Freeze Warning 1, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

163 
WWUS72 KTAE 050118
NPWTAE

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
818 PM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTH GEORGIA...
AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...

.COLD AND DRY AIR IS EXPECTED TO BRING A LIGHT FREEZE TO PORTIONS
OF THE AREA TONIGHT.

FLZ028-029-051400-
/O.EXA.KTAE.FZ.W.0001.160105T0700Z-160105T1400Z/
INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PERRY...MIDWAY...MAYO
818 PM EST MON JAN 4 2016

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS AROUND 32.

* DURATION...FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS ACROSS
  NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>013-016>019-026-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
051400-
/O.CON.KTAE.FZ.W.0001.160105T0700Z-160105T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-NORTH WALTON-CENTRAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-
DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-
MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-
BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...INWOOD...HUDSON...
BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...MARIANNA...
GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
LYNN HAVEN...UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...QUINCY...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...MONTICELLO...
MADISON...GREENVILLE...SWEETWATER...GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...
CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...
DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...
TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...
COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...
NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...
QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
818 PM EST MON JAN 4 2016 /718 PM CST MON JAN 4 2016/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EST /1 AM CST/ TO
9 AM EST /8 AM CST/ TUESDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS FROM 28 TO 32.

* DURATION...FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR 4 TO 6 HOURS ACROSS 
  SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND 2 TO 3 HOURS ACROSS 
  NORTHWEST FLORIDA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

098 
WWUS72 KTAE 050846
NPWTAE

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
346 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2016

...LIGHT FREEZE THIS MORNING ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA...SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA...AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

...FREEZE WATCH TONIGHT FOR SOUTH GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...

.AT 3 AM EST / 2 AM CST TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE MID 30S ACROSS
THE REGION...AND WILL LIKELY REACH FREEZING BY DAWN. TEMPERATURES
HAVE NOT BEEN AS COLD AS ORIGINALLY EXPECTED IN FLORIDA SO THE
FREEZE WARNING THERE HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ANOTHER LIGHT FREEZE IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY IN SOUTH GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA.

FLZ008-010-012-013-016>019-026-028-029-051000-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1400Z/
CENTRAL WALTON-WASHINGTON-INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...INWOOD...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...
FIVE POINTS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...LYNN HAVEN...
UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...QUINCY...CHATTAHOOCHEE...
TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...MONTICELLO...MADISON...GREENVILLE...
SWEETWATER...PERRY...MIDWAY...MAYO
346 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2016 /246 AM CST TUE JAN 5 2016/

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZE WARNING. LOWS ARE NOT LONGER EXPECTED TO REACH FREEZING
THIS MORNING. 

$$

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-052200-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FZ.A.0002.160106T0500Z-160106T1300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1400Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...
SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...DAWSON...
ALBANY...LEESBURG...SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...TIFTON...
FITZGERALD...OCILLA...DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...
NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...
NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...
QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
346 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2016 /246 AM CST TUE JAN 5 2016/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/
THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. 

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE LOWER 30S.

* DURATION...FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR 3 TO 6 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS THAT FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS CAN HARM UNPROTECTED SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.

&&

$$

FLZ007-009-011-051400-
/O.CON.KTAE.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1400Z/
NORTH WALTON-HOLMES-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...HUDSON...BONIFAY...
MARIANNA...GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS
246 AM CST TUE JAN 5 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS AROUND 32.

* DURATION...FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR 1 TO 3 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS THAT FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS CAN HARM UNPROTECTED SENSITIVE VEGETATION.


&&

$$

FOURNIER

091 
WWUS72 KTAE 051418
NPWTAE

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
918 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2016

...FREEZE WATCH TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...

ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-052200-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1400Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FZ.A.0002.160106T0500Z-160106T1300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-
TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-
MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-
GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...CUTHBERT...
SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...DAWSON...
ALBANY...LEESBURG...SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...TIFTON...
FITZGERALD...OCILLA...DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...COLQUITT...
NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...
NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...
QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
918 AM EST TUE JAN 5 2016 /818 AM CST TUE JAN 5 2016/

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE LOWER 30S.

* DURATION...FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR 3 TO 6 HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS THAT FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS CAN HARM UNPROTECTED SENSITIVE
VEGETATION.

&&

$$

FLZ007-009-011-051530-
/O.EXP.KTAE.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1400Z/
NORTH WALTON-HOLMES-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...HUDSON...BONIFAY...
MARIANNA...GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS
818 AM CST TUE JAN 5 2016

...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS EXPIRED. 

$$

DVD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
903 AM EST MON JAN 4 2016

.Near Term [Through Today]...

Today will feature sunny skies and seasonal afternoon high
temperatures ranging from the mid 50s across the northwest to
lower 60s across the southeast big bend. Northerly winds are
expected to gust to near 20 mph at times this afternoon.

&&

.Prev Discussion [556 AM EST]...

.Short Term [Tonight Through Wednesday]...

The rather deep upper level trough over the northeast CONUS will be
at peak intensity early tonight. 500 mb heights in the northern
stream will actually rise to slightly above- average levels over
this region by Wednesday. A weak short wave trough in the
subtropical jet stream will affect our forecast area late Tuesday
night and Wednesday. However, most of its interaction with the polar
front will be along or east of the FL east coast. Its main impact
locally will be an increase in clouds. At the surface, a large high
pressure system will translate slowly eastward across the eastern
CONUS. The boundary layer over much of this region will initially be
quite shallow, cold, and dry, but will begin to gradually warm
and moisten on Wednesday afternoon as its circulation becomes
centered off the Mid Atlantic coast.

The primary forecast challenge for our area will be low
temperatures. Most of the NWP models and MOS forecast a light
freeze tonight, but they also forecast the wind speeds to remain
at least 5 KT. Usually such winds are enough to prevent freezing
temperatures. Our forecast is slightly above the MOS/model
consensus, and we've based the area coverage of tonight's freeze
watch largely on the 21 UTC SREF probability of freezing
temperatures (i.e. where this probability exceeds 40%). A light
freeze is possible on Tuesday night as well, though our confidence
is rather low since we expect clouds to increase rapidly during
the night. If there is a freeze, it would probably be confined to
central AL and GA, and affect only the northern portions of our
forecasts area.

High temperatures will be below average- only in the upper 40s
(north) to mid 50s (south) on Tuesday, despite plenty of sun, as
poor vertical mixing helps to limit warming. Highs will range
from the mid 50s (north) to lower 60s (south) on Wednesday, as
weak warm air advection is offset somewhat by increasing clouds.

.Long Term [Wednesday Night Through Monday]...

The forecast 500 mb flow fits the typical wintertime El Nino
pattern, with multiple short wave troughs affecting the Southeast
as they translate eastward or northeastward along the subtropical
jet stream. The first such trough will enhance our rain chances
Thursday and early Friday, with the next system affecting our
weather over the weekend. High temperatures on Thursday will still
be rather cool, in the upper 50s to lower 60s; then warm to the
mid 60s to lower 70s Friday through Sunday. Lows will be in the
40s Thursday, then in the 50s this weekend. A cooldown is likely
to begin on Monday.

.Aviation...
[Through 12Z Tuesday]...

VFR conditions will continue throughout the TAF cycle. Mid-level
clouds will clear out this morning. Northerly winds may be gusty
at times.

.Marine...

Winds and seas will be just below Small Craft Advisory levels today.
We expect them to increase to advisory levels tonight as the
pressure gradient increases a bit, and the PBL momentum flux also
increases (presumably due to above- average water temperatures
and cold air advection). With a strong high pressure system
centered well to the north, strong N-NE winds will persist through
Wednesday.

.Fire Weather...

With a dry air mass in place, relative humidity values will be
very low for the next few days. However, Red Flag criteria will
not be met.

.Hydrology...

While many of the rivers in southeast AL, southwest GA, and the FL
Panhandle remained in flood, the stages at most sites have either
crested, or were nearing a broad crest. Some of the river stages
across south central GA and the FL Big Bend have increased over the
past few days, but most remained below action stage. The good news
is that we do not expect any rain through Wednesday night. Although
rain chances increase later this week, and once again over the
weekend, we currently do not see the ingredients for prolonged
heavy rain. Thus storm total QPF for each system is likely to be
less than an inch.

For more detailed information, please visit:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=tae

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   59  33  52  35  59 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   57  38  52  40  58 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        54  30  48  32  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        55  29  48  31  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      59  32  50  34  56 /   0   0   0   0  10
Cross City    63  35  56  41  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
Apalachicola  59  39  54  42  60 /   0   0   0  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Wednesday morning FOR
     Calhoun-Central Walton-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland
     Jefferson-Jackson-Leon-Liberty-Madison-North Walton-
     Washington.

GA...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Wednesday morning FOR
     Baker-Ben Hill-Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-
     Decatur-Dougherty-Early-Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-
     Miller-Mitchell-Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-
     Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Wednesday morning FOR
     Coffee-Dale-Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Wednesday FOR Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton
     Beach to Ochlockonee River Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters
     From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-
     Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20
     NM-Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60
     NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...FOURNIER
LONG TERM...FOURNIER
AVIATION...MCDERMOTT
MARINE...FOURNIER
FIRE WEATHER...MCDERMOTT
HYDROLOGY...FOURNIER