Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 37, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

September 4, 2016Hardee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Sep 4, 2016, 10:04 PM EDT for Hardee County, Florida. It took effect at Sep 5, 2016, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 4, 2016, 10:04 PM EDT (02:04 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 5, 2016, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 6, 2016, 8:00 AM EDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Hardee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Peace River at Zolfo Springs (ZFSF1).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02295637, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

504 
WGUS42 KTBW 050204
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1004 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the 
following rivers...

  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 

.Heavy rainfall over the last few days has caused the Peace River at Zolfo
Springs to rise and is now forecast to reach Flood Stage Monday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC049-051504-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0037.160905T1200Z-160906T0600Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160905T1200Z.160905T1200Z.160906T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From Monday morning until late Monday night.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was...15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise to flood stage by tomorrow morning and 
  then expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 feet on Aug 27
  2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  15.7  Sun 09 PM  16.0   15.9   15.7   15.5   14.9


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$
4 follow-up statements
867 
WGUS82 KTBW 050215
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.Heavy rainfall over the last few days has caused area rivers to rise and
several remain in flood. Conditions will improve over the next several days.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-051515-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160908T1500Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T2015Z.160908T0900Z.NO/
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on 
  Mar 31 1987.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  16.5  Sun 09 PM  16.2   15.3   14.2   12.8   11.2


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC115-051515-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160904T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 8.2 feet by .
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 feet on 
  Aug 9 1977.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   8.6  Sun 09 PM   8.5    8.2    8.0    7.7    7.5


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-051515-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160906T2000Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.160903T1025Z.160903T2345Z.160906T1400Z.NO/
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 feet on 
  Apr 2 2011.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  23.8  Sun 09 PM  22.6   20.2   18.4   16.8   15.3


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC101-051515-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1422Z.160909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet by early Friday morning. 
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.5 feet on 
   Aug 6 2015.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   9.5  Sun 09 PM   9.8   10.2   10.4   10.6   10.7


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-051515-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160906T0920Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160903T1845Z.160906T0320Z.NO/
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late Monday night.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 
  33rd streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on 
  Aug 23 2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  13.9  Sun 09 PM  13.0    9.8    7.3    6.1    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC049-051515-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0037.160905T1200Z-160906T0600Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160905T1200Z.160905T1200Z.160906T0000Z.NO/
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From tomorrow morning through late Monday night.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and 
  continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by tomorrow morning. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 feet on 
  Aug 27 2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  15.7  Sun 09 PM  16.0   15.9   15.7   15.5   14.9


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-051515-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0945Z.160905T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Sunday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.1 feet by tomorrow evening then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen 
  homes.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet on 
  Aug 25 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  12.1  Sun 09 PM  12.8   12.8   12.4   12.3   12.1


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
257 
WGUS82 KTBW 051342
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Anclote River At Elfers 
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.The flooding from hurricane hermine will be receding over the next several days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-061342-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160904T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will remain near 8.6 feet through this afternoon then begin 
  falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 feet on Aug 9 
  1977.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   8.6  Mon 09 AM   8.3    8.0    7.7    7.5    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-061341-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160906T2247Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.160903T1025Z.160903T2345Z.160906T1647Z.NO/
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
  Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers 
  Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.9 feet on Aug 9 
  2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  22.9  Mon 09 AM  20.4   18.6   17.0   15.4   14.1


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC101-061341-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1422Z.160909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet by Friday morning then 
  begin falling slowly.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.7 feet on Jan 12 
  1971.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   9.8  Mon 09 AM  10.2   10.4   10.6   10.7   10.6


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-061341-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160908T1500Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T2015Z.160908T0900Z.NO/
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 feet on Jun 27 
  2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  16.0  Mon 09 AM  15.2   14.2   12.8   11.3   10.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-061341-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160906T1851Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160903T1845Z.160906T1251Z.NO/
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.2 feet on Jun 19 
  1994.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  13.2  Mon 09 AM  11.1    8.8    7.4    6.7    6.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC049-061341-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160906T2100Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160905T1445Z.160906T0000Z.160906T1500Z.NO/
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From late this morning through Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to remain at or near its flood stage today through 
  Tuesday afternoon then fall slowly for the rest of the week.  
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.2 feet on Jul 4 
  2002.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  15.9  Mon 08 AM  16.1   15.5   14.9   14.3   13.8


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-061341-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0945Z.160906T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
942 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.9 feet through Tuesday and then 
  stay above flood stage for the next week or so. 
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen 
  homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 22 
  1945.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  12.6  Mon 08 AM  12.9   12.9   12.9   12.8   12.5


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
538 
WGUS82 KTBW 051937
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.The flooding from hurricane hermine will be receding over the next several days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-061937-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160904T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 03 PM Monday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 8.4 feet by .
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.5 feet on Aug 15 
  1949.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   8.5  Mon 03 PM   8.4    8.1    7.7    7.5    7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-061937-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160907T0300Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.160903T1025Z.160903T2345Z.160906T2100Z.NO/
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 03 PM Monday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
  Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers 
  Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.4 feet on Sep 13 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  22.4  Mon 03 PM  20.9   18.7   17.0   15.4   14.1


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC101-061937-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1422Z.160909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 03 PM Monday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.7 feet on Jan 12 
  1971.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   9.9  Mon 03 PM  10.1   10.4   10.6   10.7   10.6


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-061937-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160908T1500Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T2015Z.160908T0900Z.NO/
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 03 PM Monday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.7 feet on Aug 4 
  1945.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  15.8  Mon 03 PM  15.2   14.2   12.8   11.3   10.0


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-061937-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160907T0700Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160903T1845Z.160907T0100Z.NO/
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 03 PM Monday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Sep 27 
  1989.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  12.8  Mon 03 PM  12.0   10.1    8.5    7.5    6.5


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC049-061200-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160906T1200Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160906T0000Z.160906T0000Z.160906T0600Z.NO/
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From this evening through Tuesday morning.
* At 02 PM Monday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue 
  to rise to near 16.0 feet by this evening. The river is expected to fall below
  flood stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 feet on Oct 30 
  1975.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  15.9  Mon 02 PM  15.8   15.2   14.7   14.1   13.7


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-061937-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0945Z.160907T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
337 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 02 PM Monday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.8 feet by Wednesday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen 
  homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Jul 29 
  1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  12.5  Mon 02 PM  12.6   12.8   12.8   12.6   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$
049 
WGUS82 KTBW 060206
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 

.The flooding from hurricane hermine will be receding over the
next several days. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-061506-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160905T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 8.1 feet by .
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6
  feet on Aug 9 1977.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   
Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   8.6  Mon 09 PM   8.4    8.1    7.7    7.5   
7.3


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC101-061506-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160907T0447Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.160903T1025Z.160903T2345Z.160906T2247Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Tuesday
  evening.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along
  the Elfers Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.2
  feet on Sep 3 1985.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   
Sat

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  22.2  Mon 09 PM  21.0   18.9   17.0   15.4  
14.1


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC101-061506-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1422Z.160909T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.7 feet by early Friday
  morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State
  Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.7
  feet on Jan 12 1971.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   
Sat

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   9.9  Mon 09 PM  10.1   10.4   10.6   10.7  
10.6


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-061506-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160908T1912Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T2015Z.160908T1312Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late Thursday
  morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of
  State Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.6
  feet on Aug 4 1995.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   
Sat

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  15.6  Mon 09 PM  15.3   14.3   13.1   11.6  
10.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-061506-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160907T0224Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160903T1845Z.160906T2024Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Tuesday
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7
  feet on Feb 2 1972.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   
Sat

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  12.8  Mon 09 PM  11.7    9.7    8.2    6.9   
6.1


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC049-061200-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-160906T1200Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160905T2245Z.160906T0130Z.160906T0600Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by after
  midnight tomorrow.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0
  feet on Oct 30 1975.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   
Sat

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  16.0  Mon 09 PM  15.9   15.2   14.7   14.2  
13.7


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-061506-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0945Z.160907T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting
  several dozen homes.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9
  feet on Jul 29 1943.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri   
Sat

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  12.4  Mon 09 PM  12.6   12.8   12.8   12.7  
12.5


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 4, 8:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 4, 8:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
826 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

.UPDATE...
A cluster of storms is continuing its march southward through the
central FL peninsula this evening. Most of the heavier convection
is now south of the I-4 corridor...and inland from the I-75
corridor...although some residual trailing stratiform rain still
extends northward into parts of Sumter county and the Nature Coast
zones. Storms will be in the forecast for mostly the interior
southern zones for several more hours before finally dissipating.
Tale of two forecasts as of 830 PM...with dry conditions along
the immediate coast...and stormy inland.

Conditions will quiet down for all after midnight...and continue
into the morning hours of Monday. Main concern the next several
hours will be just monitoring the radar as the storms overspread
Highlands County...as this area has not seen much convection today
and still has the potential to support a few stronger updrafts.

&&

.AVIATION (00Z TAFS)...
A few storms will still threaten KPGD/KFMY/KRSW through
03Z...followed by prevailing VFR conditions for the remainder of
the overnight. Northeasterly flow expected for Monday with
continued VFR through much of the day. Will again deal with the
potential for sct late afternoon/evening storms for all the
terminals...but otherwise no significant aviation concerns for
this TAF period.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 302 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016/

SHORT TERM (Today and Monday)...
We continue to see a rather amplified weather pattern across the
CONUS this afternoon. As troughing continues to dig into the
Intermountain West, pervasive upper ridging continues to build
from the South Plains and northern Gulf into the Great Lakes.
Within this upper ridge, post- tropical cyclone Hermine has more
or less become trapped off the Mid-Atlantic coast within a
blocking pattern. The weak remnants of a surface trough extend
from Hermine southward into the Gulf of Mexico, which is playing a
role in our weather locally.

For today, weak convergence in the vicinity of the weak surface
trough continues to lead to scattered thunderstorm development.
Storms will likely become more numerous through the late
afternoon, especially across north central and central Florida.
High resolution models, such as the HRRR, depict a cluster or two
of slow moving storms developing first across the northern Florida
peninsula, then shifting southward within increasing northerly
flow. As winds then shift around to the northeast with high
pressure building in to the north, storms may shift off the
southwest Florida coast this evening. As this scenario seems
plausible, have opted to allow PoPs to linger over southern zones
for a few hours early tonight. Thereafter, expect gradual clearing
and drying through the overnight hours with storms mainly confined
to the Nature Coast and offshore zones.

On Monday, we will get back into a more typical summer pattern.
Deepening northerly flow aloft will shunt the weak trough
southward with slightly drier air moving into northern parts of
Florida. This may limit thunderstorm potential north of I-4, but a
more common east to northeast seabreeze flow pattern should allow
for decent storm coverage south of I-4 and especially along the
southwest Florida coast mid to late afternoon and early evening.
As is typical with summertime storms, a few may contain gusty
winds and frequent lightning.

Temperatures will get back to near or just above seasonal
normals. Highs will range from the mid/upper 80s along the coast
to the low 90s inland. Lows will range from the mid 70s inland to
the lower 80s along the coast.

MID TERM/LONG TERM (Tuesday Night-Sunday)...
Mid/upper level ridging sprawls across the southeast quarter of the
nation through about mid week. It then weakens late in the week and
for the weekend: as first an inverted trough moves across FL and the
Gulf, then as a short wave trough tracks from the Great Lakes to the
Northeastern States. Post-Tropical Cyclone Hermine lingers over the
Mid-Atlantic or New England coastal waters for much of the work
week. High pressure over the Southeast U.S. settles southward as it
elongates west to east...along the Central Gulf Coast...for the
weekend.

The high pressure initially north of the area will provide low level
northeasterly flow and some direr air...at least for the northern
part of the area. But as the high settles southward the flow become
east and southeast...tapping increasing moisture. showers and
thunderstorms will be mainly afternoon and evening. The rain
chances...from north to south...begin the period from less than 10
percent to 40 percent but gradually increase to 30-40 percent to 50-
60 percent. Temperatures will run around normal to just below.

MARINE...
Northerly flow will shift around to the northeast tonight
remaining rather light. High pressure will then intensify north of
the waters, bringing modest easterly wind surges both Monday and
Tuesday nights. Even with these surges, winds look to generally
remain 15 knots or less with seas less than 3 feet. The gradient
will weaken mid to late week, with lighter winds over the waters.
Any increase in winds or seas will be limited to marine
thunderstorms.

FIRE WEATHER...
A summer weather pattern will prevail through the next week with
relatively high afternoon humidities, and daily chances for
showers and thunderstorms. This will prevent any fire weather
concerns over the next several days.

HYDROLOGY...
Several rivers, including the Anclote, Alafia, Little Manatee,
and Myakka rivers, remain in major to moderate flood stage this
afternoon. These rivers are forecast to gradually recede over the
next few days, however, any locally heavy rainfall could prolong
existing flooding. Monitor the latest river forecasts and follow
any evacuation guidance from local and county authorities.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  76  90  74  90 /  20  40  10  20
FMY  76  91  75  89 /  40  70  30  60
GIF  74  90  72  90 /  70  40  10  30
SRQ  77  90  74  90 /  10  50  20  40
BKV  74  90  69  90 /  30  30  10  10
SPG  77  90  77  89 /  10  40  20  30

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

UPDATE/AVIATION...Mroczka
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...AUSTIN/RUDE
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 4, 5:15 AM EDT, 16 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
515 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-050200-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
515 AM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND THESE WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...
AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING STRIKES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG SEVERAL AREA RIVERS. RESIDENTS
LIVING ALONG RIVERS OR FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD REMAIN AWARE
OF WATER LEVELS AND BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD
FLOODING BE OBSERVED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL TAKE HOLD THROUGH THE WEEK
WITH DAILY ROUNDS OF SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS... AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
RIVER FLOODING WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK...AS RUNOFF CONTINUES
FROM THE HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HERMINE. CONTINUE TO FOLLOW
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR ANY FLOOD RELATED INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

PRC

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 4, 6:31 PM EDT, 3 hours 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
631 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

FLZ043-052-249-042315-
SUMTER FL-POLK FL-INLAND PASCO FL-
631 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 628 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTING OVER EASTERN
PASCO...SOUTHERN SUMTER...AND NORTHERN POLK COUNTIES. THIS CLUSTER OF
STORMS WAS MOVING TO THE EAST AT AROUND 20 MPH. THE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING
OF STREETS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKELAND...WINTER HAVEN...HAINES CITY...AUBURNDALE...ZEPHYRHILLS...
DADE CITY...ZEPHYRHILLS SOUTH...ZEPHYRHILLS WEST...
ZEPHYRHILLS NORTH...FUSSELS CORNER...COMBEE SETTLEMENT...
LAKE ALFRED...DUNDEE...DAVENPORT...POLK CITY...LAKE HAMILTON...
GIBSONIA...ZEPHYRHILLS MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...KATHLEEN AND LOUGHMAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2814 8146 2802 8160 2809 8205 2817 8206
      2817 8216 2820 8224 2844 8216 2844 8196
      2835 8196 2835 8186 2836 8185 2836 8179
      2835 8179 2835 8166 2826 8166 2826 8156
      2820 8152 2814 8152
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 291DEG 17KT 2824 8176
Special weather statement, Sep 4, 7:49 PM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
749 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

FLZ061-262-050030-
INLAND CHARLOTTE-DESOTO-
749 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL DESOTO AND NORTHEASTERN
CHARLOTTE COUNTIES...

AT 748 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ARCADIA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ARCADIA...SOUTHEAST ARCADIA...BABCOCK RANCH...FORT OGDEN...
BROWNVILLE...NOCATEE AND PINE LEVEL.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2689 8179 2705 8195 2728 8202 2734 8188
      2734 8184 2707 8156 2705 8156
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 321DEG 12KT 2718 8184

MCKAUGHAN
Special weather statement, Sep 4, 8:04 PM EDT, 2 hours before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
804 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

FLZ052-057-050045-
HIGHLANDS-POLK-
804 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS AND
SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTIES...

AT 803 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES NORTHEAST
OF AVON PARK...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AVON PARK...LORIDA...AVON PARK EXECUTIVE AIRPORT...
INDIAN LAKE ESTATES...AVON PARK AIR FORCE RANGE AND RIVER RANCH.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2737 8115 2761 8157 2764 8156 2786 8130
      2784 8123 2776 8118 2774 8116 2773 8117
      2771 8115 2767 8115 2766 8113 2764 8114
      2760 8114 2756 8118 2755 8121 2749 8121
      2744 8114 2741 8114 2739 8111
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 311DEG 25KT 2768 8128

MCKAUGHAN
Special weather statement, Sep 4, 8:44 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
844 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

FLZ056-057-061-050130-
HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-HARDEE-
844 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN DESOTO...SOUTHEASTERN
HARDEE AND NORTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTIES...

AT 843 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF
LAKE PLACID...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SEBRING...LAKE PLACID...LAKE ISTOKPOGA...SEBRING REGIONAL AIRPORT...
SYLVAN SHORES...CREWSVILLE...PLACID LAKES...LAKE JOSEPHINE...
ARCHBOLD AND SEBRING SHORES.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 2703 8145 2703 8159 2726 8176 2756 8149
      2733 8108
TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 313DEG 15KT 2734 8153

MCKAUGHAN
Special weather statement, Sep 4, 9:55 PM EDT, 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
955 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

FLZ057-050230-
HIGHLANDS FL-
955 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 954 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAKE PLACID...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS
STORM WAS PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED STREET
FLOODING AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE PLACID...SYLVAN SHORES...VENUS...ARCHBOLD...BRIGHTON AND PLACID
LAKES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2721 8104 2721 8117 2712 8117 2712 8127
      2704 8127 2703 8129 2703 8133 2704 8133
      2703 8136 2717 8142 2736 8133 2729 8100
      2727 8100 2725 8099
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 297DEG 19KT 2720 8124

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 4, 8:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHighlands41 min
Sep 4, 8:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHighlands46 min
Sep 4, 9:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWHighlands35 min
Sep 5, 6:11 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWSarasota49 min
Sep 5, 7:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementTBWLee32 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.