High Surf Advisory 4, NWS Tallahassee, FL

804 
WHUS42 KTAE 091741
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1241 PM EST WED MAR 9 2016

...STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG PANHANDLE
BEACHES THIS WEEK ALONG WITH HIGH SURF...

FLZ108-112-110000-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-
1241 PM EST WED MAR 9 2016 /1141 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016/

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THURSDAY...

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...AROUND 6 FEET AT TIMES ALONG THE BAY COUNTY 
  COAST AND AROUND 7 FEET AT TIMES ALONG THE WALTON COUNTY 
  COAST. 

* TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND
DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FLZ114-110000-
/O.EXA.KTAE.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
COASTAL GULF-
1241 PM EST WED MAR 9 2016

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

* WAVES AND SURF...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND
DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

306 
WHUS42 KTAE 100721
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
221 AM EST THU MAR 10 2016

...STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG PANHANDLE
BEACHES THIS WEEK ALONG WITH HIGH SURF...

FLZ108-112-111000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-160312T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-
221 AM EST THU MAR 10 2016 /121 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016/

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...AROUND 6 FEET AT TIMES ALONG THE BAY COUNTY 
  COAST AND AROUND 7 FEET AT TIMES ALONG THE WALTON COUNTY 
  COAST. 

* TIMING...HIGH SURF CONDITIONS THROUGH TODAY ACROSS THE BAY AND
  WALTON COUNTY COASTS WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS CONTINUING
  THROUGH FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND
DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FLZ114-111000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-160312T0000Z/
COASTAL GULF-
221 AM EST THU MAR 10 2016

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND
DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

475 
WHUS42 KTAE 101822
CFWTAE

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
122 PM EST THU MAR 10 2016

...STRONG AND FREQUENT RIP CURRENTS EXPECTED ALONG PANHANDLE
BEACHES AND BIG BEND BEACHES THIS WEEK ALONG WITH HIGH SURF...

FLZ108-112-110930-
/O.CON.KTAE.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-160312T0000Z/
SOUTH WALTON-COASTAL BAY-
122 PM EST THU MAR 10 2016 /1222 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016/

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/
THIS EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...AROUND 6 FEET AT TIMES ALONG THE BAY COUNTY 
  COAST AND AROUND 7 FEET AT TIMES ALONG THE WALTON COUNTY 
  COAST. 

* TIMING...HIGH SURF CONDITIONS THROUGH TODAY ACROSS THE BAY AND 
  WALTON COUNTY COASTS WITH A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS 
  CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND
DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FLZ115-110930-
/O.EXA.KTAE.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-160312T0000Z/
COASTAL FRANKLIN-
122 PM EST THU MAR 10 2016

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A HIGH RIP
CURRENT RISK...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. 

* WAVES AND SURF...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND
DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FLZ114-110930-
/O.CON.KTAE.RP.S.0028.000000T0000Z-160312T0000Z/
COASTAL GULF-
122 PM EST THU MAR 10 2016

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* WAVES AND SURF...2 TO 4 FEET.

* TIMING...THROUGH FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

RIP CURRENTS ARE POWERFUL CHANNELS OF WATER FLOWING QUICKLY AWAY
FROM SHORE...WHICH OCCUR MOST OFTEN AT LOW SPOTS OR BREAKS IN THE
SANDBAR AND IN THE VICINITY OF STRUCTURES SUCH AS GROINS...
JETTIES AND PIERS. HEED THE ADVICE OF LIFEGUARDS...BEACH PATROL
FLAGS AND SIGNS.

IF YOU BECOME CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...YELL FOR HELP. REMAIN
CALM...DO NOT EXHAUST YOURSELF AND STAY AFLOAT WHILE WAITING FOR
HELP. IF YOU HAVE TO SWIM OUT OF A RIP CURRENT...SWIM PARALLEL TO
SHORE AND BACK TOWARD THE BEACH WHEN POSSIBLE. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
SWIM DIRECTLY AGAINST A RIP CURRENT AS YOU WILL TIRE QUICKLY.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION AND
DANGEROUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
817 PM EST TUE MAR 8 2016

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...
01 UTC surface analysis shows an area of high pressure east of the
Florida Peninsula with moderate southeasterly flow in place across
our region. Gradual moistening over the last 24 hours has brought
dewpoints this evening into the mid 50s. Even with clear skies
overnight, expect overnight lows to only drop into the mid to
upper 50s across the region.

&&

.Aviation...
[Through 00Z Thursday]...VFR conditions will prevail through the
period. The only exception to this looks to be at VLD around
sunrise, where there's the possibility of a brief MVFR vsby due to
fog. Any restrictions should end by 13z.

&&

.Prev Discussion [343 PM EST]...

.Short Term [Wednesday Through Thursday Night]...

The southern stream will be highly amplified, with both the trough
(currently over Mexico) and ridge (currently over the Southeast)
500 mb heights near 30-year extremes. The unusually strong 500 mb
ridge will remain quasi-stationary along the Southeast coast. At
the surface, a strong ridge will also remain nearly stationary,
centered off the NC coast. The deep-layer ridge will begin to
shift eastward late this week, allowing for an increase in Q-G
forcing and deep layer moisture across western portions of our
forecast area. Temperatures will remain warm, though the warmest
daytime values will be across north FL, where the boundary layer
wind trajectory will be along the Peninsula. West of Tallahassee
the trajectory will be over the relatively cool waters of the
eastern Gulf of Mexico. High temperatures will reach the mid to
upper 80s around Cross City and Valdosta, and mid 70s to lower 80s
elsewhere (except lower 70s at the beaches). Lows will be in the
50s, except lower 60s Friday morning.

.Long Term [Friday Through Tuesday]...

The anomalously strong upper ridge will finally break down this
weekend as the high-amplitude southern stream transitions to more
zonal flow. While the upper trough that will be translating
northeastward over the Southeast this weekend is the same trough
currently bringing heavy rains to the Southern Plains, the
greatest Q-G forcing will likely stay to our north and west of our
area. However, there will be enough deep-layer moisture for at
least locally heavy rain. The GFS suggests a low-end threat of
severe storms Saturday and Saturday night, with MLCAPE values from
500 to 1000 J/kg, and 0-6 km bulk shear values of 50 KT.
Temperatures will be warm through the period, with highs around 80
and lows in the 50s.

.Marine...

The pressure pattern won't change much this work week, with moderate
to strong southeast winds continuing across the marine area. The
strongest winds will be outside of Apalachee Bay, and they will
reach advisory levels at times. The unusually long fetch (both
time and physical length) of SE winds will cause relatively
large, long-period swells, resulting in higher surf and frequent,
stronger rip currents for much of the week. Tides will be 1 to 2
feet above normal along much of the coast, but not high enough
for significant coastal flooding.

.Fire Weather...

Low level moisture will continue to increase over the next few
days keeping relative humidity values well above critical levels.
Strong southerly flow will lead to high dispersion indices each of
the next few afternoons.

.Hydrology...

Only the Apalachicola River at Blountstown remained at flood stage,
and it will likely fall below flood stage on Wednesday. The storm
total QPF for the system which will affect our area late this week
and into the weekend will range from 1 to 2 inches west of
Tallahassee, to less than 0.50 inches east of Tallahassee. Since
river stages remained above normal over our western rivers, this
rain could drive a few rivers to near flood stage.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   55  79  59  81  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   60  73  62  74  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
Dothan        54  79  59  80  61 /   0   0   0   0  10
Albany        54  80  58  82  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      55  82  60  84  61 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    55  83  60  85  60 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  60  71  62  72  63 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening FOR Coastal Bay-
     South Walton.

GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday FOR Coastal Waters
     From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-
     Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...GODSEY
SHORT TERM...FOURNIER
LONG TERM...FOURNIER
AVIATION...GODSEY
MARINE...FOURNIER
FIRE WEATHER...GODSEY
HYDROLOGY...FOURNIER