recent
heavy rains with the exception of the Manatee River Near Myakka Head which has 
fallen below flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-052348-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-161006T0000Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.161003T0222Z.161003T2145Z.161005T1800Z.NO/
648 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until this evening.
* At 06 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Feb 14 
  1963.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.6  Wed 06 AM  13.4   11.8   10.4    9.1    8.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC115-052348-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161009T0600Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1500Z.161006T1800Z.161009T0000Z.NO/
648 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From late this morning through late Saturday night.
* At 06 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 7.5 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This creinsert meteorological reasoning here!!!st compares to a   previous crest of 7.5 feet on Sep 15 1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   6.8  Wed 06 AM   6.9    7.4    7.5    7.2    6.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-052348-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161008T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161006T0000Z.161008T0000Z.NO/
648 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Friday night.
* At 06 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by this evening. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Aug 8 
  2002.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.4  Wed 06 AM  12.6   12.6   12.3   11.7   11.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC081-051118-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-161005T1800Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.161004T0630Z.161004T1615Z.161005T0715Z.NO/
648 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until this afternoon.
* At 06 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet on Jul 15 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  10.6  Wed 06 AM  10.3    8.0    6.6    5.8    5.2


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$
DJN
730 
WGUS82 KTBW 051344
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
944 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 

.Multiple rivers across the area continue to be in minor flood stage due to
recent heavy rains.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-052253-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-161005T2253Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.161003T0222Z.161003T2145Z.161005T1653Z.NO/
944 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until this evening.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.4 feet on Oct 12 
  1936.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  13.4  Wed 09 AM  11.8   10.4    9.2    7.9    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-060600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-161006T0600Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.161005T1045Z.161006T0000Z.NO/
944 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late tonight.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Aug 22 
  1951.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  11.1  Wed 09 AM  10.2    7.9    6.5    5.7    5.0


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-061343-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161009T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1530Z.161007T0600Z.161009T1200Z.NO/
944 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From late this morning through Sunday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 7.6 feet by early Friday morning. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6 feet on Sep 1 
  1939.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   6.9  Wed 09 AM   7.4    7.5    7.2    7.0    6.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-061343-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161006T1800Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161005T0445Z.161006T1200Z.NO/
944 AM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 08 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Aug 30 
  1994.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  12.4  Wed 08 AM  12.0   11.5   10.8   10.1    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
Norman
373 
WGUS82 KTBW 060240
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1040 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Flooding on the Little Manatee River has ended. Flooding on the Myakka River
and Horse Creek continues.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-061540-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161007T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1040 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 10 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.5 feet by Friday then begin
  falling.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.5 feet on Sep 15 
  1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.1  Wed 10 PM   7.3    7.5    7.3    7.3    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-061540-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161010T0600Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161005T0445Z.161010T0000Z.NO/
1040 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From tonight through late Sunday night.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to 
  rise to near 12.3 feet by early Saturday morning. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Aug 9 
  1957.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  11.9  Wed 09 PM  12.1   12.0   12.3   12.2   11.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC057-060310-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-161006T0600Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.161005T1800Z.000000T0000Z.161005T1800Z.NO/
1040 PM EDT WED OCT 5 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* At 10 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet on Oct 11 
  1971.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  10.8  Wed 10 PM   9.8    8.2    8.9    7.8    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$
706 
WGUS42 KTBW 061317
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
917 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016


...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the 
following rivers...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Expected rainfall from Hurricane Matthew will bring minor flooding to the
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park and Horse Creek Near Arcadia.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-070217-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161007T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice
* At 08 AM Thursday the stage was...7.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.6 feet by tomorrow morning then begin
  falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6 feet on Sep 1 
  1939.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.2  Thu 8 AM   7.6    7.6    7.5    7.3    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC027-070217-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161009T0900Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161005T0445Z.161009T0300Z.NO/
917 AM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Saturday night
* At 08 AM Thursday the stage was...11.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late evening and 
  continue to rise to near 12.4 feet by Saturday morning.the river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by Saturday before midnight.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Jul 31 
  1965.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  11.4  Thu 8 AM  11.0   12.4   11.5   10.8   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
106 
WGUS82 KTBW 070124
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
924 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Peace River At Bartow 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Rainfall from Hurricane Matthew is expected to bring minor flooding
to many area rivers and creeks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-071424-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0048.161008T1800Z-161009T2100Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.161008T1800Z.161009T0000Z.161009T1500Z.NO/
924 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* From Saturday early afternoon through Sunday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday early afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 13.3 feet by Saturday evening. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.3 feet on Aug 26 
  1945.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  11.2  Thu 09 PM  11.1   12.5   13.2   12.1   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC115-071423-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.7 feet by tomorrow evening then begin
  falling.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.7 feet on Oct 11 
  1982.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.4  Thu 08 PM   7.6    7.7    7.5    7.4    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-071423-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0045.161007T1800Z-161009T0600Z/
/BARF1.1.ER.161007T1800Z.161008T0600Z.161009T0000Z.NO/
924 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* From tomorrow early afternoon through late Saturday night.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 8.2 feet by early Saturday morning. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.2 feet on Sep 29 
  1948.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   7.6  Thu 08 PM   7.7    8.2    7.8    7.4    7.1


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC049-071423-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0046.161008T0200Z-161010T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.161008T0200Z.161008T1800Z.161009T1800Z.NO/
924 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From friday evening through Sunday evening.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by friday evening and 
  continue to rise to near 16.9 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday early afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 feet on Sep 28 
  1982.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  13.4  Thu 08 PM  13.8   16.8   16.2   15.2   14.3


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-071423-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0047.161008T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.161008T1200Z.161012T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
924 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Saturday morning through further notice.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue to rise to
  near 12.4 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Sep 22 
  1934.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.2  Thu 08 PM  10.2   11.0   11.8   12.2   12.2


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-071423-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161009T0900Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161005T0445Z.161009T0300Z.NO/
924 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From friday evening through late Saturday night.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by friday evening and 
  continue to rise to near 12.4 feet by Saturday morning. The river is expected 
  to fall below flood stage by Saturday before midnight.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Jul 31 
  1965.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  10.8  Thu 08 PM  10.8   12.4   11.6   10.9   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
361 
WGUS82 KTBW 071312
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
912 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Bartow 

.Recent rainfall from Hurricane Matthew brought minor flooding to
many area rivers and creeks. But as Matthew moves away rainfall will
decrease and allow some river levels to slowly subside while flooding
continue on a couple.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-081312-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161010T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161007T1800Z.161010T1200Z.NO/
912 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 08 AM Friday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6 feet on Sep 1 
  1939.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.5  Fri 08 AM   7.6    7.4    7.0    6.8    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-081312-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0045.161008T0600Z-161009T0600Z/
/BARF1.1.ER.161008T0600Z.161008T0600Z.161009T0000Z.NO/
912 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* From after midnight tomorrow through late Saturday night.
* At 08 AM Friday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
  continue to rise to near 8.0 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet on Aug 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   7.6  Fri 08 AM   8.0    7.9    7.7    7.6    7.5


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC049-071342-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-161010T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 08 AM Friday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 feet on Oct 30 
  1975.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  13.3  Fri 08 AM  14.3   14.3   14.0   13.6   13.2


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-071342-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-161007T1312Z/
/ARCF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until Wednesday December 31.
* At 08 AM Friday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.0 feet on Feb 21 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  10.0  Fri 08 AM   9.9    9.9   10.0    9.8    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC057-071342-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-161009T2100Z/
/LITF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 08 AM Friday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.0 feet on Jul 21 
  1959.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  11.0  Fri 08 AM  11.5   11.2   10.4    9.5    8.6


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC027-071342-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-161009T0900Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.161004T1207Z.161005T0445Z.161005T2307Z.NO/
912 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 08 AM Friday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.0 feet on Sep 7 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  10.4  Fri 08 AM  10.0    9.5    9.0    8.7    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$
752 
WGUS82 KTBW 080122
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
922 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida... 

  Peace River At Bartow 

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.The rainfall from Hurricane Matthew was below what was expected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-081422-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161011T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1200Z.161011T1200Z.NO/
922 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...Flood Warning For The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* continues until Tuesday afternoon...
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.7 feet by tomorrow morning. The river
  is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.7 feet on Oct 11 
  1982.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.6  Fri 08 PM   7.7    7.5    7.2    7.0    6.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-080152-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-161009T0600Z/
/BARF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.0 feet on Aug 18 
  2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   7.4  Fri 08 PM   7.4    7.4    7.4    7.4    7.1


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$
828 
WGUS82 KTBW 081358
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
958 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.The Myakka River remains in minor flood for the next several days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-091358-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161011T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1800Z.161011T0600Z.NO/
958 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 7.6 feet by this afternoon. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6 feet on Sep 1 
  1939.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.6  Sat 09 AM   7.5    7.2    6.9    6.8    6.7


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
124 
WGUS82 KTBW 090938
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
538 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-100937-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161011T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1515Z.161011T0600Z.NO/
538 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 05 AM Sunday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.6 feet on Sep 4 
  1937.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.5  Sun 05 AM   7.2    6.9    6.8    6.6    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
356 
WGUS82 KTBW 091251
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
851 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.The Myakka River at Myakka River State Park will remain in flood for the
next several days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-101251-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161012T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1515Z.161012T0600Z.NO/
851 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.5 feet on Sep 6 
  1969.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.5  Sun 08 AM   7.3    7.1    6.9    6.8    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
008 
WGUS82 KTBW 100230
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1030 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Dry weather will come into the region and allow the Myakka River to fall 
below flood stage on Wednesday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-101530-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161012T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1515Z.161012T1200Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Sunday the stage was 7.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.4 feet on Aug 22 
  1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.4  Sun 10 PM   7.3    7.1    7.0    6.8    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
119 
WGUS82 KTBW 101423
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1023 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.The Myakka River at Myakka River State Park will remain in flood for the
next several days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-111423-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161012T1800Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1515Z.161012T1200Z.NO/
1023 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.3 feet on Jul 26 
  1968.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.4  Mon 10 AM   7.2    7.0    6.8    6.6    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
963 
WGUS82 KTBW 110154
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
954 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Dry weather will allow the Myakka River to fall below flood stage
on Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-111454-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161012T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1515Z.161012T0600Z.NO/
954 PM EDT MON OCT 10 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park...
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 7.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Jun 26 
  1966.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.3  Mon 09 PM   7.2    6.9    6.7    6.6    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$
767 
WGUS82 KTBW 111353
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE, FL
953 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following 
rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

..Dry weather will allow the Myakka River to fall below flood stage
on Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-121200-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161012T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1515Z.161012T0600Z.NO/
953 AM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 9 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at 
  Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Jun 26 
  1966.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.2  Tue  9 AM   6.9    6.7    6.5    6.4    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

Sedlock
542 
WGUS82 KTBW 120028
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
828 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.Dry weather will allow the flooding to end on the Myakka River overnight.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-121200-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-161012T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.161005T1815Z.161008T1515Z.161012T0600Z.NO/
828 PM EDT TUE OCT 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage overnight.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.1 feet on Aug 2 
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   7.1  Tue 08 PM   6.9    6.7    6.5    6.4    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 3, 9:22 PM EDT, 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 3, 9:22 PM EDT, 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
922 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

.EVENING UPDATE...
Widespread stratiform rain continues in the wake of todays
thunderstorms. Occasional rumbles of thunder will accompany this
activity, which should gradually diminish through around midnight.
Thereafter, expect cloudy conditions to persist into early Tuesday
morning. Patchy fog and low clouds may develop overnight given
some areas received substantial rainfall earlier today. Aside from
a few tweaks to PoPs to account for ongoing showers and storms,
the forecast looks to be on track into Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION (00z TAFs)...
Messy aviation forecast expected with ongoing SHRA/TSRA for many
terminals. Expect this will gradually diminish overnight with VFR
conditions returning 04z through at least 16z Tues. Some patchy
fog/stratus may occur where heavier rains have fallen, but
confidence is too low to mention in this issuance. Sct TSRA to
develop again by 18z Tues, becoming more widespread through 00z
Wed.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure north of the waters will maintain east to northeast
winds over the next couple of days, with scattered to numerous
thunderstorms. As Hurricane Matthew gradually nears the region by
mid week, winds will increase dramatically with periods of
advisory level winds and seas possible from Wednesday night
through Friday. This will largely depend on Matthew's path across
the western Atlantic and all marine interests should closely
monitor the situation. From the weekend into early next week,
Matthew is forecast to shift northeastward as a cold front moves
through the region. This will bring about a northwesterly wind
shift and improving marine conditions.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  74  87  75  89 /  90  50  20  40
FMY  74  89  76  90 /  80  50  20  40
GIF  73  87  73  89 /  70  50  20  40
SRQ  75  87  76  89 / 100  50  20  40
BKV  73  87  74  88 /  80  50  20  40
SPG  76  87  77  88 /  90  50  20  40

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through Thursday evening for
     Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...84/Austin
UPPER AIR...18/Fleming
DECISION SUPPORT/RADAR EXPERT...25/Davis
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 3, 5:31 AM EDT, 16 hours 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
531 AM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-031645-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
531 AM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA PRIMARILY DURING THE MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...
AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
HEAVY RAIN OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAS CAUSED MINOR RIVER
FLOODING ON THE LITTLE MANATEE AND ALAFIA RIVERS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN THIS AFTERNOON COULD CAUSE RISES ON OTHER AREA RIVERS AS
WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTH OVER THE
BAHAMAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND THEN OFF THE EAST COAST
OF FLORIDA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN FLORIDA
ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

OGLESBY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 3, 5:02 PM EDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
502 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

FLZ056-061-160-162-255-260-262-032200-
COASTAL SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-COASTAL CHARLOTTE-INLAND
SARASOTA-INLAND MANATEE-DESOTO-HARDEE-
502 PM EDT MON OCT 3 2016

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN DESOTO...
SARASOTA...WESTERN CHARLOTTE...SOUTHWESTERN HARDEE AND SOUTHEASTERN
MANATEE COUNTIES...

AT 502 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE CLUSTERED NEAR PORT
CHARLOTTE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH PORT...SARASOTA...PUNTA GORDA...ARCADIA...PORT CHARLOTTE...
RIDGE WOOD HEIGHTS...SAINT ARMANDS KEY...CHARLOTTE COUNTY AIRPORT...
MYAKKA CITY...MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK...LAKE SARASOTA...
SOUTH GATE RIDGE...SOUTHGATE...SOUTHEAST ARCADIA...
SARASOTA SPRINGS...GULF GATE ESTATES...SOUTH SARASOTA...
KENSINGTON PARK...THE MEADOWS AND NORTH SARASOTA.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2734 8263 2746 8172 2690 8185 2675 8223
      2675 8225 2676 8226 2674 8227 2673 8230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 150DEG 11KT 2696 8215

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 3, 9:30 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTBWCharlotte, DeSoto, Sarasota2 hr
Oct 3, 10:07 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningTBWManatee33 hr
Oct 3, 10:07 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningTBWDeSoto3 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.