Flash Flood Watch 6, NWS Tallahassee, FL

Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

765 
WGUS62 KTAE 311957
FFATAE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
357 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HEAVY RAIN THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING FOR NORTH FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTH GEORGIA...

.TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLOWLY
APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL
LIKELY OCCUR LATE THURSDAY AND THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...BUT
ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING. MANY OF
THE GAGES IN THE WATCH AREA WILL GET 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...BUT
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE HEAVY
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. THE MOST
VULNERABLE LOCATIONS ARE URBAN AREAS...SMALL CREEKS...AND ANY LOW
LYING AREAS WITH LIMITED DRAINAGE.

FLZ014>019-026>029-034-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ146>148-156>161-
012100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160902T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-
COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-
COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-DECATUR-GRADY-
THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOWARD CREEK...DALKEITH...HONEYVILLE...
WEWAHITCHKA...BEVERLY...BUCK SIDING...FORT GADSDEN...
MORGAN PLACE...LITTMAN...QUINCY...QUINCY AIRPORT...SANTA CLARA...
WETUMPKA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...HARDIN HEIGHTS...BRADFORDVILLE...
CAPITOLA...CHAIRES...CHAIRES CROSSROADS...KILLEARN ESTATES...
KILLEARN LAKES...MACLAY STATE GARDENS...TALLAHASSEE...ALMA...
CAPPS...CASA BLANCO...DILLS...DRIFTON...FESTUS...JARROTT...
MONTICELLO...LOVETT...CHERRY LAKE...HANSON...HOPEWELL...MADISON...
PINETTA...SWEETWATER...BETHEL...HILLIARDVILLE...WAKULLA SPRINGS...
ATHENA...BOYD...BUCELL JUNCTION...CABBAGE GROVE...CARBUR...
ECONFINA...FENHOLLOWAY...PERRY...MIDWAY...BUCKVILLE...
COOKS HAMMOCK...DAY...MAYO...CROSS CITY...CROSS CITY AIRPORT...
HINES...JONESBORO...OLD TOWN...OAK GROVE...ODENA...PORT ST. JOE...
WHITE CITY...BEACON HILL...OVERSTREET...SAINT JOE BEACH...
APALACHICOLA...APALACHICOLA AIRPORT...BAY CITY...TILTON...
CREELS...HAYS PLACE...HIGH BLUFF...BUCKHORN...MEDART...PANACEA...
SOPCHOPPY...PORT LEON...SAINT MARKS...SPRING CREEK...
ADAMS BEACH...BLUE SPRINGS...CEDAR ISLAND...DEKLE BEACH...
FISH CREEK...HOWELL PLACE...YELLOW JACKET...HORSESHOE BEACH...
JENA...SHIRED ISLAND...SUWANNEE...MOULTRIE...
MOULTRIE MUNICIPAL A/P...SPENCE AIRPORT...ADEL...COOK CO A/P...
GREGGS...PINE VALLEY...BARNEYVILLE...LACONTE...MASSEE...
BERRIEN CO A/P...COTTLE...NASHVILLE...WEBER...BANNOCKBURN...
AUSMAC...BAINBRIDGE...DECATUR CO A/P...HANOVER...LYNN...
STEINHAM STORE...WEST BAINBRIDGE...BEACHTON...CAIRO...CAPEL...
ELPINO...GRADY CO A/P...MONCRIEF...PINE PARK...DILLON...METCALF...
PASCO...THOMASVILLE...BROOKS CO A/P...DIXIE...EMPRESS...NANKIN...
QUITMAN...GROOVERVILLE...VALDOSTA...VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT...
COURTHOUSE...LAKELAND...TEETERVILLE
357 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016 /257 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN FLORIDA...COASTAL DIXIE...COASTAL FRANKLIN... 
  COASTAL GULF...COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL TAYLOR...COASTAL 
  WAKULLA...GADSDEN...INLAND DIXIE...INLAND FRANKLIN...INLAND 
  GULF...INLAND JEFFERSON...INLAND TAYLOR...INLAND WAKULLA... 
  LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY AND MADISON. IN GEORGIA...BERRIEN...
   BROOKS...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...GRADY...LANIER...LOWNDES 
  AND THOMAS. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

188 
WGUS62 KTAE 312153
FFATAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
553 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TORRENTIAL RAINS THROUGH
FRIDAY FOR MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

.TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLOWLY
APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL
LIKELY OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...BUT
ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING. MANY OF
THE GAGES IN THE WATCH AREA WILL GET 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN...BUT
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE HEAVY
RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THIS TYPE OF
FLOODING...WITH SUCH HIGH AMOUNTS OVER A LARGE AREA...IS RARE IN
THIS REGION...AND MANY MORE PEOPLE THAN NORMAL COULD BE IMPACTED
BY RISING WATER. THE MOST VULNERABLE LOCATIONS ARE URBAN
AREAS...SMALL CREEKS...AND ANY LOW LYING AREAS WITH LIMITED
DRAINAGE. IF YOU LIVE...WORK...OR COMMUTE IN THESE TYPES OF
LOCATIONS...MONITOR THE FORECASTS AND THE WEATHER FREQUENTLY. DO
NOT TAKE CHANCES...WHEN IN DOUBT...HEAD TO HIGHER GROUND.


FLZ012-013-112-GAZ127>131-145-012200-
/O.EXB.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-COASTAL BAY-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETT...ECONFINA...NIXON...
YOUNGSTOWN...ABE SPRINGS...BLOUNTSTOWN...CLARKSVILLE...DURHAM...
FRINK...MARYSVILLE...SCOTTS FERRY...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
CAIRO...LYNN HAVEN...SOUTHPORT...VICKSBURG...MAGNOLIA BEACH...
ALFORDS...GAMMAGE...GORDY...ISABELLA...RED ROCK...SYLVESTER...
SYLVESTER AIRPORT...ASHBURN...HOBBY...WORTH...CHULA...HARDING...
SUNSWEET...TIFTON...ASHTON...BOWENS MILL...FITZGERALD...
FITZGERALD MUNICIPAL A/P...QUEENSLAND...WESTWOOD...WATERLOO...
ABBA...IRWINVILLE...OCILLA...BRANCHVILLE...CAMILLA...
MITCHELL CO A/P...COTTON...PELHAM
553 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016 /453 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA...
   INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN FLORIDA...CALHOUN...
  COASTAL BAY AND INLAND BAY. IN GEORGIA...BEN HILL...IRWIN...
  MITCHELL... TIFT...TURNER AND WORTH. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 TO 20 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED OR RISING WATER IS OBSERVED. PARK
VEHICLES ON HIGHER GROUND AHEAD OF TIME...AND TAKE ACTION NOW TO
PREPARE VULNERABLE BUILDINGS AGAINST FLOODING.

&&

$$

FLZ014>019-026>029-034-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ146>148-156>161-
012200-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-
COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-
COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-DECATUR-GRADY-
THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOWARD CREEK...DALKEITH...HONEYVILLE...
WEWAHITCHKA...BEVERLY...BUCK SIDING...FORT GADSDEN...
MORGAN PLACE...LITTMAN...QUINCY...QUINCY AIRPORT...SANTA CLARA...
WETUMPKA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...HARDIN HEIGHTS...BRADFORDVILLE...
CAPITOLA...CHAIRES...CHAIRES CROSSROADS...KILLEARN ESTATES...
KILLEARN LAKES...MACLAY STATE GARDENS...TALLAHASSEE...ALMA...
CAPPS...CASA BLANCO...DILLS...DRIFTON...FESTUS...JARROTT...
MONTICELLO...LOVETT...CHERRY LAKE...HANSON...HOPEWELL...MADISON...
PINETTA...SWEETWATER...BETHEL...HILLIARDVILLE...WAKULLA SPRINGS...
ATHENA...BOYD...BUCELL JUNCTION...CABBAGE GROVE...CARBUR...
ECONFINA...FENHOLLOWAY...PERRY...MIDWAY...BUCKVILLE...
COOKS HAMMOCK...DAY...MAYO...CROSS CITY...CROSS CITY AIRPORT...
HINES...JONESBORO...OLD TOWN...OAK GROVE...ODENA...PORT ST. JOE...
WHITE CITY...BEACON HILL...OVERSTREET...SAINT JOE BEACH...
APALACHICOLA...APALACHICOLA AIRPORT...BAY CITY...TILTON...
CREELS...HAYS PLACE...HIGH BLUFF...BUCKHORN...MEDART...PANACEA...
SOPCHOPPY...PORT LEON...SAINT MARKS...SPRING CREEK...
ADAMS BEACH...BLUE SPRINGS...CEDAR ISLAND...DEKLE BEACH...
FISH CREEK...HOWELL PLACE...YELLOW JACKET...HORSESHOE BEACH...
JENA...SHIRED ISLAND...SUWANNEE...MOULTRIE...
MOULTRIE MUNICIPAL A/P...SPENCE AIRPORT...ADEL...COOK CO A/P...
GREGGS...PINE VALLEY...BARNEYVILLE...LACONTE...MASSEE...
BERRIEN CO A/P...COTTLE...NASHVILLE...WEBER...BANNOCKBURN...
AUSMAC...BAINBRIDGE...DECATUR CO A/P...HANOVER...LYNN...
STEINHAM STORE...WEST BAINBRIDGE...BEACHTON...CAIRO...CAPEL...
ELPINO...GRADY CO A/P...MONCRIEF...PINE PARK...DILLON...METCALF...
PASCO...THOMASVILLE...BROOKS CO A/P...DIXIE...EMPRESS...NANKIN...
QUITMAN...GROOVERVILLE...VALDOSTA...VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT...
COURTHOUSE...LAKELAND...TEETERVILLE
553 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016 /453 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN FLORIDA...COASTAL DIXIE...COASTAL FRANKLIN... 
  COASTAL GULF...COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL TAYLOR...COASTAL 
  WAKULLA...GADSDEN...INLAND DIXIE...INLAND FRANKLIN...INLAND 
  GULF...INLAND JEFFERSON...INLAND TAYLOR...INLAND WAKULLA... 
  LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY AND MADISON. IN GEORGIA...BERRIEN...
   BROOKS...COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...GRADY...LANIER...LOWNDES 
  AND THOMAS. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 TO 20 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED OR RISING WATER IS OBSERVED. PARK
VEHICLES ON HIGHER GROUND AHEAD OF TIME...AND TAKE ACTION NOW TO
PREPARE VULNERABLE BUILDINGS AGAINST FLOODING.

&&

$$

FOURNIER

495 
WGUS62 KTAE 010852
FFATAE

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
452 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TORRENTIAL RAINS THROUGH FRIDAY
FOR MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

.TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IN THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO WILL SLOWLY
APPROACH THE REGION TODAY AND LIKELY MOVE ONSHORE TONIGHT. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WILL LIKELY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY. MANY OF THE GAGES IN THE WATCH AREA WILL GET 5 TO 10
INCHES OF RAIN...BUT ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE. THESE HEAVY RAINS MAY CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS.

THIS IS A POTENTIALLY VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THIS TYPE OF
FLOODING...WITH SUCH HIGH AMOUNTS OVER A LARGE AREA...IS RARE IN
THIS REGION...AND MANY MORE PEOPLE THAN NORMAL COULD BE IMPACTED
BY RISING WATER. THE MOST VULNERABLE LOCATIONS ARE URBAN AREAS...
SMALL CREEKS...AND ANY LOW LYING AREAS WITH LIMITED DRAINAGE. IF
YOU LIVE...WORK...OR COMMUTE IN THESE TYPES OF LOCATIONS...
MONITOR THE FORECASTS AND THE WEATHER FREQUENTLY. DO NOT TAKE
CHANCES...WHEN IN DOUBT...HEAD TO HIGHER GROUND.

FLZ014>019-026>029-034-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ146>148-156>161-
020000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-
LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-
COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-
COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-DECATUR-GRADY-
THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOWARD CREEK...DALKEITH...HONEYVILLE...
WEWAHITCHKA...BEVERLY...BUCK SIDING...FORT GADSDEN...
MORGAN PLACE...LITTMAN...QUINCY...QUINCY AIRPORT...SANTA CLARA...
WETUMPKA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...HARDIN HEIGHTS...BRADFORDVILLE...
CAPITOLA...CHAIRES...CHAIRES CROSSROADS...KILLEARN ESTATES...
KILLEARN LAKES...MACLAY STATE GARDENS...TALLAHASSEE...ALMA...
CAPPS...CASA BLANCO...DILLS...DRIFTON...FESTUS...JARROTT...
MONTICELLO...LOVETT...CHERRY LAKE...HANSON...HOPEWELL...MADISON...
PINETTA...SWEETWATER...BETHEL...HILLIARDVILLE...WAKULLA SPRINGS...
ATHENA...BOYD...BUCELL JUNCTION...CABBAGE GROVE...CARBUR...
ECONFINA...FENHOLLOWAY...PERRY...MIDWAY...BUCKVILLE...
COOKS HAMMOCK...DAY...MAYO...CROSS CITY...CROSS CITY AIRPORT...
HINES...JONESBORO...OLD TOWN...OAK GROVE...ODENA...PORT ST. JOE...
WHITE CITY...BEACON HILL...OVERSTREET...SAINT JOE BEACH...
APALACHICOLA...APALACHICOLA AIRPORT...BAY CITY...TILTON...
CREELS...HAYS PLACE...HIGH BLUFF...BUCKHORN...MEDART...PANACEA...
SOPCHOPPY...PORT LEON...SAINT MARKS...SPRING CREEK...
ADAMS BEACH...BLUE SPRINGS...CEDAR ISLAND...DEKLE BEACH...
FISH CREEK...HOWELL PLACE...YELLOW JACKET...HORSESHOE BEACH...
JENA...SHIRED ISLAND...SUWANNEE...MOULTRIE...
MOULTRIE MUNICIPAL A/P...SPENCE AIRPORT...ADEL...COOK CO A/P...
GREGGS...PINE VALLEY...BARNEYVILLE...LACONTE...MASSEE...
BERRIEN CO A/P...COTTLE...NASHVILLE...WEBER...BANNOCKBURN...
AUSMAC...BAINBRIDGE...DECATUR CO A/P...HANOVER...LYNN...
STEINHAM STORE...WEST BAINBRIDGE...BEACHTON...CAIRO...CAPEL...
ELPINO...GRADY CO A/P...MONCRIEF...PINE PARK...DILLON...METCALF...
PASCO...THOMASVILLE...BROOKS CO A/P...DIXIE...EMPRESS...NANKIN...
QUITMAN...GROOVERVILLE...VALDOSTA...VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT...
COURTHOUSE...LAKELAND...TEETERVILLE
452 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016 /352 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
  AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
  PANAMA CITY TO BAINBRIDGE TO SYLVESTER.

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED OR RISING WATER IS OBSERVED. PARK
VEHICLES ON HIGHER GROUND AHEAD OF TIME...AND TAKE ACTION NOW TO
PREPARE VULNERABLE BUILDINGS AGAINST FLOODING.

&&

$$

FLZ012-013-112-GAZ127>131-145-020000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-COASTAL BAY-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-
MITCHELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETT...ECONFINA...NIXON...
YOUNGSTOWN...ABE SPRINGS...BLOUNTSTOWN...CLARKSVILLE...DURHAM...
FRINK...MARYSVILLE...SCOTTS FERRY...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
CAIRO...LYNN HAVEN...SOUTHPORT...VICKSBURG...MAGNOLIA BEACH...
ALFORDS...GAMMAGE...GORDY...ISABELLA...RED ROCK...SYLVESTER...
SYLVESTER AIRPORT...ASHBURN...HOBBY...WORTH...CHULA...HARDING...
SUNSWEET...TIFTON...ASHTON...BOWENS MILL...FITZGERALD...
FITZGERALD MUNICIPAL A/P...QUEENSLAND...WESTWOOD...WATERLOO...
ABBA...IRWINVILLE...OCILLA...BRANCHVILLE...CAMILLA...
MITCHELL CO A/P...COTTON...PELHAM
452 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2016 /352 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
  AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
  PANAMA CITY TO BAINBRIDGE TO SYLVESTER.

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON
  THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
  ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED OR RISING WATER IS OBSERVED. PARK
VEHICLES ON HIGHER GROUND AHEAD OF TIME...AND TAKE ACTION NOW TO
PREPARE VULNERABLE BUILDINGS AGAINST FLOODING.

&&

$$

094 
WGUS62 KTAE 012029
FFATAE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
429 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TORRENTIAL RAINS THROUGH
FRIDAY FOR MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

.HURRICANE HERMINE WILL MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST OF
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND...THEN MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA LATE
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. AS OF THIS EVENING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
HEAVY RAIN WAS GRADUALLY SPREADING INLAND ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA...AND THIS WILL CONTINUE ALL NIGHT. 

WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS IN THE WATCH AREA WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 
8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 TO 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THIS TYPE OF FLOODING...WITH SUCH HIGH AMOUNTS OVER A
LARGE AREA...IS RARE IN THIS REGION...AND MANY MORE PEOPLE THAN
NORMAL COULD BE IMPACTED BY RISING WATER. THE MOST VULNERABLE
LOCATIONS ARE URBAN AREAS...ALONG SMALL RIVERS AND CREEKS...AND IN
ANY LOW LYING AREAS WITH LIMITED DRAINAGE. IF YOU LIVE...WORK...OR
COMMUTE IN THESE TYPES OF LOCATIONS... MONITOR THE FORECASTS AND
THE WEATHER FREQUENTLY. DO NOT TAKE CHANCES...WHEN IN DOUBT...HEAD
TO HIGHER GROUND.

FLZ012>019-026>029-034-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ127>131-
145>148-156>161-030000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETT...ECONFINA...NIXON...
YOUNGSTOWN...ABE SPRINGS...BLOUNTSTOWN...CLARKSVILLE...DURHAM...
FRINK...MARYSVILLE...SCOTTS FERRY...HOWARD CREEK...DALKEITH...
HONEYVILLE...WEWAHITCHKA...BEVERLY...BUCK SIDING...FORT GADSDEN...
MORGAN PLACE...LITTMAN...QUINCY...QUINCY AIRPORT...SANTA CLARA...
WETUMPKA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...HARDIN HEIGHTS...BRADFORDVILLE...
CAPITOLA...CHAIRES...CHAIRES CROSSROADS...KILLEARN ESTATES...
KILLEARN LAKES...MACLAY STATE GARDENS...TALLAHASSEE...ALMA...
CAPPS...CASA BLANCO...DILLS...DRIFTON...FESTUS...JARROTT...
MONTICELLO...LOVETT...CHERRY LAKE...HANSON...HOPEWELL...MADISON...
PINETTA...SWEETWATER...BETHEL...HILLIARDVILLE...WAKULLA SPRINGS...
ATHENA...BOYD...BUCELL JUNCTION...CABBAGE GROVE...CARBUR...
FENHOLLOWAY...PERRY...MIDWAY...BUCKVILLE...COOKS HAMMOCK...DAY...
MAYO...CROSS CITY...CROSS CITY AIRPORT...HINES...JONESBORO...
OLD TOWN...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...CAIRO...LYNN HAVEN...
SOUTHPORT...VICKSBURG...MAGNOLIA BEACH...OAK GROVE...ODENA...
PORT ST. JOE...WHITE CITY...BEACON HILL...OVERSTREET...
SAINT JOE BEACH...APALACHICOLA...APALACHICOLA AIRPORT...
BAY CITY...TILTON...CREELS...HAYS PLACE...HIGH BLUFF...BUCKHORN...
MEDART...PANACEA...SOPCHOPPY...PORT LEON...SAINT MARKS...
SPRING CREEK...ADAMS BEACH...BLUE SPRINGS...CEDAR ISLAND...
DEKLE BEACH...FISH CREEK...HOWELL PLACE...YELLOW JACKET...
HORSESHOE BEACH...JENA...SHIRED ISLAND...SUWANNEE...ALFORDS...
GAMMAGE...GORDY...ISABELLA...RED ROCK...SYLVESTER...
SYLVESTER AIRPORT...ASHBURN...HOBBY...WORTH...CHULA...HARDING...
SUNSWEET...TIFTON...ASHTON...BOWENS MILL...FITZGERALD...
FITZGERALD MUNICIPAL A/P...QUEENSLAND...WESTWOOD...WATERLOO...
ABBA...IRWINVILLE...OCILLA...BRANCHVILLE...CAMILLA...
MITCHELL CO A/P...COTTON...PELHAM...MOULTRIE...
MOULTRIE MUNICIPAL A/P...SPENCE AIRPORT...ADEL...COOK CO A/P...
GREGGS...PINE VALLEY...BARNEYVILLE...LACONTE...MASSEE...
BERRIEN CO A/P...COTTLE...NASHVILLE...WEBER...BANNOCKBURN...
AUSMAC...BAINBRIDGE...DECATUR CO A/P...HANOVER...LYNN...
STEINHAM STORE...WEST BAINBRIDGE...BEACHTON...CAPEL...ELPINO...
GRADY CO A/P...MONCRIEF...PINE PARK...DILLON...METCALF...PASCO...
THOMASVILLE...BROOKS CO A/P...DIXIE...EMPRESS...NANKIN...
QUITMAN...GROOVERVILLE...VALDOSTA...VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT...
COURTHOUSE...LAKELAND...TEETERVILLE
429 PM EDT THU SEP 1 2016 /329 PM CDT THU SEP 1 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN FLORIDA...CALHOUN...COASTAL BAY...COASTAL DIXIE... 
  COASTAL FRANKLIN...COASTAL GULF...COASTAL JEFFERSON...COASTAL 
  TAYLOR...COASTAL WAKULLA...GADSDEN...INLAND BAY...INLAND 
  DIXIE...INLAND FRANKLIN...INLAND GULF...INLAND JEFFERSON... 
  INLAND TAYLOR...INLAND WAKULLA...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY 
  AND MADISON. IN GEORGIA...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS... 
  COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...GRADY...IRWIN...LANIER...LOWNDES...
   MITCHELL...THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER AND WORTH. 

* THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING

* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY.
  WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10 TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED OR RISING WATER IS OBSERVED. PARK
VEHICLES ON HIGHER GROUND AHEAD OF TIME...AND TAKE ACTION NOW TO
PREPARE VULNERABLE BUILDINGS AGAINST FLOODING.

&&

$$

FOURNIER

024 
WGUS62 KTAE 021251
FFATAE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
851 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TODAY FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL GEORGIA...

.TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTH GEORGIA. THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN
CONTINUES CLOSER TO THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION. WIDESPREAD 3 TO 6
INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN THE OUTLOOKED AREA...WITH ANOTHER
INCH OR SO POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.


FLZ012>019-026>029-034-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-GAZ127-145-146-
156>159-021400-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
INLAND BAY-CALHOUN-INLAND GULF-INLAND FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
INLAND JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-INLAND WAKULLA-INLAND TAYLOR-
LAFAYETTE-INLAND DIXIE-COASTAL BAY-COASTAL GULF-COASTAL FRANKLIN-
COASTAL JEFFERSON-COASTAL WAKULLA-COASTAL TAYLOR-COASTAL DIXIE-
WORTH-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETT...ECONFINA...NIXON...
YOUNGSTOWN...ABE SPRINGS...BLOUNTSTOWN...CLARKSVILLE...DURHAM...
FRINK...MARYSVILLE...SCOTTS FERRY...HOWARD CREEK...DALKEITH...
HONEYVILLE...WEWAHITCHKA...BEVERLY...BUCK SIDING...FORT GADSDEN...
MORGAN PLACE...LITTMAN...QUINCY...QUINCY AIRPORT...SANTA CLARA...
WETUMPKA...CHATTAHOOCHEE...HARDIN HEIGHTS...BRADFORDVILLE...
CAPITOLA...CHAIRES...CHAIRES CROSSROADS...KILLEARN ESTATES...
KILLEARN LAKES...MACLAY STATE GARDENS...TALLAHASSEE...ALMA...
CAPPS...CASA BLANCO...DILLS...DRIFTON...FESTUS...JARROTT...
MONTICELLO...LOVETT...CHERRY LAKE...HANSON...HOPEWELL...MADISON...
PINETTA...SWEETWATER...BETHEL...HILLIARDVILLE...WAKULLA SPRINGS...
ATHENA...BOYD...BUCELL JUNCTION...CABBAGE GROVE...CARBUR...
FENHOLLOWAY...PERRY...MIDWAY...BUCKVILLE...COOKS HAMMOCK...DAY...
MAYO...CROSS CITY...CROSS CITY AIRPORT...HINES...JONESBORO...
OLD TOWN...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...CAIRO...LYNN HAVEN...
SOUTHPORT...VICKSBURG...MAGNOLIA BEACH...OAK GROVE...ODENA...
PORT ST. JOE...WHITE CITY...BEACON HILL...OVERSTREET...
SAINT JOE BEACH...APALACHICOLA...APALACHICOLA AIRPORT...
BAY CITY...TILTON...CREELS...HAYS PLACE...HIGH BLUFF...BUCKHORN...
MEDART...PANACEA...SOPCHOPPY...PORT LEON...SAINT MARKS...
SPRING CREEK...ADAMS BEACH...BLUE SPRINGS...CEDAR ISLAND...
DEKLE BEACH...FISH CREEK...HOWELL PLACE...YELLOW JACKET...
HORSESHOE BEACH...JENA...SHIRED ISLAND...SUWANNEE...ALFORDS...
GAMMAGE...GORDY...ISABELLA...RED ROCK...SYLVESTER...
SYLVESTER AIRPORT...BRANCHVILLE...CAMILLA...MITCHELL CO A/P...
COTTON...PELHAM...MOULTRIE...MOULTRIE MUNICIPAL A/P...
SPENCE AIRPORT...AUSMAC...BAINBRIDGE...DECATUR CO A/P...HANOVER...
LYNN...STEINHAM STORE...WEST BAINBRIDGE...BEACHTON...CAPEL...
ELPINO...GRADY CO A/P...MONCRIEF...PINE PARK...DILLON...METCALF...
PASCO...THOMASVILLE...BROOKS CO A/P...DIXIE...EMPRESS...NANKIN...
QUITMAN...GROOVERVILLE
851 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016 /751 AM CDT FRI SEP 2 2016/

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

GAZ128>131-147-148-160-161-030000-
/O.CON.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-COOK-BERRIEN-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHBURN...HOBBY...WORTH...CHULA...
HARDING...SUNSWEET...TIFTON...ASHTON...BOWENS MILL...FITZGERALD...
FITZGERALD MUNICIPAL A/P...QUEENSLAND...WESTWOOD...WATERLOO...
ABBA...IRWINVILLE...OCILLA...ADEL...COOK CO A/P...GREGGS...
PINE VALLEY...BARNEYVILLE...LACONTE...MASSEE...BERRIEN CO A/P...
COTTLE...NASHVILLE...WEBER...BANNOCKBURN...VALDOSTA...
VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT...COURTHOUSE...LAKELAND...TEETERVILLE
851 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* LOWNDES...LANIER...BERRIEN...COOK...TIFT...BEN
  HILL...IRWIN...AND TURNER COUNTIES IN GEORGIA.

* UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING

* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
  WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE HAVE FALLEN...WITH
  ANOTHER INCH OR SO POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MONITOR FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED OR RISING WATER IS OBSERVED. PARK
VEHICLES ON HIGHER GROUND AHEAD OF TIME...AND TAKE ACTION NOW TO
PREPARE VULNERABLE BUILDINGS AGAINST FLOODING.

&&

$$

828 
WGUS62 KTAE 021553
FFATAE

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1153 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

GAZ128>131-147-148-160-161-021700-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FF.A.0006.000000T0000Z-160903T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-COOK-BERRIEN-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHBURN...HOBBY...WORTH...CHULA...
HARDING...SUNSWEET...TIFTON...ASHTON...BOWENS MILL...FITZGERALD...
FITZGERALD MUNICIPAL A/P...QUEENSLAND...WESTWOOD...WATERLOO...
ABBA...IRWINVILLE...OCILLA...ADEL...COOK CO A/P...GREGGS...
PINE VALLEY...BARNEYVILLE...LACONTE...MASSEE...BERRIEN CO A/P...
COTTLE...NASHVILLE...WEBER...BANNOCKBURN...VALDOSTA...
VALDOSTA REGIONAL AIRPORT...COURTHOUSE...LAKELAND...TEETERVILLE
1153 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
639 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

.UPDATE...

Tropical Storm Watches have been upgraded to Tropical Storm Warnings
across the FL Big Bend region (including Tallahassee) and coastal
FL Panhandle this morning. Hurricane Watches remain in effect for
coastal Big Bend locations. Tropical Depression 9 is forecast to
intensify into a tropical storm today, and will move northeastward
through our area on Thursday. It is currently forecast to make
landfall as a strong tropical storm, but has a chance of reaching
hurricane strength. See the short term discussion below for more
details.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 12Z Thursday]...

A short period of MVFR to IFR CIGS remain possible at TLH, VLD, and
ABY this morning. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions. Scattered
SHRA/TSRA will develop this afternoon, with the best chances across
southern GA and the FL Big Bend. SHRA/TSRA are expected to increase
across the entire region tonight, yielding lower CIGS and reduced
vsby in and around any activity.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [323 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

Tropical Depression Nine continues to meander in the Gulf of Mexico
this morning, several hundred miles south of the coastline. TD 9
will continue to influence the mean flow across the region today,
with easterly flow expected to prevail through much of the day. This
will yield a more active sea-breeze day across the Big Bend region,
as increasing moisture (PWATS approaching 2" today) and moderate
instability will allow for scattered thunderstorms to develop by
early afternoon. POPs will generally range from 40 to 60% across the
eastern half of the forecast area, and 20 to 30% to the west.
Afternoon highs will be similar to yesterday, with low to mid 90s
expected across the region.

Tropical Depression Nine is forecast to continue to turn
northeastward today, likely strengthening into a tropical storm later
today. Expect this system to begin making its presence felt as
early as tonight, with increasing rain chances across the Big Bend
region of Florida.

.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Friday]...

Main points/impacts:

* The tropical cyclone is expected to make landfall between Cape
  San Blas and Tampa on Thursday, most likely during the evening

* Coastal flooding is likely in Apalachee Bay due to storm surge;
  at least 2-4 feet of inundation possible with landfall

* Inland flooding, strong winds, and isolated tornadoes are
  possible from the Florida Big Bend into southern Georgia

Models remain in fairly good agreement that the tropical cyclone
(currently TD 9) will turn to the northeast tonight and begin
accelerating northeastward toward the FL Big Bend. An upper level
trough will continue to dig southward across the southeastern
CONUS from tonight through Thursday and Friday, so fairly strong
shear will persist over the cyclone for the remainder of its trek
across the eastern Gulf.

However, most models still show steady intensification until
landfall despite the ample shear. One reason for this is the
change in direction of the track; as it curves northeastward, the
storm-relative shear will likely decrease even though the total
shear magnitude will remain high. Also, increasing upper level
divergence ahead of the trough should maintain decent outflow over
the cyclone and to its northeast. These factors, along with very
warm water over the eastern Gulf, should allow for at least modest
intensification during this period.

Many guidance members show the cyclone making landfall as a
tropical storm, although a few still show intensification to a
category 1 hurricane. Either way, the impacts to our area will
remain fairly similar. Storm surge of at least 2-4 feet will
result in coastal flooding across Apalachee Bay, and several
inches of rain will fall near and east of the cyclone's track,
possibly resulting in inland flooding across the Big Bend into
southern GA. Strong winds could result in downed trees and power
lines across these regions, and as is typical with landfalling
tropical systems, isolated tornadoes will be possible, mainly near
and east of the center.

.LONG TERM [Friday Night Through Wednesday]...

TD Nine is expected to be well west of the CWA over the Atlantic
coast by the beginning of the long term. Sfc ridging over the Great
Lakes area will slide to the east coast on Sunday and dominate into
the first half of the week. While some drier area is expected Sunday
into Tuesday across the CWA which will result in below climo PoPs,
the GFS isn't quite as dry as the previous 00z run.

.MARINE...

Expect deteriorating conditions over the next couple days, with
increasing winds and widespread showers/thunderstorms tonight and
tropical storm conditions likely on Thursday. Seas and winds will
subside from Friday through the weekend as the system exits our
area.

.FIRE WEATHER...

Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds
through the period. Therefore, no hazardous fire weather conditions
are expected.

.HYDROLOGY...

As mentioned in the short term discussion, we expect the tropical
system to produce several inches of rain across the FL Big Bend
and parts of southern GA from Wednesday through Friday. Models
have been trending slightly farther northwest with the track,
which increases the chance of heavy rainfall and possible flooding
across the aforementioned regions. Our latest forecast shows the
potential for 4-5" of rainfall from Tallahassee through Valdosta
by Friday morning, with 6-8" across the eastern Big Bend region.
Isolated higher amounts are possible, particularly across the
eastern Big Bend. As a result of the increased potential for heavy
rain, a flood watch may need to be issued later today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   93  77  84  76  91 /  40  60  80  70  50
Panama City   91  77  85  77  88 /  30  50  70  40  30
Dothan        92  74  91  73  91 /  10  20  40  30  30
Albany        95  74  88  74  90 /  20  20  50  50  30
Valdosta      91  74  84  74  88 /  50  50  80  80  50
Cross City    85  75  83  76  87 /  60  70 100  90  50
Apalachicola  90  78  84  77  88 /  40  70  80  60  30

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Bay-Coastal Dixie-Coastal
     Franklin-Coastal Gulf-Coastal Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-
     Coastal Wakulla-Gadsden-Inland Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland
     Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland Taylor-Inland Wakulla-
     Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-Madison.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal Dixie-Coastal Franklin-Coastal
     Jefferson-Coastal Taylor-Coastal Wakulla.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Tropical Storm Warning for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From
     Keaton Beach to Ochlockonee River Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal
     Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20
     Nm-Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out
     20 NM-Coastal waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20
     NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60
     NM.

     Hurricane Watch for Apalachee Bay or Coastal Waters From Keaton
     Beach to Ochlockonee River Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal Waters
     From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola Fl out to 20 Nm-
     Coastal waters from Suwannee River to Keaton Beach out 20
     NM-Waters from Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to
     60 NM-Waters from Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60
     NM.

&&

UPDATE...Lahr
NEAR TERM...Pullin
SHORT TERM...Lahr
LONG TERM...Fieux
AVIATION...Pullin
MARINE...Lahr
FIRE WEATHER...Pullin
HYDROLOGY...Lahr