River Flood Warning 3, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

686 
WGUS82 KTBW 220227
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
927 PM EST THU JAN 21 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers in
Florida... 

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 

.The river levels on the Myakka River at Myakka River State Park 
continues to rise from rainfall from this past weekend...but is 
expected to crest overnight near flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC115-221200-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160122T1200Z/
/MKCF1.1.ER.160122T0600Z.160122T0600Z.160122T0600Z.NO/
927 PM EST THU JAN 21 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From after midnight tomorrow through Friday morning.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 7 feet.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The river is forecast to crest just above flood stage at 7 feet 
  after midnight tonight. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...at 8 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 7.2 feet on Sep 9 
  2013.

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7   7.0  Thu 08 PM   6.5    6.4    6.3    6.1    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
949 AM EST THU JAN 21 2016

...CORRECTED DATE IN DISCUSSION...

.FOR THE MORNING UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY WITH
RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING AS BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS VEER TO THE EAST
TODAY...AND SOUTHEAST TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW DEEP LAYER MOISTURE
TO GRADUALLY RECOVER ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
WITH WEAK INSTABILITY DEVELOPING OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY EARLY
FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
NORTH TO THE MID 70S CENTRAL AND SOUTH. CONSIDERABLE HIGH CLOUDINESS
WILL STREAM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER TEXAS WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE TO THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT WITH AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF
AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PUSH RAPIDLY
EAST ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE TONIGHT AND WILL
APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FRIDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH BEST U/L
DYNAMICS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...DYNAMICS WILL
STILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE BAND OF
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS PUSH ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA...WITH AN ISOLATED TORNADO POSSIBLE. CURRENT ZONES ON TRACK
WITH NO UPDATE PLANNED.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

UPDATE/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...13/OGLESBY
MARINE...13/OGLESBY
DECISION SUPPORT...69/CLOSE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
542 AM EST THU JAN 21 2016

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-221045-
SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY-
COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO-
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-
COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS-
INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE-
INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
542 AM EST THU JAN 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY...
MAINLY IN THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS ARE
LIKELY TO BE STRONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTING AND GUSTY WINDS.
HOWEVER...THE OVERALL THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CURRENTLY APPEARS
LOW.

...HIGH WIND IMPACT...
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS MAY REQUIRE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA
BEGINNING FRIDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. FREEZING
TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING FOR PARTS OF THE NATURE COAST. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MAY
BE NEEDED SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING FOR NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL COUNTIES.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW STARTS FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES INTO
SATURDAY...WITH A HIGH SURF THREAT AND AN INCREASED RISK OF
STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS. THE HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS
MAY LAST INTO SUNDAY.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH HIGH END ADVISORY LEVELS...
WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE LIKELY...LATE FRIDAY AND REMAIN THERE
INTO AT LEAST SATURDAY. THESE WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE VERY
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

RUDE