Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 91

April 15, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 15, 2016, 1:57 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 15, 2016, 1:57 PM MDT (19:57 UTC)
Expired
Apr 15, 2016, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Grant County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Morton County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Moore County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Sherman County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 202 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

47 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 2:07 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa38 min
Apr 15, 2:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam, Hartley39 min
Apr 15, 2:39 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa36 min
Apr 15, 2:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley, Oldham52 min
Apr 15, 3:09 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBKiowa3 hr
Apr 15, 3:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa20 min
Apr 15, 3:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron45 min
Apr 15, 3:22 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa8 min
Apr 15, 3:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa50 min
Apr 15, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa48 min
Apr 15, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley61 min
Apr 15, 3:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOldham28 min
Apr 15, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa15 min
Apr 15, 4:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam, Hartley60 min
Apr 15, 4:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa49 min
Apr 15, 4:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron48 min
Apr 15, 4:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOldham41 min
Apr 15, 4:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Las Animas67 min
Apr 15, 4:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam, Sherman56 min
Apr 15, 4:55 PM MDTTornado WarningAMADallam, Hartley25 min
Apr 15, 5:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa, Prowers45 min
Apr 15, 5:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron46 min
Apr 15, 5:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca31 min
Apr 15, 5:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron, Texas66 min
Apr 15, 5:52 PM MDTTornado WarningAMACimarron, Texas23 min
Apr 15, 6:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron59 min
Apr 15, 6:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa, Prowers49 min
Apr 15, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron, Texas45 min
Apr 15, 6:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton, Stevens41 min
Apr 15, 6:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca54 min
Apr 15, 6:52 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedAMACimarron, Texas23 min
Apr 15, 7:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron64 min
Apr 15, 7:12 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedAMATexas48 min
Apr 15, 7:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam58 min
Apr 15, 7:21 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBaca24 min
Apr 15, 7:31 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDDCMorton, Stevens24 min
Apr 15, 7:41 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBaca37 min
Apr 15, 7:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton46 min
Apr 15, 7:50 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCMorton25 min
Apr 15, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOldham46 min
Apr 15, 8:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCMorton, Stanton, Stevens51 min
Apr 15, 8:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron, Texas75 min
Apr 15, 8:21 PM MDTTornado WarningAMAOldham39 min
Apr 15, 8:29 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCMorton, Stevens31 min
Apr 15, 8:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAMoore43 min
Apr 15, 8:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCGrant, Stanton, Stevens50 min
Apr 15, 9:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 195 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1416 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
293 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

907 
WWUS20 KWNS 151954
SEL1  
SPC WW 151954
COZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-160300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 91
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
255 PM CDT FRI APR 15 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST COLORADO
  SOUTHWEST KANSAS
  OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
  TEXAS PANHANDLE

* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 255 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG A LINE FROM SOUTHEAST CO INTO THE WESTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...TRACKING EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING.  VERY LARGE HAIL MAY OCCUR IN THE STRONGER CELLS...AS WELL
AS A RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAMAR
COLORADO TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF AMARILLO TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 89...WW 90...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 15, 1:07 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma53 min
Apr 15, 1:25 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoulder, Clear Creek, Gilpin, Grand, Jackson, Larimer and 2 more6 hr
Apr 15, 1:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Prowers2 hr
Apr 15, 1:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Phillips, Sedgwick, Yuma7 hr
Apr 15, 4:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKit Carson, Yuma88 min
Apr 15, 5:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Prowers114 min
Apr 15, 4:13 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Briscoe, Cochran, Floyd, Gaines and 7 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2016Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.