Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2016

Tornado Watch 374

July 11, 201611 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 11, 2016, 5:31 PM CDT for 11 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 11, 2016, 5:31 PM CDT (22:31 UTC)
Expired
Jul 11, 2016, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Wright County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 5:40 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMPXMeeker, Stearns35 min
Jul 11, 5:56 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMPXMeeker, Stearns34 min
Jul 11, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXMorrison, Stearns28 min
Jul 11, 6:19 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBenton, Stearns26 min
Jul 11, 6:43 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedMPXBenton, Stearns32 min
Jul 11, 7:00 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXKandiyohi, Meeker, Stearns30 min
Jul 11, 7:09 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBenton36 min
Jul 11, 7:16 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXStearns29 min
Jul 11, 7:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXBenton, Morrison, Sherburne, Stearns4 hr
Jul 11, 7:37 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXBenton, Sherburne, Stearns23 min
Jul 11, 8:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXBenton, Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Morrison4 hr
Jul 11, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSherburne, Wright31 min
Jul 11, 8:50 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSherburne25 min
Jul 11, 9:00 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXSherburne11 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1818 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 226 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1818 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-153 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
882 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

396 
WWUS20 KWNS 112229
SEL4  
SPC WW 112229
MNZ000-120300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 374
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
530 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL MINNESOTA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 530 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELL STORMS MAY FORM ALONG A WEAK FRONT OVER
CENTRAL MN...POSING A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.  THIS WATCH
UPGRADES THE PREVIOUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR THE GIVEN
COUNTIES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 30 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
SAINT CLOUD MINNESOTA TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SAINT CLOUD
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 372...WW 373...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 10, 10:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Mahnomen and 8 more89 min
Jul 10, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Grant, Mahnomen, Marshall and 7 more6 hr
Jul 11, 1:01 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Big Stone, Cass and 27 more89 min
Jul 11, 1:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Beltrami, Benton, Cass, Clearwater, Crow Wing and 13 more5 hr
Jul 11, 3:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Benton, Carlton, Chisago, Crow Wing, Isanti and 5 more83 min
Jul 11, 4:06 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Grant, Otter Tail, Traverse and 1 more84 min
Jul 11, 3:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota and 28 more119 min
Jul 11, 3:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 36 more7 hr
Jul 11, 5:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Chisago, Hennepin, Isanti, Kandiyohi and 5 more58 min
Jul 11, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCPine5 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.