Special Weather Statement, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
332 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Convection will continue to develop this afternoon with the favored
areas to experience rainfall is along I-10, I-75, and southeast
Alabama. Short term models show convection decreasing this evening
and thunderstorms developing across our coastal waters overnight.
MCS currently moving southeast across N Mississippi appears to be a
non-player (as opposed to earlier discussion) so have reduced PoPs
across our Alabama counties for this evening. Lows tonight will be
in the mid 70s inland to near 80 closer to the coast.

.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...

On the western extent of low level high pressure, moderate (<10 knot)
south/southwest flow will prevail in the 1000-700 mb layer Friday
and Saturday, allowing for an active sea-breeze front both days.
Convection will start in the late morning along the immediate
coastline, moving inland through the afternoon and dissipating in
the evening hours. Likewise, the overnight land-breeze front will
mean chances for thunderstorms out over our coastal waters in the
late night/early morning hours. Temperatures will peak in the low to
mid 90s and will dip to the mid 70s overnight. With ample humidity
in place, max apparent temperatures will be quite hot- in the 100-
105 range.

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...

Influence from the Bermuda high will be in place keeping the main
source of convection to be mainly from the sea breeze front. The
overall steering flow will switch to be a generally weak easterly
flow causing storms to initiate later in the afternoon. However,
from Sunday through Tuesday, shortwaves are forecast to move through
the mid-Atlantic states which may propagate down allowing for storms
in the CWA to linger into the evening hours. Highs will be in the
mid 90s and lows in the mid 70s.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Friday]...

Seabreeze showers and storms are now developing across the coast
and around VPS. Hi resolution models show isolated coverage today.
Better chances reside at TLH/DHN/VLD today with lesser chances
elsewhere. Gusty winds will be possible as well as brief
reductions to IFR in and around the heavier convection. VFR conds
and light winds outside of convection

&&

.MARINE...

Light winds and seas will prevail for the next several days with
chances for showers and thunderstorms each night.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over the next
several days, but no widespread heavy rainfall is forecast to
develop. No flooding is anticipated.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   75  94  74  94  75 /  10  50  20  40  10
Panama City   80  88  79  88  79 /  20  40  20  40  10
Dothan        74  92  73  92  74 /  20  60  30  40  20
Albany        74  94  74  93  75 /  10  50  30  30  20
Valdosta      73  94  74  94  75 /  20  50  20  40  20
Cross City    74  92  75  93  75 /  20  40  20  30  10
Apalachicola  78  90  77  90  76 /  10  40  20  40  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Scholl
SHORT TERM...Moore
LONG TERM...Moore/Chaney
AVIATION...Scholl
MARINE...Moore
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...Moore

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
217 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

FLZ014-114-115-141845-
INLAND GULF FL-COASTAL GULF FL-COASTAL FRANKLIN FL-
217 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN GULF AND WEST
CENTRAL FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT/145 PM CDT/...

AT 216 PM EDT/116 PM CDT/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PORT ST. JOE. THIS STORM WAS
NEARLY STATIONARY.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PORT ST. JOE AND ODENA.

LAT...LON 2970 8522 2980 8529 2995 8516 2979 8500
TIME...MOT...LOC 1816Z 221DEG 3KT 2980 8520

55-SCHOLL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
225 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     TSTM WND GST     DE FUNIAK SPRING AIRPOR 30.73N 86.15W
07/14/2016  M43 MPH          WALTON             FL   AWOS

&&

DVD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
138 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

ALZ068-FLZ007-009-141930-
GENEVA AL-HOLMES FL-NORTH WALTON FL-
138 PM CDT THU JUL 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GENEVA...WESTERN
HOLMES AND NORTH CENTRAL WALTON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 138 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR FLORALA
TO 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SAMSON...UNION...PAXTON...PONCE DE LEON...CARYVILLE...WESTVILLE...
ROYALS CROSSROADS...BARKER STORE...BAKER SETTLEMENT...HICKORY HILL...
PLEASANT HILL...PERA...NEW HOPE...PROSPERITY...GRITNEY...LAKEWOOD...
ARRANT SETTLEMENT...GASKIN...WEEKS AND LOGAN FIELD MUNICIPAL A/P.

LAT...LON 3100 8619 3117 8619 3119 8618 3105 8592
      3081 8572 3079 8579 3079 8582 3078 8582
      3071 8604 3084 8614 3099 8631
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 224DEG 16KT 3097 8624 3088 8611 3067 8597

55-SCHOLL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
516 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

FLZ017-142145-
LEON FL-
516 PM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LEON COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM EDT...

AT 515 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FLORIDA A AND M...OR NEAR TALLAHASSEE...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

WINDS NEAR 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TALLAHASSEE...INNOVATION PARK...TALLAHASSEE REGIONAL A/P...LAKE
BRADFORD...GAITHER COMMUNITY CENTER...NORTH FLORIDA FAIRGROUNDS...
BELAIR...SPRINGSAX PARK...LAKE MUNSON AND SOUTHWOOD.

LAT...LON 3040 8420 3034 8423 3036 8437 3044 8436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 114DEG 9KT 3038 8427

42-DVD