Severe Thunderstorm Warning 279, NWS Tallahassee, FL

770 
WWUS52 KTAE 150034
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
834 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

GAC027-185-275-150044-
/O.CAN.KTAE.SV.W.0279.000000T0000Z-160815T0100Z/
BROOKS GA-THOMAS GA-LOWNDES GA-
834 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN BROOKS...NORTHEASTERN
THOMAS AND NORTHWESTERN LOWNDES COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3120 8305 3115 8312 3115 8316 3112 8317
      3103 8329 3103 8347 3108 8357 3103 8357
      3104 8378 3103 8379 3115 8389 3133 8365
      3135 8365 3147 8353 3162 8329 3148 8314
      3146 8315 3140 8314 3133 8306 3126 8304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 149DEG 24KT 3138 8325 3106 8361 

$$

GAC019-071-075-155-277-150100-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0279.000000T0000Z-160815T0100Z/
BERRIEN GA-COOK GA-COLQUITT GA-TIFT GA-IRWIN GA-
834 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR BERRIEN...COOK...EASTERN COLQUITT...SOUTHEASTERN TIFT AND
SOUTHWESTERN IRWIN COUNTIES...

AT 834 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM ALAPAHA TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF PAVO...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH. MULTIPLE TREES HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN IN BERRIEN
COUNTY.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOULTRIE...TIFTON...ADEL...NASHVILLE...OCILLA...SPARKS...ENIGMA...OME
GA...
NORMAN
PARK...LENOX...ALAPAHA...RIVERSIDE...PHILLIPSBURG...UNIONVILLE...
BERLIN...CECIL...ELLENTON...ALLENVILLE...SOUTH MOULTRIE AND GLORY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
TALLAHASSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3120 8305 3115 8312 3115 8316 3112 8317
      3103 8329 3103 8347 3108 8357 3103 8357
      3104 8378 3103 8379 3115 8389 3133 8365
      3135 8365 3147 8353 3162 8329 3148 8314
      3146 8315 3140 8314 3133 8306 3126 8304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 149DEG 24KT 3138 8325 3106 8361 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

42-DVD

095 
WWUS52 KTAE 150050
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
850 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

GAC019-071-075-155-277-150100-
/O.EXP.KTAE.SV.W.0279.000000T0000Z-160815T0100Z/
BERRIEN GA-COOK GA-COLQUITT GA-TIFT GA-IRWIN GA-
850 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BERRIEN...COOK...EASTERN
COLQUITT...SOUTHEASTERN TIFT AND SOUTHWESTERN IRWIN COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 900 PM EDT...
            
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
TALLAHASSEE.

LAT...LON 3120 8305 3115 8312 3115 8316 3112 8317
      3103 8329 3103 8347 3108 8357 3103 8357
      3104 8378 3103 8379 3115 8389 3133 8365
      3135 8365 3147 8353 3162 8329 3148 8314
      3146 8315 3140 8314 3133 8306 3126 8304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0046Z 141DEG 25KT 3138 8325 3106 8361 

$$

42-DVD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
312 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

A weak mid-level inverted trough moving across the eastern Gulf will
help to enhance convection late afternoon/evening compared to
coverage yesterday. The main focus for the higher PoPs is across the
eastern part of the CWA, near VLD. This enhancement is clearly shown
by the hi-res models and given the good agreement, have tended on
the higher side of most guidance for PoPs for the first half of
tonight. With the mid-level inverted trough shifting west tonight,
this in addition to the loss of daytime heating should decrease PoPs
significantly for the second half of the night.

Lows will mainly be in the mid 70s tonight except for parts of SE
Alabama that may drop into the lower 70s.

.SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday Night]...

Deep layer ridging will continue to build across the region through
mid week, putting the forecast area in an easterly flow regime. This
will yield a more active east coast sea-breeze, which will in turn
enhance shower and storm chances across the eastern third of the
forecast area each afternoon and evening. Expect POPs to range
between 20-40%, with afternoon highs running in the low to mid
90s.

.LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Sunday]...

A weak shortwave trough moving across the Southern Great Lakes
region will help to deamplify ridging across the area by mid-week,
yielding a return to normal summertime conditions. Afternoon
thunderstorm chances will generally run in the 40% range. Afternoon
highs will generally run in the mid 90s before gradually decreasing
into the lower 90s by the end of the period.

Operational model guidance remains fairly consistent from model to
model and with previous solutions in depicting a vigorous shortwave
trough sweeping across the central and eastern US by the end of the
week/weekend timeframe, moving the ridge eastward out of the region.
If this comes to fruition, it would mark the beginning of a pattern
shift across the forecast area.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Monday]...

Convection has started to develop and overall the best chances of
TSRA will be near VLD this afternoon, although there is a chance
across the entire area and thus have included VCTS or tempo at each
one of the sites. Storms this evening will linger a little longer
and diminish by around 4z. Fog is expected Monday morning at the
sites that receive rain this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...

Southeasterly winds will prevail at 10 to 15 knots each afternoon
through Tuesday before decreasing later in the week. Expect seas of
2 to 3 feet, with a slight chance of thunderstorms each afternoon
and evening.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

No concerns.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

The Steinhatchee River at Steinhatchee remains the only river in
flood stage (minor flood stage) and is forecast to continue to
recede slowly in the coming days. The Sopchoppy River near Sopchoppy
continues to recede this afternoon, with the river forecast to fall
below action stage sometime tomorrow afternoon or evening. The Shoal
River at Mossy Head has receded below action stage this afternoon,
while the gauge near Crestview remains in action stage. The river is
expected to slowly recede through the remainder of the week at
this point. Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected to
aggravate these sites or any other points along our area rivers.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   75  95  76  95  76 /  30  20  10  20  20
Panama City   76  89  78  89  78 /  20  20  10  30   0
Dothan        72  92  74  92  74 /  30  30  10  30  20
Albany        74  95  75  95  75 /  40  20  10  20  10
Valdosta      73  94  74  93  75 /  40  40  20  30  20
Cross City    74  93  75  92  75 /  40  40  20  30  20
Apalachicola  77  89  78  89  78 /  20  10  20  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ tonight for
     Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Fieux
SHORT TERM...Pullin
LONG TERM...Pullin
AVIATION...Fieux
MARINE...Pullin
FIRE WEATHER...Godsey
HYDROLOGY...Pullin

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
529 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N ENTERPRISE          31.33N 85.85W
08/14/2016                   COFFEE             AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES...POWER LINES...AND POLES DOWN MAINLY ON THE NORTH
            SIDE OF ENTERPRISE

&&

DVD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
541 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

FLZ029-034-128-134-142230-
LAFAYETTE FL-COASTAL DIXIE FL-COASTAL TAYLOR FL-INLAND DIXIE FL-
541 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DIXIE AND SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE
COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

AT 541 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FOWLERS BLUFF...OR 7 MILES WEST OF
CHIEFLAND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CROSS CITY...FOWLERS BLUFF...OLD TOWN...YELLOW JACKET...TENNILLE...
CROSS CITY AIRPORT...SHAMROCK...CLARA...FLETCHER...JONESBORO...
EUGENE...HINES...GUARANTO SPRINGS AND FANNING SPRINGS.

LAT...LON 2977 8295 2972 8296 2970 8294 2970 8296
      2963 8297 2958 8294 2958 8295 2954 8298
      2947 8298 2940 8302 2937 8307 2934 8307
      2933 8310 2976 8341 2972 8335 2982 8332
      2993 8296 2980 8292
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 151DEG 31KT 2945 8298

JLF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
633 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

GAZ155-142300-
SEMINOLE GA-
633 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL SEMINOLE COUNTY
UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 633 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTH OF DONALSONVILLE...MOVING
NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DONALSONVILLE...IRON
CITY...FAIRCHILD...SHARPHAGEN...LELA...DESSER...LITTLE
HOPE...DONALDSONVILLE A/P...STEAM MILL...DRAKES STILL...DAVIS PARK...
REYNOLDSVILLE AND RIVERTURN.

LAT...LON 3100 8475 3085 8477 3078 8492 3082 8494
      3084 8493 3087 8494 3088 8493 3093 8498
      3096 8498 3097 8500 3101 8500 3107 8502
      3107 8479
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 151DEG 7KT 3089 8485

42-DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
653 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NW MAYO               30.09N 83.24W
08/14/2016                   LAFAYETTE          FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN

&&

MCDERMOTT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
657 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

ALZ067-069-GAZ121-142-142345-
HOUSTON AL-HENRY AL-CLAY GA-EARLY GA-
657 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HOUSTON...HENRY...WESTERN EARLY
AND SOUTH CENTRAL CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT/645 PM CDT/...

AT 657 PM EDT/557 PM CDT/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT GAINES TO 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DONALSONVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ABBEVILLE...COTTONWOOD...FORT GAINES...BLAKELY...HEADLAND...DOTHAN...
KINSEY...ASHFORD...COWARTS...WEBB...COLUMBIA...AVON...NEWVILLE...MADR
ID...
GORDON...JAKIN...HALEBURG...MEMPHIS...CEDAR SPRINGS AND PLEASANT
PLAINS.

LAT...LON 3157 8492 3107 8495 3107 8503 3105 8501
      3103 8501 3101 8500 3100 8500 3100 8543
      3167 8536
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 125DEG 24KT 3151 8499 3111 8501

42-DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
730 PM EDT SUN AUG 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0707 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 E COLUMBIA            31.30N 85.03W
08/14/2016                   EARLY              GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN

&&

MCDERMOTT