Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 33, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Aug 30, 2016, 10:02 PM EDT for DeSoto County, Florida. It took effect at Sep 1, 2016, 4:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 54 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 30, 2016, 10:02 PM EDT (02:02 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 1, 2016, 4:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 3, 2016, 10:13 PM EDT
- In force
- 54 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County DeSoto County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Horse Creek near Arcadia at SR 72 (ARHF1). The gauge peaked at 12.52 ft at Sep 2, 2016, 11:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 12 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14.5 ft
- Major stage
- 16 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02297310, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
379
WGUS42 KTBW 310202
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
...Moderate flooding expected with Tropical Rains at the end of this week and
the National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the
following rivers...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
Myakka River at Myakka River State Park
...Tropical Depression Nine is forecast to strengthen and move into the
Florida Big Bend area. Tropical rains are forecast to bring Moderate Flooding
to many of the area rivers and creeks by Thursday or Friday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0026.160901T2200Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T2200Z.160903T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* From Thursday evening until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...7.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and
continue to rise to near 16.4 feet by Friday evening.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 28
1953.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 7.8 Tue 09 PM 8.5 10.1 15.7 16.4 15.5
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0027.160901T1642Z-000000T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1642Z.160903T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...4.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday early afternoon
and continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Friday evening.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 feet on Aug 14
1967.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 4.7 Tue 09 PM 4.8 8.8 15.5 15.6 14.2
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-311502-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.160902T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160902T0000Z.160904T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...The Flood
Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...5.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and
continue to rise to near 9.4 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 feet on Oct 6
1957.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 5.6 Tue 09 PM 5.6 6.3 7.6 8.9 9.4
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160902T1636Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELFF1.2.ER.160902T1636Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...9.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and
continue to rise to near 22.9 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
Estates. Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers
Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.9 feet on Aug 2
1965.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 9.8 Tue 09 PM 9.8 12.0 19.0 22.7 22.0
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC101-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160902T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160902T1800Z.160905T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...4.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and
continue to rise to near 10.1 feet by Sunday evening. additional rises are
possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.1 feet on Jun 26
1982.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 4.6 Tue 09 PM 4.6 4.9 7.5 9.1 9.8
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0030.160901T1700Z-160904T0515Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T1700Z.160902T1200Z.160903T2315Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From Thursday afternoon until late Saturday night.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...3.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday early afternoon
and continue to rise to near 13.9 feet by Friday morning. The river is expected
to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on Sep 19
1994.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 3.9 Tue 09 PM 3.9 9.0 13.9 12.5 9.6
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC049-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160902T1200Z-160904T1000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160902T1200Z.160903T0000Z.160904T0400Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From Friday morning until Sunday morning.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...9.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue
to rise to near 17.5 feet by Friday evening. The river is expected to fall
below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Aug 31
2015.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 9.3 Tue 09 PM 9.5 11.1 16.0 17.3 15.2
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160903T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0600Z.160905T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From late Friday night until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...5.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and
continue to rise to near 12.5 feet by Sunday evening. additional rises are
possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen
homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Sep 9
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 5.2 Tue 09 PM 5.6 7.0 9.8 11.4 12.2
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-311502-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160901T2327Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2327Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1002 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From Thursday evening until further notice.
* At 9 PM Tuesday the stage was...7.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Thursday evening and
continue to rise to near 13.9 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on Jul 30
1995.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 7.4 Tue 09 PM 7.7 9.5 13.0 13.8 13.8
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$10 follow-up statements
342
WGUS82 KTBW 311403
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
.Tropical Depression Nine is forecast to strengthen and move into the
Florida Big Bend area. Tropical rains are forecast to bring Minor to
Moderate Flooding to many of the area rivers and creeks on Thursday
and into Friday.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-011403-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.160901T1308Z-160905T0045Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1308Z.160902T1800Z.160904T1845Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From tomorrow late morning through Sunday evening.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and
continue to rise to near 15.0 feet by Friday early afternoon. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on Nov 15
1997.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 4.8 Wed 09 AM 10.6 14.8 14.6 12.0 8.9
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-011403-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.160901T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T1800Z.160904T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From tomorrow early afternoon through further notice.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
rise to near 9.3 feet by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Sep 21
1994.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 5.8 Wed 09 AM 6.7 8.1 9.2 9.1 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-011403-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160904T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160904T0300Z.160905T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Saturday before midnight through further notice.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 4.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday before midnight and continue to
rise to near 8.5 feet by Monday morning. additional rises are possible
thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.5 feet on Aug 26
1982.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 4.6 Wed 09 AM 4.9 6.4 7.5 8.2 8.5
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC057-011403-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.160901T1330Z-160905T0430Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.160901T1330Z.160903T0000Z.160904T2230Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* From tomorrow late morning through late Sunday night.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and
continue to rise to near 15.1 feet by Friday evening. The river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.1 feet on Aug 25
1957.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 8.7 Wed 09 AM 12.8 14.9 14.8 13.7 11.9
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC081-011403-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.160901T1525Z-160903T0900Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T1525Z.160902T0600Z.160903T0300Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From tomorrow late morning through late Friday night.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 5.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and
continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by early Friday morning. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by Friday before midnight.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.1 feet on Jun 21
1975.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 5.5 Wed 09 AM 10.6 12.1 10.1 7.9 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC049-011403-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160902T1800Z-160903T1200Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160902T1800Z.160902T1800Z.160903T0600Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From Friday early afternoon through Saturday morning.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday early afternoon and
continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by Friday early afternoon. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by early Saturday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 feet on Oct 30
1975.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 10.1 Wed 09 AM 13.1 15.6 15.9 14.8 13.6
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-011402-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160904T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160904T1200Z.160905T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to
near 11.2 feet by Monday morning. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.2 feet on Aug 15
1974.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 5.7 Wed 09 AM 7.3 9.4 10.4 11.0 11.2
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-011402-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160903T0000Z-160905T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160903T0000Z.160903T0600Z.160904T1800Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From Friday evening through Sunday evening.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday evening and continue
to rise to near 12.2 feet by early Saturday morning. The river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on Nov 24
1997.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 8.0 Wed 09 AM 9.0 11.5 12.2 12.1 11.6
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-011402-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160902T2024Z-160904T0400Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160902T2024Z.160903T0600Z.160903T2200Z.NO/
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Friday afternoon through late Saturday night.
* At 09 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 20.9 feet by early Saturday morning. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.0 feet on Aug 31
1968.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 10.0 Wed 09 AM 12.4 18.5 20.8 18.5 15.9
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
DJN494
WGUS82 KTBW 010226
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...The Flood Warning has been continued for the following
rivers in Florida...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
Alafia River at Riverview
Alafia River at Lithia
.Tropical Storm Hermine is expected to bring more heavy rain across
the region tonight and Thursday and Thursday night.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-011526-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.160901T0600Z-160906T0336Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0600Z.160903T0000Z.160905T2136Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* From early Thursday morning through Monday evening.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Thursday Morning and
continue to rise to near 16.4 feet by Friday evening. The river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 28
1953.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 11.7 Wed 09 PM 14.2 16.2 16.3 15.4 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-010256-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-160902T0235Z/
/RVWF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Riverview
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 10 PM Wednesday the tidal stage was 1.6 feet. The river is expected to
rise to at or near its flood stage during high tides for the next few days.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue and Park
Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.2 feet on Mar 31
2011.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Alafia
Riverview 4.2 1.6 Wed 10 PM 2.5 2.1 2.9 2.4 2.1
&&
LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235
$$
FLC057-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.160901T0440Z-160905T2145Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T0440Z.160902T1200Z.160905T1545Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From early Thursday morning through Monday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Thursday morning and
continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by Friday morning. The river is expected to
fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 feet on Aug 14
1967.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 9.6 Wed 10 PM 13.9 15.8 15.6 14.4 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.160901T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0900Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From early thursday morning until further notice.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise to
near 9.3 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Sep 21
1994.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 6.5 Wed 09 PM 7.2 8.6 9.3 9.2 8.6
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160903T1000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1000Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Saturday morning through further notice.
* At 10 PM Wednesday the stage was 4.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue to rise to
near 9.3 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Oct 9
1975.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 4.9 Wed 10 PM 5.2 6.9 8.1 8.8 9.1
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.160901T0700Z-160904T0200Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0700Z.160902T0000Z.160903T2000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From early tomorrow through Saturday evening.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue
to rise to near 13.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The river is expected to fall
below flood stage by Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet on Aug 31
1972.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 9.4 Wed 09 PM 12.5 13.3 11.6 9.5 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC049-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160904T0000Z-160905T0800Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160904T0000Z.160904T1800Z.160905T0200Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From Saturday evening through late Sunday night.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and
continue to rise to near 16.3 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.3 feet on Jan 25
1998.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 10.8 Wed 09 PM 11.2 14.1 15.4 16.2 15.5
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160905T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160905T0600Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From early Monday morning through further notice.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and continue to
rise to near 11.3 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible
thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.3 feet on Mar 29
1970.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 6.4 Wed 09 PM 7.0 8.3 9.5 10.5 11.1
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160904T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160904T1500Z.160905T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From late Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and continue to rise
to near 12.3 feet by Monday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Aug 9
1957.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 7.9 Wed 09 PM 7.7 8.4 10.5 11.9 12.3
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-011526-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160903T0500Z-160904T2000Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160903T0500Z.160903T1800Z.160904T1400Z.NO/
1026 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From early Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and
continue to rise to near 20.6 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.6 feet on Jun 24
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 11.6 Wed 09 PM 13.9 17.9 20.5 20.1 18.7
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$568
WGUS82 KTBW 010844
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Manatee River At Rye Bridge
Anclote River At Elfers
.Tropical Storm Hermine is expected to bring more heavy rain across the region
today. Minor to moderate flooding is expected on numerous rivers across the area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-012144-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160906T0336Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T0000Z.160905T2136Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Monday evening.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.4 feet by tomorrow evening. The
river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 28
1953.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 13.4 Thu 04 AM 14.2 16.2 16.3 15.4 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160905T2145Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T0815Z.160902T1200Z.160905T1545Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From early this morning through Monday afternoon.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early this morning and
continue to rise to near 15.8 feet by tomorrow morning. The river is expected
to fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 feet on Aug 14
1967.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 10.8 Thu 04 AM 13.9 15.8 15.6 14.4 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.160901T0841Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0825Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From early this morning through further notice.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise
to near 9.3 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Sep 21
1994.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 7.0 Thu 04 AM 7.2 8.6 9.3 9.2 8.6
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160903T1000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1000Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Saturday morning through further notice.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue to rise to
near 9.3 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Oct 9
1975.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 5.0 Thu 04 AM 5.2 6.9 8.1 8.8 9.1
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T0200Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160902T0000Z.160903T2000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by this evening. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet on Jul 25
1979.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 11.8 Thu 04 AM 13.0 13.4 11.8 9.5 7.8
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC081-011824-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160901T1824Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T0815Z.160901T1224Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until this afternoon.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by this morning.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Oct 3
2007.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Rye Bridge 11.0 11.8 Thu 04 AM 11.1 6.5 4.7 3.7 2.8
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233
$$
FLC049-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160903T1459Z-160905T0800Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160903T1459Z.160904T0000Z.160905T0200Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From late Saturday morning through late Sunday night.
* At 03 AM Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and
continue to rise to near 16.2 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected
to fall below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.2 feet on Jul 4
2002.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 11.9 Thu 03 AM 11.9 14.3 15.9 16.2 15.6
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160905T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160905T0300Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Sunday before midnight through further notice.
* At 03 AM Thursday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday before midnight and continue to
rise to near 11.4 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible
thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.3 feet on Aug 9
2001.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 7.1 Thu 03 AM 7.6 8.7 9.8 10.6 11.2
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-012143-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160904T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160904T1200Z.160905T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 03 AM Thursday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Sep 18
2000.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 9.9 Thu 03 AM 9.5 9.5 10.4 12.0 12.6
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-012143-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160903T0500Z-160904T2000Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160903T0500Z.160903T1800Z.160904T1400Z.NO/
444 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From early Saturday morning through Sunday afternoon.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and
continue to rise to near 20.6 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.6 feet on Jun 24
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 12.2 Thu 04 AM 13.9 17.9 20.5 20.1 18.7
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
DJN831
WGUS82 KTBW 010916
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
516 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
.Heavy rain in the basin from last night will bring flooding to Horse Creek
At Arcadia Minor a little sooner than previously expected. Flooding also continues
on the Manatee River Near Myakka Head.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC081-012216-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1100Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160902T0000Z.160904T0500Z.NO/
516 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by this evening. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7 feet on Jul 25
1979.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 11.8 Thu 04 AM 13.2 13.6 12.7 10.3 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC027-012215-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160902T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160902T0400Z.160904T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
516 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From after midnight tomorrow through further notice.
* At 04 AM Thursday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to
rise to near 14.0 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Sep 18
2000.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 10.1 Thu 04 AM 10.3 12.6 13.7 14.0 13.8
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
DJN975
WGUS82 KTBW 011346
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Manatee River At Rye Bridge
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
.Tropical Storm Hermine is expected to bring more heavy rain across the region
today through tomorrow. Minor to Moderate flooding is expected on a majority
of our rivers across the area.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by Saturday morning then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Dec 28
1997.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 13.9 Thu 09 AM 16.7 17.5 16.8 15.3 13.4
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-021346-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1302Z.160903T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From late this morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise
to near 16.0 feet by early Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.1 feet on Jun 19
1982.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 11.0 Thu 09 AM 15.4 16.0 15.4 13.9 11.0
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-021346-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.5 feet on Jul 4
1974.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 7.3 Thu 09 AM 8.7 9.4 9.4 8.9 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160904T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160904T0900Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to
near 8.7 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.7 feet on Aug 6
1975.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 5.2 Thu 09 AM 6.1 7.3 8.1 8.6 8.7
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1912Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160902T0600Z.160904T1312Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
The river is expected to fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Low sections of State Road 64 start to flood.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.2 feet on Jun 17
1994.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 13.1 Thu 09 AM 14.2 13.1 11.1 9.1 7.4
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC081-020300-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160902T0300Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T1300Z.160901T2100Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until this evening.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...at 12.8 feet...Water reaches the roadbed of the Old Rye Bridge.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Oct 3
2007.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Rye Bridge 11.0 12.2 Thu 09 AM 8.7 7.1 6.5 5.6 3.5
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233
$$
FLC049-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160902T1017Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160902T1017Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From tomorrow morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to
near 18.6 feet by Saturday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.7 feet on Sep 29
1953.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 13.0 Thu 09 AM 16.2 18.6 18.3 17.4 16.6
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160903T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T2000Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Saturday afternoon through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday afternoon and continue to rise
to near 12.7 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen
homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Feb 27
1942.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 7.6 Thu 09 AM 9.2 10.6 11.7 12.5 12.7
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.160901T2000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2000Z.160903T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From late this afternoon through further notice.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and continue to rise
to near 13.6 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Aug 14
1959.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 11.1 Thu 09 AM 13.0 13.6 13.5 13.2 12.7
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-021346-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160904T0000Z-160904T1200Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160904T0000Z.160904T0000Z.160904T0600Z.NO/
946 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Saturday evening through Sunday morning.
* At 09 AM Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Saturday evening and
continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected
to fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 feet on Jul 28
1964.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 12.4 Thu 09 AM 15.7 19.3 19.9 18.7 17.5
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
DJN402
WGUS82 KTBW 020244
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Manatee River At Rye Bridge...
...The Flood Warning has been extended or continues for the following
rivers in Florida...
Alafia River At Lithia
Alafia River At Riverview
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
.Tropical rain from Hurricane Hermine brought or will bring flooding
to many area rivers and creeks.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160907T0300Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T0600Z.160906T2100Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by early Saturday morning.
The river is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.3 feet on Feb 21
1998.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 15.6 Thu 10 PM 16.6 17.3 16.7 15.3 13.6
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-021359-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0036.160902T0236Z-160902T1359Z/
/RVWF1.1.ER.160901T1951Z.160902T0600Z.160902T0759Z.NR/
1044 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Riverview
* From after just midnight through Friday morning.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 3.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue and Park
Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.5 feet on Jun 6
2013.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Alafia
Riverview 4.2 3.4 Thu 10 PM 3.1 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.1
&&
LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235
$$
FLC057-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160906T2125Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160903T0000Z.160906T1525Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.9 feet by tomorrow evening. The
river is expected to fall below flood stage late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.9 feet on Sep 19
1947.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 13.0 Thu 10 PM 15.1 15.9 15.4 14.0 11.4
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-021544-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.4 feet by Saturday early afternoon
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 feet on Oct 6
1957.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 7.8 Thu 10 PM 8.5 9.3 9.3 8.9 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-021544-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160904T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160904T0900Z.160907T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to
near 9.1 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.1 feet on Mar 20
1983.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 5.7 Thu 10 PM 6.2 7.4 8.1 8.6 8.7
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1800Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160902T0600Z.160904T1200Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.6 feet by just after midnight.
The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.6 feet on Dec 28
1997.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 13.3 Thu 10 PM 13.6 12.8 11.0 9.2 7.6
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC081-020314-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-160902T0846Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.160901T0504Z.160901T1830Z.160902T0032Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Manatee River At Rye Bridge.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Sep 7
2004.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Manatee
Rye Bridge 11.0 10.6 Thu 10 PM 9.0 6.3 5.3 4.2 3.5
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233
$$
FLC049-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160902T1715Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160902T1715Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From tomorrow early afternoon through further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
rise to near 18.3 feet by Saturday early afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.4 feet on Nov 14
1997.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 13.7 Thu 09 PM 15.3 18.0 18.2 17.4 16.9
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160904T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160904T0900Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From Sunday morning through further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to rise to
near 12.4 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.4 feet on Sep 22
1934.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 8.1 Thu 09 PM 8.9 10.0 11.1 12.1 12.4
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-021544-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2337Z.160903T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.9 feet by early Saturday morning
then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Aug 25
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 12.1 Thu 09 PM 12.5 12.9 12.9 12.6 12.2
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-021544-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160904T1200Z-160905T0600Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160904T1200Z.160904T1800Z.160905T0000Z.NO/
1044 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From Sunday morning through late Sunday night.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue
to rise to near 20.1 feet by Sunday early afternoon. The river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.1 feet on Jul 28
1964.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 11.9 Thu 10 PM 15.3 18.6 20.0 19.7 18.5
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$271
WGUS82 KTBW 021407
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
.Tropical Storm Hermine has brought excessive amounts of rain to river basins
over the last few days. Minor to Moderate flooding is expected or already occuring
for many rivers. E
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-031407-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160904T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.2 feet by early Sunday morning then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.2 feet on Aug 15
1967.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 16.9 Fri 09 AM 18.1 18.0 16.9 15.4 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-031406-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160904T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.4 feet by tomorrow evening then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 7
1981.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 14.2 Fri 09 AM 16.1 16.4 15.9 14.4 11.6
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-031406-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160904T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet by Sunday morning then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.3 feet on Sep 21
1994.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 8.1 Fri 09 AM 8.9 9.3 8.9 8.6 8.3
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-031406-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160903T0730Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T0730Z.160906T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From early tomorrow through further notice.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to rise to
near 10.5 feet by Monday evening.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.5 feet on Aug 6
2015.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 6.5 Fri 09 AM 8.3 9.7 10.3 10.5 10.2
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-031406-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1500Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160901T2030Z.160904T0900Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Jul 18
1975.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 12.6 Fri 09 AM 11.8 10.8 8.9 7.4 6.8
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC049-031406-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160903T1900Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160903T1900Z.160905T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From tomorrow afternoon through further notice.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and continue to rise
to near 17.9 feet by Monday early afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0 feet on Jul 17
1959.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 14.1 Fri 09 AM 15.3 17.1 17.8 17.8 17.2
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-031406-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160905T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160905T0600Z.160907T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From early Monday morning through further notice.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and continue to
rise to near 12.3 feet by Wednesday morning. additional rises are possible
thereafter.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen
homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 feet on Feb 20
1983.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 8.6 Fri 09 AM 9.6 10.5 11.2 12.0 12.3
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-031406-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160906T1200Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2337Z.160904T0000Z.160906T0600Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.6 feet by tomorrow evening. The
river is expected to fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Sep 18
2000.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 12.1 Fri 09 AM 12.4 12.6 12.3 11.8 11.3
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-031406-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160903T1700Z-160906T0900Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160903T1700Z.160904T1200Z.160906T0300Z.NO/
1007 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From tomorrow early afternoon through late Monday night.
* At 09 AM Friday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon
and continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by Sunday morning. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by Monday before midnight.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers
Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.0 feet on Aug 9
2015.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 11.8 Fri 09 AM 19.0 21.9 21.0 19.3 17.8
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
DJN270
WGUS82 KTBW 030112
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Peace River At Arcadia
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
.Heavy rainfall, mostly from Hurricane Hermine, has led to rising water levels
on numerous area rivers. minor to moderate flooding is expected or already
occurring for many rivers.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-031412-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160908T0130Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160904T0000Z.160907T1930Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.8 feet by tomorrow evening. The
river is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.8 feet on Sep 24
1979.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 17.2 Fri 08 PM 17.5 17.6 16.6 15.2 13.5
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-031411-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160908T0200Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160904T0000Z.160907T2000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16.0 feet by tomorrow evening. The
river is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.1 feet on Jun 19
1982.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 14.5 Fri 08 PM 15.7 15.9 15.4 14.4 12.0
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-031411-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160904T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.8 feet by early Sunday morning then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.8 feet on Jul 13
1938.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 8.3 Fri 08 PM 8.5 8.8 8.7 8.4 8.1
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-031411-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160903T1600Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1600Z.160908T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From tomorrow early afternoon through further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to
rise to near 10.3 feet by Wednesday evening. additional rises are possible
thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.3 feet on Aug 13
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 7.2 Fri 08 PM 7.8 8.8 9.4 9.9 10.2
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-031411-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160905T0224Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160901T2030Z.160904T2024Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 feet on Dec 16
1977.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 12.8 Fri 08 PM 12.6 11.7 9.7 8.0 6.7
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC049-031411-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160904T1459Z-160908T0400Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160904T1459Z.160906T0600Z.160907T2200Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From late Sunday morning through late Wednesday night.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late Sunday morning and
continue to rise to near 16.7 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.8 feet on Sep 19
1945.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 14.4 Fri 08 PM 15.0 15.9 16.5 16.7 16.4
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-031411-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.160903T1000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T1000Z.160906T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* From tomorrow morning through further notice.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to
near 12.6 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen
homes.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 feet on Oct 1
1982.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 10.4 Fri 08 PM 11.1 11.6 12.2 12.5 12.5
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-031411-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160907T1500Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2337Z.160904T1200Z.160907T0900Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.9 feet by Sunday morning. The river
is expected to fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.9 feet on Aug 25
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 12.5 Fri 08 PM 12.7 12.9 12.7 12.4 11.9
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-031411-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160903T2100Z-160907T1500Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160903T2100Z.160905T0000Z.160907T0900Z.NO/
912 PM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday morning.
* At 8 PM Friday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and
continue to rise to near 21.2 feet by Sunday evening. The river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers
Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.2 feet on May 10
1979.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 15.8 Fri 08 PM 18.7 20.9 21.2 20.8 19.9
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$091
WGUS82 KTBW 031301
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following
rivers in Florida...
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
Anclote River At Elfers
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Arcadia
.Heavy rainfall, mostly from Hermine, has led to rising water levels
on numerous area rivers. Minor to moderate flooding is expected or already
occurring for many of them.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC057-041301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160907T1200Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T1145Z.160907T0600Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State
Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run
Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.2 feet on Sep 16
2002.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 17.2 Sat 08 AM 16.7 15.6 14.2 12.6 11.2
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-041301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160907T0900Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160904T0000Z.160907T0300Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.5 feet by this evening. The river is
expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday before midnight.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.4 feet on Sep 29
1994.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 15.2 Sat 08 AM 15.4 14.6 12.7 10.1 8.7
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-041301-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160903T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 8.5 feet by this afternoon then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.5 feet on Jul 24
1947.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 8.5 Sat 08 AM 8.5 8.4 8.1 7.9 7.6
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-041301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.160903T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1800Z.160908T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* From this afternoon through further notice.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to
near 10.1 feet by Thursday morning. additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road
54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.1 feet on Jun 26
1982.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 7.8 Sat 08 AM 8.6 9.1 9.5 9.9 10.1
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-041301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1648Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160901T2030Z.160904T1048Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.8 feet on May 25
1991.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 12.8 Sat 08 AM 10.9 8.9 7.4 6.4 5.7
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC049-041301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.160905T1200Z-160905T1800Z/
/ZFSF1.1.ER.160905T1200Z.160905T1200Z.160905T1200Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From Monday morning through Monday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday morning and continue
to rise to near 16.0 feet by Monday morning. The river is expected to fall
below flood stage by Monday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.0 feet on Oct 30
1975.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 14.6 Sat 08 AM 15.2 16.0 14.8 14.1 13.6
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-041301-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0945Z.160906T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.2 feet by Tuesday morning then begin
falling.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen
homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on Sep 29
1954.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 11.1 Sat 08 AM 11.5 12.0 12.2 12.0 11.7
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-041301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160906T1800Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2337Z.160903T0630Z.160906T1200Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.5 feet by this afternoon. The river
is expected to fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin
to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet on Apr 2
1993.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 12.4 Sat 08 AM 12.5 12.3 12.0 11.4 10.9
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$
FLC101-041300-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.160905T0600Z-160907T0600Z/
/ELFF1.1.ER.160905T0600Z.160906T0000Z.160907T0000Z.NO/
901 AM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers
* From early Monday morning through late Tuesday night.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday morning and
continue to rise to near 20.6 feet by Monday evening. The river is expected to
fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.6 feet on Jun 24
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 12.4 Sat 08 AM 18.6 20.1 20.4 19.6 18.5
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$340
WGUS82 KTBW 040213
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida...
Peace River At Zolfo Springs
Horse Creek Near Arcadia
...The Flood Warning continues for the following
rivers in Florida...
Alafia River At Lithia
Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Anclote River At Elfers
Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
Peace River At Arcadia
.Rainfall runoff from Hurricane Hermine will continue to drain through
the watersheds into the main rivers and creeks. Conditions will improve over
the next several days.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
&&
FLC101-041513-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160907T1017Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.160903T1025Z.160904T0600Z.160907T0417Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Anclote River At Elfers for Major Flooding
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 25.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will remain near 25.1 feet by through tomorrow.
The river is expected to slowly fall below flood stage around Wednesday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.2 feet on Aug 4
2015.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Anclote River
Elfers 20.0 25.1 Sat 09 PM 25.1 24.0 21.6 19.4 17.6
&&
LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
2823 8272 2824 8263
$$
FLC057-041513-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160909T0000Z/
/LITF1.2.ER.160901T0530Z.160903T2015Z.160908T1800Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640
bridge begin flooding.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.2 feet on Dec 14
2002.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Alafia
Lithia 13.0 17.2 Sat 09 PM 17.0 16.3 15.6 14.7 13.5
&&
LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218
$$
FLC057-041513-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-160906T1434Z/
/WIMF1.2.ER.160901T1315Z.160903T1845Z.160906T0834Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 15.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd
streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.2 feet on Aug 27
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Little Manatee
Wimauma 11.0 15.2 Sat 09 PM 14.8 13.5 10.6 8.3 7.2
&&
LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231
$$
FLC115-041513-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.2.ER.160901T0830Z.160904T0115Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 8.5 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 8.3 feet by Monday Morning.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka River State Park is closed.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.5 feet on Aug 15
1949.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Myakka
Myakka Rive 7.0 8.5 Sat 09 PM 8.5 8.3 8.0 7.7 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226
$$
FLC101-041513-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.1.ER.160903T1422Z.160909T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.9 feet by Thursday evening.
Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.9 feet on Dec 17
1996.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Cypress Creek
Worthington 8.0 8.6 Sat 09 PM 9.0 9.7 10.2 10.6 10.8
&&
LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240
$$
FLC081-041200-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160904T1200Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.160901T0430Z.160901T2030Z.160904T0600Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
...Flood Warning continues for
The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Sunday morning.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday Morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...A private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood.
Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Jun 27
1974.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Manatee
Myakka Head 11.0 11.4 Sat 09 PM 10.5 8.5 7.4 6.6 5.9
&&
LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
2751 8224 2753 8224
$$
FLC049-040243-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-160905T1800Z/
/ZFSF1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 14.8 feet and expected to remain near that
level before falling on Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Peace
Zolfo Sprin 16.0 14.8 Sat 09 PM 15.0 14.9 14.3 13.9 13.8
&&
LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184
$$
FLC027-041513-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.1.ER.160903T0945Z.160906T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 12.1 feet by early Tuesday morning then
begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.1 feet on Jul 30
1954.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Peace
Arcadia 11.0 11.3 Sat 09 PM 11.4 11.9 12.1 11.9 11.7
&&
LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
2714 8197 2735 8186
$$
FLC027-040243-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-160906T1800Z/
/ARHF1.1.ER.160901T2337Z.160903T0630Z.160903T2352Z.NO/
1013 PM EDT SAT SEP 3 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Horse Creek Near Arcadia.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 11.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.0 feet on Sep 7
2003.
&&
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Horse Creek
Arcadia 12.0 11.9 Sat 09 PM 11.7 11.2 10.8 10.5 10.1
&&
LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 30, 9:51 PM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 9:51 PM EDT, 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
951 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016
..Hurricane Watch in effect for Coastal Levy, Coastal Citrus,
Coastal Hernando, and Coastal Pasco counties, and the northern
Coastal Waters out to 60NM...
..Tropical Storm Watch in effect for Inland Levy, Inland Citrus,
Inland Hernando, and Inland Pasco counties...
.SHORT TERM (Rest of tonight)...
TD#9 in the south-central gulf is moving west-northwest but is expected
to turn toward the north-northwest. Please refer to the latest advisories
from the National Hurricane Center for details. Abundant clouds
and areas of showers/rain with a few thunderstorms will continue
to move north across the area. Current forecasts on track with
only minor adjustments to precipitation coverage this evening.
.AVIATION...
31/01Z-31/24Z. BKN-OVC VFR CIGS as areas of SHRA/RA sweep through
overnight with TEMPO MVFR/LCL IFR. S-SW winds not more than 12KT
become southerly and gusty AFT sunrise.
&&
.MARINE...
As tropical depression #9 tracks across the gulf conditions will
continue to deteriorate with a hurricane watch on northern waters
and a small craft advisory beginning south of there later tonight.
TD #9 is expected to move ashore northern FL late THU or early
FRI. High pressure builds in for the weekend.
&&
.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA 77 85 77 84 / 60 80 70 80
FMY 77 85 78 86 / 60 50 60 60
GIF 75 85 76 84 / 60 70 50 70
SRQ 78 85 80 85 / 70 70 70 80
BKV 76 84 76 83 / 60 70 70 90
SPG 78 84 78 85 / 70 80 80 80
&&
.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...Hurricane Watch for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-
Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco.
Tropical Storm Watch for Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-
Inland Levy-Inland Pasco.
Gulf waters...Hurricane Watch for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to
Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Tarpon
Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for Coastal
waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL
out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL
out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon
Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.
&&
RR/JM/PC/DN/EJ/TF/TDHazardous weather outlook, Aug 30, 4:50 AM EDT, 17 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 450 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016 FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165- 239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870- 873-876-301545- SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY- COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO- COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA- COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS- INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE- INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS- CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- 432 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING INTO THE REGION WILL SUPPORT NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. ...FLOOD IMPACT... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS THE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND EXERCISE CAUTION IF ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAIN TODAY. ...MARINE IMPACTS... SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 20 KNOT RANGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF WATERS TODAY. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FEET WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS AND SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM EITHER LATER TODAY OR ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. COPIOUS TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD ALL OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS AND SQUALLS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE REGION DURING WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS FROM TAMPA NORTH INTO THE NATURE COAST WHERE AN INCREASED THREAT OF FLOODING WILL EXIST AS BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND STORMS MOVE OVER THE REGION. AT THE PRESENT TIME WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER INTERIOR SECTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH 6 TO 10 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM SARASOTA NORTH TO CEDAR KEY. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING THREAT INCREASING WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BRING AN INCREASED RISK OF TORNADOES DURING LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL ALSO SUPPORT AN INCREASING STORM SURGE THREAT ALONG THE COAST...WITH THE HIGHEST STORM SURGE LIKELY TO FOCUS ALONG THE NATURE COAST CLOSEST TO THE TRACK OF THE STORM DURING LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO HELP TO BUILD SEAS SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE GULF WATERS...WHICH IN TURN WILL LEAD TO BUILDING SURF AND WAVE ACTION ALONG AREA BEACHES DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF RIP CURRENTS. ALL RESIDENT...VISITORS AND MARINERS IN WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM SEE THE LATEST ADVISORIES BEING ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED. MCMICHAEL
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 10:02 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Hillsborough | 8 days |
| Aug 30, 10:02 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Hillsborough | 7 days |
| Aug 30, 10:02 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Pasco | 7 days |
| Aug 30, 10:02 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Pasco | 17 days |
| Aug 30, 10:02 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Manatee | 4 days |
| Aug 30, 10:02 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Hardee | 4 days |
| Aug 30, 10:02 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | DeSoto | 13 days |
| Aug 31, 3:15 AM EDT | Flood Watch | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Hillsborough, Levy, Manatee, Pasco and 3 more | 56 hr |
| Aug 31, 5:14 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Pinellas | 31 min |
| Aug 31, 5:59 AM EDT | Tropical Storm Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Hillsborough, Levy, Pasco | 54 hr |
| Aug 31, 6:56 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TBW | Pinellas | 2 hr |
| Aug 31, 9:08 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TBW | Pinellas | 112 min |
| Aug 31, 11:38 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Manatee | 37 min |
| Aug 31, 11:41 AM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 34 min | |
| Aug 31, 11:49 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | TBW | Hillsborough | 35 hr |
| Aug 31, 12:21 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TBW | Pinellas | 114 min |
| Aug 31, 12:56 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 34 min | |
| Aug 31, 2:13 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TBW | Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas | 3 hr |
| Aug 31, 3:06 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 24 min | |
| Aug 31, 3:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Manatee | 37 min |
| Aug 31, 4:17 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | TBW | Charlotte | 28 min |
| Aug 31, 5:17 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | TBW | Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota | 3 hr |
| Aug 31, 6:02 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 58 min | |
| Aug 31, 7:53 PM EDT | Rip Current Statement | TBW | Charlotte, Hillsborough, Lee, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota | 48 hr |
| Aug 31, 7:53 PM EDT | High Surf Advisory | TBW | Charlotte, Hillsborough, Lee, Manatee, Pinellas, Sarasota | 48 hr |
| Aug 31, 7:58 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 47 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.