River Flood Warning 39, NWS Tallahassee, FL

978 
WGUS82 KTAE 021844
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
244 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Shoal River near Mossy Head (CR 1087) affecting Walton County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC131-030736-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160403T0736Z/
/MHDF1.1.ER.160402T1451Z.160402T1830Z.160403T0136Z.NO/
144 PM CDT SAT APR 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Shoal River near Mossy Head (CR 1087).
* Until late tonight.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Water begins to overflow into wooded areas 
  along the river from New Harmony Road westward to Laird Road. 

&&

LAT...LON 3076 8639 3077 8631 3077 8619 3080 8620 3082 8630 3082 8639


$$

273 
WGUS82 KTAE 030124
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
924 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...
 
  Shoal River near Mossy Head (CR 1087) affecting Walton County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

FLC131-030745-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160403T0745Z/
/MHDF1.1.ER.160402T1451Z.160402T1830Z.160403T0145Z.NO/
824 PM CDT SAT APR 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Shoal River near Mossy Head (CR 1087).
* Until late tonight.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall below flood stage late
  tonight.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: Water begins to overflow into wooded areas 
  along the river from New Harmony Road westward to Laird Road. 

&&

LAT...LON 3076 8639 3077 8631 3077 8619 3080 8620 3082 8630 3082 8639


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
607 AM EDT SAT APR 2 2016

.Aviation...

[Through 12Z Sunday] The rain has ended at all the terminals, much
sooner than previously expected. IFR-MVFR cigs across the region
early will gradually clear from west to east through the morning
hours. Light and variable winds early will become NW 10 to 15 KT,
as a cold front moves west to east across the region this morning.
Wind speeds will fall off at sunset.

&&

.Prev Discussion [329 AM EDT]...

.Near Term [Through Today]...
As of 06Z the cold front was progressing through the western part
of the area and had just moved through Dothan. The back edge of
the rain is moving quicker than it had been the past several
hours. The greatest chance for severe weather will be in the Big
Bend as the showers and thunderstorms move east. Expect the front
to clear the CWA by this afternoon. High temperatures will range
from the upper 60s in southeast Alabama to the upper 70s in the
Big Bend.

.Short Term [Tonight Through Monday]...
An upper trough over the eastern CONUS will keep dry northwesterly
flow in place through Monday. The most noticeable difference in
the airmass will be with overnight low, with temperatures in the
mid to upper 40s expected Sunday and Monday mornings. Afternoon
temperatures will reach the upper 60s/lower 70s Sunday and the mid
to upper 70s on Monday

.Long Term [Monday Night Through Saturday]...
Mean trough will remain in place over the eastern CONUS through
much of the week, keeping dry northwest flow in place aloft.
Temperatures will be near normal, with highs in the mid to upper
70s and lows in the 50s. A cold front will move across the area on
Thursday, bringing a brief round of showers. Cooler temperatures
are expected behind the front for Friday and Saturday.

.Marine...
A cold front will cross the marine waters this morning with
offshore flow developing in its wake. Marginal Small Craft
Advisory conditions this morning will weaken for the afternoon.
However, winds will increase again overnight before diminishing
Sunday morning. Thereafter, generally light winds are expected
through the middle of the week.

.Fire Weather...
There will be some patchy areas of RH less than 30 percent on
Sunday but fuel moistures will not be dry enough to meet red flag
conditions.

.Hydrology...
Local rivers and streams will be on the rise as a result of the
recent rains. Most area rivers were already high with the
exception of the Suwannee. Flooding is occurring on the
Ochlockonee, Apalachicola, Withlacoochee, Chipola, and
Choctawhatchee Rivers. Most rivers will continue to rise this
weekend and early next week.

The Flash Flood Watch remains in place for most of the region
through Saturday morning.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   73  49  73  47  77 /  10   0   0   0   0
Panama City   70  53  70  53  71 /  10   0   0   0   0
Dothan        69  46  69  46  75 /  10   0   0   0   0
Albany        70  46  69  45  75 /  10   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      73  48  71  46  75 /  30   0   0   0   0
Cross City    77  50  75  46  77 /  70   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  73  52  71  51  72 /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flash Flood Watch until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning FOR
     Calhoun-Coastal Bay-Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal
     Jefferson-Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Inland Bay-Inland
     Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Wakulla-
     Jackson-Leon-Liberty-Washington.

     High Rip Current Risk through Sunday morning FOR Coastal Bay-
     Coastal Franklin-Coastal Gulf-South Walton.

GA...Flash Flood Watch until 8 AM EDT this morning FOR Baker-Ben Hill-
     Berrien-Brooks-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-Grady-Irwin-
     Miller-Mitchell-Seminole-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon FOR Coastal
     waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...WESTON
SHORT TERM...CAMP
LONG TERM...CAMP
AVIATION...FOURNIER
MARINE...CAMP
FIRE WEATHER...WESTON
HYDROLOGY...CAMP